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The Swamp

  • #31,661
  • Mar 13, 2019 4:29am Mar 13, 2019 4:29am
Quoting DMA Trader
Don't want to trade crashes - it's rare and not efficient. Yet I do think that we are about to see a possible 500 pips crash on EUR/USD this year. Can't believe 10y Bunds trading near 0.05! and I think it will go lower. So after 10 year of "economic growth" and bull markets you can't see 1 rate increse ? The only thing that can keep this pair not crashing is to see US Economy really taking a dive. I think we will see EUR/USD at parity in the next years.
I'd bet on trump doing something stupid and plunging US into disorder.
He has prooved he is able. His policies in economics are bound to crash and burn.
The problem is spotting the turning point.
For the time being flow to dollars will continue I believe
Riding the Dragon....
  • #31,662
  • Mar 13, 2019 4:30am Mar 13, 2019 4:30am
Atm betting on a double tap of 1299 before a big drop
Riding the Dragon....
  • #31,663
  • Mar 13, 2019 4:56am Mar 13, 2019 4:56am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} (1289.7) Possible rejection for bulls w/o it. You may be able to long 1240 (or less) later if u want to long. Bears may just continue too since 1296 was touched. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=clKAdQnwJ7A
pa didnt do nothing last night. the last 4h closed bullish. Chances of returning to 1240 have dropped some. The rejection chances have dropped some.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #31,664
  • Mar 13, 2019 5:00am Mar 13, 2019 5:00am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} I didn't realize how late it is.. good night..see you here tomorrow...
66 hs on 1h. reverse time should be near?
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #31,665
  • Edited 5:28am Mar 13, 2019 5:09am | Edited 5:28am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} 66 hs on 1h. reverse time should be near?
short here 1301.. maybe a little early
update: closed at 1296,
Attached Image
  • #31,666
  • Mar 13, 2019 5:13am Mar 13, 2019 5:13am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} 66 hs on 1h. reverse time should be near?
60% chance to reverse today, esp triple swap today..who wants to hold Eur to close..
one thing in the way is brexit vote again, wish that drama is over anytime soon
  • #31,667
  • Mar 13, 2019 5:19am Mar 13, 2019 5:19am
me still short 1.13 from yesterday - i am holding and will add higher up.... 1.1325 is possible... but i hope 1.1308 just caps it
  • #31,668
  • Mar 13, 2019 5:22am Mar 13, 2019 5:22am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} 60% chance to reverse today, esp triple swap today..who wants to hold Eur to close.. one thing in the way is brexit voteagain, wish that drama is over anytime soon
wildcard.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #31,669
  • Mar 13, 2019 5:27am Mar 13, 2019 5:27am
pending short@ 1.1316 and 1.1323.
don't predict direction, but dance with flow of water
  • #31,670
  • Mar 13, 2019 5:27am Mar 13, 2019 5:27am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} 66 hs on 1h. reverse time should be near?
Currently the trend is minor bullish with H1 and H4 both in uptrend...just H1 a little over stretched.. but H4 is a fresh uptrend..so if you are bears, don't be greedy...
  • #31,671
  • Mar 13, 2019 5:28am Mar 13, 2019 5:28am
last night short was closed@ 1.1284.
don't predict direction, but dance with flow of water
  • #31,672
  • Mar 13, 2019 5:33am Mar 13, 2019 5:33am
Quoting jaylovin
me still short 1.13 from yesterday - i am holding and will add higher up.... 1.1325 is possible... but i hope 1.1308 just caps it
I bet on this cap too. So far pa is as expected
Riding the Dragon....
  • #31,673
  • Mar 13, 2019 5:33am Mar 13, 2019 5:33am
Quoting priceaction1
last night short was closed@ 1.1284.
when it closed the day below 1289, that's most often a rejection. (bearish)

the 30 min is a little confused too.. it changed, then reversed back in 1 candle. today the closes even on h etc below 1289 may continue rejection. Just watch pa around 1289, see if it is unable to close above.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #31,674
  • Mar 13, 2019 5:37am Mar 13, 2019 5:37am
levels printed so far

RU R3 ----------1.1345
FP R3 ----------1.1340
RU R2 ----------1.1319
FP R2 ----------1.1316
RU R1 ----------1.1303 ( print 1302.7)
FP R1 ----------1.1302
FP PP ----------1.1279
RU S1 ----------1.1271
MP S1 ----------1.1267
WP PP ----------1.1265
FP S1 ----------1.1255
RU S2 ----------1.1255
FP S2 ----------1.1241
RU S3 ----------1.1229
  • #31,675
  • Mar 13, 2019 5:40am Mar 13, 2019 5:40am
4h closed above last close. see if its lost after. 1289.3
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #31,676
  • Mar 13, 2019 6:28am Mar 13, 2019 6:28am
30 min bearish engulfed one candle.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #31,677
  • Mar 13, 2019 7:01am Mar 13, 2019 7:01am
Quoting gatorinla
4h closed above last close. see if its lost after. 1289.3 {image}
supporting it. 1h made a higher close. Bullish, bullish into some expected resistance 1307/14. strength unknown.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #31,678
  • Mar 13, 2019 7:03am Mar 13, 2019 7:03am
Seems like 1.1325 is needed before it goes down to 1.122.
  • #31,679
  • Mar 13, 2019 7:06am Mar 13, 2019 7:06am
Quoting Fadhl
Seems like 1.1325 is needed before it goes down to 1.122.
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  • #31,680
  • Mar 13, 2019 7:06am Mar 13, 2019 7:06am
just to test the behaviour of the market.
https://charts.mql5.com/20/682/eurus...al-limited.png
don't predict direction, but dance with flow of water
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