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The Swamp

  • #23,201
  • Aug 31, 2018 6:34am Aug 31, 2018 6:34am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Mule that shits fast. Wont shit long. D. Gator,

....And some of the best market wisdom.....You won't find in books!....lol
  • #23,202
  • Aug 31, 2018 6:37am Aug 31, 2018 6:37am
Quoting Marco-Kanto
I'm short from 1.16845 after price showed signs of topping out through DPP - and also Gator's 1692. First TP 1.1645, 2nd at 1.16004. I don't post much but Gator, Boulder & others, your analysis & numbers have become invaluable - so thank you. https://youtu.be/0dcbw4IEY5w
TP1 hit - TP2 looks a long way away...
Focus.
  • #23,203
  • Aug 31, 2018 6:38am Aug 31, 2018 6:38am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Mule that shits fast. Wont shit long. D. Gator,
lol.. I thought you meant D Gann... just going to ask you ...really he said that....
  • #23,204
  • Aug 31, 2018 6:39am Aug 31, 2018 6:39am
Quoting Boulder
Eur/Usd: Key Target Levels For 8/31/2018, ( My 1H EA targets are in bold) For Shorts: L1: 1.1643 L2:1.1622 L3: 1.1587 For Longs: L1: 1.1685 L2:1.1706 L3: 1.1741 Currently @8pm est 1H Downtrend stop : 1.1710; 4H Uptrend stop : 1.1654 Trading Strategy: Range & Short
Just reached TP1 ... Tp2 1622 to go....
  • #23,205
  • Aug 31, 2018 6:41am Aug 31, 2018 6:41am
like yesterday things still look bearish.. pa atm is approaching 1637 and that 1631 norm.. It looks bearish, agreed. But if for some far fetched wild reason it bounces above 1.1745.5 and L closes above 1.1755.5.. Dont fight it.. I likely wont retrace much..
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Capture.PNG Size: 19 KB
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #23,206
  • Aug 31, 2018 6:42am Aug 31, 2018 6:42am
Large option expiries on month-end
$EURUSD 1.16 (2 bln) 1.1675 (1.1 bln), 1.1690-95 (965 mln), 1.1700-05 (1.7 bln)
$USDJPY 110.80-85 (1.2 bln), 111.00 (1.7 bln), 111.20-30 (1.25 bln)
$AUDUSD 0.7250 (1.17 bln)
$GBPUSD 1.30 (969 mln)
  • #23,207
  • Aug 31, 2018 6:43am Aug 31, 2018 6:43am
Quoting gatorinla
like yesterday things still look bearish.. pa atm is approaching 1637 and that 1631 norm.. It looks bearish, agreed. But if for some far fetched wild reason it bounces above 1.1745.5 and L closes above 1.1755.5.. Dont fight it.. I likely wont retrace much.. {image}
two news might cause the stir today: NAFTA news awaited. Fitch to review Italy's credit.
  • #23,208
  • Aug 31, 2018 6:45am Aug 31, 2018 6:45am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} lol.. I thought you meant D Gann... just going to ask you ...really he said that....
I said it..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #23,209
  • Aug 31, 2018 6:45am Aug 31, 2018 6:45am
Quoting Boulder
Large option expiries on month-end $EURUSD 1.16 (2 bln) 1.1675 (1.1 bln), 1.1690-95 (965 mln), 1.1700-05 (1.7 bln) $USDJPY 110.80-85 (1.2 bln), 111.00 (1.7 bln), 111.20-30 (1.25 bln) $AUDUSD 0.7250 (1.17 bln) $GBPUSD 1.30 (969 mln)
So these expire at NY close?
Focus.
  • #23,210
  • Aug 31, 2018 6:49am Aug 31, 2018 6:49am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} peek at usd/chf. so what you come up with, week and day.. also eur/chf.. it may lead eu..
Here's two screenshots of the dollar swiss and two for the EURCHF.....same timeframe, but one is compressed to show more data...

Notes are on the USDCHF chart....Note that the Weekly LC (Red line) is plotted from the Friday close up up to the next week's Friday close.

...And ignore the lines on the extreme right side of the chart -- They are "future" lines....lol
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: USDCHFM3chf0.png Size: 58 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: USDCHFM30s.png Size: 62 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: EURCHFM30.png Size: 47 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: EURCHFM30s.png Size: 67 KB
  • #23,211
  • Aug 31, 2018 6:52am Aug 31, 2018 6:52am
Quoting Marco-Kanto
{quote} So these expire at NY close?
no 10am NY cut..but effect last an hour after,,,,but SUMA has more effect during these hours..with 12 billion...
  • #23,212
  • Aug 31, 2018 6:57am Aug 31, 2018 6:57am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} two news might cause the stir today: NAFTA news awaited. Fitch to review Italy's credit.
one news is out of window today..

CANADA GOVT OFFICIALS SAID TO DOUBT NAFTA DEAL FRIDAY: GLOBE
  • #23,213
  • Aug 31, 2018 7:00am Aug 31, 2018 7:00am
Quoting BlueCirrus
{quote} Here's two screenshots of the dollar swiss and two for the EURCHF.....same timeframe, but one is compressed to show more data... Notes are on the USDCHF chart....Note that the Weekly LC (Red line) is plotted from the Friday close up up to the next week's Friday close. ...And ignore the lines on the extreme right side of the chart -- They are "future" lines....lol {image} {image} {image} {image}
a week chart since today is months end seems better.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #23,214
  • Aug 31, 2018 7:02am Aug 31, 2018 7:02am
3.5 hours to go and still looking bearish..? pa is still above last weeks 1620.. below last months 1678..

yest 1646
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #23,215
  • Aug 31, 2018 7:04am Aug 31, 2018 7:04am
Eur/Usd: Daily Market Trends Update 8/31/2018

Eur/Usd On 8/31/2018 at 8am est.. Boulder Multi Time Frame System:

1H, Downtrend, Trend stop at 1H close 1.1681, Running Period: 25x1H
4H, Uptrend, Trend stop at 4H close 1.1654, Running Period: 58 x 4H
Daily, Downtrend, Trend stop at day close 1.1741, Running Period: 101 days.
Weekly, Downtrend, Trend stop at day close 1.2138,Running Period: 13week


( Note: Those stops will change with hour close and price action)

Trading Strategy:

Currently H1 down trend,H4 uptrend, daily and weekly are downtrend. Euro is currently testing H4 uptrend stop 1654 with one hour to go... If you trade 1H trend, preference is to short as long as downtrend stop 1.1681 held at 1H close
  • #23,216
  • Aug 31, 2018 7:14am Aug 31, 2018 7:14am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} a week chart since today is months end seems better.
Hanover's indy won't plot the LC's correctly on the weekly charts....
Here they are fully compressed with only the weekly LC plotted....The line on the extreme RH side will be today's LC....
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: USDCHFM30w.png Size: 44 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: EURCHFM30w.png Size: 41 KB
  • #23,217
  • Aug 31, 2018 7:36am Aug 31, 2018 7:36am
Quoting Boulder
Eur/Usd: Daily Market Trends Update 8/31/2018 Eur/Usd On 8/31/2018 at 8am est.. Boulder Multi Time Frame System: 1H, Downtrend, Trend stop at 1H close 1.1681, Running Period: 25x1H 4H, Uptrend, Trend stop at 4H close 1.1654, Running Period: 58 x 4H Daily, Downtrend, Trend stop at day close 1.1741, Running Period: 101 days. Weekly, Downtrend, Trend stop at day close 1.2138,Running Period: 13week ( Note: Those stops will change with hour close and price action) Trading Strategy: Currently H1 down trend,H4 uptrend, daily...
tough .. still testing...24 mins to go....wait to see bears can win this battle...
  • #23,218
  • Aug 31, 2018 7:37am Aug 31, 2018 7:37am
Quoting BlueCirrus
{quote} Hanover's indy won't plot the LC's correctly on the weekly charts.... Here they are fully compressed with only the weekly LC plotted....The line on the extreme RH side will be today's LC.... {image} {image}
i see the chf more bullish against the usd.. and the eu may start to follow
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #23,219
  • Aug 31, 2018 7:38am Aug 31, 2018 7:38am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} i see the chf more bullish against the usd.. and the eu may start to follow
euro is 54% or 57% weight for dollar index....I forgot which one...chf little .. if dollar goes up... euro has more impact....
  • #23,220
  • Aug 31, 2018 7:41am Aug 31, 2018 7:41am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} i see the chf more bullish against the usd.. and the eu may start to follow
Might want to read these guys...
https://twitter.com/NordeaMarkets
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