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The Swamp

  • #27,861
  • Dec 21, 2018 10:50am Dec 21, 2018 10:50am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} u did good closing earlier and waiting for the retrace.
learn from the expert... YOU!!!
  • #27,862
  • Dec 21, 2018 10:55am Dec 21, 2018 10:55am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} 148x is the one that is tough to me.
Same to me BUT
How do you calculate the probability that it would get there?
The way I reason the odds of a bounce + maybe continuation and that bounce to reach +9 pips where I close 1/2 and am a free rider to possible more is greater.
Amateur sometimes taking something to the bank here. Been following your posts for years but still not able to get your reasoning. Where do you put your trap and how much strain you put on the spring?
The ethernal question of this silly game...
Riding the Dragon....
  • #27,863
  • Dec 21, 2018 11:10am Dec 21, 2018 11:10am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} ok.. I bought back 1st one 1401... pending two... atm...M15 downtrend stop 1425..... M5 downtrend stop is 1419.. {image}
2nd one trigger 1394..
  • #27,864
  • Dec 21, 2018 11:21am Dec 21, 2018 11:21am
US gov drama

TRUMP SAYS VERY GOOD CHANCE HOUSE FUNDING BILL WILL NOT PASS IN THE SENATE, WE’RE VERY PREPARED FOR A LONG SHUTDOWN

U.S. DEMOCRATIC LEADER SCHUMER SAYS SENATE DOES NOT HAVE VOTES TO APPROVE TRUMP'S BORDER WALL REQUEST
  • #27,865
  • Dec 21, 2018 11:22am Dec 21, 2018 11:22am
Previous longs closed at +
Another opened at 94 to 32 sl is at 87. Pending sell at 36 sl 45
Have a feeling that the week will end up lower.

The set up is set and off to the bar.
Amazing days off to All
Riding the Dragon....
  • #27,866
  • Dec 21, 2018 11:23am Dec 21, 2018 11:23am
Quoting Boulder
US gov drama TRUMP SAYS VERY GOOD CHANCE HOUSE FUNDING BILL WILL NOT PASS IN THE SENATE, WE’RE VERY PREPARED FOR A LONG SHUTDOWN U.S. DEMOCRATIC LEADER SCHUMER SAYS SENATE DOES NOT HAVE VOTES TO APPROVE TRUMP'S BORDER WALL REQUEST
haha what does this mean..?
  • #27,867
  • Dec 21, 2018 11:27am Dec 21, 2018 11:27am
Quoting Farstrider
{quote} Same to me BUT How do you calculate the probability that it would get there? The way I reason the odds of a bounce + maybe continuation and that bounce to reach +9 pips where I close 1/2 and am a free rider to possible more is greater. Amateur sometimes taking something to the bank here. Been following your posts for years but still not able to get your reasoning. Where do you put your trap and how much strain you put on the spring? The ethernal question of this silly game...
i didnt calculate it other than 18xx has an attraction. Having 148x on several tf as a R.. leads to believe supports can bounce it. to R. now that it appears the fed raises are less in 2019. earlier and still valid. 1376.9 can attract it just like 18xx.. ideally I wanted to long 1379 to allow for spread. with a small stop.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #27,868
  • Dec 21, 2018 11:33am Dec 21, 2018 11:33am
Quoting Boulder
US gov drama TRUMP SAYS VERY GOOD CHANCE HOUSE FUNDING BILL WILL NOT PASS IN THE SENATE, WE’RE VERY PREPARED FOR A LONG SHUTDOWN U.S. DEMOCRATIC LEADER SCHUMER SAYS SENATE DOES NOT HAVE VOTES TO APPROVE TRUMP'S BORDER WALL REQUEST
Yeah, some dummy wanted a nuclear option. a budget requires 2/3, that's the law for budgets. 51 votes are not enough. .
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #27,869
  • Dec 21, 2018 11:41am Dec 21, 2018 11:41am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Yeah, some dummy wanted a nuclear option. a budget requires 2/3, that's the law for budgets. 51 votes are not enough. .
ok.. I bought back all three... lets do again,.,.
Attached Image
  • #27,870
  • Dec 21, 2018 11:44am Dec 21, 2018 11:44am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Yeah, some dummy wanted a nuclear option. a budget requires 2/3, that's the law for budgets. 51 votes are not enough. .
read a few commentary...one like this..

That said “the dollar hasn’t suffered that greatly in the past when the U.S. government was shut down — generally speaking, it fell in advance, then fell during the first few days of the shutdown, then recovered,” wrote Marshall Gittler, chief strategist at ACLS Global. At the same time, trading activity tends to be thin between Christmas and New Year’s so any damage done could be exacerbated.
“The difference between the looming shutdown and past ones however is the context. The US administration is in such chaos right now, with the shutdown mixed with trade mixed with questions about why Trump suddenly announced several measures that implement Russian policy (e.g. withdrawing from Syria and lifting sanctions on companies owned by Russian oligarch Oleg Deripaska) and why the Secretary of Defense resigned,” Gittler continued.
  • #27,871
  • Dec 21, 2018 12:08pm Dec 21, 2018 12:08pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Yeah, some dummy wanted a nuclear option. a budget requires 2/3, that's the law for budgets. 51 votes are not enough. .
your 1375 here,,,,unbelievable....your prediction from yesterday.....
104 adr now...
  • #27,872
  • Dec 21, 2018 12:09pm Dec 21, 2018 12:09pm
Quoting Boulder
{quote} your 1375 here,,,,unbelievable....your prediction from yesterday.....
And your 1367 approaching soon
  • #27,873
  • Dec 21, 2018 12:13pm Dec 21, 2018 12:13pm
Quoting gatorinla
bite your lip.. remember 1375 number has not happened in 7 days now. odds are its not going to happen.. the trend is up on today's chart
surgery patient died at 1375 .. but attraction norm at 1376.9 reached..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #27,874
  • Dec 21, 2018 12:14pm Dec 21, 2018 12:14pm
. clear more levels I have... I did warning yesterday about H1 trend...

RU R1 ----------1.1477
New------------1.1441*
FP PP ----------1.1434
New----------1.1423*
RU S1 ----------1.1417
New--------------1.1401*
FP S1 ----------1.1390
RU S2 ----------1.1387
New-------------1.1384*
New-------------1.1374
FP S2 ----------1.1363
RU S3 ----------1.1337
FP S3 ----------1.1319
  • #27,875
  • Dec 21, 2018 12:18pm Dec 21, 2018 12:18pm
IN
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A good trader follows his rules, but great trader knows when to break them
  • #27,876
  • Dec 21, 2018 12:19pm Dec 21, 2018 12:19pm
Quoting ill_be_back
IN {image}
same here...good luck...
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  • #27,877
  • Dec 21, 2018 12:19pm Dec 21, 2018 12:19pm
Quoting Boulder
{quote} your 1375 here,,,,unbelievable....your prediction from yesterday..... 104 adr now...
no.. i thought 1376.9 would be hit, but not 1375... that was the window i had big lots at 1379 with 1374 stop.

its the first time since i starting observing a number like 1375 is hit. anyway norm at 1376.9 is now hit.. I have long positions.. but less since 1375 hit my stop.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #27,878
  • Dec 21, 2018 12:23pm Dec 21, 2018 12:23pm
Quoting Boulder
{quote} same here...good luck... {image}
I got 2 running.. std..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #27,879
  • Dec 21, 2018 12:28pm Dec 21, 2018 12:28pm
s1 <1353> area. later..
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #27,880
  • Dec 21, 2018 1:03pm Dec 21, 2018 1:03pm
Dow on the edge again.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
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