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The Swamp

  • #29,201
  • Jan 21, 2019 9:01am Jan 21, 2019 9:01am
Eurusd volatility has really deteriorated since I first started. So boring yet It's the only pair I can make some sense out of.
  • #29,202
  • Jan 21, 2019 9:07am Jan 21, 2019 9:07am
Quoting jaylovin
Eurusd volatility has really deteriorated since I first started. So boring yet It's the only pair I can make some sense out of.
it will come .. hope this Thurs ECB can break it out of this range...
  • #29,203
  • Edited 9:19am Jan 21, 2019 9:07am | Edited 9:19am
Dec closed a little higher. week may be setting up 1705. above 200day ema. my 4h still says short. my day is in limbo. The place the week has the opening ranges from 1350/1253 +-a few is one way or another is ok. using pong above 1651.9 falls in the same window. month wise something lurks in this area.

atm my 4h is bearish. that looks to be the way it's headed if it can get a foothold below 1349.. If pa manges to start closing days above 1417, and 4h above 1460.. that 200 day at 1566 looks to be tested. it took 8 weeks weeks to make this possible set up. It may take that long to reach 1705..w/o the 4h and day turning. its will remain bearish.. 1351 ish is worth watching.

dec candle is green following a doji, in a area with past interest.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #29,204
  • Jan 21, 2019 9:14am Jan 21, 2019 9:14am
Quoting gatorinla
Dec closed a little higher. week may be setting up 1705. above 200day ema. my 4 still says short. my day is in limbo. The place the week has the opening ranges from 1350/1253 a few is one way or another is ok. using pong above 1651.9 falls in the same window. month wise something lurks in this area. atm my 4h is bearish. that looks to be the way it's headed if it can get a foothold below 1349.. If pa manges to start closing days above 1417, and 4h above 1460.. that 200 day at 1566 looks to be tested. {image} {image}
baby step first ,, for M15, bulls need to close above 1377 atm, then H1 1384 stop at its close...since US banks are closed for holiday, not much will happen today
  • #29,205
  • Jan 21, 2019 9:30am Jan 21, 2019 9:30am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} baby step first ,, for M15, bulls need to close above 1377 atm, then H1 1384 stop at its close...since US banks are closed for holiday, not much will happen today
Oh I'm not in a hurry.. I only posted it because 1351.9, The week and day closed closed lower. my 4h is bearish.. the frog is almost out the blender toward bears. I just wave a caution sign if a day closes above <1417.> and later >1460<
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #29,206
  • Jan 21, 2019 10:10am Jan 21, 2019 10:10am
coming to test M15 downtrend stop 1369...
  • #29,207
  • Edited 11:55am Jan 21, 2019 10:49am | Edited 11:55am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} it will come .. hope this Thurs ECB can break it out of this range...

I was talking since 2008

the drops from 1.50 down to 1.18... the crazy 300 pip daily moves on really volatile days... 50-70 pips these days is pretty sucky... it’s not my market to dictate. I understand it does what it wants to but I am just saying it’s sad to see those days gone
  • #29,208
  • Jan 21, 2019 10:55am Jan 21, 2019 10:55am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} if 1351 held.. adr 1438.. L close week 1356.. lowest atm L day close for 2019 1354.5
L day closed above
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #29,209
  • Edited 3:18pm Jan 21, 2019 2:12pm | Edited 3:18pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} L day closed above

Its anybody's game here... everyone is crazy bullish on this - I am really not seeing anything that makes this bullish... overall trend bearish and we still need to make another low below 1.1215... I would prefer that to happen sooner rather than later... we are so close to the heavily guarded support that longing 1.1340 perhaps with a tight SL has more RR than selling here... I may try at long at 1.1340... otherwise just wait to see the fireworks come Thursday
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  • #29,210
  • Jan 21, 2019 2:30pm Jan 21, 2019 2:30pm
Quoting jaylovin
{quote} Its anybody's game here... everyone is crazy bullish on this - I am really not seeing anything that makes this bullish... oevrall trend bearish and we still need to make another low below 1.1215... I would prefer that to happen sooner rather than later... we are so close to the heavily guarded support that longing 1.1340 perhaps with a tight SL has more RR than selling here... I may try at long at 1.1340... otherwise just wait to see the fireworks come Thursday {image} {image}
pending there risking no more than 3,4 pips but that doesn't mean i'm bullish
better be not enough salt than too much salt
  • #29,211
  • Jan 21, 2019 9:32pm Jan 21, 2019 9:32pm
1/22/2019 levels
WP R1 ----------1.1454
MP PP ----------1.1408
FP R3 ----------1.1405
WP PP ----------1.1402
RU R3 ----------1.1402
FP R2 ----------1.1392
RU R2 ----------1.1387
FP R1 ----------1.1384
RU R1 ----------1.1377
FP PP ----------1.1371
RU S1 ----------1.1359
FP S1 ----------1.1358
FP S2 ----------1.1350
WP S1 ----------1.1350
RU S2 ----------1.1350
FP S3 ----------1.1337
RU S3 ----------1.1334
MP S1 ----------1.1325
WP S2 ----------1.1317
  • #29,212
  • Jan 21, 2019 10:24pm Jan 21, 2019 10:24pm
eu still on that 1251.9 edge.. usdx on day may have that dat bearish wedge develop to push eu up.. stochastic may turn down if the wedge breaks lower.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #29,213
  • Jan 21, 2019 10:30pm Jan 21, 2019 10:30pm
my 4h eu is still bearish.. I do see this possible bullish wedge on the day.. If the 1351.9 support holds.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #29,214
  • Edited 1:18am Jan 22, 2019 12:58am | Edited 1:18am
LONG for a few
S/O
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A good trader follows his rules, but great trader knows when to break them
  • #29,215
  • Jan 22, 2019 3:25am Jan 22, 2019 3:25am
Good morning traedorians,peace and pips be upon all of you
1.1345 touched,still waiting 1.1340/3x that may or may not happen
better be not enough salt than too much salt
  • #29,216
  • Jan 22, 2019 4:10am Jan 22, 2019 4:10am
Quoting bzzz
Good morning traedorians,peace and pips be upon all of you 1.1345 touched,still waiting 1.1340/3x that may or may not happen
it seems that 1.13459 was enough,grinding slooooowly to the north
better be not enough salt than too much salt
  • #29,217
  • Jan 22, 2019 4:15am Jan 22, 2019 4:15am
Quoting Farstrider
{quote} I will wait for 1.1393 and tp on that is 1.1352 Than a pening buy at 1.1348 tp 1.1432 I think it needs 1.1432 before breaking 1.1352
Never got to 1.1393 but now I am long till 1.1432
Than the dive. 1.146x is another possibility bug i am ranking it lower atm
Riding the Dragon....
  • #29,218
  • Jan 22, 2019 4:24am Jan 22, 2019 4:24am
Quoting Farstrider
{quote} Never got to 1.1393 but now I am long till 1.1432 Than the dive. 1.146x is another possibility bug i am ranking it lower atm
I have nearly the same view but with a hope of touching 1.1340 before...unlikely as i can see
better be not enough salt than too much salt
  • #29,219
  • Jan 22, 2019 5:20am Jan 22, 2019 5:20am
So close to my TP1...but I'm so stubborn
Why sell the bottoms when you can buy the tops...
  • #29,220
  • Jan 22, 2019 5:58am Jan 22, 2019 5:58am
GU - Possible HS formation on the 4H chart
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Focus.
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