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Weekly Pivot trading with TDI

  • #5,001
  • Oct 18, 2018 2:06pm Oct 18, 2018 2:06pm
Dose anybody see these same as me
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  • #5,002
  • Oct 18, 2018 3:01pm Oct 18, 2018 3:01pm
About to close my NU and N/J in profit from R100 to R38. Holding on to E/A Long. I had such a good month l, most of it just comes from being patient and letting the market does its thing.

I take a systematic approach and don’t care about trends. You can always find information that conflicts to opening a trade.

Dont trade that its its against the trend etc.

trading is a distribution of winners and losers, just find a edge the puts the probability’s in your favour
  • #5,003
  • Oct 19, 2018 2:05am Oct 19, 2018 2:05am
closed AJ 2nd batch this week +423
does not seem to want to go north anymore and this being Friday chances are it wont
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In trading, you have to be defensive and aggressive at the same time
  • #5,004
  • Oct 19, 2018 2:26am Oct 19, 2018 2:26am
Quoting Davit
closed AJ 2nd batch this week +423 does not seem to want to go north anymore and this being Friday chances are it wont {image}
I agree - swung my position the other way and started selling NJ - ADR 108%, R78, rejecting off resistance trendline...
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  • #5,005
  • Oct 19, 2018 2:38am Oct 19, 2018 2:38am
Yesterday upon closing my long AN trade I probably made a mistake in quick reentering, because I overlooked China GDP release that was expected below previous value and came out even worse, weighting on AUD. The fact is that NZD atm seems a bit better positioned and stronger than its cousin. However there's still room to add at lower PA, but only if and when there will be convincing signals of reversal.
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Porta itineris dicitur longissima esse
  • #5,006
  • Oct 19, 2018 2:38am Oct 19, 2018 2:38am
Quoting Davit
closed AJ 2nd batch this week +423 does not seem to want to go north anymore and this being Friday chances are it wont {image}
Every day your trading amazes me ... when you went heavy with the positions? After Pivot breakout?
Trade What's Happening... Not What You Think Is Gonna Happen
  • #5,007
  • Edited 3:05am Oct 19, 2018 2:39am | Edited 3:05am
Quoting mizi123
Dose anybody see these same as me {image}
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Keep in mind that... A by-election for the Australian House of Representatives seat of Wentworth will take place on Saturday, 20 October 2018 following the parliamentary resignation of the former Prime Minister of Australia and incumbent Liberal MP Malcolm Turnbull.

Earlier, I was like Haley Joel Osment... But now, I believe that we're in the Matrix and that these are all imaginary. The Markets can't really kill you, but they do think that they can. However, by internalizing Neo I was able to choose the red pill (if I was right - a color blinded guy here) and began to see the Markets ─including the Pivots just like... the Others here ; )─
Since Frank Sinatra sings in his own way, my chart sing... I did it, my way
  • #5,008
  • Oct 19, 2018 2:58am Oct 19, 2018 2:58am
Bubinka - i held my long AN position and now back to net zero... should have sold and reloaded, oh well, still holding if not this week, next week surely the market will see how overbought the NZD is? Alot of the N pairs are looking pretty over stretched right now - if CAD data prints green today might be a decent correction on that one...
  • #5,009
  • Oct 19, 2018 3:31am Oct 19, 2018 3:31am
Quoting bubincka
Yesterday upon closing my long AN trade I probably made a mistake in quick reentering, because I overlooked China GDP release that was expected below previous value and came out even worse, weighting on AUD. The fact is that NZD atm seems a bit better positioned and stronger than its cousin. However there's still room to add at lower PA, but only if and when there will be convincing signals of reversal. {image}
Thats okay though You made some good profit on the AN up move earlier and i have watched your other trades this week and they were very good trades mate good job. I stayed away from shorting NZD because of the CPI data. It is often that fundamentals as big as CPI can decide the direction of the week so I didnt long EN or AN. I just stayed with my long bias on NZD. I wanted to take a quick long on EN but when I saw CPI data smash through my level i decided not to go long and good thing I did not go long because EN is crashing down haha
  • #5,010
  • Oct 19, 2018 4:18am Oct 19, 2018 4:18am
Quoting sharingan9
{quote} Thats okay though You made some good profit on the AN up move earlier and i have watched your other trades this week and they were very good trades mate good job. I stayed away from shorting NZD because of the CPI data. It is often that fundamentals as big as CPI can decide the direction of the week so I didnt long EN or AN. I just stayed with my long bias on NZD. I wanted to take a quick long on EN but when I saw CPI data smash through my level i decided not to go long and good thing I did not go long because EN is crashing down haha
Hi sharingan9,

good point here, CPI is pivotal for NZD and from now on I'll take much more care on its release.
All in all it's the only trade I'm still in and even in case of partial closing at loss it will be the only one for this very good week.

Best regards,
Bubincka
Porta itineris dicitur longissima esse
  • #5,011
  • Oct 19, 2018 4:26am Oct 19, 2018 4:26am
Quoting groper
Bubinka - i held my long AN position and now back to net zero... should have sold and reloaded, oh well, still holding if not this week, next week surely the market will see how overbought the NZD is? Alot of the N pairs are looking pretty over stretched right now - if CAD data prints green today might be a decent correction on that one...
Hi groper,

AN is the only trade I'm still holding - N is indeed strong on the wave of very good CPI data release, however A is in good shape too.
PA after a couple of big H4 down candles is now hovering WS138, I'm still within my equity SL, so accepting DD and see what happens.

Best regards,
Bubincka
Porta itineris dicitur longissima esse
  • #5,012
  • Oct 19, 2018 5:20am Oct 19, 2018 5:20am
Quoting Davit
closed AJ 2nd batch this week +423 does not seem to want to go north anymore and this being Friday chances are it wont {image}
Nice trade Davit! AJ is still one of my favorite pairs..
  • #5,013
  • Oct 19, 2018 5:25am Oct 19, 2018 5:25am
Quoting bubincka
Yesterday upon closing my long AN trade I probably made a mistake in quick reentering, because I overlooked China GDP release that was expected below previous value and came out even worse, weighting on AUD. The fact is that NZD atm seems a bit better positioned and stronger than its cousin. However there's still room to add at lower PA, but only if and when there will be convincing signals of reversal. {image}
Its looking favorable at 138
  • #5,014
  • Oct 19, 2018 5:35am Oct 19, 2018 5:35am
Quoting sonseeker
{quote} Its looking favorable at 138
Hi sonseeker,

yes some shy signals of turn around-
Porta itineris dicitur longissima esse
  • #5,015
  • Oct 19, 2018 6:15am Oct 19, 2018 6:15am
Quoting bubincka
{quote} Hi sonseeker, yes some shy signals of turn around-
i'm start build long on AN
  • #5,016
  • Edited 8:31am Oct 19, 2018 7:35am | Edited 8:31am
BOC survey was very optimistic on Monday ...
Anyways, keeping my CAD longs over the weekend as the next week BOC will probably increase overnight rate, so i may get the opportunity to make money then.
  • #5,017
  • Oct 19, 2018 8:24am Oct 19, 2018 8:24am
Quoting Davit
{quote} yes good that you are in sinc disclaimer copying my trades does not mean you will win as well I have 40k margin available which means I can take DD if necessary and hummer even harder hence what I do is what works for me but may not for you. Its a probability game. UC may reach 31 before going south and I have no way of knowing the future. {image}

You are right.. it reached 1.13100 today
Since Frank Sinatra sings in his own way, my chart sing... I did it, my way
  • #5,018
  • Oct 19, 2018 8:26am Oct 19, 2018 8:26am
Quoting v2vboni
{quote} You are right.. it reached 1.13100 today
next week will be big move for CAD
  • #5,019
  • Oct 19, 2018 8:45am Oct 19, 2018 8:45am
Yeah CAD took a beat down this morning I went long on CJ yesterday and sucked my stop into the profit zone this morning and got taken out. Capital preservation, with oil floundering I can see the CAD going lower yet. I didn't do as well as Davit on my UC short I had my target halfway between S61 and S78 and I placed a trailing stop on it. It never made it to target and it ran back into my TS. I went long EJ 5 minutes ago.
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Fib Traders get it right 61.8% to 78.6% of the time. NR
  • #5,020
  • Oct 19, 2018 8:56am Oct 19, 2018 8:56am
waiting for 15+ on Euro
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In trading, you have to be defensive and aggressive at the same time
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