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The Swamp

  • #26,261
  • Nov 12, 2018 2:59am Nov 12, 2018 2:59am
.....prices now are at the channel line ..I could take this but is too weak...the previous monthly low could be strong resistance which is also near the previous day low..... I will set a few alerts and go and do something else.....ta.
trading is simple but is simple is not easy.
  • #26,262
  • Nov 12, 2018 4:47am Nov 12, 2018 4:47am
Quoting gatorinla
1389/90 looks needy, this week. not sure if 1340/43 will allow. Trend wise the closes are nothing but bearish.. But 1300 is yet to be broken.. its bearish into support. looking to buy 1300ish.. I will hold if L day closes above 1343
I donated 10 pips on my 1305 long. I have a pending 1389 short and some longs pending at 1220/25, stops 1210. month S1 1223 and week S2 1219, week pivot 1389.
I will donated 10 more.. some R 1340/43 area
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #26,263
  • Nov 12, 2018 5:14am Nov 12, 2018 5:14am
Quoting gatorinla
if 11:30 est closed below 1455. I will look for a further drop within the 12 following hours, a test of the 143x low would likely be challenged in the following 12 hours. Its not limited to just a test. A test according to Q month week day and 12h at that point would point to 143x being broken. At that point instead of chasing the trade. Entering at a later time 1526 may be an option, before reaching 124x.
missed out on the short, 124x target was hit. The closes still bearish. I will try some L 122x because of this and M1S and W2S
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #26,264
  • Nov 12, 2018 8:15am Nov 12, 2018 8:15am
Unreal.. woke up and saw euro cleared all three support levels...still no wtf move...so bearish...

SwingTrading Levels
Date11/12/2018
R3 ----------1.1416
R2 ----------1.1390
R1 ----------1.1364
PP ----------1.1340
S1 ----------1.1310
S2 ----------1.1287
S3 ----------1.1258
Open price to PP Below
London Pre Day Close 1.1341
LC close Lower

Russian Levels
Date11/12/2018
R3 ----------1.1383
R2 ----------1.1359
R1 ----------1.1344
S1 ----------1.1315
S2 ----------1.1301
S3 ----------1.1277
H1 Trend Stop 1.1358 DownTrend
H4 Trend Stop 1.1480 DownTrend
Daily Trend Stop 1.1543 DownTrend
* The highlighted numbers have been reached
  • #26,265
  • Nov 12, 2018 8:22am Nov 12, 2018 8:22am
Eur/Usd On 11/12/2018 at 9am est.. Boulder Multi Time Frame System:

1H, Downtrend, Trend stop at 1H close 1.1355, Running Period: 58x1H
4H, Downtrend, Trend stop at 4H close 1.1480, Running Period: 11 x 4H
Daily, Downtrend, Trend stop at day close 1.1550, Running Period: 29 days.
Weekly, Downtrend, Trend stop at week close 1.1793,Running Period: 24week


( Note: Those stops will change with hour close and price action)

Trading Strategy:
All trends are in downtrend. continue to sell the bounce if H1 downtrend stop holds
  • #26,266
  • Nov 12, 2018 8:51am Nov 12, 2018 8:51am
Quoting Boulder
Eur/Usd On 11/12/2018 at 9am est.. Boulder Multi Time Frame System: 1H, Downtrend, Trend stop at 1H close 1.1355, Running Period: 58x1H 4H, Downtrend, Trend stop at 4H close 1.1480, Running Period: 11 x 4H Daily, Downtrend, Trend stop at day close 1.1550, Running Period: 29 days. Weekly, Downtrend, Trend stop at week close 1.1793,Running Period: 24week ( Note: Those stops will change with hour close and price action) Trading Strategy: All trends are in downtrend. continue to sell the bounce if H1 downtrend stop holds...
Nothing for bulls using pa.. only one hope is the time stop.. tomorrow at this time H1 has over 70% possibility to turn into uptrend using time stop...
  • #26,267
  • Nov 12, 2018 9:11am Nov 12, 2018 9:11am
it may be nothing, the closes are saying more drop to come. Here on a week chart a possible bullish wedge. Mid/late November sometimes is when these can happen. Regardless of your bias. Dont risk more than u can afford. Your feelings or hunches will break your account. the bottom of this wedge is a descending line. So even if it held, pa can drop more. the month and week has some unknown possible support in the same area. Pa is showing no sign of bulls using the closes. bear Pa can run past these w/o much effort. Do some analyze, enter at own risk w/o over-leverage.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Capture.PNG Size: 33 KB
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #26,268
  • Nov 12, 2018 9:21am Nov 12, 2018 9:21am
Quoting gatorinla
it may be nothing, the closes are saying more drop to come. Here on a week chart a possible bullish wedge. Mid/late November sometimes is when these can happen. Regardless of your bias. Dont risk more than u can afford. Your feelings or hunches will break your account. the bottom of this wedge is a descending line. So even if it held, pa can drop more. the month and week has some unknown possible support in the same area. Pa is showing no sign of bulls using the closes. bear Pa can run past these w/o much effort. Do some analyze, enter at own risk...
one man's wedge, is another man's HS. This is why you cant hold one against you. either should be fairly steep w/o much chance to get out if your against.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Capture.PNG Size: 37 KB
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #26,269
  • Nov 12, 2018 10:03am Nov 12, 2018 10:03am
waiting...and.... music...golden energy...

Inserted Video
  • #26,270
  • Nov 12, 2018 11:05am Nov 12, 2018 11:05am
Quoting Boulder
waiting...and.... music...golden energy... https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kQ_c_dR_6O8
trading is boring, the waiting is the hard part. kick off your shoes, sing a song, relax.
Inserted Video
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #26,271
  • Nov 12, 2018 11:15am Nov 12, 2018 11:15am
Quoting longshot_nl
{quote} gave 1240 a shot because of the channel target 1527 {image}
closed for 10 pips. rejection no good. hopefully i have not sabotage myself.
next level is 1186 which is 61.8 retrace.
its close to levels i mentioned before. the 61.8 is the biggest so i pick that one.
  • #26,272
  • Nov 12, 2018 11:40am Nov 12, 2018 11:40am
Quarter month week and day, all have fresh new lower closes for 2018. Nothing bullish looking using them. Today closed 1248.4, week 1340.3,
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #26,273
  • Nov 12, 2018 5:00pm Nov 12, 2018 5:00pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} one man's wedge, is another man's HS. This is why you cant hold one against you. either should be fairly steep w/o much chance to get out if your against. {image}
here we go...bullish wedge, or HS. +-1248.4 may give some help to your bias.
close wise, everything atm is bearish. to change that in the st 1248.4 closed above, then 1340/1342.5
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Capture.PNG Size: 32 KB
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #26,274
  • Nov 12, 2018 5:36pm Nov 12, 2018 5:36pm
1279/80 is week s1.. S2 at 1219
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #26,275
  • Nov 12, 2018 5:43pm Nov 12, 2018 5:43pm
Quoting Boulder
{quote} here I get dollar info.. https://www.cftc.gov/dea/futures/deanybtsf.htm
Thanks a lot.
Can you say the information is really helping you to get more of winning trades?
(Please forgive me the question, I am just curious. Somehow I can't give up on the idea of using volume profiling in Forex and win with it,
even though they say you can never see the real volumes in Forex. The banks seeing it I am 100% sure... I just got my hands on a book about
it and this is my next direction of study...)
Thanks in advance.
  • #26,276
  • Nov 12, 2018 8:09pm Nov 12, 2018 8:09pm
Quoting Gihon
{quote} Thanks a lot. Can you say the information is really helping you to get more of winning trades? (Please forgive me the question, I am just curious. Somehow I can't give up on the idea of using volume profiling in Forex and win with it, even though they say you can never see the real volumes in Forex. The banks seeing it I am 100% sure... I just got my hands on a book about it and this is my next direction of study...) Thanks in advance.
maybe he can shorten your journey. He was extremely heavy in volume trading. https://www.forexfactory.com/malcolmb14
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #26,277
  • Nov 12, 2018 9:28pm Nov 12, 2018 9:28pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} here we go...bullish wedge, or HS. +-1248.4 may give some help to your bias. close wise, everything atm is bearish. to change that in the st 1248.4 closed above, then 1340/1342.5 {image}
lets see if the bulls are awake this last 60 minutes. maybe 1248 gets a shot.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #26,278
  • Nov 12, 2018 9:57pm Nov 12, 2018 9:57pm
SwingTrading Levels
Date 11/13/2018
R3 ----------1.1411
R2 ----------1.1370
R1 ----------1.1294
PP ----------1.1255
S1 ----------1.1178
S2 ----------1.1139
S3 ----------1.1061
Open price to PPBelow
London Pre Day Close1.1249
LC close Lower

Russian Levels
Date 11/13/2018
R3 ----------1.1333
R2 ----------1.1281
R1 ----------1.1249
S1 ----------1.1186
S2 ----------1.1154
S3 ----------1.1102
H1 Trend Stop DownTrend 1.1277
H4 Trend Stop DownTrend 1.1466
Daily Trend Stop DownTrend 1.1533
* The highlighted numbers have been reached
  • #26,279
  • Nov 12, 2018 10:32pm Nov 12, 2018 10:32pm
the trend is still down. the 12h made a lower close now. .. A decent chance of testing 1220 area again..1248.4 held.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #26,280
  • Nov 12, 2018 10:58pm Nov 12, 2018 10:58pm
Quoting gatorinla
the trend is still down. the 12h made a lower close now. .. A decent chance of testing 1220 area again..1248.4 held.
I set another pending long.. 1220
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
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