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My "Ultron" EA for GBPUSD H1 timeframe

  • #1,141
  • Mar 15, 2019 11:14am Mar 15, 2019 11:14am
Thank you for latest version, i think i found little bug,
when MA1-MA2 Gap in correct range info panel shows red instead of green can you add quick fix on next update,
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: MA1-MA2 Gap.png Size: 19 KB
Failure is not failure if you learn from it...
  • #1,142
  • Mar 15, 2019 11:28am Mar 15, 2019 11:28am
I run the strategy from 2018-11-28 to 2019-03-13 (75% quality data) and use myfxbook.com strategy analyzer to test it.
it shows
Z-Score (Probability): -1.05 (-70.67%)
Sharpe Ratio: 0.8300

I wonder why those negative values give on this kind of good EA, anyone know the reason for that
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Screenshot_2019-03-15 Ultron New 2 Strategy Myfxbook(2).png Size: 15 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: Screenshot_2019-03-15 Ultron New 2 Strategy Myfxbook(1).png Size: 12 KB
Failure is not failure if you learn from it...
  • #1,143
  • Mar 15, 2019 11:43am Mar 15, 2019 11:43am
Quoting mrdfx
I have observed in my testing that the max consecutive losses is 1, perhaps by adding a soft martingale option this could work in this instance. Martingale is risky, but if applied in the right conditions it can work, and being as max consecutive losses is only 1 then by using a soft martingale approach like Fibonacci sequence we could easily recoup the losses from when there is a losing order.
maybe reverse martingale would be the best option? doubling every time you win. Attempting the home run.
  • #1,144
  • Edited 12:22pm Mar 15, 2019 11:43am | Edited 12:22pm
Quoting majamivice
Hi. I have completely different lot size for two ULTRON EA. Both have 10 percent risk setting for $400 account size. Ultron PDV have 0.06 lot size and it should be wright, but ULTRON EA LITE 3 have 0.2 lot size. There is HUGE difference in profit for both versions. Can FEEX explain the difference? ULTRON PDV 1031: {image} ULTRON_LITE_3: {image}
In LITE_3 there is no risk percent, I have already explained this, it uses a different system for calculating the initial lot, even in the settings it is called Risk Ratio
for example:
balance 3000, RR 10 - the initial lot will be 0.90,
balance 1000 , RR 10 - the initial lot will be 0.30 and so on)
but these values may differ slightly there is a dependency on account leverage
(AccountBalance() * AccountLeverage() * risk_percent * 0.01)

I was interested in your picture with the test LITE_3. How did you manage to get $ 1,000,000 from $ 400 in 9 months?
What leverage do you use?
Attached Image
  • #1,145
  • Mar 15, 2019 12:03pm Mar 15, 2019 12:03pm
New buy order opened at 1.32932 using Ultron Lite 3.
Truth is like poetry. And most people f*cking hate poetry.
  • #1,146
  • Mar 15, 2019 12:06pm Mar 15, 2019 12:06pm
Quoting mrdfx
New buy order opened at 1.32932 using Ultron Lite 3.
Yep I’ve had a buy order hope it’s a decent one lol
  • #1,147
  • Mar 15, 2019 12:13pm Mar 15, 2019 12:13pm
Yes i also have buy orders from all versions. I don't think they will make to TP tonight :-) Finger Cross!!!
  • #1,148
  • Mar 15, 2019 12:18pm Mar 15, 2019 12:18pm
ULTRON_LITE_3 Order opened @ 17:00 GMT, price =1.32932
  • #1,149
  • Mar 15, 2019 12:21pm Mar 15, 2019 12:21pm
Quoting Feex
{quote} In LITE_3 there is no risk percent, I have already explained this, it uses a different system for calculating the initial lot, even in the settings it is called Risk Ratio for example: balance 3000, RR 10 - the initial lot will be 0.90, balance 1000 , RR 10 - the initial lot will be 0.30 and so on) but these values may differ slightly there is a dependency on account leverage (AccountBalance() * AccountLeverage() * risk_percent * 0.01) {image}
Ok, thanks for explanation. If I would have run this EA with this setting in last 6 months I would be millionaire now. =)
  • #1,150
  • Mar 15, 2019 12:26pm Mar 15, 2019 12:26pm
Quoting mrdfx
New buy order opened at 1.32932 using Ultron Lite 3.
I got 1.32927 on PDV 1031.
"Pips are vanity. Profit is sanity."
  • #1,151
  • Mar 15, 2019 12:37pm Mar 15, 2019 12:37pm
Quoting majamivice
{quote} Ok, thanks for explanation. If I would have run this EA with this setting in last 6 months I would be millionaire now. =)

Please tell me what leverage do you use? And what is the server time for your GMT broker?
  • #1,152
  • Mar 15, 2019 1:27pm Mar 15, 2019 1:27pm
Quoting Feex
{quote} Please tell me what leverage do you use? And what is the server time for your GMT broker?
Leverage 1:500
IC Markets ECN GMT+3
  • #1,153
  • Mar 15, 2019 1:36pm Mar 15, 2019 1:36pm
Quoting cdsaa
{quote} Paul, what did you change in the EA. getting results which are different. Number of trades are same but winnings are different - Size of winnings went up. Settings same for both tests. TP- 118, SL-69, Trailing Stop-40 Trailing step- 14, Risk -10%, time- 7 and 21 PDV 103 {image} PDV1031 {image} Have no idea what has caused this. What line in code, improved on this result.
I tried replicating your results and get very different numbers.

Are you using Tick Data suite?
Truth is like poetry. And most people f*cking hate poetry.
  • #1,154
  • Mar 15, 2019 2:08pm Mar 15, 2019 2:08pm
Been playing with some settings of PaulDV's version and it looks pretty good.

Best settings I've found so far is this one. 1 year test. The DD is a bit high but that goes hand in hand with the risk 10% being used.

Doing the same comparison test vs Ultron Lite 3, PaulDV version has better results.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Screen Shot 2019-03-15 at 16.07.40.png Size: 376 KB
Truth is like poetry. And most people f*cking hate poetry.
  • #1,155
  • Mar 15, 2019 2:31pm Mar 15, 2019 2:31pm
ULTRON PDV 101,..open trade,..buy at 1,32932,...
  • #1,156
  • Mar 15, 2019 2:39pm Mar 15, 2019 2:39pm
UL3 made a buy order, but the PDV_103 did not for me. It says it's outside of trading hours. I'm on a GMT server, using default times of 7 and 19. What gives?
  • #1,157
  • Mar 15, 2019 2:47pm Mar 15, 2019 2:47pm
Quoting SigmaEnigma
UL3 made a buy order, but the PDV_103 did not for me. It says it's outside of trading hours. I'm on a GMT server, using default times of 7 and 19. What gives?
Are you sure you're on a GMT server? What broker are you using?

EDIT: At the time of your post, you would have been outside of trading hours, so that seems to be correct.
"Pips are vanity. Profit is sanity."
  • #1,158
  • Mar 15, 2019 2:52pm Mar 15, 2019 2:52pm
Backtested this on 99% tick data for 10 years, it performs rather poorly 8 out of those 10 years. I made many modifications trying to make it profitable, with dynamic exits based on MA crosses, and a bunch of either ways, all failed. Could not make this thing profitable long term.
  • #1,159
  • Edited 3:39pm Mar 15, 2019 3:19pm | Edited 3:39pm
Quoting PaulDV
{quote} Are you sure you're on a GMT server? What broker are you using? EDIT: At the time of your post, you would have been outside of trading hours, so that seems to be correct.
I use Forex.com. Which to my knowledge uses GMT servers. So I kept the default values of 7 and 19. It just seems odd it would be out of trading time when everyone else got a buy signal, hence my concern.
  • #1,160
  • Mar 15, 2019 3:39pm Mar 15, 2019 3:39pm
Quoting SigmaEnigma
{quote} I use Forex.com. Which to my knowledge uses GMT servers. So I kept the default values of 7 and 19. It seems odd it would be out of trading time when everyone else got a buy signal.
By default, the author’s version of this system uses time 6 and 21 — this is for GMT. In version LITE_3, I made default 8 and 23 - this is for GMT + 2. Accordingly, if you use GMT 0, then try applying time 6 and 21.
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