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Elliot Wave Analysis

  • #781
  • Jan 27, 2019 6:23am Jan 27, 2019 6:23am
Quoting stringfx
DOW Jones 4 HR IN MY HUMBLE OPINION. {image}
No change on the dow chart ... still on the second wave up. waiting for a confirmation for 3rd wave down.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: DOW4HCHART.png Size: 57 KB
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  • #782
  • Jan 27, 2019 6:31am Jan 27, 2019 6:31am
us oil

No change on crude . waiting for a B wave correction down and then a C wave correction up (if correction has not already ended)
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: usoil daily.png Size: 39 KB
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  • #783
  • Jan 27, 2019 6:32am Jan 27, 2019 6:32am
No change in usdjpy as well...
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: uj weekly.png Size: 40 KB
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  • #784
  • Edited 3:55am Jan 28, 2019 3:36am | Edited 3:55am
Gold count from A.Tiedje for comparison to post #763 and #780 and the Big Picture from EWI (end of dec 18) .

Sixer

Edit:
My price target for wave [b] is still 1491 $ (wave C = A, blue) for oct. 2019 - 3rd chart.
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EW-Gold(180)-28.1.19.GIF Size: 24 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: EW-Gold-1218.gif Size: 45 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: EW-Gold(D)-25.1.9.gif Size: 49 KB
  • #785
  • Jan 28, 2019 7:25am Jan 28, 2019 7:25am
thanks a lot for the chart sixer. just waiting out the 4th wave for a buy.
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  • #786
  • Jan 28, 2019 7:52pm Jan 28, 2019 7:52pm
The Dow has made a pretty impulsive move down which could mark that the top is done (not sure though)
For the time being it seems to be doing a 5 the wave down . Here is a chart .
A good possibility eur/jpy and gbp/jpy will follow the dow.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: dow 1hr.png Size: 50 KB
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  • #787
  • Edited 10:55pm Jan 28, 2019 10:38pm | Edited 10:55pm
Here is the "opinion" of the Elliott_Trader to the Dow price pattern.
Will the Gap be closed first ?

Sixer

Edit:
Additionally the outlook from R. Miner to the S&P.
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EW-DJI(5)-28.1.19.png Size: 90 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: EW-S&P(240)-28.1.19.gif Size: 47 KB
  • #788
  • Jan 29, 2019 2:31am Jan 29, 2019 2:31am
Took Long Position on Brent Oil.

Look how Brent unfold like Textbook Elliot Wave pattern!

BRENT H4

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: H4.JPG Size: 95 KB


BRENT H1

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: H1.JPG Size: 110 KB


BRENT M15

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Click to Enlarge Name: M15.JPG Size: 134 KB
That which does not kill us makes us stronger
  • #789
  • Jan 29, 2019 3:20am Jan 29, 2019 3:20am
Quoting moneymove
Took Long Position on Brent Oil. Look how Brent unfold like Textbook Elliot Wave pattern! BRENT H4 {image} BRENT H1 {image} BRENT M15 {image}
don't you think it's too soon to consider a long. at least wait for the trend line to break. this usually moves to 38.2 fib correction at least. irregular b waves can break a waves as well.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: brent.png Size: 90 KB
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  • #790
  • Jan 29, 2019 3:53am Jan 29, 2019 3:53am
Quoting stringfx
{quote} don't you think it's too soon to consider a long. at least wait for the trend line to break. this usually moves to 38.2 fib correction at least. irregular b waves can break a waves as well.
Yes for long term trend.
But I trade intraday on 15 m chart. Already closed the buy near W c /3.
Now short, targeting potential w 4.
Sound absurd scalping using EW right? but it works for me.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Capture.JPG Size: 89 KB
That which does not kill us makes us stronger
  • #791
  • Jan 29, 2019 4:02am Jan 29, 2019 4:02am
Here are - additionally to the inverted Bradley chart - two forecasts of the DJI for 2019.

Sixer
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Bradley 2019-inverted.gif Size: 51 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: DJI-Forecast1_2019.gif Size: 25 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: DJI-Forecast2_2019.gif Size: 27 KB
  • #792
  • Edited 5:04am Jan 29, 2019 4:42am | Edited 5:04am
Quoting moneymove
{quote} Yes for long term trend. But I trade intraday on 15 m chart. Already closed the buy near W c /3. Now short, targeting potential w 4. Sound absurd scalping using EW right? but it works for me.
Closed short near 38.2%
Seems W 4 only reach 38.2.% ret.
Enter Long for long-upward W 5 ride (hopefully)
SL just Below W4

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Capture.JPG Size: 107 KB
That which does not kill us makes us stronger
  • #793
  • Jan 29, 2019 4:44am Jan 29, 2019 4:44am
Here is my Crude Oil Picture of the actual 30-years (Commodity) cycle starting 1998.

Sixer
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EW-Crude Oil(W)-28.1.19.gif Size: 36 KB
  • #794
  • Jan 29, 2019 7:05am Jan 29, 2019 7:05am
Quoting moneymove
{quote} Closed short near 38.2% Seems W 4 only reach 38.2.% ret. Enter Long for long-upward W 5 ride (hopefully) SL just Below W4 {image}

I guess you are too good for me. i can't catch these small moves ... but certainly you must be doing something right. trendline seems broken to the top as well....

All the best ..
STING
  • #795
  • Jan 29, 2019 7:28am Jan 29, 2019 7:28am
Quoting stringfx
{quote} I guess you are too good for me. i can't catch these small moves ... but certainly you must be doing something right. trendline seems broken to the top as well.... All the best ..
Thanks
But no, I'm not that good mate.. I just applying simplified EW principles. I even not go beyond simple ABC correction. If market start to form complex correction... I wont trade at all.

BRENT OIL M15
Looks Like All my Max Target reached. Tightening SL

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Capture.JPG Size: 126 KB
That which does not kill us makes us stronger
  • #796
  • Jan 31, 2019 12:55am Jan 31, 2019 12:55am
Gold seems to reach some resistance now. check this chart out.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: gold4h..png Size: 74 KB
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  • #797
  • Jan 31, 2019 1:53am Jan 31, 2019 1:53am
Gold and Silver have nearly finished the impulse pattern since the last low.
But the S&P too.

Sixer
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EW-Silber(240)-30.1.19.png Size: 94 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: EW-S&P(D)-30.1.19.jpeg Size: 148 KB
  • #798
  • Jan 31, 2019 2:36am Jan 31, 2019 2:36am
Hi, can you please share your views on AUDUSD too?
Does it have any correlation with Gold at the moment?
We can't control the sea, but we can learn how to surf the waves.
  • #799
  • Feb 2, 2019 11:20pm Feb 2, 2019 11:20pm
eur/usd 4 hr chart.

seems to have done quite a bit of 1-2 waves. anyway i am expecting usd to turn a lot more bullish, so still selling EU
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: eu4h.png Size: 18 KB
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  • #800
  • Feb 2, 2019 11:31pm Feb 2, 2019 11:31pm
usd jpy 4h.

the pair had declined during nfp but it's back above 109. now expecting a minor correction to 4th wave and then on to above 110 for a minor fifth wave.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: usdjpy4h.png Size: 37 KB
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