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The Swamp

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  • Post #29,561
  • Quote
  • Jan 29, 2019 3:18pm Jan 29, 2019 3:18pm
  •  Farstrider
  • | Joined Dec 2008 | Status: Member | 445 Posts
Another tap at 61.8 (1.1434).
I put my money on a drop. Right now.
My probability calcs make it a good time to enter short.
It might never surpass that mark for a few days from now on.
Riding the Dragon....
 
2
  • Post #29,562
  • Quote
  • Jan 29, 2019 9:51pm Jan 29, 2019 9:51pm
  •  Boulder
  • Joined Jul 2014 | Status: Member | 24,699 Posts
Tomorrow FOMC. expect most of those levels to be printed'..

MP R2 ----------1.1541
WP R3 ----------1.1499
MP R1 ----------1.1490
RU R3 ----------1.1472
FP R3 ----------1.1470
FP R2 ----------1.1455
RU R2 ----------1.1455
WP R2 ----------1.1450
FP R1 ----------1.1446
RU R1 ----------1.1444
FP PP ----------1.1431
RU S1 ----------1.1423
WP R1 ----------1.1420
FP S1 ----------1.1416
RU S2 ----------1.1412
MP PP ----------1.1408
FP S2 ----------1.1407
RU S3 ----------1.1396
FP S3 ----------1.1392
WP PP ----------1.1371
MP S1 ----------1.1325
 
3
  • Post #29,563
  • Quote
  • Jan 30, 2019 1:35am Jan 30, 2019 1:35am
  •  ill_be_back
  • Joined Sep 2011 | Status: Member | 6,363 Posts
SHORT
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A good trader follows his rules, but great trader knows when to break them
 
2
  • Post #29,564
  • Quote
  • Edited 2:12am Jan 30, 2019 1:47am | Edited 2:12am
  •  wukatrades
  • | Joined Jan 2017 | Status: Thinker | 386 Posts
euro looks like it gonna fly.....

down we gooooo!!!!????
 
 
  • Post #29,565
  • Quote
  • Jan 30, 2019 2:09am Jan 30, 2019 2:09am
  •  Marco-Kanto
  • | Joined Aug 2015 | Status: Playing. | 1,017 Posts
Quoting ill_be_back
Disliked
SHORT {image}
Ignored
This area is important for me - I have one at 14482 since yesterday morning.
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Focus.
 
2
  • Post #29,566
  • Quote
  • Jan 30, 2019 2:30am Jan 30, 2019 2:30am
  •  dot0
  • | Joined Sep 2012 | Status: I pity the fool that fails to laugh | 368 Posts
Quoting Boulder
Disliked
Tomorrow FOMC. expect most of those levels to be printed'.. MP R2 ----------1.1541 WP R3 ----------1.1499 MP R1 ----------1.1490 RU R3 ----------1.1472 FP R3 ----------1.1470 FP R2 ----------1.1455 RU R2 ----------1.1455 WP R2 ----------1.1450 FP R1 ----------1.1446 RU R1 ----------1.1444 FP PP ----------1.1431 RU S1 ----------1.1423 WP R1 ----------1.1420 FP S1 ----------1.1416 RU S2 ----------1.1412 MP PP ----------1.1408 FP S2 ----------1.1407 RU S3 ----------1.1396 FP S3 ----------1.1392 WP PP ----------1.1371 MP S1 ----------1.1325
Ignored
any idea when cot report might start poppin' up...
c'mon baby, daddy needs brand new clogs...
 
 
  • Post #29,567
  • Quote
  • Jan 30, 2019 3:40am Jan 30, 2019 3:40am
  •  Boulder
  • Joined Jul 2014 | Status: Member | 24,699 Posts
Quoting dot0
Disliked
{quote} any idea when cot report might start poppin' up...
Ignored
This Friday COT will be out...
 
2
  • Post #29,568
  • Quote
  • Jan 30, 2019 5:55am Jan 30, 2019 5:55am
  •  gatorinla
  • Joined Oct 2008 | Status: sideline is a position | 90,892 Posts | Online Now
Quoting gatorinla
Disliked
{quote} It didnt punch past weeks 1408.9. it did close the day lower. it may try 1408.9 later. as things stand pa is still above 1417.5.. still stuck below month's 1460.. ranging
Ignored
no change.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
 
 
  • Post #29,569
  • Quote
  • Jan 30, 2019 7:35am Jan 30, 2019 7:35am
  •  Amir_Forex
  • Joined Mar 2012 | Status: Harmonic Trader | 958 Posts
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Patterns have an underlying mathematical structure.
 
1
  • Post #29,570
  • Quote
  • Jan 30, 2019 8:16am Jan 30, 2019 8:16am
  •  chess king
  • Joined Jun 2011 | Status: the risk is the unknown | 2,096 Posts
above 1.1450 price might want 1,148x
 
 
  • Post #29,571
  • Quote
  • Edited 8:51am Jan 30, 2019 8:25am | Edited 8:51am
  •  JustAndy
  • Joined Jun 2014 | Status: Full time retard | 1,561 Posts
ADP out ...213 VS 180

Interesting...Oanda numbers came out different than displayed by others...
Why sell the bottoms when you can buy the tops...
 
 
  • Post #29,572
  • Quote
  • Jan 30, 2019 9:09am Jan 30, 2019 9:09am
  •  gatorinla
  • Joined Oct 2008 | Status: sideline is a position | 90,892 Posts | Online Now
Quoting gatorinla
Disliked
{quote} it came within 11 pips. I dont know if that is enough. 1418 did get a day closed above. but it's still below 1460.. yesterday's 1361 is today's 1376, NY closing below 1376 should bring bears. maybe test 1344..
Ignored
no change.. good numbers adp.. 1417.5 and 1408.9 are some support. see if L can close -1408.9 and Ny to close below 1376. if so, this may be the test of 1460 already.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
 
 
  • Post #29,573
  • Quote
  • Jan 30, 2019 9:10am Jan 30, 2019 9:10am
  •  Boulder
  • Joined Jul 2014 | Status: Member | 24,699 Posts
Still short here.. wait to see bears can break this down,,

WP R2 ----------1.1450
FP R1 ----------1.1446
RU R1 ----------1.1444
FP PP ----------1.1431
RU S1 ----------1.1423
WP R1 ----------1.1420
FP S1 ----------1.1416
RU S2 ----------1.1412
MP PP ----------1.1408
FP S2 ----------1.1407
RU S3 ----------1.1396
FP S3 ----------1.1392
WP PP ----------1.1371
 
 
  • Post #29,574
  • Quote
  • Jan 30, 2019 9:14am Jan 30, 2019 9:14am
  •  Boulder
  • Joined Jul 2014 | Status: Member | 24,699 Posts
Quoting gatorinla
Disliked
{quote} no change.. good numbers adp.. 1417.5 and 1408.9 are some support. see if L can close -1408.9 and Ny to close below 1376. if so, this may be the test of 1460 already.
Ignored
covered half shorts here at 1408 to 1411...
 
 
  • Post #29,575
  • Quote
  • Jan 30, 2019 9:18am Jan 30, 2019 9:18am
  •  gatorinla
  • Joined Oct 2008 | Status: sideline is a position | 90,892 Posts | Online Now
another support at 1402.. but with those numbers good as the were. that could be the top test.. 3 weeks 200 day was rejected.. this week the 100 day rejected, so lets see if it closes month below 1460 and week 1408.9.. closing ny below 1376 is a bearish sign. smaller support 1402.. still ranging..-1376 ny close indicative of a range break.. day close below 1344 may be stronger for bears... then 1219 is a big one
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
 
 
  • Post #29,576
  • Quote
  • Jan 30, 2019 9:55am Jan 30, 2019 9:55am
  •  chess king
  • Joined Jun 2011 | Status: the risk is the unknown | 2,096 Posts
Long 1407 risk 15 tp 1463
 
 
  • Post #29,577
  • Quote
  • Jan 30, 2019 10:02am Jan 30, 2019 10:02am
  •  jaylovin
  • Joined Jan 2010 | Status: Member | 2,841 Posts
I am with you chess king.... i longed at 1.1410 for the reason below:

Smal SL just in case
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1
  • Post #29,578
  • Quote
  • Jan 30, 2019 10:07am Jan 30, 2019 10:07am
  •  chess king
  • Joined Jun 2011 | Status: the risk is the unknown | 2,096 Posts
yah
breaking 1392 may not be good for bulls

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Size: 416 KB
 
 
  • Post #29,579
  • Quote
  • Jan 30, 2019 10:21am Jan 30, 2019 10:21am
  •  Boulder
  • Joined Jul 2014 | Status: Member | 24,699 Posts
Quoting dot0
Disliked
{quote} any idea when cot report might start poppin' up...
Ignored
COT schedule by CFTC

COT: The last COT report was published on December 21, 2018. Reports going forward from that date will be published in chronological order beginning with the report previously scheduled for release on Friday, December 28, 2018 (based on data from Monday, December 24, 2018). The CFTC expects to publish this report on Friday, February 1, 2019. After this, the CFTC expects to publish one report on Tuesday and another on Friday of each week until the reports are current as per the normal schedule.
 
1
  • Post #29,580
  • Quote
  • Jan 30, 2019 10:27am Jan 30, 2019 10:27am
  •  gatorinla
  • Joined Oct 2008 | Status: sideline is a position | 90,892 Posts | Online Now
Quoting Boulder
Disliked
{quote} covered half shorts here at 1408 to 1411...
Ignored
the range sucks.. those numbers should pressure 1402, 1376. last month closing higher still has me respecting a bounce for 1460 too. back in the day blender 1376/1417.5. last hour closed inside. maybe L close side 1408.9/1437.4 indicative.

my 4h has come down now.. closing 4h below 1369 this 4h leans bearish,, but after 1397 ish may cap the bounce (close wise in the following 4h )..

i see yours sitting at 1361 atm
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
 
 
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