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forex as a probability game

  • #21
  • Jan 12, 2019 11:09am Jan 12, 2019 11:09am
Fred-IV - Actually, for the first time in my life, I participate in the following forums
Please explain to me what I am doing wrong? maybe I don't even know about it.
Even now I'm wondering if it makes sense to waste time on writing if there are sceptics themselves.
  • #22
  • Jan 12, 2019 11:15am Jan 12, 2019 11:15am
Quoting minorfx.eu
Fred-IV - Actually, for the first time in my life, I participate in the following forums Please explain to me what I am doing wrong? maybe I don't even know about it. Even now I'm wondering if it makes sense to waste time on writing if there are sceptics themselves.
You should read ToC of this forum before posting.

No commercial intent allowed outside the commercial section. No promotional (hidden) material allowed, for a good reason, otherwise ths forum will quickly turn into an ad swamp.
  • #23
  • Jan 12, 2019 11:22am Jan 12, 2019 11:22am
Please explain to me where is the commercial?
  • #24
  • Jan 12, 2019 11:23am Jan 12, 2019 11:23am
In order to be successful in trading you have to have an edge

Meaning if you take a trade with a 2/1 Risk to Reward, you can still be successful with a 40% win rate

Same goes with Casinos, the house always wins because they have a 1% over the people and down the line they are always profitable
  • #25
  • Jan 12, 2019 11:25am Jan 12, 2019 11:25am
Quoting minorfx.eu
Please explain to me where is the commercial?
Your name, your blog mentioned here suggest commercial intent.

You are selling something on your blog, aren''t you?
  • #26
  • Jan 12, 2019 11:28am Jan 12, 2019 11:28am
enter the blog and check it out before you start talking stupidly
  • #27
  • Jan 12, 2019 11:33am Jan 12, 2019 11:33am
Quoting minorfx.eu
enter the blog and check it out before you start talking stupidly
Easy to spot, first post at the top of the page. Dont you think that we have Google translator too?

"If you are interested in my way of earning money, I invite you to contact cont....."

Gotcha!
  • #28
  • Jan 12, 2019 11:37am Jan 12, 2019 11:37am
This is where I am going to tell you that you are right.
My English is very poor, but you don't need to know foreign languages to earn money on fx.
It's like an Englishman you'd like to write a few posts in Polish.
I invite you to talk in another language - Polish ?
  • #29
  • Jan 12, 2019 11:38am Jan 12, 2019 11:38am
Quoting minorfx.eu
This is where I am going to tell you that you are right. My English is very poor, but you don't need to know foreign languages to earn money on fx. It's like an Englishman you'd like to write a few posts in English. I invite you to talk in another language - Polish ?
First you should apologize, you tried to deceive us and called me stupid, so first things first.
  • #30
  • Jan 12, 2019 11:42am Jan 12, 2019 11:42am
Listen Fred I haven't tried to offend anyone,
I wrote that you are talking stupid and not are you stupid
  • #31
  • Jan 12, 2019 11:46am Jan 12, 2019 11:46am
Quoting minorfx.eu
Listen Fred I haven't tried to offend anyone, I wrote that you are talking stupid and not are you stupid
And then I exposed your lie.

Quite funny thread becomes it Yoda speaking.
  • #32
  • Jan 12, 2019 11:51am Jan 12, 2019 11:51am
If I insulted someone, it was only because of my inattention connected with the translator.
What is Fred's lie?
If you don't want to talk about the subject matter, change the topic because you behave like an old woman who has nothing to do.
  • #33
  • Jan 12, 2019 11:53am Jan 12, 2019 11:53am
and by the way, why don't you try to talk in my language?
  • #34
  • Jan 12, 2019 11:58am Jan 12, 2019 11:58am
Quoting minorfx.eu
If I insulted someone, it was only because of my inattention connected with the translator. What is Fred's lie? If you don't want to talk about the subject matter, change the topic because you behave like an old woman who has nothing to do.
Well, you behave now as a frustrated teeneger

And you are selling/promotimg something here, arent you?

And dont change the subject.

You can speak Polish or Armenian, I dont care. I can use Yoda, this will add to the discussion.
  • #35
  • Jan 12, 2019 12:16pm Jan 12, 2019 12:16pm
Quoting Fred-IV
{quote} And then I exposed your lie. Quite funny thread becomes it Yoda speaking.
You might actually want to check what he said before calling him a liar... His blog doesn't have anything for sale from what I can see.
  • #36
  • Jan 12, 2019 12:17pm Jan 12, 2019 12:17pm
OK Fred "Our Guru" but so far it is you who changes the subject.
I don't have time for such nonsense.
Remember, we are talking about a methodology of earning forex based on probability calculus.
  • #37
  • Jan 12, 2019 12:18pm Jan 12, 2019 12:18pm
For those interested in the subject, because I can see that there is no point in sharing their experience too much.
There are too many variables in the financial markets and therefore we are not able to predict whether the price will go up or down. After keeping the price on the historical chart we are only able to state that at a given moment there is a higher probability of price movement in a certain direction.
  • #38
  • Jan 12, 2019 12:22pm Jan 12, 2019 12:22pm
My approach - you have to find your statistical advantage and define capital management so as not to zero the account with several losses in a row.
While playing manual game you have to wait (like a hunter for game) for your signal, which seems theoretically simple. However, most people do not withstand it mentally and make many mistakes:
- they make transactions too early,
- if the price does not go in the right direction, then changed the Stop Loss is shown, hoping that the chart will turn back.
- adds the next position to the loss position and in 99% of cases it ends badly.
I know because I did it myself.
  • #39
  • Jan 12, 2019 12:23pm Jan 12, 2019 12:23pm
Quoting mjk.metso
{quote} You might actually want to check what he said before calling him a liar... His blog doesn't have anything for sale from what I can see.
And on his blog he is inviting contacts from those "interested" because he wants to promote world peace and love. Works with me.

Again - this thread belongs to the FF's comercial section. There he can promote anything he wants, even peace and love. Hope you understand
  • #40
  • Jan 12, 2019 12:30pm Jan 12, 2019 12:30pm
Quoting Fred-IV
{quote} And on his blog he is inviting contacts from those "interested" because he wants to promote world peace and love. Works with me. Again - this thread belongs to the FF's comercial section. There he can promote anything he wants, even peace and love. Hope you understand
His blog has no form of communication other than contacting him. If he has chosen to keep the blog simply as a showcase of his results instead of as a teaching platform then it would make sense for him to ask people to contact him through the form?

Currently he has not asked for anyone to contact him via PMs here, he has not mentioned selling anything and he doesn't mention selling anything on his blog. He is not even saying he has some amazing results, his DAX results on his blog actually show that he is on a loss right now. So just because you assume that he is selling something doesn't make it so.
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