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The Swamp

  • #30,421
  • Feb 15, 2019 11:02am Feb 15, 2019 11:02am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} the day was rejected, the week wasn't.. I would have got on my soapbox against shorts if it had closed 1283
its ok.. I am not adding more shorts... so far H1 bears held its R..new hour to go..
  • #30,422
  • Feb 15, 2019 11:05am Feb 15, 2019 11:05am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} its ok.. I am not adding more shorts... so far H1 bears held its R..new hour to go..
day and week have some R 137x and 139x..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #30,423
  • Feb 15, 2019 11:06am Feb 15, 2019 11:06am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} day and week have some R 137x and 139x..
23.6 retrace at 1289,,,38.9 at 1278
  • #30,424
  • Feb 15, 2019 1:26pm Feb 15, 2019 1:26pm
Look like bearish week close, Eur/Usd has not had a weekly close below 1.13 since June 19 ,2017 (1.1192 that week)....
  • #30,425
  • Feb 15, 2019 3:28pm Feb 15, 2019 3:28pm
Quoting Boulder
Look like bearish week close, Eur/Usd has not had a weekly close below 1.13 since June 19 ,2017 (1.1192 that week)....
next week will tell a lot... pa sits at 75 pips above 1214 low. its either support, or it's going to drop. down to me is limited to 75 pips b4 trend change.. up is limited to 1531 ish. 241 pips.. before trend change.. pa still has rum for 1429..

this candle formation harami is bullish on 4h.. candle 2 is more than 50% (body) higher than the preceding candle with a low at support..stops limited to 1233 or 57 pips from atm close level.. possible long 1269 to come.. limiting risk to 32 pips..
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #30,426
  • Feb 15, 2019 9:46pm Feb 15, 2019 9:46pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} next week will tell a lot... pa sits at 75 pips above 1214 low. its either support, or it's going to drop. down to me is limited to 75 pips b4 trend change.. up is limited to 1531 ish. 241 pips.. before trend change.. pa still has rum for 1429.. this candle formation harami is bullish on 4h.. candle 2 is more than 50% (body) higher than the preceding candle with a low at support..stops limited to 1233 or 57 pips from atm close level.. possible long 1269 to come.. limiting risk to 32 pips.. {image}
day usd looks like retrace coming for bears . The ma and closes are bullish
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #30,427
  • Feb 15, 2019 9:50pm Feb 15, 2019 9:50pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} day usd looks like retrace coming for bears . The ma and closes are bullish {image}
.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #30,428
  • Feb 15, 2019 10:00pm Feb 15, 2019 10:00pm
eu day..
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #30,429
  • Feb 16, 2019 4:46pm Feb 16, 2019 4:46pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} next week will tell a lot... pa sits at 75 pips above 1214 low. its either support, or it's going to drop. down to me is limited to 75 pips b4 trend change.. up is limited to 1531 ish. 241 pips.. before trend change.. pa still has rum for 1429.. this candle formation harami is bullish on 4h.. candle 2 is more than 50% (body) higher than the preceding candle with a low at support..stops limited to 1233 or 57 pips from atm close level.. possible long 1269 to come.. limiting risk to 32 pips.. {image}

I agree with you here... while my bias remains for a break of 1.1215 lows - i believe a retrace is in order... daily is oversold... and i believe we can go to 1.1435....

1.1310 needs to break as does 1.1330. i will sell around 1.1435 for hopefully sub 1.12 this time... 1.1373 should be achievable to start
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  • #30,430
  • Feb 17, 2019 6:51am Feb 17, 2019 6:51am
Quoting jaylovin
{quote} I agree with you here... while my bias remains for a break of 1.1215 lows - i believe a retrace is in order... daily is oversold... and i believe we can go to 1.1435.... 1.1310 needs to break as does 1.1330. i will sell around 1.1435 for hopefully sub 1.12 this time... 1.1373 should be achievable to start {image}
Yeah the 4 candles were bullish.. bullish into that same smaller 130x area without closing above. So the main trend is still bearish into support. So if u perfere a long, you have to consider pa would go back to 1269ish or less. had pa closed above 1291/1300 it would have been more bullish.. close was below center of 4h bb.. and upper 1h bb.. after that the 133x area and so forth. I have to think 1269 or less gets another visit unless it cracks fridays bounce b4 close..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #30,431
  • Feb 17, 2019 9:53am Feb 17, 2019 9:53am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Yeah the 4 candles were bullish.. bullish into that same smaller 130x area without closing above. So the main trend is still bearish into support. So if u perfere a long, you have to consider pa would go back to 1269ish or less. had pa closed above 1291/1300 it would have been more bullish.. close was below center of 4h bb.. and upper 1h bb.. after that the 133x area and so forth. I have to think 1269 or less gets another visit unless it cracks fridays bounce b4 close..

i am still long from 1240 - omg the swap over will kill me to hold... but i plan to add at 1260. if not i will close all with +5 to make up losses on swap over
  • #30,432
  • Feb 17, 2019 4:35pm Feb 17, 2019 4:35pm
I scalp one short here 1302 to see H1 downtrend stop 1301.9 can hold....25 mins to go...
  • #30,433
  • Feb 17, 2019 6:10pm Feb 17, 2019 6:10pm
SHORT
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A good trader follows his rules, but great trader knows when to break them
  • #30,434
  • Feb 17, 2019 6:21pm Feb 17, 2019 6:21pm
Quoting Boulder
I scalp one short here 1302 to see H1 downtrend stop 1301.9 can hold....25 mins to go...
H1 reversed to uptrend, coming to test H4 downtrend stop 1332....add short here and pending another 1332
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  • #30,435
  • Feb 17, 2019 6:22pm Feb 17, 2019 6:22pm
Quoting Boulder
I scalp one short here 1302 to see H1 downtrend stop 1301.9 can hold....25 mins to go...

Are you still in? I was gonna short at 1323 but it didn't hit. For 1290. Bed time.. long still active
  • #30,436
  • Feb 17, 2019 6:29pm Feb 17, 2019 6:29pm
Quoting jaylovin
{quote} Are you still in? I was gonna short at 1323 but it didn't hit. For 1290. Bed time.. long still active
yes...I stopped out on one 1320 but I went back in 1316... in case H4 1332 stop atm bears can not hold at H4 close , we have to start to long this to 1480s...
  • #30,437
  • Edited 6:50pm Feb 17, 2019 6:37pm | Edited 6:50pm
Quoting jaylovin
{quote} Are you still in? I was gonna short at 1323 but it didn't hit. For 1290. Bed time.. long still active
My ea did long one 4 hours ago. I plan to exit 1323 too
update: TP reached and closed...
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  • #30,438
  • Feb 17, 2019 6:40pm Feb 17, 2019 6:40pm
Quoting Boulder
{quote} yes...I stopped out on one 1320 but I went back in 1316... in case H4 1332 stop atm bears can not hold at H4 close , we have to start to long this to 1480s...
I hope no more than 1.1435... above 1.1450 will be a break out and then i expect to see 1.16 levels. Possible gartley pattern there
  • #30,439
  • Feb 17, 2019 6:53pm Feb 17, 2019 6:53pm
Quoting jaylovin
{quote} I hope no more than 1.1435... above 1.1450 will be a break out and then i expect to see 1.16 levels. Possible gartley pattern there
hard for bulls to pass daily downtrend stop 1485 atm...
  • #30,440
  • Feb 17, 2019 6:53pm Feb 17, 2019 6:53pm
Quoting Boulder
I scalp one short here 1302 to see H1 downtrend stop 1301.9 can hold....25 mins to go...
did u tp long 1324?.. that's the 30 min.. But i thought 133x area was the R to guard against..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
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