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Let's Trade Options

  • #16,501
  • Dec 31, 2018 5:12pm Dec 31, 2018 5:12pm
SPY closed the year at $250, openeed last Jan2 at $267.80. Range was $233 to $294. Spoos needs a near +20% 2019 just to get to new ath's. I still think we can see good gains early, political wildcards further out murk up the view.
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #16,502
  • Jan 2, 2019 12:02am Jan 2, 2019 12:02am
/es down 1% on China slowdown sign. Looking for NY to reverse that for a sign of life from the old bull market.
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #16,503
  • Jan 2, 2019 10:16am Jan 2, 2019 10:16am
Quoting The Fool
/es down 1% on China slowdown sign. Looking for NY to reverse that for a sign of life from the old bull market.
...futures were down 2% & now green....bullish
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #16,504
  • Jan 2, 2019 10:32am Jan 2, 2019 10:32am
I've got some BBY Jan4 53.5 CALLS and BIG Jan19 30 CALLS (All I have open now), so I hope it stays bullish through Friday!!
  • #16,505
  • Jan 2, 2019 2:07pm Jan 2, 2019 2:07pm
EWZ pops >6% today with Bolsonaro taking office now. I could see EWZ making >$45 near term, especially if USD weakens.

In US markets I see bonds still bid, I kind of think any bull revival will be a slow grind, good for some range capturing strats
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #16,506
  • Jan 2, 2019 5:31pm Jan 2, 2019 5:31pm
/es down 30 ah, pretty much on Apple noise, once again I look for reversal in NY Thurs. At some point bad news piles up and revives a bear trend.....
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #16,507
  • Jan 3, 2019 9:16pm Jan 3, 2019 9:16pm
Well, got out of:

BBY Jan4 53.5 CALL down to $0.76 from $1.65, so that's a loss.

All my losses in December were AAPL, and news from them yesterday evening is what drove the market down today and caused the loss for BBY.....ain't that a kicker?!?

Looking at all the daily charts, because of the up and down movements over the last two weeks, there isn't a single stock that indicates extremely overbought/oversold. I very seldom see that, usually a few indicate that regardless of the overall market, but not now. And it looks like it might be several days before any of my indicators line up....
  • #16,508
  • Jan 4, 2019 12:38pm Jan 4, 2019 12:38pm
Quoting moneymaker2
Well, got out of: BBY Jan4 53.5 CALL down to $0.76 from $1.65, so that's a loss.....
...still you did the right thing getting out, even with today's pop those calls are only worth 12-20c
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #16,509
  • Jan 4, 2019 4:51pm Jan 4, 2019 4:51pm
Tried jan25/feb1 TLT $115 put calendar for 3 whole cents....no fill....maybe draw into bonds was fake news...?
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #16,510
  • Jan 4, 2019 6:13pm Jan 4, 2019 6:13pm
I was shorting gold with GLD put calendars also....out to the Mar31 qtr strike.....no fills.
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #16,511
  • Jan 4, 2019 6:17pm Jan 4, 2019 6:17pm
Quoting The Fool
Tried jan25/feb1 TLT $115 put calendar for 3 whole cents....no fill....maybe draw into bonds was fake news...?
if it's not obvious, the dates there are set to catch a bond dump when the Jan30 FOMC holds off on the rate hikey
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #16,512
  • Jan 5, 2019 4:30pm Jan 5, 2019 4:30pm
Quoting The Fool
{quote}if it's not obvious, the dates there are set to catch a bond dump when the Jan30 FOMC holds off on the rate hikey
I might shotgun on the TLT put caldrs - Feb1/Feb8 also and $115 to $118, I will risk a nickel
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #16,513
  • Jan 7, 2019 9:32am Jan 7, 2019 9:32am
New trade taken a short while again bought calls on SPY 255 FOR 11 jan exp at $1.58, looking ahead for a higher bounce for this short term and continuation to the back end of last week,

SPY Jan 2019 255.000 call
OPR - OPR Delayed price. Currency in USD
Add to watchlist
1.58-0.12 (-7.06%)
As of 10:15AM EST. Market open.
  • #16,514
  • Jan 7, 2019 9:33am Jan 7, 2019 9:33am
Quoting Cecil Gee
New trade taken a short while again bought calls on SPY 255 FOR 11 jan exp at $1.58, looking ahead for a higher bounce for this short term and continuation to the back end of last week, SPY Jan 2019 255.000 call OPR - OPR Delayed price. Currency in USD Add to watchlist 1.58-0.12 (-7.06%) As of 10:15AM EST. Market open.
current price below

SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
NYSEArca - Nasdaq Real-time price. Currency in USD
Add to watchlist
253.34+0.95 (+0.38%)
As of 10:32AM EST. Market open.
  • #16,515
  • Jan 7, 2019 12:11pm Jan 7, 2019 12:11pm
Took another trade this time on Boeing. Bought 335 calls for 280 at jan 11 exp for $2.80, think this bounce has one more leg up and Boeing looks like it has potential for 340 area before some serious resistance, only want to be in for a day or 2 before we have the talking heads later in the week that may impact the markets negatively.

Price for BA as of writing 330

The Boeing Company (BA)
NYSE - Nasdaq Real-time price. Currency in USD
Add to watchlist
330.11+3.04 (+0.93%)
As of 1:10PM EST. Market open.



BA Jan 2019 335.000 call
OPR - OPR Delayed price. Currency in USD
Add to watchlist
2.80+0.45 (+19.15%)
As of 12:44PM EST. Market open.
  • #16,516
  • Jan 7, 2019 12:53pm Jan 7, 2019 12:53pm
Quoting Cecil Gee
New trade taken a short while again bought calls on SPY 255 FOR 11 jan exp at $1.58, looking ahead for a higher bounce for this short term and continuation to the back end of last week, SPY Jan 2019 255.000 call OPR - OPR Delayed price. Currency in USD Add to watchlist 1.58-0.12 (-7.06%) As of 10:15AM EST. Market open.
closed at $2.98, was looking for $3 but missed out on it.

SPY Jan 2019 255.000 call
OPR - OPR Delayed price. Currency in USD
Add to watchlist
2.98+1.28 (+75.29%)
As of 1:29PM EST. Market open.
  • #16,517
  • Jan 7, 2019 9:26pm Jan 7, 2019 9:26pm
Still not much out there according to my charts. I will be looking at the following tomorrow:

LEA Jan19 135 PUT @ $2.50 or better

I'm going to see what it does in the morning. Not much volume on this one, so it has a $0.25 delta between Bid/Ask, and they won't split the bid. Currently trading around $132.5, so I'd like to see it move up another $1 or so tomorrow. If not, I'll just wait a few more days...*sigh*….
  • #16,518
  • Jan 8, 2019 9:18am Jan 8, 2019 9:18am
Quoting Cecil Gee
Took another trade this time on Boeing. Bought 335 calls for 280 at jan 11 exp for $2.80, think this bounce has one more leg up and Boeing looks like it has potential for 340 area before some serious resistance, only want to be in for a day or 2 before we have the talking heads later in the week that may impact the markets negatively. Price for BA as of writing 330 The Boeing Company (BA) NYSE - Nasdaq Real-time price. Currency in USD Add to watchlist 330.11+3.04 (+0.93%) As of 1:10PM EST. Market open. BA Jan 2019 335.000...
closed at $5.20, will wait now to see what the Fed chair has to say on Thursday

BA Jan 2019 335.000 call
OPR - OPR Delayed price. Currency in USD
Add to watchlist
5.20+2.95 (+131.11%)
As of 9:55AM EST. Market open.
  • #16,519
  • Jan 8, 2019 12:57pm Jan 8, 2019 12:57pm
good job Cecil
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #16,520
  • Jan 8, 2019 1:31pm Jan 8, 2019 1:31pm
Dr. Data's Cherry Picks, courtesy of tastyworks

https://s3.amazonaws.com/cherry-pick...eid=9cf7649fb4
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
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