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Trading news and sentiment with technical analysis

  • #41
  • Mar 26, 2019 3:49am Mar 26, 2019 3:49am
Softer $ sentiment with risk on tones in the market which should have some effect on EM currencies. Gold being priced in $ will benefit in addition to an ongoing rebalancing of portfolios due to the US yield curve inversion. Should produce a few pips at least

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  • #42
  • Mar 26, 2019 4:04am Mar 26, 2019 4:04am
Sentiment better shift gear else I will close this trade
  • #43
  • Mar 26, 2019 4:33am Mar 26, 2019 4:33am
Out for a small loss. Sentiment not showing its hand.
  • #44
  • Mar 26, 2019 7:40am Mar 26, 2019 7:40am
Long gold again, will post chart soon, same reasoning as last trade.
  • #45
  • Mar 26, 2019 7:57am Mar 26, 2019 7:57am
the trade setup
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  • #46
  • Mar 26, 2019 8:12am Mar 26, 2019 8:12am
out +50
  • #47
  • Mar 26, 2019 8:26am Mar 26, 2019 8:26am
Quoting EcoTrader
out +50
Nice one Eco!

Technical reasoning would be a zone of confluence, right? A previously tested area of S/R

Did you wait for any economic news for trigger?
  • #48
  • Mar 26, 2019 8:35am Mar 26, 2019 8:35am
Quoting guiyee
{quote} Nice one Eco! Technical reasoning would be a zone of confluence, right? A previously tested area of S/R Did you wait for any economic news for trigger?

yes a confluence zone where price will likely run into orders. No catalyst for this, i am riding a general flow of portfolio adjustments off the back of the yield curve inversion (in other words fund managers adding more safe haven assets to their portfolios)
  • #49
  • Mar 26, 2019 8:55am Mar 26, 2019 8:55am
Quoting EcoTrader
{quote} yes a confluence zone where price will likely run into orders. No catalyst for this, i am riding a general flow of portfolio adjustments off the back of the yield curve inversion (in other words fund managers adding more safe haven assets to their portfolios)
Very interesting Eco. Hope you don't mind if I ask silly questions but I am learning a whole new side of trading here haha.

A yield curve inversion would be when there is a divergence between the short period interest rates against the long period interest rates. So you follow closely whenever there is variable between this two indicators?

PS: By the way, are you suscribed to any kind of news feed?
  • #50
  • Mar 26, 2019 9:15am Mar 26, 2019 9:15am
Quoting guiyee
{quote} Very interesting Eco. Hope you don't mind if I ask silly questions but I am learning a whole new side of trading here haha. A yield curve inversion would be when there is a divergence between the short period interest rates against the long period interest rates. So you follow closely whenever there is variable between this two indicators? PS: By the way, are you suscribed to any kind of news feed?
hi

I have several news feeds including a real-time economic release feed, forexlive, and twitter. I am not looking at the details of the yeild curve inversion, i am just looking at it from the perspective of markets pricing in a worsening economic environment in the future (hence its 85% correlation with recessions).
  • #51
  • Mar 26, 2019 10:34am Mar 26, 2019 10:34am
Potential long gold trade in the making
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  • #52
  • Mar 26, 2019 10:43am Mar 26, 2019 10:43am
Just to clarify I am not long yet, i need price to break out of that zone
  • #53
  • Mar 26, 2019 1:16pm Mar 26, 2019 1:16pm
No trade in case anyone is wondering. Without any catalysts and end of EU session I am done for the day
  • #54
  • Mar 27, 2019 11:25am Mar 27, 2019 11:25am
I spoke this morning on the other thread about trading after a major central bank event. Here is an example of a trade i did today (been in many meetings so couldn't post about it at the time). 25 pips booked
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  • #55
  • Mar 28, 2019 3:17am Mar 28, 2019 3:17am
The gift that keeps giving, Kiwi retrace after dovish central bank. Here is the 1 hour level and trade entry with some info on what needs to happen else the trade will be closed
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  • #56
  • Mar 28, 2019 3:39am Mar 28, 2019 3:39am
closed for 12 pips - taking too long to break
  • #57
  • Mar 28, 2019 3:50am Mar 28, 2019 3:50am
similar to kiwi. Nok off the back of a rate hike and hawkish central bank. The $ has been having strong sentiment that is unrelated to it's fundamentals it is risk related. This setup is looking for Nok to take back some control given it has hit a nice confluence level
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  • #58
  • Mar 28, 2019 3:55am Mar 28, 2019 3:55am
need to see a break of this level else trade will be closed
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  • #59
  • Mar 28, 2019 4:23am Mar 28, 2019 4:23am
out for 20 pips
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  • #60
  • Mar 28, 2019 6:15am Mar 28, 2019 6:15am
short gbpjpy - last nights votes, dup etc is still a negative on the pound with a ton of uncertainty still floating around. I don't normally drill down into the 1 minute chart but thought what the hell lets have a stab at it given this method is proving to be useful (it is correlated with levels in the higher time frame)
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