Supply and demand in a nutshell by Alfonso Moreno | Page 468 | Forex Factory

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Supply and demand in a nutshell by Alfonso Moreno

  • #9,341
  • Aug 7, 2018 3:01pm Aug 7, 2018 3:01pm
Quoting panoramia
Forex cross pair GBPAUD is dropping from weekly supply level that we previously mentioned. What we want to do at set and forget is to lean on higher timeframe imbalances for higher odds position trading. Right now we have a strong weekly supply zone in control and price is dropping strongly. In a downtrend supply imbalances are respected and demand levels are removed. {image} Forex and stocks supply and demand trading analysis
Hello Panoramia, thanks for your time and efforts.
I am learning your method now, I still have a long time till I know all of its factors and cases, Kindly if you have time would you please correct my analysis for this pair:

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In the monthly chart we have a broken up trend, and the price fall from a monthly supply level, and now it is approaching a demand zone on 1.73480

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In weekly as you have mentioned before, the price fall from the weekly supply zone, and again it is approaching a demand level now, and we have a broken up trend.

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In daily, we have a down trend and the price is falling from a supply area.

monthly trend is down
weekly trend is down,
Daily is up
Since not all trends are the same, then we should enter only in overlapping supply zones, which is the area around 1.81580

Do you have any comments, suggestions, corrections for me?

Thank you in advance.
  • #9,342
  • Aug 8, 2018 12:45am Aug 8, 2018 12:45am
Weekly is down with weekly supply zone in contorl, daily is NOT up. Right now this one is a mess on the daily chart and I am not touching it, no trade.
Cheers,
Alfonso
Set and Forget supply and demand trading community
  • #9,343
  • Aug 9, 2018 1:29am Aug 9, 2018 1:29am
Forex cross pair gbpcad is dropping on the higher timeframes and in the process the daily is creating brand new daily supply levels for potential shorts. In a downtrend supply imbalances are respected and demand zones are removed so short bias on gbpcad right now as we continue to remove opposing demand.

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Forex and Stocks supply and demand trading strategy
Set and Forget supply and demand trading community
  • #9,344
  • Aug 12, 2018 9:55am Aug 12, 2018 9:55am
Forex exotic USDTRY is still continuing to rally and create very strong demand imbalances. Right now we have created a very strong weekly demand imbalance for potential longs. In an uptrend supply levels are removed and demand zones are respected. Long bias right now on usdtry as price continues to rally.

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http://Forex and Stocks supply and d...ading strategy
Set and Forget supply and demand trading community
  • #9,345
  • Aug 12, 2018 12:46pm Aug 12, 2018 12:46pm
Hello Traders Today i came across this on my GBPCAD Monthly chart...Please correct me where i am wrong but i think price is about to do the first retest on my demand zone and from here it should go up...
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  • #9,346
  • Aug 13, 2018 10:09am Aug 13, 2018 10:09am
Hi Alfonso
Thank you so much for the beneficial thread and trading strategy.
I'm new to this thread and have studied a lot the trading materials.
this is my first post.
I hope it is according to the strategy.
GBPAUD
W1 trend is Down
D1 trend is also Down
in H4 the trend linse has been broken but we can short on brand new supply levels of H4 in the Supply zones of Daily which can be 1.7659 and 1.7744
Write?
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  • #9,347
  • Aug 15, 2018 1:33am Aug 15, 2018 1:33am
Quoting soheilsor
Hi Alfonso Thank you so much for the beneficial thread and trading strategy. I'm new to this thread and have studied a lot the trading materials. this is my first post. I hope it is according to the strategy. GBPAUD W1 trend is Down D1 trend is also Down in H4 the trend linse has been broken but we can short on brand new supply levels of H4 in the Supply zones of Daily which can be 1.7659 and 1.7744 Write? {image} {image} {image}
Thanks for your post, welcome! Everything is pointing down but it's a tricky scenario on the weekly chart. You only drew one imbalance, no decision can be taken with just one imbalance on a single timeframe.

Cheers,
Alfonso
Set and Forget supply and demand trading community
  • #9,348
  • Aug 15, 2018 5:19am Aug 15, 2018 5:19am
Quoting panoramia
{quote} Thanks for your post, welcome! Everything is pointing down but it's a tricky scenario on the weekly chart. You only drew one imbalance, no decision can be taken with just one imbalance on a single timeframe. Cheers, Alfonso
Ok I got it!
Here is the wider view of Wekly chart
The price has retested the demand zone at 1.7440 but the trend is still down. So we should be careful about short positions but we can take short position on H4 in the D1 supply zones. Write?
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  • #9,349
  • Aug 15, 2018 4:42pm Aug 15, 2018 4:42pm
Quoting soheilsor
{quote} Ok I got it! Here is the wider view of Wekly chart The price has retested the demand zone at 1.7440 but the trend is still down. So we should be careful about short positions but we can take short position on H4 in the D1 supply zones. Write? {image}
Weekly demand level in control in this case, lower timeframes are lower odds.
Set and Forget supply and demand trading community
  • #9,350
  • Aug 16, 2018 12:36am Aug 16, 2018 12:36am
what an insightful contributions.. very interesting and educative
faisal Moro
  • #9,351
  • Aug 16, 2018 5:05pm Aug 16, 2018 5:05pm
Dow Jones index weekly demand level at 25110 in control and playing out in a clear weekly uptrend with new weekly demand imbalances being created in a bullish trend. Room to opposing weekly supply level overhead where deeper penetration and removal are expected. Clear long bias at new daily and H4 demand levels.

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Stocks, futures and Forex supply and demand strategy
Set and Forget supply and demand trading community
  • #9,352
  • Aug 17, 2018 6:23am Aug 17, 2018 6:23am
Hi,

I've a problem with the following setup:

Trend on weekly is up
Trend on daily is up

Now price has reached a weekly supply area (couldn't brake it) and pullbacks, but the weekly trend is still up

What is the next thing I've have to wait for to be able to trade short or long on the daily timeframe?

Should price first go back to a weekly demand zone, before considering to go long?
Should the trend reverse on the weekly before considering going short on the daily?

Thank you very much for your help
Daniel
  • #9,353
  • Aug 17, 2018 3:24pm Aug 17, 2018 3:24pm
Quoting dvarrin
Hi, I've a problem with the following setup: Trend on weekly is up Trend on daily is up Now price has reached a weekly supply area (couldn't brake it) and pullbacks, but the weekly trend is still up What is the next thing I've have to wait for to be able to trade short or long on the daily timeframe? Should price first go back to a weekly demand zone, before considering to go long? Should the trend reverse on the weekly before considering going short on the daily? Thank you very much for your help Daniel
Everything is up, long bias. Wait for a clear scenario. Shorts = counter-trend = lower odds.

Cheers,
Alfonso
Set and Forget supply and demand trading community
  • #9,354
  • Aug 17, 2018 11:15pm Aug 17, 2018 11:15pm
Hi everyone,

If you don't mind me asking. Where can I get this multichart indicator.
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  • #9,355
  • Aug 19, 2018 3:31pm Aug 19, 2018 3:31pm
Quoting panoramia
{quote} Everything is up, long bias. Wait for a clear scenario. Shorts = counter-trend = lower odds. Cheers, Alfonso
Hi Alfonso,

Thank you very much for your answer! ;-)
  • #9,356
  • Aug 20, 2018 9:02am Aug 20, 2018 9:02am
Quoting Pholafx
Hi everyone, If you don't mind me asking. Where can I get this multichart indicator. {image}
It's not available sorry, it's part of the indicators created by members of the set and forget community, it requires username and password.
Regards,
Alfonso
Set and Forget supply and demand trading community
  • #9,357
  • Aug 20, 2018 9:09am Aug 20, 2018 9:09am
Forex cross pair USDINR is rallying on the monthly and weekly timeframes, creating brand new demand imbalances and long opportunities. We have a new zone lower that based and created a departure away from the level, ideally we want to lean on stronger imbalances for set and forget. However it is still long bias in these areas because when we are in an uptrend supply levels are removed and demand zones and imbalances are respected.

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Stocks, futures and Forex supply and demand strategy
Set and Forget supply and demand trading community
  • #9,358
  • Aug 21, 2018 1:59am Aug 21, 2018 1:59am
Hi again!
here is my analysis for Forex pair EURCHF
Monthly curve is in Supply control status,
In Weekly chart, the previous Demand Zone was removed and now we are in a Down Trend
In Daily also we have a clear Down Trend and the nearest Supply Zone is determined (@1.1492)
In H4 the Down trend is broken and we should be patient for the price to reach at a Supply level nested in the last D1 Supply zone.
So: we can put a short order at 1.15100 (considering the pdding pips).
appreciate if you correct me.
Regards
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
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  • #9,359
  • Aug 21, 2018 5:37am Aug 21, 2018 5:37am
Quoting soheilsor
Hi again! here is my analysis for Forex pair EURCHF Monthly curve is in Supply control status, In Weekly chart, the previous Demand Zone was removed and now we are in a Down Trend In Daily also we have a clear Down Trend and the nearest Supply Zone is determined (@1.1492) In H4 the Down trend is broken and we should be patient for the price to reach at a Supply level nested in the last D1 Supply zone. So: we can put a short order at 1.15100 (considering the pdding pips). appreciate if you correct me. Regards {image} {image} {image} {image}
There is definitely a short bisa on EURCHF, I have never traded this forex cross pair, neither any CHF pairs, I only trade EUR cross pairs not CHF pairs. Cheers, Alfonso
Set and Forget supply and demand trading community
  • #9,360
  • Aug 21, 2018 4:32pm Aug 21, 2018 4:32pm
Quoting panoramia
{quote} It's not available sorry, it's part of the indicators created by members of the set and forget community, it requires username and password. Regards, Alfonso
Thank you for your response. Hopefully in the near future I'll be one of the members in the community. Let me saving up for that membership.
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