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How to predict markets, Catch the moves at value

  • #3,681
  • Jul 11, 2018 4:39pm Jul 11, 2018 4:39pm
Quoting iamsovereign
{quote} Thanks for the great explanation-- does this mean that the algos change at times?? and so do you look at lets say the 4H chart and figure the block size presently being used? I will read more of the past in this thread and get some insights on how you profit from this insight. thanks again for the time to explain this. You hit the 112.15 on UJ almost to the pip. very interesting stuff

theres more and my pleasure, i been tracking this one since 2007 on UJ for example one post back
  • #3,682
  • Jul 11, 2018 4:46pm Jul 11, 2018 4:46pm
So you are getting insights of what happens when market masters get in there zone. Its quite a sight. So the huge downside risk is profitable, as you work block to block. Both long and short

It’s mind boggling watching @Dennis trade live. Incredible, uncanny, unbelievable, genius!! I think buy, he sells and is right. I think sell, he says buy and is right [

.I wanted to let you know how my Masters experience is going so far. Just finished my first week and I can tell you these guys are the real deal. I have been trading forex for nearly 10 years and have spent loads of money on all kinds of forex courses and systems and nothing compares to what I have learned in just a week. If you have any questions about my experience with The Masters group give me an IM. https://web.facebook.com/dpercinsky
]






So its not so mind-boggling to after all as you can all learn the hidden structure and I am here to help
  • #3,683
  • Jul 11, 2018 4:56pm Jul 11, 2018 4:56pm
alright guys im tired let's call it a day and i try to get you all some more great content
  • #3,684
  • Jul 11, 2018 11:39pm Jul 11, 2018 11:39pm
Quoting Dennis1468
{quote} Sorry for late response! ok here's a few things: Background. Inside the market, there's a structure most traders cant see. However, The top Traders in the world see that structure which is hidden to most. It Hidden because of the way evolution has taught us to think. And the financial Industry exploits human weakness. So a trade is placed from human or Robot. Its the Markets Algorithmic black boxes that do the sweeping (Sweeping = The market moves at the point of less damage to itself) The Blind Mans Structure - Market Efficiency. 96% of...


There’s nothing new in trading so don’t try to reinvent the wheel what works now worked a 100 years ago;
If you can’t just buy in a rally for no reason other than it being a rally then you will never participate within the best repetitions.....
  • #3,685
  • Jul 12, 2018 4:42am Jul 12, 2018 4:42am
Hi Dennis, I have been following your thread and another Pivot related thread with great interest. Both thread owners appear to be operating successfully which tells me pivots work (whether daily or weekly). I am trying to learn a bit more from your thread but am having a hard time understanding your technical jargon. Is the logic of your thread basically that we don't buy/sell on the daily pivot line but wait for it to go to either side S1 R1 etc and then we buy/sell based on price action? Thanks.
  • #3,686
  • Jul 12, 2018 4:43am Jul 12, 2018 4:43am
Quoting Dennis1468
{quote} Sorry for late response! ok here's a few things: Background. Inside the market, there's a structure most traders cant see. However, The top Traders in the world see that structure which is hidden to most. It Hidden because of the way evolution has taught us to think. And the financial Industry exploits human weakness. So a trade is placed from human or Robot. Its the Markets Algorithmic black boxes that do the sweeping (Sweeping = The market moves at the point of less damage to itself) The Blind Mans Structure - Market Efficiency. 96% of...

Wow this is great stuff Dennis. I once got such an idea that the markets move in predetermined steps but I couldn't get it all together……..So what is the meaning when the price moves through one block but didn't reach the next one but moves back into the last block? Is this a kind of stop Hunting or a reversal sign?
  • #3,687
  • Jul 12, 2018 5:19am Jul 12, 2018 5:19am
Quoting Dennis1468
{quote} See how we do it, you dont have to be right. wrong or right is profitable , wrong is more so profitable. Loving CAD and UJ, great start to the week
Many thanks Dennis and hoping that someday I am going to understand the above statement and be able to function at that level.
  • #3,688
  • Jul 12, 2018 6:22am Jul 12, 2018 6:22am
Quoting Dennis1468
Quoting Dennis1468 {quote} 12 15 is next block look deeply at that chart up see we execute trades only on those lines 240 minutes is 4 hours our trades are the 4 hour splits at the grid in each block these time nicely with the pivot levels to 112 15 there you go block filled and hope you enjoyed the show, have fun guys see you all soon {image}

Yen has reached the digestion Zone
block from last block that ended at 112 15 is plus 43.8 pips which is 112. 58. hence we move now to 112 58 market will digest its balance sheet stops for bears at 112 72 Market may absorb during 112 58 digestion phase
1 hour 10 minutes then CPI +++++
Seen by David, Ting, Just Relax
  • #3,689
  • Jul 14, 2018 3:26am Jul 14, 2018 3:26am
Be Patient I will get to each question. Guys Sorry for delays
  • #3,690
  • Edited 4:11am Jul 14, 2018 3:45am | Edited 4:11am
Quoting ia1979
Hi Dennis, I have been following your thread and another Pivot related thread with great interest. Both thread owners appear to be operating successfully which tells me pivots work (whether daily or weekly). I am trying to learn a bit more from your thread but am having a hard time understanding your technical jargon. Is the logic of your thread basically that we don't buy/sell on the daily pivot line but wait for it to go to either side S1 R1 etc and then we buy/sell based on price action? Thanks.

? "Is the logic of your thread basically that we don't buy/sell on the daily pivot line but wait for it to go to either side S1 R1 etc and then we buy/sell based on price action? Thanks.[/

A - You can buy or sell any place belongs you at a level, the key is to pick the right levels that are relevant under the current market dynamic. You can do this by trying to understand the following~

>Some time ago I posted a Chart here "This is the most important Chart My Mentor Ever Gave me"
>WE also mentioned within the thread the "most important thing About a candle is its open and Close price in reference to a Key Level" So the Bigger the time frame of a candle the more important its open and close price is as its a key level in itself (Being a Monthly Candle.) Evidence in This Refer GU Chart Below from Yesterday- "Trade the Pink": our trade plan, then the result

Pivot points are calculated on High and Low of Candles and close (But this Close means time of Candle Close!

Pivot point (PP) = (High + Low + Close) / 3
Support and resistance levels are then calculated off the pivot point like so:
First level support and resistance:
First resistance (R1) = (2 x PP) – Low
First support (S1) = (2 x PP) – High
The second level of support and resistance:
Second resistance (R2) = PP + (High – Low

NOW HERES THE LIGHT BULB MOMENT! Due to the above construction of pivots, it is important however it does not confirm if your buying R1 or Selling it.

WILL CONTINUE THIS EDIT LATER

the charts below are before and After! The After is GU result Yesterday, the Before was our Trade Plan. "Trade the Pink" You can see on the After chart the pivots itself and the "Trade the Pink" Pivots our calculated High low as mentioned above, which is fine. However, the most important thing to me in Trading is "most important thing About a candle is its open and Close price in reference to a Key Level" So the Bigger the time frame of a candle the more important its open and close price is as its a key level in itself (Being a Monthly Candle.).

Therefore I pivot Calculate based open the open and Close. Which I refer to as "Trade the Pink" We not talking about small time frames/Weekly and Above. Pivots at Daily and below work just fine. However to know if you should be selling or buy DPP, check who controls the Pink. Then you will be on the right side, every time almost. Not always but most of the time
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 27Chart_GBP_USD_4 Hours_snapshot.png Size: 107 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: 444666Chart_GBP_USD_Hourly_snapshot.png Size: 59 KB
  • #3,691
  • Jul 14, 2018 3:49am Jul 14, 2018 3:49am
Will finish the above post a little later
  • #3,692
  • Edited 4:40am Jul 14, 2018 4:20am | Edited 4:40am
Quoting mattkirby
{quote} Wow this is great stuff Dennis. I once got such an idea that the markets move in predetermined steps but I couldn't get it all together……..So what is the meaning when the price moves through one block but didn't reach the next one but moves back into the last block? Is this a kind of stop Hunting or a reversal sign?
Market moves on the path of least damage to itself. after a up move on the block theres stops below within range below. We can only move up to the next block if stops are more up then below. We call this "When the stops come out" As less informed traders widen there stops then market rallies with bias block to block taking the stops out and the 4% are the last men standing as there stops are at the least damage side to the market. So Market does not mind partying with some change

Last time i think we were working these blocks together here is the result and i think we were doing CAD , i was expecting 1.3225 I think.......UJ result down to before close that was nailed to,
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: frdChart_USD_CAD_30 Mins_snapshot.png Size: 63 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: 49Chart_USD_JPY_30 Mins_snapshot.png Size: 60 KB
  • #3,693
  • Jul 14, 2018 5:51am Jul 14, 2018 5:51am
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  • #3,694
  • Jul 14, 2018 2:43pm Jul 14, 2018 2:43pm
Quoting ayoayo
{quote} Many thanks Dennis and hoping that someday I am going to understand the above statement and be able to function at that level.

you dont have to be right. wrong or right is profitable, wrong is more so profitable.

Let's say I make a call. Targeting 50 pips. That's limited upside risk, so iwe can make a bit but not lots. So I enter long.
Before I take that long I measure the unlimited downside risk, The bigger the better. More downside risk is what we live for. And here is why.

I have to take the long as the price is at major support and all indication is we are going long. So I take the long. The upside risk is limited lets say for example 50 to 100 pips. However, the unlimited downside is huge. Let's Say 100 to 300 pips.

So I take the long targeting 50 pips, however, at plus 10 pips price crashes south so now the long is minus. This is Great as the downside risk for this long is unlimited! Sounds crap right, yes I know but its not its what we live for.

I mentioned that trading is counter-intuitive So this is why its super.

The upside risk is limited on this long, which is why we had to go long as all indications were its the location to go long. However, as we know there is unlimited downside risk, pending orders are 2 x 1 long or more. First Cover is at evens next cover at a half more and so on. So the significant downside pays you say 5 lots at 140 to 180 pips profit per lot Say 5 x 150 pips profit. 1 long at minus 220. Now you're rich. And the loosing long you can hedge the next sell if it does not work out.
  • #3,695
  • Jul 14, 2018 2:53pm Jul 14, 2018 2:53pm
Quoting Dennis1468
{quote} you dont have to be right. wrong or right is profitable, wrong is more so profitable. Let's say I make a call. Targeting 50 pips. That's limited upside risk, so iwe can make a bit but not lots. So I enter long. Before I take that long I measure the unlimited downside risk, The bigger the better. More downside risk is what we live for. And here is why. I have to take the long as the price is at major support and all indication is we are going long. So I take the long. The upside risk is limited lets say for example 50 to 100 pips. However,...
Now there's more to this then meets the eye. The definition of a rally is when a resistance breaks as retail sell a head and shoulders. So I can buy resistance without any worries. If I am right i catch the Rally. If I am wrong the downside is unlimited, if i don't take the long I miss the rally. And if I am wrong there is no rally! what difference does it make - I make more for less

DOES NOT MAKE A DIFFERENCE DOES IT! SEE YOUR TRADING AGAINST YOURSELVES
  • #3,696
  • Edited 3:21pm Jul 14, 2018 2:57pm | Edited 3:21pm
Quoting Dennis1468
{quote} Now there's more to this then meets the eye. The definition of a rally is when a resistance breaks as retail sell a head and shoulders. So I can buy resistance without any worries. If I am right i catch the Rally. If I am wrong the downside is unlimited, if i don't take the long I miss the rally. And if I am wrong there is no rally! what difference does it make - I make more for less DOES NOT MAKE A DIFFERENCE DOES IT! SEE YOUR TRADING AGAINST YOURSELVES
GU was classic, here is Friday's bloodbath. So i have to take the sell as indications are its sell. No problem unlimited risk. Get in the zone that's how we kill it. Head and shoulder buy it, resistance buy it or sell it, it makes no difference if you have reached the extreme market master level in trading. Take your time, learn one to one hedging first when ur in trouble.

These things are what separates us 4%. These skills take time to learn. Take it easy on yourselves. Trading is much to learn ok so just take it easy.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: ftgsChart_GBP_USD_15 Mins_snapshot.png Size: 79 KB
  • #3,697
  • Jul 14, 2018 3:26pm Jul 14, 2018 3:26pm
Quoting Dennis1468
{quote} GU was classic, here is Friday's bloodbath. So i have to take the sell as indications are its sell. No problem unlimited risk. Get in the zone that's how we kill it. Head and shoulder buy it, resistance buy it or sell it, it makes no difference if you have reached the extreme market master level in trading. Take your time, learn one to one hedging first when ur in trouble. These things are what separates us 4%. These skills take time to learn. Take it easy on yourselves. Trading is much to learn ok so just take it easy. {image}

The market can only do the following!

Range or Expand

A range is a range short or long makes no difference. Expansion = unlimited downside risk, unlimited sell opportunity. false break out then its a range so your stuck at meter stable 1 long 1 short. Expansion unlimited 1 short 2 longs or more
  • #3,698
  • Jul 14, 2018 3:36pm Jul 14, 2018 3:36pm
Its simple your putting the dealers in a noose and your breaking there necks. Go long they loose go short they loose

Inserted Video
  • #3,699
  • Jul 14, 2018 10:03pm Jul 14, 2018 10:03pm
Dennis still reading the thread -- got some good stuff--

Trading is a game of repetitions. Traders that can consistently trade the best repetitions are those that have mastered the markets

One of the best quotes about trading that I have ever seen...........

Results are consistent as we engage the market none subjectively. And we choose the best repetitions the market offers in a consistent none subjective approach all the way until the conclusion.

Also very good quote.....

Thanks for posting

Regards
Live today like theres no tomorrow-- Prioritize like you will die today
  • #3,700
  • Jul 15, 2018 5:12am Jul 15, 2018 5:12am
Quoting Dennis1468
{quote} The market can only do the following! Range or Expand A range is a range short or long makes no difference. Expansion = unlimited downside risk, unlimited sell opportunity. false break out then its a range so your stuck at meter stable 1 long 1 short. Expansion unlimited 1 short 2 longs or more
Where is this guy called Tradability?
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