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The Swamp

  • #25,201
  • Oct 22, 2018 5:24am Oct 22, 2018 5:24am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} Just came back and saw my pending 1500 was triggered an hour ago.. I shoot for R1 1539...hope we both make some...for your short.. for my long; {image}
see R1 1539 my TP reached while I slept.. just got back in again at 1501 to see it can do one more try..
currently H1 downtrend stop 1493... I will close the long if H1 uptrend stop can't hold at H1 close.....
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  • #25,202
  • Oct 22, 2018 5:36am Oct 22, 2018 5:36am
first time closely testing this H1 uptrend stop..1493 to see it can hold till H1 close...
  • #25,203
  • Oct 22, 2018 5:39am Oct 22, 2018 5:39am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} see R1 1539 my TP reached while I slept.. just got back in again at 1501 to see it can do one more try.. currently H1 downtrend stop 1493... I will close the long if H1 uptrend stop can't hold at H1 close..... {image}
I know your watching expirations. some support at 1486 may give a bounce. timing wise, I would expect LC to be below 1486. 1.5 hrs after expiration. 1511 may offer resistance..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #25,204
  • Oct 22, 2018 6:09am Oct 22, 2018 6:09am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} I know your watching expirations. some support at 1486 may give a bounce. timing wise, I would expect LC to be below 1486. 1.5 hrs after expiration. 1511 may offer resistance..
I am looking at H1 BB bollinger bands,, we may come to range trade now between 1590s to 1530s... adx also confirms it..
Yes.. todays NY 10 am Cut
Option expiries $EURUSD 1.1500 (1.5bln)
  • #25,205
  • Oct 22, 2018 6:17am Oct 22, 2018 6:17am
Quoting Boulder
Eur/Usd: Key Target Levels For 10/22/2018 Shorts TPs /Support Levels: S1: 1.1483 S2:1.1455 S3: 1.1408 Longs TPs/Resistance Levels: R1: 1.1539 R2:1.1567 R3: 1.1613 Currently @6pm est 1H Uptrend stop : 1.1447; 4H Downtrend stop : 1.1586 Daily Downtrend stop : 1.1716 H1 Trading Strategy: long note: Last Friday we hit S1 first, then rallied all the way to R1 , R2 and R3 for longs.... lets see tomorrow....
using ADR.. one of these will happen today S1 1483 or R2 1567... ??? ATM. price is much closer to S1 than R2..
  • #25,206
  • Oct 22, 2018 6:44am Oct 22, 2018 6:44am
Eur/Usd: Daily Market Trends Update 10/22/2018

Eur/Usd On 10/22/2018 at 8am est.. Boulder Multi Time Frame System:

1H, Uptrend, Trend stop at 1H close 1.1493, Running Period: 24x1H
4H, Downtrend, Trend stop at 4H close 1.1557, Running Period: 18 x 4H
Daily, Downtrend, Trend stop at day close 1.1716, Running Period: 14 days.
Weekly, Downtrend, Trend stop at week close 1.1783,Running Period: 22week


( Note: Those stops will change with hour close and price action)

Trading Strategy:

Currently H1 uptrend, all trends are downtrend,. Range trades between two stops H1 1493 to H4 1557.
If you trade 1H trend, you trade longs as long as trend stop 1.1493 held at 1H close... we have beet testing this trend stop for last two hours. so far it holds...
  • #25,207
  • Oct 22, 2018 7:16am Oct 22, 2018 7:16am
Quoting gatorinla
6h closed lower than previous. 6h closed below the 12h. Next test 1486.2 seems reasonable within the next 6h.. Q month week day closed lower than previous . now add 6h closed lower than previous and 12h.. looks bearish to me to test 1486/1300. the week and day sits at 1486.2 possible short 1528,, 1449.9 may be the high..last weeks lows look to be tested. {image}
between.. 1511 and 1486..

typo should read 1549.9, not 1449.9
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #25,208
  • Oct 22, 2018 7:28am Oct 22, 2018 7:28am
in 30 mins..9am est ..wait to see US traders can reverse this trend or not..H1 uptrend stop 1493.7 is fighting with its last breath...
  • #25,209
  • Oct 22, 2018 7:28am Oct 22, 2018 7:28am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} I am looking at H1 BB bollinger bands,, we may come to range trade now between 1590s to 1530s... adx also confirms it.. Yes.. todays NY 10 am Cut Option expiries $EURUSD 1.1500 (1.5bln)
u may want to consider shorting a bounce toward those expirations 1518 ish maybe, but 1511 may be all u get. Not that i recommended a long to these. I prefer to short. 1486.2 was the best bounce point i saw.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #25,210
  • Oct 22, 2018 7:45am Oct 22, 2018 7:45am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} u may want to consider shorting a bounce toward those expirations 1518 ish maybe, but 1511 may be all u get. Not that i recommended a long to these. I prefer to short. 1486.2 was the best bounce point i saw.
yeah, looking bearish... waiting for US traders coming to the market.. no news today BUT Italy, algos trade every news when it comes out..
  • #25,211
  • Oct 22, 2018 8:00am Oct 22, 2018 8:00am
Quoting Boulder
Eur/Usd: Daily Market Trends Update 10/22/2018 Eur/Usd On 10/22/2018 at 8am est.. Boulder Multi Time Frame System: 1H, Uptrend, Trend stop at 1H close 1.1493, Running Period: 24x1H 4H, Downtrend, Trend stop at 4H close 1.1557, Running Period: 18 x 4H Daily, Downtrend, Trend stop at day close 1.1716, Running Period: 14 days. Weekly, Downtrend, Trend stop at week close 1.1783,Running Period: 22week ( Note: Those stops will change with hour close and price action) Trading Strategy: Currently H1 uptrend, all trends are downtrend,. Range trades between...
look like H1 uptrend is over,, here is new update.. now preference is to short///

1H, Downtrend, Trend stop at 1H close 1.1532, Running Period: 1x1H
  • #25,212
  • Oct 22, 2018 8:03am Oct 22, 2018 8:03am
Quoting Boulder
Eur/Usd: Key Target Levels For 10/22/2018 Shorts TPs /Support Levels: S1: 1.1483 S2:1.1455 S3: 1.1408 Longs TPs/Resistance Levels: R1: 1.1539 R2:1.1567 R3: 1.1613 Currently @6pm est 1H Uptrend stop : 1.1447; 4H Downtrend stop : 1.1586 Daily Downtrend stop : 1.1716 H1 Trading Strategy: long note: Last Friday we hit S1 first, then rallied all the way to R1 , R2 and R3 for longs.... lets see tomorrow....
S1 reached 1483.......adr(20) 77.5 already...not sure we can go for S2 1455...that will be 95 adr...
  • #25,213
  • Oct 22, 2018 8:16am Oct 22, 2018 8:16am
Quoting longshot_nl
gu bulls vs bears. i only like my bat. i think other levels will be just bumps. {image}
some rejection too early to tell if it works.

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  • #25,214
  • Oct 22, 2018 8:17am Oct 22, 2018 8:17am
std, good luck.. bears likely to feast with LC under 1486.. making a bounce above a place to look for weakness this week...
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #25,215
  • Oct 22, 2018 8:36am Oct 22, 2018 8:36am
Quoting longshot_nl
{quote} some rejection too early to tell if it works. {image}
it probaly does.
its a really nice bat.

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  • #25,216
  • Oct 22, 2018 9:36am Oct 22, 2018 9:36am
eu adr appears to be strong support.
  • #25,217
  • Oct 22, 2018 9:51am Oct 22, 2018 9:51am
EU hanging around yearly pivot (1.1477) - 1 dip and 1 bounce for the rest of the year
  • #25,218
  • Oct 22, 2018 10:05am Oct 22, 2018 10:05am
closed s for +80.
daily range done.
thinking sideways for the rest of the day.
tomorrow new short or today at pp.
  • #25,219
  • Edited 11:05am Oct 22, 2018 10:49am | Edited 11:05am
i have got eu 1458 large support.
could potentially bring it back to 1521 - 1539

reason is little cypher and also below adr:

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  • #25,220
  • Oct 22, 2018 11:17am Oct 22, 2018 11:17am
Quoting longshot_nl
{quote} it probaly does. its a really nice bat. {image}
4 tests....


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