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The Swamp

  • #21,981
  • Aug 15, 2018 12:20am Aug 15, 2018 12:20am
Still going lower . Boulder you did the right thing... Now=113.16 your first target achieved.
  • #21,982
  • Aug 15, 2018 12:29am Aug 15, 2018 12:29am
Quoting BlueCirrus
{quote} Possibility.......I've seen this happen often..... {image}
So far, so good.......little off on the first peak six hours ago...
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSDM15.png Size: 37 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSDM15after.png Size: 50 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: 6E 09-18 (15 Min) 8_15_2018.jpg Size: 105 KB
  • #21,983
  • Aug 15, 2018 12:37am Aug 15, 2018 12:37am
Quoting Boulder
Eur/Usd: Key Target Levels For 8/15/2018, ( My 1H EA targets are in bold) For Shorts: L1: 1.1316 L2:1.1288 L3: 1.1244 For Longs: L1: 1.1371 L2:1.1398 L3: 1.1440 Currently @8pm est 1H Downtrend stop : 1.1421; 4H Downtrend stop : 1.1523 Trading Strategy: Down trend , Short
TP1 1316 just reached for shorts... hope its the temp bottom....good luck ...bulls or bears... good night ... see you here tomorrow..
by the way .. tomorrow is SOMA day...The hit ratio of going long DXY at CET09:00 on SOMA days, and closing the position CET17:30 is 100%..
for US,, around one hour before London close and one hour after London close,,better long dollar.. short Euro due to $12 billion redemption date,,,
  • #21,984
  • Aug 15, 2018 12:40am Aug 15, 2018 12:40am
Went long at 113.30 SL at 113.15

  • #21,985
  • Aug 15, 2018 12:41am Aug 15, 2018 12:41am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} TP1 1316 just reached for shorts... hope its the temp bottom....good luck ...bulls or bears... good night ... see you here tomorrow.. by the way .. tomorrow is SOMA day...The hit ratio of going long DXY at CET09:00 on SOMA days, and closing the position CET17:30 is 100%.. for US,, around one hour before London close and one hour after London close,,better long dollar.. short Euro due to $12 billion redemption date,,,
Thanks for the tip Boulder!
  • #21,986
  • Edited 1:32am Aug 15, 2018 1:16am | Edited 1:32am
Current session mid @ 1.1332x causing some resistance.....UM @ 1334x....

1.1357 is, of course, the first hurdle of interest...

1.13388 is the first checkpoint and next is 1.1361x....(If this is any good)
  • #21,987
  • Aug 15, 2018 1:41am Aug 15, 2018 1:41am
76.2 retrace of the last move is at 1.3388 (sl at 43-44)
I placed a bet on that.
I don't think there are any factors atm against dollar strenth.
The downtrend will most probably continue to 1.12x (1.1209 is a mighy number)
Riding the Dragon....
  • #21,988
  • Aug 15, 2018 1:47am Aug 15, 2018 1:47am
Quoting Farstrider
76.2 retrace of the last move is at 1.3388 (sl at 43-44) I placed a bet on that. I don't think there are any factors atm against dollar strenth. The downtrend will most probably continue to 1.12x (1.1209 is a mighy number)
Always possible.....
I try to catch the 1st bounce and take something out of it even if it fails....
  • #21,989
  • Aug 15, 2018 1:52am Aug 15, 2018 1:52am
1343x is the daily open ....just breezed by that atm.....

1345x is 1/4 retracement of the last H1 leg down.....
  • #21,990
  • Edited 2:19am Aug 15, 2018 2:04am | Edited 2:19am
Just checked back to 1336x, which is part of the main sequence on the charts I posted 1 1/2 hours ago......Time to fish or cut bait as they say...

So far, it's basing at the mid of this overnight session downswing (1.1333).....
  • #21,991
  • Aug 15, 2018 2:52am Aug 15, 2018 2:52am
Was thinking of placing lil L to 63 and 73
The 5m pattern though i dicates a drop, so opened shorts. Let see when the noise clears
Riding the Dragon....
  • #21,992
  • Aug 15, 2018 3:20am Aug 15, 2018 3:20am
Quoting micho
{quote} new targets in bold, targets reached are striked: EU 1.219x UC 1.227x and 1.336x UJ 106.7x amd 111.4x AN 1.080x GU 1.396x EJ 1.263x and 136.9x EC 1.577x EG 0.868x bitcoin1135x
new targets in bold, targets reached are striked:
EU 1.219x
UC 1.227x and 1.336x
UJ 106.7x amd 111.4x
AN 1.080x
GU 1.396x
EJ 136.9x
EC 1.577x
EG 0.868x
bitcoin1135x
When life gives you lemons, make lemonade
  • #21,993
  • Aug 15, 2018 3:29am Aug 15, 2018 3:29am
My long still alive by a hair.........
  • #21,994
  • Edited 6:36am Aug 15, 2018 3:31am | Edited 6:36am
Upward movement denied, the M48 candle failed again to close above EMA13 ...

Only 9.0 pips left to the downside movement to reach the monthly 400 pips ATR/ADR, i.e. 1.12994 ...
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSDM48.png Size: 43 KB
I am who I am
  • #21,995
  • Aug 15, 2018 3:59am Aug 15, 2018 3:59am
Quoting micho
{quote} new targets in bold, targets reached are striked: EU 1.219x UC 1.227x and 1.336x UJ 106.7x amd 111.4x AN 1.080x GU 1.396x EJ 136.9x EC 1.577x EG 0.868x bitcoin1135x
new targets in bold, targets reached are striked:
EU 1.219x
UC 1.227x and 1.336x
UJ 106.7x amd 111.4x
AN 1.080x
GU 1.396x
EJ 136.9x
EC 1.577x
EG 0.868x
bitcoin1135x
WTI 67.5x
When life gives you lemons, make lemonade
  • #21,996
  • Aug 15, 2018 6:01am Aug 15, 2018 6:01am
Quoting Farstrider
Was thinking of placing lil L to 63 and 73 The 5m pattern though i dicates a drop, so opened shorts. Let see when the noise clears
Pattern let to standard rejection and I am in the short game.
The big question for me is not the entry but the exit point ( I tend to lose money due to wrong exit,y entries are correct 8 out of 10)

Atm no idea where to unload. This migh be a small dip before a real support but can move to 1.121x or 1.1x areas.
Currently contemplating on this
Riding the Dragon....
  • #21,997
  • Aug 15, 2018 6:04am Aug 15, 2018 6:04am
Longs stoped . I can not read the pattern ftb....
  • #21,998
  • Aug 15, 2018 6:38am Aug 15, 2018 6:38am
all still looks bearish.. possible short 1335 before 1285.. maybe some R at 1330
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #21,999
  • Aug 15, 2018 6:53am Aug 15, 2018 6:53am
5 and 15 indicated bounce. 30 60 still not..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #22,000
  • Aug 15, 2018 6:56am Aug 15, 2018 6:56am
Eur/Usd: Daily Market Trends Update 8/15/2018

Eur/Usd On 8/15/2018 at 8am est.. Boulder Multi Time Frame System:

1H, Downtrend, Trend stop at 1H close 1.1354, Running Period: 28x1H
4H, Downtrend, Trend stop at 4H close 1.1457, Running Period: 32 x 4H
Daily, Downtrend, Trend stop at day close 1.1751, Running Period: 92 days.
Weekly, Downtrend, Trend stop at day close 1.2327,Running Period: 11week


( Note: Those stops will change with hour close and price action)

Trading Strategy:

Currently H1, H4, daily and weekly are downtrend. A bearish signal,. If you trade 1H trend, preference is to short as long as downtrend stop 1.1354 held at 1H close.
Considering dollar is at the day range high 96.85, be careful Euro bear trap ..
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