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Bagovino Method

  • #1,041
  • Oct 5, 2006 10:59pm Oct 5, 2006 10:59pm
Quoting summitfx
A monthly chart does suggest huge upside potential!
... and if you add cheaper oil to this chart, we can be headed back to 1.20s in the next 6 months or so...
  • #1,042
  • Oct 5, 2006 10:59pm Oct 5, 2006 10:59pm
I agree Mark-always appreciate your perspective

Quoting raczekfx
... and if you add cheaper oil to this chart, we can be headed back to 1.20s in the next 6 months or so...
Trade what you see - Not what you think
  • #1,043
  • Oct 5, 2006 11:02pm Oct 5, 2006 11:02pm
LOL, upside potential on USD/CAD! This situation is developing based on oil prices and other things going on in the commodities markets, OPEC is ready to tighten production, then CAD will start making crazy gains on USD. Don't look for longer term gains on USD against commodity currencies once OPEC gets done...
"The time to act is when others show signs of tire." --W.D. Gann
  • #1,044
  • Edited 11:15pm Oct 5, 2006 11:03pm | Edited 11:15pm
, It's 95, not 90

Quoting dukeofdents
LOL, upside potential on USD/CAD! This situation is developing based on oil prices and other things going on in the commodities markets, OPEC is ready to tighten production, then CAD will start making crazy gains on USD. Don't look for longer term gains on USD against commodity currencies once OPEC gets done...
  • #1,045
  • Oct 5, 2006 11:07pm Oct 5, 2006 11:07pm
You all are looking at what you pay at the pump, not what large political entities are doing in the long term. Everything that goes down has to go back up. We are in a major oil downtrend mainly because of the impending U.S. elections and the fact that the current U.S. administration has a lot of pull in the petroleum market. In the next 30 days oil will go down, probably, but look at it on 1/1/2007 and you'll be surprised. Get them pips while you can...
"The time to act is when others show signs of tire." --W.D. Gann
  • #1,046
  • Oct 6, 2006 12:39am Oct 6, 2006 12:39am
Quoting raczekfx
Yes, wedge is getting tighter and we'll see a break out to the upside soon.
I'm looking for a good opportunity to go long. We might see another dip to 1.1120/60 before it happens....
beauty! always in the same boat
  • #1,047
  • Oct 6, 2006 12:54am Oct 6, 2006 12:54am
Try using fundamental analysis to identify potential trades and using technical analysis to decide when to enter trades. Combine the two instead of using one or the other. Be conservative on risk/reward, too. I'm looking at starting my new philosophy with $2000, making 3% a week on it, and having a million dollars in 4 years. Everyone wants to double their accounts in a day. I intend to be the tortoise, not the hare. If you remember the story, the tortoise wins. Compounded interest is cool!
"The time to act is when others show signs of tire." --W.D. Gann
  • #1,048
  • Oct 6, 2006 12:56am Oct 6, 2006 12:56am
Also, buy a financial calculator and learn how to use it!
"The time to act is when others show signs of tire." --W.D. Gann
  • #1,049
  • Oct 6, 2006 5:20am Oct 6, 2006 5:20am
Quoting dukeofdents
Also, buy a financial calculator and learn how to use it!
Hey Duke,

Sounds like you have just volunteered for the vacant position of forum "Fundamentals Tutor".

Please keep us posted on further fundamental issues.

Regards,

BabeFX.
  • #1,050
  • Oct 6, 2006 7:57am Oct 6, 2006 7:57am
Quoting ssiam
Dear Brothers
i am new in this fourms and i read your strategy and i saw 69 pages
so, can any one explain me what's last update of this strategy and it's conditions

Best Regards
Dear Brother

I'm new to these forums too and i had to read all 69 pages of this thread just like all the others, i kindly suggest u do the same instead of looking for the easy way out !
  • #1,051
  • Oct 6, 2006 9:34am Oct 6, 2006 9:34am
Quoting dukeofdents
Try using fundamental analysis to identify potential trades and using technical analysis to decide when to enter trades. Combine the two instead of using one or the other.
Duke,

I, among others, definitely share your sentiments. I call it the marriage of FA and TA which results in making the pockets "FA - TA"! FA provides the context within which one can apply TA quite successfully.
  • #1,052
  • Oct 6, 2006 9:38am Oct 6, 2006 9:38am
Quoting ssiam
Dear Brothers
i am new in this fourms and i read your strategy and i saw 69 pages
so, can any one explain me what's last update of this strategy and it's conditions

Best Regards
My Brother,

Most of us came through by reading. You too will benefit greatly by reading the entire thread and thereby gain deeper understanding. Giving you a short-cut or taking the easy way out, will not do you justice.
  • #1,053
  • Oct 6, 2006 3:49pm Oct 6, 2006 3:49pm
Mark,
Just wondering what you think of this potential short on yen, based on these weekly trendlines.

http://www.geocities.com/stricko108/yen.gif
  • #1,054
  • Oct 6, 2006 4:28pm Oct 6, 2006 4:28pm
also daily divergence.

http://www.geocities.com/stricko108/div.gif
  • #1,055
  • Oct 6, 2006 9:20pm Oct 6, 2006 9:20pm
Quoting stricko108
Mark,
Just wondering what you think of this potential short on yen, based on these weekly trendlines.
Generally I’m long yen and had to buy my stops today (hedge), due to wild market. 119.20/40 should hold as you can see on your chart that level is strong resistance. That area was tested 5 times in the past. Yen is very strange animal, few years back japan was doing terrible, yet yen was getting stronger, now it’s the other way around. It almost looks that every time, there is positive news from that country, BOJ sells yen aggressively to prevent rallies. Time will tell, but we should see big sell off of yen crosses sooner or later. It’s already overdue. I don’t pay attention to divergence, but some people say if used correctly, it can be profitable.
My2c
  • #1,056
  • Oct 6, 2006 10:15pm Oct 6, 2006 10:15pm
thanks for the notes mark, do you hedge alot, i'm learning and studying hedging now from kolachi, it seems like a very powerful tool if used smartly.


Also i noticed you predicted a few posts back that you see us/yen falling way down in the future, i'm just wondering what that is based on, or is the answer to that to much to put in a small sentence.

thanks
stricko
  • #1,057
  • Oct 7, 2006 3:10pm Oct 7, 2006 3:10pm
Quoting stricko108
thanks for the notes mark, do you hedge alot, i'm learning and studying hedging now from kolachi, it seems like a very powerful tool if used smartly.


Also i noticed you predicted a few posts back that you see us/yen falling way down in the future, i'm just wondering what that is based on, or is the answer to that to much to put in a small sentence.

thanks
stricko
I use hedge with caution, but will definitely use it, if trades go against me and I still support reasons for taking them. E.g. short usd/jpy, but I will not discuss it here.
  • #1,058
  • Oct 8, 2006 1:07am Oct 8, 2006 1:07am
Thanks mark, I appreciate your time.
  • #1,059
  • Oct 8, 2006 9:54pm Oct 8, 2006 9:54pm
hi all! i've been following this thread for weeks now but never attempted to post anything since i'm very new to forex.have been tyring your method on demo with satisfying results!just wanna ask if u don't mind...what if the 5 ema does not cross 12 ema but bounces on it and also rsi 21 does not cross line 50 but also bounce on from line 50.can i take the trade?

knowledge is power
  • #1,060
  • Oct 8, 2006 10:39pm Oct 8, 2006 10:39pm
Fair,


That can be a re-entry into the current signal!

B.
"Skills pay the bill's!"
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