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  • #15,781
  • Jul 30, 2018 10:56am Jul 30, 2018 10:56am
FANG rout underway (save AAPL & GOOGL) - will they follow? Or do you look to btfd....?
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #15,782
  • Jul 30, 2018 11:21am Jul 30, 2018 11:21am
TSLA ER this week, look for a big move there, could drop >10% and <$260, maybe <$250, late Mar-Apr blowoff was a >15% drop of over $50 in a week. Elon might pull another epic fail conf call ala Zuck re FB epic drop, a 20% drop would see ~$230.
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #15,783
  • Jul 31, 2018 11:45am Jul 31, 2018 11:45am
looking for a decent move in BIDU, trying another double vert - Aug3 $262/262.5 calls @ 62c; $235/232.5 puts @ 60c. Need one of em to go to $2.50 for a double.
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #15,784
  • Jul 31, 2018 11:46am Jul 31, 2018 11:46am
Quoting The Fool
TSLA ER this week, look for a big move there, could drop >10% and <$260, maybe <$250, late Mar-Apr blowoff was a >15% drop of over $50 in a week. Elon might pull another epic fail conf call ala Zuck re FB epic drop, a 20% drop would see ~$230.
TSLA really looks like dog meat but it also smells like a short squeeze cooking....
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #15,785
  • Jul 31, 2018 2:12pm Jul 31, 2018 2:12pm
Quoting The Fool
looking for a decent move in BIDU, trying another double vert - Aug3 $262/262.5 calls @ 62c; $235/232.5 puts @ 60c. Need one of em to go to $2.50 for a double.
gimme a 10% pop or drop, the conf call is late, after 9:15 ET
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #15,786
  • Jul 31, 2018 3:45pm Jul 31, 2018 3:45pm
not seeing what I need from BIDU, yet....
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #15,787
  • Jul 31, 2018 9:23pm Jul 31, 2018 9:23pm
looking like it'll do a SBUX
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #15,788
  • Aug 1, 2018 8:43am Aug 1, 2018 8:43am
Quoting The Fool
looking for a decent move in BIDU, trying another double vert - Aug3 $262/262.5 calls @ 62c; $235/232.5 puts @ 60c. Need one of em to go to $2.50 for a double.
as BIDU has slid <$230, this trade is looking ok. I'm in for about $1.25 and could close the trade now for $1.75 or so. If it'll keep sliding, better. Would've been better if today was Thurs but .... at any rate, I might cash out b4 the FOMC.
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #15,789
  • Aug 1, 2018 10:43am Aug 1, 2018 10:43am
I filled a trade for the TSLA ER - a Aug03 put fly $230/240/250 for 20c....looking for a 15-20% drop. Clearly insane.
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #15,790
  • Aug 1, 2018 10:46am Aug 1, 2018 10:46am
trying to find the cojones to put on a strangle or something for the FOMC....am I the only one who actually thinks there is a chance they might pop off another ffr rise today? Just to stick it in the Don's face...?
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #15,791
  • Aug 1, 2018 11:00am Aug 1, 2018 11:00am
Quoting The Fool
trying to find the cojones to put on a strangle or something for the FOMC...?
filled a Aug01 SPY strangle - $278.5/$282 for 11c....markets dying in the Aug heat but thin markets can pop big moves on a little surprise from the FOMC.....
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #15,792
  • Aug 1, 2018 11:18am Aug 1, 2018 11:18am
Quoting The Fool
{quote}filled a Aug01 SPY strangle - $278.5/$282 for 11c....markets dying in the Aug heat but thin markets can pop big moves on a little surprise from the FOMC.....
snooze FOMC, lotto ticket fail
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #15,793
  • Aug 1, 2018 12:09pm Aug 1, 2018 12:09pm
Quoting The Fool
{quote}snooze FOMC, lotto ticket fail
Yup. Pretty underwhelming reaction.
  • #15,794
  • Aug 1, 2018 12:52pm Aug 1, 2018 12:52pm
cashed out the BIDU put vert for $2, nets $0.75 on the combo

just filled a GPRO DC - Aug10/17 $5.5 - $7.00 for a nickel per side.
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #15,795
  • Aug 1, 2018 3:29pm Aug 1, 2018 3:29pm
Quoting The Fool
TSLA ER this week, look for a big move there, could drop >10% and <$260, maybe <$250, late Mar-Apr blowoff was a >15% drop of over $50 in a week. Elon might pull another epic fail conf call ala Zuck re FB epic drop, a 20% drop would see ~$230.
short squoze me outta 20c
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #15,796
  • Aug 2, 2018 8:55am Aug 2, 2018 8:55am
Quoting JR97
{quote} Yup. Pretty underwhelming reaction.
August doldrums, I should just take a break from trading for a couple summer months, generally wouldn't miss much...
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #15,797
  • Aug 2, 2018 10:34am Aug 2, 2018 10:34am
trying again, though - filled a Aug3/6 SPY call calendar @ $284 for 11c....seems a bull slowmo breakout is underway, maybe a snooze NFP would be the best thing for that to keep going?
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #15,798
  • Aug 2, 2018 11:32am Aug 2, 2018 11:32am
I let this 22c YUM DC ride thru the ER and price stayed in the box. Now seeing YUM shares grind up towards $81 and the call spread is worth about 35c. I will cash it out with a good finish towards $82 Friday, or let the long options live into next week.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: yum.JPG Size: 78 KB
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #15,799
  • Aug 2, 2018 11:52am Aug 2, 2018 11:52am
trying to fill a FB Aug24 call fly $190/200/210 for 35c
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #15,800
  • Aug 3, 2018 8:31am Aug 3, 2018 8:31am
Quoting The Fool
I let this 22c YUM DC ride thru the ER and price stayed in the box. Now seeing YUM shares grind up towards $81 and the call spread is worth about 35c. I will cash it out with a good finish towards $82 Friday, or let the long options live into next week. {image}
with YUM now trending up above $82, I will look to cash out the call calendar...60c might be possible
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
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