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The Swamp

  • #29,681
  • Feb 1, 2019 7:45am Feb 1, 2019 7:45am
Quoting jaylovin
{quote} I have to say I love it when your numbers start agreeing here with my bias.... new lows below 1,12 please and yes I think 1.1540 is tough so that area is another short I would take for sure .
Don't let that fool you. pa above 1554 and some closes changes me. 1554 is compressing to 1460.. 1554 is below last months high. since NFP pa bounce off 1453 yest close and is higher than the news release level atm.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #29,682
  • Feb 1, 2019 7:51am Feb 1, 2019 7:51am
less than 4h before L close, lets see if it can make -1408
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #29,683
  • Feb 1, 2019 7:54am Feb 1, 2019 7:54am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} norm 1473/13, cd 1483/1505. year close 1460, january closed below at 1441.5. Lclose below 1408 today should be bearish, better with ny close below 1376 {image}
with the current holding. 1485 high, I may get -1408 close. (will it hold is the question)
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #29,684
  • Feb 1, 2019 7:56am Feb 1, 2019 7:56am
short 1484 stop 1525 ... tp 1414
  • #29,685
  • Feb 1, 2019 8:02am Feb 1, 2019 8:02am
Quoting chess king
short 1484 stop 1525 ... tp 1414
Me too got in at 1.1483

a close below 1.1450 will help
  • #29,686
  • Feb 1, 2019 8:45am Feb 1, 2019 8:45am
Quoting gatorinla
less than 4h before L close, lets see if it can make -1408 {image}
I dont know, it may have fooled me. I won't know for a few hours. when the month rolled below 1460, I figured -1408 for L close was a done deal. NFP raised unemployment rate slightly hurt. The wages lower didnt help 1408, so much either. otherwise, I would have pulled for -1376 for L close. its unable to get below 1460/50 atm is not so good for me. 1.5 h to go
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #29,687
  • Feb 1, 2019 9:03am Feb 1, 2019 9:03am
All news done.. lets see how far this travels... 1423 coming up....

RU R2 ----------1.1489
RU R1 ----------1.1467
FP PP ----------1.1466
WP R2 ----------1.1450
FP S1 ----------1.1435
RU S1 ----------1.1423
WP R1 ----------1.1420
FP S2 ----------1.1417
MP PP ----------1.1408
RU S2 ----------1.1400
  • #29,688
  • Feb 1, 2019 9:06am Feb 1, 2019 9:06am
some help
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #29,689
  • Feb 1, 2019 9:31am Feb 1, 2019 9:31am
Quoting Boulder
All news done.. lets see how far this travels... 1423 coming up.... RU R2 ----------1.1489 RU R1 ----------1.1467 FP PP ----------1.1466 WP R2 ----------1.1450 FP S1 ----------1.1435 RU S1 ----------1.1423 WP R1 ----------1.1420 FP S2 ----------1.1417 MP PP ----------1.1408 RU S2 ----------1.1400
need to update month numbers...so 1434 coming up...

RU R2 ----------1.1489
RU R1 ----------1.1467
FP PP ----------1.1466
WP R2 ----------1.1450
FP S1 ----------1.1435
MP PP ----------1.1434
RU S1 ----------1.1423
WP R1 ----------1.1420
FP S2 ----------1.1417
RU S2 ----------1.1400
  • #29,690
  • Feb 1, 2019 9:33am Feb 1, 2019 9:33am
last hour.. lets see if 140x prints.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #29,691
  • Edited 1:32pm Feb 1, 2019 9:36am | Edited 1:32pm
Quoting gatorinla
last hour.. lets see if 140x prints.
all my today's short from 1460 to 1483 are closed....last one closed at 1449...I need this bounce some to short again...
  • #29,692
  • Feb 1, 2019 9:48am Feb 1, 2019 9:48am
Let the war begin.. close below 1.1445 will help accelerate - so far it still in a rising channel and can still climb higher
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  • #29,693
  • Feb 1, 2019 9:52am Feb 1, 2019 9:52am
Quoting jaylovin
Let the war begin.. close below 1.1445 will help accelerate - so far it still in a rising channel and can still climb higher {image}
not fall in the bull trap.. daily and weekly are all in down trend...only small time frames H1 and H4 are in uptrend...,,soon to break...
H1 uptrend stop 1430 and H4 uptrend stop- 1401 atm
  • #29,694
  • Feb 1, 2019 10:01am Feb 1, 2019 10:01am
short here again 1467.....pending more shorts at 1480s in case of LC ..
  • #29,695
  • Feb 1, 2019 10:18am Feb 1, 2019 10:18am
Quoting Boulder
short here again 1467.....pending more shorts at 1480s in case of LC ..
month closed lower, week and day look to close higher. it may e too early to short w/o more bounce. possible right leg to a double top coming. day at 1453.5
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #29,696
  • Feb 1, 2019 10:22am Feb 1, 2019 10:22am
smaller setup for 1499.. possible short later.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #29,697
  • Feb 1, 2019 10:28am Feb 1, 2019 10:28am
[quote=gatorinla;11954451]smaller setup for 1499.. possible short later.[/quote

yeah.. I was too early.....good thing I cashed out all shorts early... this is 2nd try
  • #29,698
  • Feb 1, 2019 10:37am Feb 1, 2019 10:37am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} not fall in the bull trap.. daily and weekly are all in down trend...only small time frames H1 and H4 are in uptrend...,,soon to break... H1 uptrend stop 1430 and H4 uptrend stop- 1401 atm

How is do you smell a bull or bear trap? I am no good at spotting these...
  • #29,699
  • Feb 1, 2019 10:49am Feb 1, 2019 10:49am
Quoting gatorinla
smaller setup for 1499.. possible short later.
ADR today 54... expect a little more movement than that on a NFP day....
  • #29,700
  • Feb 1, 2019 11:02am Feb 1, 2019 11:02am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} month closed lower, week and day look to close higher. it may e too early to short w/o more bounce. possible right leg to a double top coming. day at 1453.5
month lower, week/day higher. conflict maybe before down. .. lots of conflict, range trade is my guess. with Resistance compressing toward compressing support.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
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