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The Swamp

  • #26,521
  • Nov 15, 2018 5:52pm Nov 15, 2018 5:52pm
Quoting BlueCirrus
{quote} Ok, back in business with a 2019 Silverado for the moment............... {image}
did it come with AAW? you gotta have that..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #26,522
  • Nov 15, 2018 5:53pm Nov 15, 2018 5:53pm
FYI...

Goldman Sachs' Top Trades For 2019:
- Long 5-Year U.S. inflation swaps - Enter 2s30s US Tsy flattener - Long agency MBS vs. IG credit - Short IG idiosyncratic risk funded with AAA CMBX - Long $AUD & $NZD vs. $EUR - Long CLP funded via $CNY - Long S&P GSCI Industrial Metals Index

- Long MSCI EM hedged with MSCI EAFE - Receive basket of high-yielders 5-Yr swaps (ZAR, MXN, COP) vs. 10-Yr swaps in low-yielders (PLN, HUF, THB, KRW) - Long IDR 10-Year bonds

- Short $KRW vs top-6 currencies in GS trade-weighted basket - Pay 2y1y SONIA versus receive 2y1y EONIA - Short $EURSEK - Short $USDCAD - Long PHP vs. top-7 currencies in GS trade-weighted basket - Long SGD/THB
  • #26,523
  • Nov 15, 2018 5:58pm Nov 15, 2018 5:58pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} did it come with AAW? you gotta have that..

Don't know what AAW is, but I'm old enough for AARP....and not far from SSI...lol

Or maybe you are referring to "4WD", which it definitely has. You rarely see a truck or SUV in these parts without it.
  • #26,524
  • Nov 15, 2018 6:07pm Nov 15, 2018 6:07pm
Quoting gatorinla
yest day range not likely to change much.. it may drop a few pips.. tp 40 pips below pp is not asking too much. the day closed lower,, so more than 40 has the advantage.. pp 1311.2 and the close 1312.4..... looks like a place of attraction.. {image}
with that higher pop, I need to raise this to 1282 or 1288 but it can be as low as 1214..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #26,525
  • Nov 15, 2018 6:15pm Nov 15, 2018 6:15pm
Boulder Daily Trading Levels

Source -------Date 11/16/2018
ST R3 ----------1.1462
RU R3 ----------1.1415
ST R2 ----------1.1411
RU R2 ----------1.1373
ST R1 ----------1.1370
RU R1 ----------1.1347
ST PP ----------1.1320
RU S1 ----------1.1297
ST S1 ----------1.1278
RU S2 ----------1.1271
RU S3 ----------1.1229
ST S2 ----------1.1229
ST S3 ----------1.1187

* The highlighted numbers have been reached

Open price to PP-----Above
London Pre Day Close-----1.1313
LC close -----Lower
H1 Trend Stop -----UpTrend 1.1286
H4 Trend Stop -----DownTrend 1.1334
Daily Trend Stop -----DownTrend 1.1486
Trading Strategy: -----Buy on dips if 1.1286 holds at H1 close;
  • #26,526
  • Nov 15, 2018 6:27pm Nov 15, 2018 6:27pm
Quoting Boulder
Boulder Daily Trading Levels Source -------Date 11/16/2018 ST R3 ----------1.1462 RU R3 ----------1.1415 ST R2 ----------1.1411 RU R2 ----------1.1373 ST R1 ----------1.1370 RU R1 ----------1.1347 ST PP ----------1.1320 RU S1 ----------1.1297 ST S1 ----------1.1278 RU S2 ----------1.1271 RU S3 ----------1.1229 ST S2 ----------1.1229 ST S3 ----------1.1187 * The highlighted numbers have been reached Open price to PP-----Above London Pre Day Close-----1.1313 LC close -----Lower H1 Trend Stop -----UpTrend 1.1286 H4 Trend Stop -----DownTrend 1.1334...
i will try at 1273..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #26,527
  • Nov 15, 2018 6:46pm Nov 15, 2018 6:46pm
Quoting BlueCirrus
{quote} Don't know what AAW is, but I'm old enough for AARP....and not far from SSI...lol Or maybe you are referring to "4WD", which it definitely has. You rarely see a truck or SUV in these parts without it.
No, your not to young to remember the Automatic Ass Wiper Cadillac used to come with..I was curios if they still had that option..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #26,528
  • Nov 15, 2018 6:51pm Nov 15, 2018 6:51pm
Quoting Boulder
FYI... Goldman Sachs' Top Trades For 2019: - Long 5-Year U.S. inflation swaps - Enter 2s30s US Tsy flattener - Long agency MBS vs. IG credit - Short IG idiosyncratic risk funded with AAA CMBX - Long $AUD & $NZD vs. $EUR - Long CLP funded via $CNY - Long S&P GSCI Industrial Metals Index - Long MSCI EM hedged with MSCI...
I remember the good old days when Goldman was heavy on oil longs. They told everyone it was gone to 200pb..So they could unload all the oil contracts and physical oil they owned. Nobody went to jail.. The little man lost and the little taxpayer got the bailout bill..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #26,529
  • Nov 15, 2018 7:02pm Nov 15, 2018 7:02pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} I remember the good old days when Goldman was heavy on oil longs. They told everyone it was gone to 200pb..So they could unload all the oil contracts and physical oil they owned. Nobody went to jail.. The little man lost and the little taxpayer got the bailout bill..
they will repeat ...
  • #26,530
  • Nov 15, 2018 7:34pm Nov 15, 2018 7:34pm
Quoting Boulder
{quote} they will repeat ...
glad i closed those shorts now..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #26,531
  • Edited Nov 16, 2018 3:09am Nov 15, 2018 8:03pm | Edited Nov 16, 2018 3:09am
* H4 has turned into uptrend at close... update

Boulder Daily Trading Levels

Source -------Date 11/16/2018
ST R3 ----------1.1462
RU R3 ----------1.1415
ST R2 ----------1.1411
RU R2 ----------1.1373
ST R1 ----------1.1370
RU R1 ----------1.1347
ST PP ----------1.1320
RU S1 ----------1.1297
ST S1 ----------1.1278
RU S2 ----------1.1271
RU S3 ----------1.1229
ST S2 ----------1.1229
ST S3 ----------1.1187

* The highlighted numbers have been reached

Open price to PP-----Above
London Pre Day Close-----1.1313
LC close -----Lower
H1 Trend Stop -----UpTrend 1.1286
H4 Trend Stop -----UpTrend 1.1229
Daily Trend Stop -----DownTrend 1.1486
Trading Strategy: -----Buy on dips if 1.1286 holds at H1 close;
  • #26,532
  • Nov 16, 2018 3:11am Nov 16, 2018 3:11am
my ea is long.. R1 reached, next to see we can make R2 1370/1373 range...
atm H1 uptrend stop 1305..
back to sleep...see you in a few hours...
  • #26,533
  • Nov 16, 2018 6:20am Nov 16, 2018 6:20am
Just bought one on dips....ADR 46 atm.. plenty room to make either S1 1297 or R1 1373 next....
Attached Image
  • #26,534
  • Nov 16, 2018 6:35am Nov 16, 2018 6:35am
Quoting Boulder
Just bought one on dips....ADR 46 atm.. plenty room to make either S1 1297 or R1 1373 next.... {image}
i had some 1/2 size shorts stops hit during the night.. I'm staying out atm.. week pp still 138x.. but today being Friday???? I want to see if it closes above 1340/43 or below as well as 1312..below 1311 should provide a retrace down some on the week and day. it looks like it will be above 1340... I will just wait, because even it above. some retrace should occur after close. it could run to 138x and still close below 1340 or 1312. thats why I prefer to wait those 4 h now since I'm not in atm..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #26,535
  • Nov 16, 2018 6:42am Nov 16, 2018 6:42am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} i had some 1/2 size shorts stops hit during the night.. I'm staying out atm.. week pp still 138x.. but today being Friday???? I want to see if it closes above 1340/43 or below as well as 1312..below 1311 should provide a retrace down some on the week and day. it looks like it will be above 1340... I will just wait, because even it above. some retrace should occur after close.
Good thing I closed my longs at 1361 when I was wake earlier.. .I just got back in again ... I read news I don't see the reasons of the fall but still those Brexit stuff... plus I know there will be option expiration around this 1340s range...
  • #26,536
  • Nov 16, 2018 6:52am Nov 16, 2018 6:52am
Eur/Usd On 11/16/2018 at 8am est.. Boulder Multi Time Frame System:

1H, Uptrend, Trend stop at 1H close 1.1314, Running Period: 19x1H
4H, Uptrend, Trend stop at 4H close 1.1245, Running Period: 4 x 4H
Daily, Downtrend, Trend stop at day close 1.1486, Running Period: 33 days.
Weekly, Downtrend, Trend stop at week close 1.1793,Running Period: 24week


( Note: Those stops will change with hour close and price action)

Trading Strategy:
H1 and H4 uptrend, daily and weekly are in downtrend. Buy on dips if H1 stop 1314 holds
Today's option expiries $EURUSD 1.13 (1.3bln), 1.1335-40 (1.2bln), we may see 1.13 has the support...
  • #26,537
  • Nov 16, 2018 6:54am Nov 16, 2018 6:54am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} Good thing I closed my longs at 1361 when I was wake earlier.. .I just got back in again ... I read news I don't see the reasons of the fall but still those Brexit stuff... plus I know there will be option expiration around this 1340s range...
It dont happen often, if this stands. the close at 1312 was lower than the previous day. so far since, it hasn't made the dive below 1312. I can lobby for 1389 or 128x,, or less.. I will wait.. i see the Russians have 1297. 80 pips above is near NY pp.. in the middle is 1340/42.5
yest after close,, I would have bet 2 cheeseburgers to see 1271 before L close today. the HH since has made me doubt that..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #26,538
  • Nov 16, 2018 6:56am Nov 16, 2018 6:56am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} i had some 1/2 size shorts stops hit during the night.. I'm staying out atm.. week pp still 138x.. but today being Friday???? I want to see if it closes above 1340/43 or below as well as 1312..below 1311 should provide a retrace down some on the week and day. it looks like it will be above 1340... I will just wait, because even it above. some retrace should occur after close. it could run to 138x and still close below 1340 or 1312. thats why I prefer to wait those 4 h now since I'm not in atm..
Just let you know H4 is a fresh uptrend...this might has strength to test daily stop next week ... esp if daily can close above 1392..we will challenge 1500 again next week...
  • #26,539
  • Nov 16, 2018 7:01am Nov 16, 2018 7:01am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} It dont happen often, if this stands. the close at 1312 was lower than the previous day. so far since, it hasn't made the dive below 1312. I can lobby for 1389 or 128x,, or less.. I will wait.. i see the Russians have 1297. 80 pips above is near NY pp.. in the middle is 1340/42.5 yest after close,, I would have bet 2 cheeseburgers to see 1271 before L close today.
PA wont move away much until those option expiries $EURUSD 1.13 (1.3bln), 1.1335-40 (1.2bln) out of way..... we may see a real move around LC and after..
  • #26,540
  • Nov 16, 2018 7:06am Nov 16, 2018 7:06am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} PA wont move away much until those option expiries $EURUSD 1.13 (1.3bln), 1.1335-40 (1.2bln) out of way..... we may see a real move around LC and after..
I see some little bears in the background making a straw hut at 1274. if they mange to drop this at 1344/45 ish now past this mornings atm low. they might pull off 1271..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
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