Random Walk Theory applying in Expert Advisor | Page 6 | Forex Factory

Options

Go to
Permalinks
Print Thread

Similar Threads

Probabilities in a Random Walk (Question about one CP's post) 43 replies

Random Walk (The unbeatable!) 354 replies

Is random really random? 231 replies

Expert Advisor with random entries 3 replies

Random walk and Pascals triangle 64 replies

Attachments: Random Walk Theory applying in Expert Advisor
Exit Attachments

Random Walk Theory applying in Expert Advisor

  • #101
  • Sep 27, 2018 11:43am Sep 27, 2018 11:43am
When the account negative is more then 10% ... EA should start applying a different strategy to close each negative position with a positive trade, however, this needs to be treated unique and should be again put on sleep as soon as account negative is less than 10%.
  • #102
  • Sep 27, 2018 11:47am Sep 27, 2018 11:47am
Quoting rekon67
When the account negative is more then 10% ... EA should start applying a different strategy to close each negative position with a positive trade, however, this needs to be treated unique and should be again put on sleep as soon as account negative is less than 10%.
To do that - we need to identify a negative position for closing and a trade set up for new trade with greater lot than the target close. Although no gurantee whether this will turn good or bad.
  • #103
  • Sep 27, 2018 11:52am Sep 27, 2018 11:52am
Quoting rekon67
{quote} To do that - we need to identify a negative position for closing and a trade set up for new trade with greater lot than the target close. Although no gurantee whether this will turn good or bad.
It has to target a particular trading hour say UK session to do so.
  • #104
  • Sep 27, 2018 2:22pm Sep 27, 2018 2:22pm
Did you updated the EA? Or could you upload the new version?
Building a Freedom All Time Return: 5,178.8%
  • #105
  • Sep 27, 2018 2:55pm Sep 27, 2018 2:55pm
Well, the result for today is rathe poor... opened positions are -89 for now and closed positions are +24
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 27.09.2018 (2).jpg Size: 644 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: 27.09.2018 (1).jpg Size: 668 KB
These violent delights have violent ends.
  • #106
  • Sep 27, 2018 9:03pm Sep 27, 2018 9:03pm
Quoting J1mm
Did you updated the EA? Or could you upload the new version?
I am planning to release the updated version on Oct 1st.
  • #107
  • Sep 27, 2018 9:07pm Sep 27, 2018 9:07pm
Quoting Kadosh
Well, the result for today is rathe poor... opened positions are -89 for now and closed positions are +24 {image} {image}
Yes, this is due to lack of defencing strategy for the EA, caught up with open positions. It will be tricky to have a counter strategy on this situation, but you may have noticed, i am already working on this. Do come up with your theory what EA should have done here for better result.
  • #108
  • Sep 28, 2018 8:38am Sep 28, 2018 8:38am
The snap here showing clear failure to handle the scenarios - with a powerful downtrend the EA is ended up with 17 Open positions with 0.20 lots. There is no counter strategy activated yet to cutdown losing positions and free up trading margins. In next few days I will try to address this issue.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Screenshot1.png Size: 51 KB
  • #109
  • Sep 28, 2018 10:12am Sep 28, 2018 10:12am
One of the root cause of error is - multiple positions opened in almost same price - it means there was not much volume in the market when those positions got opened. Therefore, one validation needs to be applied - not to open a trade within 20 pips range if that zone is already having an open position.
  • #110
  • Sep 28, 2018 10:15am Sep 28, 2018 10:15am
One more error - and this is only applicable to this R&D version of EA is- it has done few incorrect trailing and closed positions in negative. This is now corrected.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Screenshot1.png Size: 21 KB
  • #111
  • Sep 28, 2018 2:04pm Sep 28, 2018 2:04pm
Today results for this system on VPS. Not good
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: random 28.09.2018.jpg Size: 703 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: random 28.09.2018.(1).jpg Size: 662 KB
These violent delights have violent ends.
  • #112
  • Sep 28, 2018 2:16pm Sep 28, 2018 2:16pm
Dont know what happened there. I have 51$ closed and -48$ open positions.
Necessity knows no law except to conquer
  • #113
  • Sep 28, 2018 2:24pm Sep 28, 2018 2:24pm
Quoting Kadosh
Today results for this system on VPS. Not good {image} {image}
You could reverse the logic and make an insane amount of pips!
Building a Freedom All Time Return: 5,178.8%
  • #114
  • Sep 28, 2018 2:56pm Sep 28, 2018 2:56pm
Quoting J1mm
{quote} You could reverse the logic and make an insane amount of pips!
I'm not going to earn any money with this strategy. Just curious about how much time it will survive.
These violent delights have violent ends.
  • #115
  • Sep 28, 2018 3:29pm Sep 28, 2018 3:29pm
Quoting Kadosh
{quote} I'm not going to earn any money with this strategy. Just curious about how much time it will survive.
This EA is in development process and is not supposed to earn you any real money in this stage, I mean you should test on demo, and it's still in profit,even with DD..
  • #116
  • Sep 28, 2018 4:46pm Sep 28, 2018 4:46pm
I hope that this very EA will go on living and I really wish that it will happen. But my life experience tells me that it is almoste impossible (for this EA with this very DD) the DD is almost 10:1
These violent delights have violent ends.
  • #117
  • Sep 28, 2018 5:09pm Sep 28, 2018 5:09pm
Quoting J1mm
{quote} You could reverse the logic and make an insane amount of pips!
It's not my logic.... so I just follow it... I follow it in this very thread.... and according to this logic the result is like this((((
These violent delights have violent ends.
  • #118
  • Sep 28, 2018 5:40pm Sep 28, 2018 5:40pm
https://rutube.ru/video/d0608012259a...bee1b0658ef10/
These violent delights have violent ends.
  • #119
  • Sep 28, 2018 9:22pm Sep 28, 2018 9:22pm
Quoting Kadosh
Today results for this system on VPS. Not good {image} {image}
I would say it is not bad either, but yes, I see the opened positions were not correctly done by the EA, so last 2 days were challanging enough to provoke our thought process.
  • #120
  • Sep 28, 2018 9:29pm Sep 28, 2018 9:29pm
Quoting J1mm
{quote} You could reverse the logic and make an insane amount of pips!
Ah...may be not that simple. Yes, one alert and dare person could earn insane profit by exploiting market condition. EU generally goes on sell till october end then buy starts till Dec 20th, post that till jan 10th it is better to stay away, then it takes another major direction for the year.

As per this EA, no one can earn insane profit, because it is going to cut the profitable positions very soon.

On a ranging market with moderate volume it can do well
0 traders viewing now