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The Swamp

  • #26,421
  • Nov 14, 2018 2:06pm Nov 14, 2018 2:06pm
Quoting ill_be_back
{quote} OUT with 52+ Pending SHORT {image}
well done... I went out for a walk.. missed it...
  • #26,422
  • Nov 14, 2018 2:18pm Nov 14, 2018 2:18pm
Quoting ill_be_back
{quote} OUT with 52+ Pending SHORT {image}
Good job! Had a bid about two ticks lower than your entry, but not filled. You already know I agree on your 1356x offer........

Good luck
  • #26,423
  • Nov 14, 2018 2:21pm Nov 14, 2018 2:21pm
Hyia,

We have an interesting situation, so i decided to give my 2 cents here:

1.1209-1.1212 is a MAJOR point. It did not fully reached it but for ranges this size i consider it a hit (hope a quick re-visit to 1.1209 scenario does not happen).
So now to me we have a probability of a decent bounce up at + 95%
I'v been buying every dip to former support lines without a worry.
Decent bounce means 72.6 retrace at 1.1431
Major moves usually surpass that to 80ish mark.
However as the fundamental pressure for a strong $ is STRONG I'm closing longs 1.1412-1.1421
Selling starts with 1.1415 to 1.431
If my scenario pllays out after that we are to move below 1.1212 before a strong retrace (1.17 - 1.18 would be my guess) and than a try at the parity.
For the move below i would set up 1.18-1.19 as a buying zone but the current strenght of the fundies and gator's observation about 100 pips extention make the next buying zone at 1.12x

No time now but the relation between fundies and different techical scenarios is the grail in this game. I'd love to chat about it later on
Riding the Dragon....
  • #26,424
  • Nov 14, 2018 2:36pm Nov 14, 2018 2:36pm
st 1309 has a decision.. start closing below 1317 is good for bears..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #26,425
  • Nov 14, 2018 2:44pm Nov 14, 2018 2:44pm
Quoting gatorinla
closed my short.. L close looks to be higher.. I left my pending long above 1254... week has a pp 1389 i think,, the R at 1340/43 area may slap it down again.. 1323 may have some too.. the L close looks to be above 1284.. possible shot at 1340ish before 1254norm.. or the other way around.. solution, trade whatever one happens first toward the other. no need for big stops.. pa and a day close above 1343 is a day close above the week and month close.
trading against 134x is not right or wrong. its trading where pa showed itself. so u didnt need a big stop. its either right or not.
Attached Image
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #26,426
  • Nov 14, 2018 2:48pm Nov 14, 2018 2:48pm
Another pending long at 1.1320 to 1.1420
Riding the Dragon....
  • #26,427
  • Nov 14, 2018 2:49pm Nov 14, 2018 2:49pm
The trend is your friend, so they say
Riding the Dragon....
  • #26,428
  • Nov 14, 2018 2:52pm Nov 14, 2018 2:52pm
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=JW0o_CViE38

Good night folks
Riding the Dragon....
  • #26,429
  • Nov 14, 2018 2:55pm Nov 14, 2018 2:55pm
Quoting Farstrider
The trend is your friend, so they say
the quarter month and week have closed lower than the previous. the high is trying to get above the month and week close with a higher close. Atm it hasn't. After being above 1340 and 1342.5. the day closed below. It may fail later.. But R/R wise.. its worth going with the larger trend. for a handful of pips risked, comparable..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #26,430
  • Nov 14, 2018 2:55pm Nov 14, 2018 2:55pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} trading against 134x is not right or wrong. its trading where pa showed itself. so u didnt need a big stop. its either right or not. {image}
I went to take a nap and let you make all the ...
I removed all my pending...
  • #26,431
  • Nov 14, 2018 3:01pm Nov 14, 2018 3:01pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} the quarter month and week have closed lower than the previous. the high is trying to get above the month and week close with a higher close. Atm it hasn't. After being above 1340 and 1342.5. the day closed below. It may fail later.. But R/R wise.. its worth going with the larger trend. for a handful of pips risked, comparable..
Think you'r right about the larger trend which is another shot at the parity but those large trends tend to bounce good at major points before resuming. And that with VERY high lrobability. That's what I'm playing. A nice counter before the fall
Riding the Dragon....
  • #26,432
  • Nov 14, 2018 3:39pm Nov 14, 2018 3:39pm
Quoting gatorinla
st 1309 has a decision.. start closing below 1317 is good for bears..
1309.7
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #26,433
  • Nov 14, 2018 3:42pm Nov 14, 2018 3:42pm
Quoting Boulder
{quote} I went to take a nap and let you make all the ... I removed all my pending...
we both talked about 134x....plus your 4h trend is near. adr the closes etc...
6h may close below 1317
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #26,434
  • Nov 14, 2018 3:50pm Nov 14, 2018 3:50pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} we both talked about 134x....plus your 4h trend is near. adr the closes etc... 6h may close below 1317 {image}
H4 downtrend stop 1349.. I was pending there.. it didn't go that high....I should have followed you on this trade...
  • #26,435
  • Nov 14, 2018 3:53pm Nov 14, 2018 3:53pm
Quoting Boulder
{quote} H4 downtrend stop 1349.. I was pending there.. it didn't go that high....I should have followed you on this trade...
thats ok.. if you take all your trades against that 4h with a tight stop u will do ok trading with it and holding with trend..I locked some green now.. I need to get below 1286 now.. pa is below 1317 so that 1283 area should lose some of its power. If it cant get below 1286, 1413 has a shot.. week pp 1389 i think.. I bet on the month close at 1342.5 holding it..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #26,436
  • Nov 14, 2018 4:01pm Nov 14, 2018 4:01pm
my eyes are telling me to take a nap,,
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #26,437
  • Nov 14, 2018 4:02pm Nov 14, 2018 4:02pm
In again for a new HIGH before that SOMA DROP
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A good trader follows his rules, but great trader knows when to break them
  • #26,438
  • Nov 14, 2018 4:04pm Nov 14, 2018 4:04pm
Quoting ill_be_back
In again for a new HIGH before that SOMA DROP {image}
that is my plan .. I am waiting for a little more retrace..
  • #26,439
  • Nov 14, 2018 4:10pm Nov 14, 2018 4:10pm
Quoting gatorinla
my eyes are telling me to take a nap,,
take some profit off the table.. go for your nap....
I have to say.. its unreal to see how you trade....
  • #26,440
  • Nov 14, 2018 4:19pm Nov 14, 2018 4:19pm
Quoting gatorinla
my eyes are telling me to take a nap,,
one set of my numbers comes out.. PP 1.13069...S1 1.1266...
I am waiting for Russians ..they will be in 2 hours..
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