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The Swamp

  • #30,101
  • Feb 11, 2019 7:37am Feb 11, 2019 7:37am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} lol...I still hold my hedge short 1300.. I want to see its low again today.... my intention is to long these two days and starting accumulate shorts from Wednesday .. since SOMA this Friday, one of biggest redemption $23.3 billion Fed balance shrink on that day
Pattern wise if the drop is comming, it is now
Riding the Dragon....
  • #30,102
  • Feb 11, 2019 7:41am Feb 11, 2019 7:41am
Quoting Farstrider
{quote} Pattern wise if the drop is comming, it is now
adr 33 atm... maybe 10 more to go if this plays out like last week... no news today but Fed Bowman,,, who is a voter...
  • #30,103
  • Feb 11, 2019 8:20am Feb 11, 2019 8:20am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} lol...I still hold my hedge short 1300.. I want to see its low again today.... my intention is to long these two days and starting accumulate shorts from Wednesday .. since SOMA this Friday, one of biggest redemption $23.3 billion Fed balance shrink on that day
cash out 1300 short at 1289..+11...

1282 reached...one more level to watch..

FP PP ----------1.1332
RU R2 ----------1.1329
MP S1 ----------1.1328
RU R1 ----------1.1326
RU S1 ----------1.1321
FP S1 ----------1.1320
RU S2 ----------1.1318
WP S1 ----------1.1315
FP S2 ----------1.1313
RU S3 ----------1.1313
FP S3 ----------1.1302
WP S2 ----------1.1282
MP S2 ----------1.1262
  • #30,104
  • Feb 11, 2019 8:28am Feb 11, 2019 8:28am
Quoting Farstrider
{quote} Pattern wise if the drop is comming, it is now
And it came. Tp hit on 3 positions.
Pending buy at 11281
Riding the Dragon....
  • #30,105
  • Feb 11, 2019 8:29am Feb 11, 2019 8:29am
Quoting Farstrider
{quote} And it came. Tp hit on 3 positions. Pending buy at 11281
good job...

47 adr atm...with low at 1282...
  • #30,106
  • Feb 11, 2019 8:31am Feb 11, 2019 8:31am
Quoting Farstrider
{quote} And it came. Tp hit on 3 positions. Pending buy at 11281
Bought at 87. Pending still at 81.
Not so sure it will get there before the bounce
Riding the Dragon....
  • #30,107
  • Feb 11, 2019 8:36am Feb 11, 2019 8:36am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} that st one is below 1288.x low. if not 134x before 1280.x. a lower low may want 142x again too. depending on when it happens.. it may see 1340, then 1285. then 1429. Trend wise the things I watch and the closes are not in sink with these retraces. But support is support until broken..
little one squashed. larger valid, but it's against trend too..
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #30,108
  • Feb 11, 2019 8:38am Feb 11, 2019 8:38am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} good job... 47 adr atm...with low at 1282...
10x
Now exit on this buy is tricky.
I think it will surpass the 11299 fib mark but by how much? Current tp at 11302 to be onthe safe side.
Projection wise, I have 2 numbers: 1.1308 and 1.1318
Atm absolutely no clue which of the two has higher probability
Both numbers good for shorting though
Riding the Dragon....
  • #30,109
  • Feb 11, 2019 8:38am Feb 11, 2019 8:38am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} little one squashed. larger valid, but it's against trend too.. {image}
hope this is the last push down from bears.... bulls need their turns too......
  • #30,110
  • Feb 11, 2019 8:42am Feb 11, 2019 8:42am
Quoting Farstrider
{quote} 10x Now exit on this buy is tricky. I think it will surpass the 11299 fib mark but by how much? Current tp at 11302 to be onthe safe side. Projection wise, I have 2 numbers: 1.1308 and 1.1318 Atm absolutely no clue which of the two has higher probability Both numbers good for shorting though
I closed all my shorts... I think it was lucky I got out of last one .. I accumulate longs now..take 10 pips a time.. not to be greedy... till trend reverses...,,
Dollar have 8 days in a row climbing....
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  • #30,111
  • Feb 11, 2019 8:46am Feb 11, 2019 8:46am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} I closed all my shorts... I think it was lucky I got out of last one .. I accumulate longs now..take 10 pips a time.. not to be greedy... till trend reverses...,,
me too. at last short from 1.1525 pays off
don't predict direction, but dance with flow of water
  • #30,112
  • Feb 11, 2019 8:46am Feb 11, 2019 8:46am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} hope this is the last push down from bears.... bulls need their turns too......
I think the end of last week changed the game. I feel that downward pressure is much heavier although there is no real acceleration (which I expected and was wrong). Stil the tacky zone.
Retraces are just not what they used to be. Much smaller that is.
I think the probability of not piercing the 1.1351 line before fhrther down is GREAT.
Where it will get to in the 08-48 band is a mistery. I would bet on the lower part
Riding the Dragon....
  • #30,113
  • Feb 11, 2019 8:48am Feb 11, 2019 8:48am
Quoting priceaction1
{quote} me too. at last short from 1.1525 pays off
unreal.. not only pips also how much swap you made...happy for you..
  • #30,114
  • Feb 11, 2019 8:49am Feb 11, 2019 8:49am
Quoting priceaction1
{quote} me too. at last short from 1.1525 pays off
I still keep mines from 11484
I don't see a real support and bounce before the 11200-11220 zone.
Just a slow grind down
Riding the Dragon....
  • #30,115
  • Feb 11, 2019 8:53am Feb 11, 2019 8:53am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} hope this is the last push down from bears.... bulls need their turns too......
Everything i see ma and closes are bearish.. the unlikely norm bounce to short at 1429, target 110x
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #30,116
  • Feb 11, 2019 8:57am Feb 11, 2019 8:57am
I need find dollar chart in mt4.. I have AXI, LMAX and ADSS, oanda.. I don't see dollar symbol, unless I am blind...
  • #30,117
  • Feb 11, 2019 8:58am Feb 11, 2019 8:58am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Everything i see ma and closes are bearish.. the unlikely norm bounce to short at 1429, target 110x
Now I tbi k of loadi g shorts lower 11302-11303
Still cant post charts but look at 30 min tf. See that descending tl that got touched 3 times before the dive?
Well chances are pa will tap it from below and than drop fast. Not so rarely these things happen TO THE PIP
Riding the Dragon....
  • #30,118
  • Feb 11, 2019 9:05am Feb 11, 2019 9:05am
Quoting Boulder
I need find dollar chart in mt4.. I have AXI, LMAX and ADSS, oanda.. I don't see dollar symbol, unless I am blind...
instaforex.com... you have to give a foreign address.. somebody from out the u.s. can open it for you and send u the pw
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #30,119
  • Feb 11, 2019 9:09am Feb 11, 2019 9:09am
Quoting Farstrider
{quote} Now I tbi k of loadi g shorts lower 11302-11303 Still cant post charts but look at 30 min tf. See that descending tl that got touched 3 times before the dive? Well chances are pa will tap it from below and than drop fast. Not so rarely these things happen TO THE PIP
long some 1295.. to see this can get to 1305/6.. 50% of the drop.....
  • #30,120
  • Feb 11, 2019 9:11am Feb 11, 2019 9:11am
Quoting Farstrider
{quote} Now I tbi k of loadi g shorts lower 11302-11303 Still cant post charts but look at 30 min tf. See that descending tl that got touched 3 times before the dive? Well chances are pa will tap it from below and than drop fast. Not so rarely these things happen TO THE PIP
if it gets above 1322+ it has a shot at 1369. since 1282 happened already. it has a chance of a bounce. 1369 usually works like a dog leash. it will rarely go 75/150 pips below. before returning back to 1374
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
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