Deciphering Multiple Time Frames

Okay, question for all you profitable traders . . . how do you decipher conflicting signals on multiple time frames? Here's a specific example:

I'm long USDCHF and wondering if I ought to get out with a real good profit or stay put and expect some more. My 4H chart has price just above a Tom DeMark tl, Guppy MA's are in a strong uptrend, MACD has just turned up above the trigger line, and Stochastics is just reaching 80 but hasn't crossed yet. Looks to me like it still has a little upward momentum left but not much. The Tom Demark projection is for about 40-50 more pips (of course that's over a 4 hour or more time period).

However, everything screams lower on the 1H. Stochastics hit 86 four hours ago and has turned down through 80. It's 70.55 @ close. Price broke through a TD up trend line about four hours ago and is sitting on the projection line. MACD has been heading lower and is just about to cross through the trigger line.

Yet, the 15M chart can't seem to make up it's mind. Guppy's in a fairly strong uptrend, but the last 4 hours have been a hefty retracement. Price just barely broke through a TD uptrend line, MACD is sitting on the trigger line and looks to be inching up, and Stochastics is headed up @ 52.85 but with just a hint of a down turn.

Which one of these stories takes precedence and why? I understand the importance of multiple time frames and getting a feel for the big picture, but when things conflict like this which one do you listen to?

Thanks for your help . . . I love the education that is available on the forum!

The smaller time frames are always going to give you a lot of noise. Stick to the time frame you entered the trade on and wait for an exit confirmation on that time frame, otherwise you will start jumping out of trades because of the noise on the 15 minute charts.

Have you ever noticed that Stohs can often imitate Smoke on the Ceiling or Fog on the Floor.

By that I mean that they will get to an Overbought position and just cruise along > 80 through a couple of Minor Retracements.

Or on the other side of the coin that Stohs can "Reload" Falling from > 80 to < 20 while the Price just meanders along sideways?

Don't get me wrong. I look at Stohs but only as a last check for Timing an Entry suggested by other conditions.