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The Swamp

  • #29,941
  • Feb 7, 2019 5:38am Feb 7, 2019 5:38am
Quoting Boulder
1.1330, is 200-week SMA... If this doesn't hold .. we are going to 1300/16 WP S2 ----------1.1377 FP S1 ----------1.1359 RU S1 ----------1.1352 FP S2 ----------1.1347 RU S2 ----------1.1338 FP S3 ----------1.1329 WP S3 ----------1.1329 MP S1 ----------1.1328 RU S3 ----------1.1316
11330 is either the bottom of this move or I am bust.
Will check in 2 hours
Riding the Dragon....
  • #29,942
  • Feb 7, 2019 5:49am Feb 7, 2019 5:49am
WP S2 ----------1.1377
FP S1 ----------1.1359
RU S1 ----------1.1352
FP S2 ----------1.1347
RU S2 ----------1.1338
FP S3 ----------1.1329
WP S3 ----------1.1329
MP S1 ----------1.1328
RU S3 ----------1.1316
add-------------1.1302
add-------------1.1287
  • #29,943
  • Feb 7, 2019 6:49am Feb 7, 2019 6:49am
Good morning traedorians,peace and pips be upon all of u!
looks like 1.13244 held and is bouncing it a little i see lots of resistance up there 1348 1354 1360 before 1384
better be not enough salt than too much salt
  • #29,944
  • Feb 7, 2019 7:15am Feb 7, 2019 7:15am
I see R at 1348,, more at 1368.. i left entries at 1368.

usdx is hitting last day R at 96.59/.68
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #29,945
  • Feb 7, 2019 7:19am Feb 7, 2019 7:19am
Close back above the trendline in the next 40mins and I will look for scalp long retracements.
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  • #29,946
  • Feb 7, 2019 7:24am Feb 7, 2019 7:24am
Quoting gatorinla
I see R at 1348,, more at 1368.. i left entries at 1368. usdx is hitting last day R at 96.59/.68
Good resistance there’s at 1348. I am looking for 1.1380..
  • #29,947
  • Feb 7, 2019 7:36am Feb 7, 2019 7:36am
took a little buy at 1338 risking 2 pips see if it can pass 1348
edit:sl hit and eat
better be not enough salt than too much salt
  • #29,948
  • Feb 7, 2019 7:38am Feb 7, 2019 7:38am
1348 R, it may just continue drop. not much news catalyst till next week. my 5 min extreme at 1369.. possible short close to it. above it day wise 1398. I figure any short isn't a bad thing. but a position too large too early can screw you. I will try to wait for 1368 and higher. day wise 1398 is where pa likes to return. usually with a leash 75/150 pips. atm its about 75 pips away at atm low. day wise waiting for 1398 is best. 1 h wise 1348..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #29,949
  • Feb 7, 2019 8:24am Feb 7, 2019 8:24am
Quoting Farstrider
{quote} 11330 is either the bottom of this move or I am bust. Will check in 2 hours
Got busted. 25 closed it all. 24 would have done it.
I reloaded at 32 BUT! The whole picture does not look like revisiting 61.8 anymore.
That is the probability for this shrunk two fold.
Tap at 50 with a small overshot looks more likely atm
Riding the Dragon....
  • #29,950
  • Feb 7, 2019 8:37am Feb 7, 2019 8:37am
1348 has changed, it is now 1346. closing above 1346 on a hour may let 1368 be tested..


on my day 1/2 of the 75 pips =1361, 1/2 way back to 1398x.
day wise one reaches 75/150 pips from 1398x its over extended, pa tends to go back to 1398.

on the 5m now 1366.. pa above may turn the 5m.. scalp wise/ and possible trend hopping.. near 1366 has merit ..above cancels 5m, possible enter 1356/66
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #29,951
  • Feb 7, 2019 8:40am Feb 7, 2019 8:40am
Quoting Farstrider
{quote} Got busted. 25 closed it all. 24 would have done it. I reloaded at 32 BUT! The whole picture does not look like revisiting 61.8 anymore. That is the probability for this shrunk two fold. Tap at 50 with a small overshot looks more likely atm
Sl moved to 32, tp set at 52
Math tells me continuation down is most likely. However I don't rule out back to 92-98 area
If my tp is hit I will decide on the next move based on pa around the 50 mark. In a situation like this, this can tell a lot
Riding the Dragon....
  • #29,952
  • Feb 7, 2019 8:45am Feb 7, 2019 8:45am
Need a close above 1352 to carry on. Atm it rejected
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  • #29,953
  • Feb 7, 2019 8:46am Feb 7, 2019 8:46am
RET 132x is normal to 16xx
  • #29,954
  • Feb 7, 2019 9:05am Feb 7, 2019 9:05am
Quoting gatorinla
1348 R, it may just continue drop. not much news catalyst till next week. my 5 min extreme at 1369.. possible short close to it. above it day wise 1398. I figure any short isn't a bad thing. but a position too large too early can screw you. I will try to wait for 1368 and higher. day wise 1398 is where pa likes to return. usually with a leash 75/150 pips. atm its about 75 pips away at atm low. day wise waiting for 1398 is best. 1 h wise 1348..
Longs closed and jumped on the short wagon.
Not a good feeling as position is too large and perhaps too early.
Stops are tight. We'll see
Riding the Dragon....
  • #29,955
  • Feb 7, 2019 9:09am Feb 7, 2019 9:09am
Quoting jaylovin
Need a close above 1352 to carry on. Atm it rejected {image}
52 is expected turning point for me. I'm in.
Have a bad feeling though, as today unlike yesterday I don't "feel" the market reaction like on good days.
Should have stepped in with half the size
Riding the Dragon....
  • #29,956
  • Feb 7, 2019 9:18am Feb 7, 2019 9:18am
Quoting Farstrider
{quote} 52 is expected turning point for me. I'm in. Have a bad feeling though, as today unlike yesterday I don't "feel" the market reaction like on good days. Should have stepped in with half the size
I shorted too at 1351... good luck...at least trends on our side for now.. shorting are too extended since last Friday....this may not work...

H1, H4 and daily are all in downtrend.. H1 downtrend stop 1377 atm,,
  • #29,957
  • Feb 7, 2019 9:23am Feb 7, 2019 9:23am
Quoting Farstrider
{quote} 52 is expected turning point for me. I'm in. Have a bad feeling though, as today unlike yesterday I don't "feel" the market reaction like on good days. Should have stepped in with half the size
i may scalp 1356/65 short. 1368 stop
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #29,958
  • Feb 7, 2019 9:29am Feb 7, 2019 9:29am
It's trying.. if it does.. then to gators 1368. Break that then it hits my target of 1380.
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  • #29,959
  • Feb 7, 2019 9:49am Feb 7, 2019 9:49am
for my 5min scalp purpose only.. pa should remain below 1365. if it does, a scalp may become part of the lower trend trade.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #29,960
  • Feb 7, 2019 9:53am Feb 7, 2019 9:53am
Quoting jaylovin
It's trying.. if it does.. then to gators 1368. Break that then it hits my target of 1380. {image}
now 1365, its still bearish on other tf.. 1365 is just a 5 min
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
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