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The Swamp

  • #32,521
  • Mar 28, 2019 11:05am Mar 28, 2019 11:05am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} 1107 foot prints.. 1237.4/1192.2 center at 1213.. 1213 the atm low. {image}
what price we need London closes for bulls.?..since i am more long now
  • #32,522
  • Mar 28, 2019 11:18am Mar 28, 2019 11:18am
i dont think there is a certain level... 1.1160 comes to mind maybe where bulls will kick in... EURO pairs have been heavily oversold... but i think a lot comes down to BREXIT
Cheers!!
  • #32,523
  • Mar 28, 2019 11:36am Mar 28, 2019 11:36am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} what price we need London closes for bulls.?..since i am more long now
close below 1225.. not good for bulls.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #32,524
  • Mar 28, 2019 11:40am Mar 28, 2019 11:40am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} what price we need London closes for bulls.?..since i am more long now
you can confirm with your day later in NY close. Targeting .1107/.07xx personally. It could fall fast in capitulation.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #32,525
  • Mar 28, 2019 12:09pm Mar 28, 2019 12:09pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} you can confirm with your day later in NY close. Targeting .1107/.07xx personally. It could fall fast in capitulation.
ohh yeah to see 1222 hold at NY close... thanks
  • #32,526
  • Mar 28, 2019 12:11pm Mar 28, 2019 12:11pm
one step a time , M15 1239 downtrend stop
  • #32,527
  • Mar 28, 2019 12:18pm Mar 28, 2019 12:18pm
in my system from M15 to H4 are currently still in downtrend... so bearish... we did test daily uptrend stop, wait to see bears can reverse to downtrend at NY close...
  • #32,528
  • Mar 28, 2019 12:20pm Mar 28, 2019 12:20pm
Quoting Boulder
in my system from M15 to H4 are currently still in downtrend... so bearish... we did test daily uptrend stop, wait to see bears can reverse to downtrend at NY close...
lower LC.. lowest since 2017
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #32,529
  • Mar 28, 2019 12:22pm Mar 28, 2019 12:22pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} lower LC.. lowest since 2017
I am fully hedge now.. wait to see where the bottom is ...
  • #32,530
  • Mar 28, 2019 12:22pm Mar 28, 2019 12:22pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} lower LC.. lowest since 2017
I think you meant 2018
  • #32,531
  • Mar 28, 2019 12:26pm Mar 28, 2019 12:26pm
Quoting Boulder
in my system from M15 to H4 are currently still in downtrend... so bearish... we did test daily uptrend stop, wait to see bears can reverse to downtrend at NY close...
15,30,60 and higher still line up
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #32,532
  • Mar 28, 2019 12:29pm Mar 28, 2019 12:29pm
Quoting Boulder
{quote} I think you meant 2018
its the lowest in 2018 and 2019. lowest since 2017
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #32,533
  • Edited 1:37pm Mar 28, 2019 1:27pm | Edited 1:37pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} its the lowest in 2018 and 2019. lowest since 2017
if daily uptrend stop holds at close, and also M15 reverses to uptrend, I will long with target 1310 to 1340, considering tomorrow quarter end plus using time stop 70% chance H1 will reverse to uptrend within 24 hours , probably before NY opens...

If M15 downtrend can't reverse, I may sale more with TP 1175...

That is my plan...
  • #32,534
  • Mar 28, 2019 2:58pm Mar 28, 2019 2:58pm
Quoting Boulder
{quote} if daily uptrend stop holds at close, and also M15 reverses to uptrend, I will long with target 1310 to 1340, considering tomorrow quarter end plus using time stop 70% chance H1 will reverse to uptrend within 24 hours , probably before NY opens... If M15 downtrend can't reverse, I may sale more with TP 1175... That is my plan...
be nimble, LC is bearish. nothing is bullish about this.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #32,535
  • Mar 28, 2019 3:05pm Mar 28, 2019 3:05pm
If NY rolls bearish (1222.5) I doubt much bounce to come.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #32,536
  • Mar 28, 2019 3:09pm Mar 28, 2019 3:09pm
Hi Gatror,

did you notice the selloff in gold today? .... and the constant pressure in EUR...
I went back the last 9 month and checked all days where gold was more than 15+$ off... In all cases EUR was down the day too!!! 100% correlation!!!
Alternatively on strong gold up days EUR was up too.

When gold dropped today 22$ it is still 10$ off the major support of 1280... which will be done tomorrow... and since I feel tomorrow EUR pressure will remain.
How do you think about that?
  • #32,537
  • Mar 28, 2019 4:04pm Mar 28, 2019 4:04pm
so close and than it gapped on open.. I think its bearish.. but to be sure, maybe it needs tomorrow.. The LC did close lower.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #32,538
  • Mar 28, 2019 4:12pm Mar 28, 2019 4:12pm
Quoting gatorinla
so close and than it gapped on open.. I think its bearish.. but to be sure, maybe it needs tomorrow.. The LC did close lower. {image}
Day uptrend stop held at NY close...
  • #32,539
  • Mar 28, 2019 4:20pm Mar 28, 2019 4:20pm
Quoting Boulder
{quote} Day uptrend stop held at NY close...
your indi works on close. if it used open it would have changed. when this happens, I would take it not breaking with some caution.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #32,540
  • Mar 28, 2019 4:26pm Mar 28, 2019 4:26pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} your indi works on close. if it used open it would have changed. when this happens, I would take it not breaking with some caution.
the 1223 ny close is below the 1223.4 LC. the gap open 1217.6
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
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