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The Swamp

  • #27,481
  • Dec 14, 2018 6:06am Dec 14, 2018 6:06am
Quoting gatorinla
that's why you dont worry about the soft belly in the middle. .. when they are hit.. trade the bounce with the limited stop. if the usd wedge develops. eu may be near the bottom. but that bottom can be lower too, and still be within the wedge.. I think it is close now 1.12xx

Lol...1.0945 - 1.1026...............Been on that road for almost a year.............Nothing has changed

Gotta run...CYA....
  • #27,482
  • Dec 14, 2018 7:26am Dec 14, 2018 7:26am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} be there in a minute..
lol...
retail sale coming up.. make or break time.....
so oversold.. to see it can bounce some...
  • #27,483
  • Dec 14, 2018 7:39am Dec 14, 2018 7:39am
Dollar touched 2018 high at 97.69...last time was on Nov 12...
92 adr atm.. what a bear run...
  • #27,484
  • Dec 14, 2018 7:48am Dec 14, 2018 7:48am
Dollar took out 2018 high ..

last line today 1265.. about to take out...

RU R1 ----------1.1372
ST PP ----------1.1361
RU S1 ----------1.1337
ST S1 ----------1.1327
RU S2 ----------1.1320
ST S2 ----------1.1297
RU S3 ----------1.1292
ST S3 ----------1.1265
  • #27,485
  • Dec 14, 2018 8:09am Dec 14, 2018 8:09am
Quoting gatorinla
usd may have a bearish wedge developing on the month chart. it hasn't broken down yet, it can break up. But the pattern is there, {image}
usd wedge has more room. the upper tl is close.. atm high 97.71, atm tl at 97.72/97.73. It can break up. usd adr reached, usd awr reached.

eu adr reached. eu near reaching week awr.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #27,486
  • Dec 14, 2018 8:25am Dec 14, 2018 8:25am
Quoting BlueCirrus
{quote} Lol...1.0945 - 1.1026...............Been on that road for almost a year.............Nothing has changed Gotta run...CYA....
Your likely right. But not watching usd in 2009, screwed me. I road eu down for 6 months. Eventually usd hit a trendline, the party was over. I will respect this one.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #27,487
  • Dec 14, 2018 8:48am Dec 14, 2018 8:48am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Your likely right. But not watching usd in 2009, screwed me. I road eu down for 6 months. Eventually usd hit a trendline, the party was over. I will respect this one.
.. dollar fate will be decide on next Wed FOMC ....
glad eu has some bounce now.. I am still holding my longs.......

one step a time... M5 needs to close above 1288 to reverse to uptrend..... after that M15 needs to close above 1303 to reverse to uptrend...
  • #27,488
  • Edited 9:08am Dec 14, 2018 8:55am | Edited 9:08am
Watch this crap now climb back to highs

closing the week around 1.1280 will be good. I will look for sells higher up. But I have a weird feeling something gonna happen
  • #27,489
  • Dec 14, 2018 9:13am Dec 14, 2018 9:13am
some decent weekly S/R ill be watching to finish up the year....you guys have a good weekend, PTL
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Look Sharp/Trade Tight
  • #27,490
  • Dec 14, 2018 9:17am Dec 14, 2018 9:17am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} .. dollar fate will be decide on next Wed FOMC .... glad eu has some bounce now.. I am still holding my longs....... one step a time... M5 needs to close above 1288 to reverse to uptrend..... after that M15 needs to close above 1303 to reverse to uptrend...
M5 uptrend now.. wait to see M15 can turn too .. atm 1302 trend stop...
  • #27,491
  • Dec 14, 2018 9:30am Dec 14, 2018 9:30am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} .. dollar fate will be decide on next Wed FOMC ....
yep, a raise is expected. A raise is likely priced in.

What's not priced in is, the unlikely no raise.
Plus being priced in,



China is softening a little. China started buying less copper.

usd may stall, it may take weeks to equalise with eu. Or it may bust through. the formation more often would weaken usd causing eu to rise.

the usd is a few pips from the upper tl. the eu has room for 1190 ish. the usd could push eu up anytime now. the usdx has other pairs involved. if/when or ever will not be known till its in the rearview mirror. usdx pips are 2.x eu pips.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #27,492
  • Dec 14, 2018 9:54am Dec 14, 2018 9:54am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} M5 uptrend now.. wait to see M15 can turn too .. atm 1302 trend stop...
yeah, it may go back to 1355 before, after hitting usdx upper tl.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #27,493
  • Dec 14, 2018 10:00am Dec 14, 2018 10:00am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} M5 uptrend now.. wait to see M15 can turn too .. atm 1302 trend stop...
it may be best to wait for 1355 to short. use more caution with L close above 1350
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #27,494
  • Edited 10:15am Dec 14, 2018 10:01am | Edited 10:15am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} yeah, it may go back to 1355 before, after hitting usdx upper tl.
testing M15 downstrend stop now 1299... if M15 can close above... next 3 R levels

1309
1313
1330

using time stop.. M15 has very high possibility to reverse to uptrend,,,,
  • #27,495
  • Dec 14, 2018 10:16am Dec 14, 2018 10:16am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} testing M15 downstrend stop now 1298... if M15 can close above... next 3 R levels 1309 1313 1330 using time stop.. M15 has very high possibility to reverse to uptrend,,,,
1355 or 1374 + looks better to me.
the week/day looks to close lower. I will have to adjust with a LL today, but atm 1355 seems ok. its unlikely for usd to blow past that upper tl this late. if it dont blow past. 1355 should be reasonable minimal.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #27,496
  • Dec 14, 2018 10:26am Dec 14, 2018 10:26am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} 1355 or 1374 + looks better to me. the week/day looks to close lower. I will have to adjust with a LL today, but atm 1355 seems ok. its unlikely for usd to blow past that upper tl this late. if it dont blow past. 1355 should be reasonable minimal.
I don't have balls....... I can't hold my positions that long..... lol....
I usually leave half of the money on table;;
  • #27,497
  • Dec 14, 2018 10:33am Dec 14, 2018 10:33am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} I don't have balls....... I can't hold my positions that long..... lol..
good to know.. the week and day will close lower. so I may short 135x/74 next week.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #27,498
  • Dec 14, 2018 10:44am Dec 14, 2018 10:44am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} I don't have balls....... I can't hold my positions that long..... lol.... I usually leave half of the money on table;;
you should get some;;;;; balls. they are trendy.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #27,499
  • Dec 14, 2018 10:50am Dec 14, 2018 10:50am
If anyone is interested in trading USD/CHF



https://www.forexfactory.com/showthr...7#post11799307
Patterns have an underlying mathematical structure.
  • #27,500
  • Dec 14, 2018 10:51am Dec 14, 2018 10:51am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} you should get some;;;;; balls. they are trendy. {image}
lol... you are bad,,
testing M15 stop now,,6 more mins to go....bulls need to hold bid 1298.8+
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