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The Swamp

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  • Post #29,581
  • Quote
  • Jan 30, 2019 10:40am Jan 30, 2019 10:40am
  •  Boulder
  • Joined Jul 2014 | Status: Member | 24,699 Posts
Quoting gatorinla
Disliked
{quote} the range sucks.. those numbers should pressure 1402, 1376. last month closing higher still has me respecting a bounce for 1460 too. back in the day blender 1376/1417.5. last hour closed inside. maybe L close side 1408.9/1437.4 indicative. my 4h has come down now.. closing 4h below 1369 this 4h leans bearish,, but after 1397 ish may cap the bounce (close wise in the following 4h ).. i see yours sitting at 1361 atm
Ignored
I know... I feel bulls won't give up till they see 1480s to 1520s......
FOMC may give that spike up....
 
1
  • Post #29,582
  • Quote
  • Jan 30, 2019 10:49am Jan 30, 2019 10:49am
  •  jaylovin
  • Joined Jan 2010 | Status: Member | 2,841 Posts
It feels like this might just grind higher and then crash... it could grind like this for weeks... for me I won’t really short until I see a close below 1.13.. I believe it will happen - my patience is wearing thin lol
 
 
  • Post #29,583
  • Quote
  • Jan 30, 2019 10:51am Jan 30, 2019 10:51am
  •  Boulder
  • Joined Jul 2014 | Status: Member | 24,699 Posts
Quoting jaylovin
Disliked
It feels like this might just grind higher and then crash... it could grind like this for weeks... for me I won’t really short until I see a close below 1.13.. I believe it will happen - my patience is wearing thin lol
Ignored
I am opposite.. I will long 1300.. .. I will short 1480 and above.....and hold..,.
in my system, daily downtrend stop 1522, weekly downtrend stop 1645... momentum is to be downside for Euro...
 
 
  • Post #29,584
  • Quote
  • Jan 30, 2019 11:04am Jan 30, 2019 11:04am
  •  jaylovin
  • Joined Jan 2010 | Status: Member | 2,841 Posts
Quoting Boulder
Disliked
{quote} I am opposite.. I will long 1300.. .. I will short 1480 and above.....and hold..,. in my system, daily downtrend stop 1522, weekly downtrend stop 1645... momentum is to be downside for Euro...
Ignored

I agree.. all my previous posts you can see I am bearish for new lows below 1.12...but if I just kept shorting I would be Margined.. I have to try playing it according to the market..

1.1472 is the first short I see... as 1.14 wasnt’ broken - it might have enough power to try testing 1472 now...
 
 
  • Post #29,585
  • Quote
  • Jan 30, 2019 11:44am Jan 30, 2019 11:44am
  •  gatorinla
  • Joined Oct 2008 | Status: sideline is a position | 90,964 Posts | Online Now
a lower day close.. but not below 1417.5 or 1408.9.. they should be tested again..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
 
1
  • Post #29,586
  • Quote
  • Jan 30, 2019 1:00pm Jan 30, 2019 1:00pm
  •  gatorinla
  • Joined Oct 2008 | Status: sideline is a position | 90,964 Posts | Online Now
Quoting gatorinla
Disliked
a lower day close.. but not below 1417.5 or 1408.9.. they should be tested again..
Ignored
adx 4h may be turning bearish
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Size: 17 KB
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
 
 
  • Post #29,587
  • Quote
  • Jan 30, 2019 1:27pm Jan 30, 2019 1:27pm
  •  Boulder
  • Joined Jul 2014 | Status: Member | 24,699 Posts
Quoting gatorinla
Disliked
{quote} adx 4h may be turning bearish {image}
Ignored
Within an hour, we will find out this will travel north or south.. atm... H1 downtrend stop 1442 and H4 uptrend stop 1400... Good luck, Bulls or Bears ..whoever you are;;
 
 
  • Post #29,588
  • Quote
  • Jan 30, 2019 1:31pm Jan 30, 2019 1:31pm
  •  Farstrider
  • | Joined Dec 2008 | Status: Member | 445 Posts
Quoting jaylovin
Disliked
{quote} I agree.. all my previous posts you can see I am bearish for new lows below 1.12...but if I just kept shorting I would be Margined.. I have to try playing it according to the market.. 1.1472 is the first short I see... as 1.14 wasnt’ broken - it might have enough power to try testing 1472 now...
Ignored
Nothing has changed for me. Loaded shorts at 61.8 mark. The small tf all indicate a drop. Given the slow tacky area i will close some at 50 mark (1.1392) Yet again I think that closing all there will probably be better. Sticking with a range 50 - 61.8 is a real possibility. If nothing changes globally we could be stuck in 0 - 61.8 for month(s)
It is so much against my nature but if I call for help the queen of all sciances range trading should bring you the most dollars.
Maybe time to become a ranger...
Riding the Dragon....
 
1
  • Post #29,589
  • Quote
  • Jan 30, 2019 1:35pm Jan 30, 2019 1:35pm
  •  ikdenk
  • Joined Nov 2009 | Status: Member | 772 Posts
Quoting Boulder
Disliked
{quote} I am opposite.. I will long 1300.. .. I will short 1480 and above.....and hold..,. in my system, daily downtrend stop 1522, weekly downtrend stop 1645... momentum is to be downside for Euro...
Ignored
Boulder,,

this begs the question: How DO you determine these downtrend (or uptrend) stops,please?
 
 
  • Post #29,590
  • Quote
  • Jan 30, 2019 1:53pm Jan 30, 2019 1:53pm
  •  Marco-Kanto
  • | Joined Aug 2015 | Status: Playing. | 1,017 Posts
Quoting Marco-Kanto
Disliked
{quote} This area is important for me - I have one at 14482 since yesterday morning. {image}
Ignored
Taken 50% ahead of FOMC / SL set @BE
Focus.
 
 
  • Post #29,591
  • Quote
  • Jan 30, 2019 2:03pm Jan 30, 2019 2:03pm
  •  chess king
  • Joined Jun 2011 | Status: the risk is the unknown | 2,098 Posts
Quoting chess king
Disliked
Long 1407 risk 15 tp 1463
Ignored
closed at 1460 ++
 
1
  • Post #29,592
  • Quote
  • Jan 30, 2019 2:06pm Jan 30, 2019 2:06pm
  •  wukatrades
  • | Joined Jan 2017 | Status: Thinker | 386 Posts
much higher...
 
 
  • Post #29,593
  • Quote
  • Jan 30, 2019 2:07pm Jan 30, 2019 2:07pm
  •  Marco-Kanto
  • | Joined Aug 2015 | Status: Playing. | 1,017 Posts
SHORT 1467 - SL Just outside Hi

*Stopped out
Focus.
 
 
  • Post #29,594
  • Quote
  • Jan 30, 2019 2:10pm Jan 30, 2019 2:10pm
  •  Farstrider
  • | Joined Dec 2008 | Status: Member | 445 Posts
Just when you think you know it a beautiful spike takes out your larger position.
Reloded at 1.1470 (falling tl)
1.149x is the invalidation line for shorts to me
Riding the Dragon....
 
 
  • Post #29,595
  • Quote
  • Jan 30, 2019 2:16pm Jan 30, 2019 2:16pm
  •  gatorinla
  • Joined Oct 2008 | Status: sideline is a position | 90,964 Posts | Online Now
Quoting gatorinla
Disliked
{quote} adx 4h may be turning bearish {image}
Ignored
nope..adx not right
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
 
 
  • Post #29,596
  • Quote
  • Jan 30, 2019 2:16pm Jan 30, 2019 2:16pm
  •  Boulder
  • Joined Jul 2014 | Status: Member | 24,699 Posts
MP R2 ----------1.1541
add--------------1.1522
WP R3 ----------1.1499
MP R1 ----------1.1490
RU R3 ----------1.1472
FP R3 ----------1.1470
FP R2 ----------1.1455
RU R2 ----------1.1455
WP R2 ----------1.1450
FP R1 ----------1.1446
RU R1 ----------1.1444
FP PP ----------1.1431
RU S1 ----------1.1423
WP R1 ----------1.1420
FP S1 ----------1.1416
RU S2 ----------1.1412
MP PP ----------1.1408
FP S2 ----------1.1407
RU S3 ----------1.1396
 
1
  • Post #29,597
  • Quote
  • Jan 30, 2019 2:20pm Jan 30, 2019 2:20pm
  •  gatorinla
  • Joined Oct 2008 | Status: sideline is a position | 90,964 Posts | Online Now
Quoting gatorinla
Disliked
{quote} the range sucks.. those numbers should pressure 1402, 1376. last month closing higher still has me respecting a bounce for 1460 too. back in the day blender 1376/1417.5. last hour closed inside. maybe L close side 1408.9/1437.4 indicative. my 4h has come down now.. closing 4h below 1369 this 4h leans bearish,, but after 1397 ish may cap the bounce (close wise in the following 4h ).. i see yours sitting at 1361 atm
Ignored
lets see where she settles cd 1462/1538 ish. day range 1479
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
 
 
  • Post #29,598
  • Quote
  • Jan 30, 2019 2:23pm Jan 30, 2019 2:23pm
  •  micho
  • Joined Mar 2008 | Status: Fooled By Randomness | 8,146 Posts
Quoting micho
Disliked
maybe up to 1.145x then down to 1.130x
Ignored
possible extension to 1.150s or 1.155x then maybe down to 1.130x
When life gives you lemons, make lemonade
 
 
  • Post #29,599
  • Quote
  • Jan 30, 2019 2:37pm Jan 30, 2019 2:37pm
  •  Boulder
  • Joined Jul 2014 | Status: Member | 24,699 Posts
I have my shopping cart ready.... start small...not mind to hold it for tomorrow....
Attached Image
 
 
  • Post #29,600
  • Quote
  • Jan 30, 2019 2:40pm Jan 30, 2019 2:40pm
  •  jaylovin
  • Joined Jan 2010 | Status: Member | 2,841 Posts
pending short 1.1504

EDIT: got in at 1.1498
 
 
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