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The Swamp

  • #26,821
  • Edited 10:24pm Nov 25, 2018 10:09pm | Edited 10:24pm
Quoting ill_be_back
In {image}
u may be able to use that 1335 S/r stop soon.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #26,822
  • Nov 25, 2018 10:18pm Nov 25, 2018 10:18pm
12h closing shortly. 1335 possible supports it to 1361 or 1380 or possibly 1414+. Everything looks bearish trend wise indicators and closes. A small outside chance bulls were just waiting for 1343 on the way down. Its unlikely to turn bullish with the q month week day bearish. But since 1343 is now hit, it has to be considered some.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #26,823
  • Nov 25, 2018 10:28pm Nov 25, 2018 10:28pm
12h did close above 1335.5. some R looks to be tested.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #26,824
  • Nov 26, 2018 3:06am Nov 26, 2018 3:06am
Quoting ill_be_back
{quote} Pending SHORT {image}
Triggered
A good trader follows his rules, but great trader knows when to break them
  • #26,825
  • Nov 26, 2018 3:29am Nov 26, 2018 3:29am
pending short @ 1.1382 missed with one pipette
Read the chart... Fundies are catalyst...
  • #26,826
  • Nov 26, 2018 3:32am Nov 26, 2018 3:32am
Quoting satheesh
pending short @ 1.1382 missed with one pipette
still waiting to fill
Read the chart... Fundies are catalyst...
  • #26,827
  • Nov 26, 2018 3:34am Nov 26, 2018 3:34am
Quoting satheesh
{quote} still waiting to fill
triggered now
Read the chart... Fundies are catalyst...
  • #26,828
  • Nov 26, 2018 5:16am Nov 26, 2018 5:16am
Hi all
from my point of view (daily basis) we are in front of
a range of resistance as show in my chart.
The range is 1.1379-1.1415
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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The best thing that can happen to you is to find out where you're wrong.
  • #26,829
  • Nov 26, 2018 5:48am Nov 26, 2018 5:48am
Quoting satheesh
{quote} triggered now
1.1382 short stop adjusted to BE plus 2pip. hope draghi will bring me more pips
Read the chart... Fundies are catalyst...
  • #26,830
  • Nov 26, 2018 6:34am Nov 26, 2018 6:34am
as for last few post, the week pp hit now. the atm high and the current low X2 is just below month close 1442.5. its should go to 1354, 1335 could support some. the q month week and day (1335) were lower closes. the 12 h was above at 1337. with 4 days to go bulls may sneak a close above 1443. As per yesterday's post, the closes etc look bearish. but since 1343 was hit bulls may be countering. If 2017 hadn't closed bullish, I wouldn't post this. the last few years have closed higher.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #26,831
  • Nov 26, 2018 6:43am Nov 26, 2018 6:43am
Quoting gatorinla
as for last few post, the week pp hit now. the atm high and the current low X2 is just below month close 1442.5. its should go to 1354, 1335 could support some. the q month week and day (1335) were lower closes. the 12 h was above at 1337. with 4 days to go bulls may sneak a close above 1443. As per yesterday's post, the closes etc look bearish. but since 1343 was hit bulls may be countering. If 2017 hadn't closed bullish, I wouldn't post this. the last few years have closed higher.

Are you talking about year end closes? 2016 closed at 1.05... wasn't that super bearish at the time? My feeling is where it closes with 1.1266 ish as the 50% retracement of move from 1.05 year end to 1.20 on 2017 close.

I have found it weird that we didn't make a high above 1.2565 before dropping so much. Now I feel the same about 1.12 low so far.

Anyways I will scalp a long at 1.1294, 1.1244, 1.1320 perhaps.

Shorting rallies otherwise but haven't looked at levels yet for shorts
  • #26,832
  • Nov 26, 2018 6:48am Nov 26, 2018 6:48am
Last night,, two levels printed... 57 adr so far...28 more to go...... also H1 has reversed to uptrend with uptrend stop 1322.. 6 hours ago..

DRH------------1.1404*
ST R1 ----------1.1395
RU R2 ----------1.1383
ST PP ----------1.1361
RU R1 ----------1.1357
RU S1 ----------1.1304
ST S1 ----------1.1302
  • #26,833
  • Nov 26, 2018 7:02am Nov 26, 2018 7:02am
FYI...
Attached Image
  • #26,834
  • Nov 26, 2018 7:26am Nov 26, 2018 7:26am
Eur/Usd On 11/26/2018 at 8am est.. Boulder Multi Time Frame System:

1H, Uptrend, Trend stop at 1H close 1.1322, Running Period: 6x1H
4H, Downtrend, Trend stop at 4H close 1.1428, Running Period: 7 x 4H
Daily, Downtrend, Trend stop at day close 1.1473, Running Period: 39 days.
Weekly, Downtrend, Trend stop at week close 1.1763,Running Period: 26week


( Note: Those stops will change with hour close and price action)

Trading Strategy:
H1 uptrend, all others are in downtrend. Range trades between H1 1322 and H4 1428

If you trade 1H trend, preference Long as long as trend stop 1.1322 held at 1H close
  • #26,835
  • Nov 26, 2018 7:29am Nov 26, 2018 7:29am
with the end of November approaching as well as end of 2018. Be sure not to fight higher closes. Because if bulls do sneak in the picture, they will attempt to press above the 2017 close. That close is above 1.2. The quarter, month, week and day atm have closed lower. But a year close can easily trump them. the 6 h that followed the last 12 h closed higher.

getting a day close above 1335.5 to start would be above Friday's week. Above 1442.5 is above the month and 1423 mpp. above 1472, and L closed above is a higher and may be a b/o close.

the Q ect are bearish.. So bulls sneaking in may be under most peoples radar. keep on your toes. with 5 weeks to go, a return to 2017 trend could be fast.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #26,836
  • Nov 26, 2018 7:37am Nov 26, 2018 7:37am
Quoting gatorinla
with the end of November approaching as well as end of 2018. Be sure not to fight higher closes. Because if bulls do sneak in the picture, they will attempt to press above the 2017 close. That close is above 1.2. The quarter, month, week and day atm have closed lower. But a year close can easily trump them. the 6 h that followed the last 12 h closed higher. getting a day close above 1335.5 to start would be above Friday's week. Above 1442.5 is above the month and 1423 mpp. above 1472, and L closed above is a higher...
Bulls need to break 1423 to see 1500...5 trading days left for this month....
  • #26,837
  • Nov 26, 2018 7:49am Nov 26, 2018 7:49am
Draghi coming up in 10 mins.....
Attached Image
  • #26,838
  • Nov 26, 2018 7:58am Nov 26, 2018 7:58am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} Bulls need to break 1423 to see 1500...5 trading days left for this month....
Things are bearish with the quarter through day close atm. That's all bearish to sell bounces. day/week 1335x, month 1442.5, quarter 1595, year 1.200x

But if pa starts closing above, your gonna need a bigger boat.
Inserted Video
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #26,839
  • Nov 26, 2018 8:38am Nov 26, 2018 8:38am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Things are bearish with the quarter through day close atm. That's all bearish to sell bounces. day/week 1335x, month 1442.5, quarter 1595, year 1.200x But if pa starts closing above, your gonna need a bigger boat. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2I91DJZKRxs
Give a long a shot,,,
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  • #26,840
  • Nov 26, 2018 8:55am Nov 26, 2018 8:55am
Quoting jaylovin
{quote} Are you talking about year end closes? 2016 closed at 1.05... wasn't that super bearish at the time? My feeling is where it closes with 1.1266 ish as the 50% retracement of move from 1.05 year end to 1.20 on 2017 close. I have found it weird that we didn't make a high above 1.2565 before dropping so much. Now I feel the same about 1.12 low so far. Anyways I will scalp a long at 1.1294, 1.1244, 1.1320 perhaps. Shorting rallies otherwise but haven't looked at levels yet for shorts
2017 closed above 2016, and above all of 2016 highs. 2017 closing above 2016 candle highs was very bullish for 2018. It did go up 500 pips. Where is closes 2018 remains unknown. The Q through day are with the bears. closing below 1335 should help bearish move. above 1337 could test 1362/80 again.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
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