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The Swamp

  • #20,001
  • Jun 14, 2018 2:23pm Jun 14, 2018 2:23pm
I wish Asia respects 1.1580 and keep bears alive Then 1.1223 is not far enough for this quarter close
  • #20,002
  • Jun 14, 2018 2:31pm Jun 14, 2018 2:31pm
Went long at 15.65 . Might not be the Low , but it s close enough for me . Wave A competed, we look for W. B rebound.

  • #20,003
  • Jun 14, 2018 3:15pm Jun 14, 2018 3:15pm
Quoting JustPipMe
{quote} Just curious. Why pending? You think (if it happens), it’ll be a fast-paced upwards move to 1.17xx? or perhaps you also focus on a ton of other pairs? Or?...
Why not? I didn't think it would happen.. too many things are against it. The pending was "in case". I'm targeting 1446, everything said the last 2 day from central banks are bearish. I couldn't short or long the eu at 1616.. I uses decent size positions. Sitting on the side is a position.. let it get below 1553 and I will look. 1553/1509...// near 1509 it may be worth it.. and hold if 1553 cant hold it on L close. Everything looks bearish so I wouldn't count on it.. I wouldn't have a target till then.. it would likely be 1679/1701... still too early to think about it..it hasn't tested 1553 yet
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #20,004
  • Jun 14, 2018 5:01pm Jun 14, 2018 5:01pm
Eur/Usd: Key Target Levels For 6/15/2018 ,
( My EA targets are in bold)

For Shorts: L1: 1.1494 L2:1.1414 L3: 1.1284

For Longs: L1: 1.1653 L2:1.1732 L3: 1.1862

Currently @8pm est
1H Downtrend stop : 1.1828;
4H Downtrend stop : 1.1826
  • #20,005
  • Jun 14, 2018 5:06pm Jun 14, 2018 5:06pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Why not? I didn't think it would happen.. too many things are against it. The pending was "in case". I'm targeting 1446, everything said the last 2 day from central banks are bearish. I couldn't short or long the eu at 1616.. I uses decent size positions. Sitting on the side is a position.. let it get below 1553 and I will look. 1553/1509...// near 1509 it may be worth it.. and hold if 1553 cant hold it on L close. Everything looks bearish so I wouldn't count on it.. I wouldn't have a target till then.. it would likely...
in case 1553 not good for longs ,,.near yours 1509 and my short TP1 1494...15 pips range,,,,I may give a shot..
  • #20,006
  • Jun 14, 2018 5:15pm Jun 14, 2018 5:15pm
Quoting Boulder
{quote} in case 1553 not good for longs ,,.near yours 1509 and my short TP1 1494...15 pips range,,,,I may give a shot..
its if-ee, The trend is down... both central bank's news.. look to push eu down.. I can't say with certainty.. I do think; once under 1553 if it dont L close below. it could be a reject bounce. Yes 1553 area may cause a bounce.. It just may not be worth the risk. eu month closed lower, most often means the low supports will be tested and maybe broken.. plus the attraction to 1446...
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #20,007
  • Jun 14, 2018 5:42pm Jun 14, 2018 5:42pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} its if-ee, The trend is down... both central bank's news.. look to push eu down.. .
ouch, out of the games for being wrong. another Buy stop at 1.1580, looking at market to take down USD in Q3.
  • #20,008
  • Jun 14, 2018 6:35pm Jun 14, 2018 6:35pm
Quoting failinforex
{quote} ouch, out of the games for being wrong. another Buy stop at 1.1580, looking at market to take down USD in Q3.
it's getting close to 1446, last year closed bullish. after 1446, bears may be on borrowed time, after 1446... its time to look for cracks in the bears armor. Wait for the cracks, its bearish until.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #20,009
  • Jun 14, 2018 6:39pm Jun 14, 2018 6:39pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} it's getting close to 1446, last year closed bullish. after 1446, bears may be on borrowed time, after 1446... its time to look for cracks in the bears armor. Wait for the cracks, its bearish until.
guess i will set up a big order at 1446.../1450
  • #20,010
  • Jun 14, 2018 6:44pm Jun 14, 2018 6:44pm
I have a problem trading strong trending days. Too afraid of a retrace. Took an ill advised hit to capital, going to need to walk away for a bit
  • #20,011
  • Jun 14, 2018 6:52pm Jun 14, 2018 6:52pm
Quoting kasper
I have a problem trading strong trending days. Too afraid of a retrace. Took an ill advised hit to capital, going to need to walk away for a bit
you are not alone.. i made mistake today too.. my shorts were stopped out at 1814 last night while I was sleep.. .. i was not in a good mood this morning,,,, I made some gains later in shorts,,, but not enough to make back my previous stop loss..so I did revenge trades... to trade against my system.....I went in longs... I lost more...
so we all learn...
  • #20,012
  • Jun 14, 2018 7:03pm Jun 14, 2018 7:03pm
Quoting Boulder
{quote} you are not alone.. i made mistake today too.. my shorts were stopped out at 1814 last night while I was sleep.. .. i was not in a good mood this morning,,,, I made some gains later in shorts,,, but not enough to make back my previous stop loss..so I did revenge trades... to trade against my system.....I went in longs... I lost more... so we all learn...
one thing I need to remember,, not trade on FOMC and ECB days... ..
  • #20,013
  • Edited 7:16pm Jun 14, 2018 7:05pm | Edited 7:16pm
Quoting Boulder
{quote} guess i will set up a big order at 1446.../1450
i don't want people to long.. it was a bloodbath for some today.. W/o some decent large potential reward.. that said if willing to keep a reasonable s/l .. catching a fallen knife hurts,, A small window may be in the 1547/53 area. atm low 1544.. below 1546 its out the window,,
Attached Image
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #20,014
  • Jun 14, 2018 8:18pm Jun 14, 2018 8:18pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} it's getting close to 1446, last year closed bullish. after 1446, bears may be on borrowed time, after 1446... its time to look for cracks in the bears armor. Wait for the cracks, its bearish until.
thanks, saw it coming but being stubborn to closed both EURUSD and USDJPY, 6k+ gone. now sucking finger, licking my wound.
  • #20,015
  • Jun 15, 2018 12:57am Jun 15, 2018 12:57am
back up to 1.22
When life gives you lemons, make lemonade
  • #20,016
  • Jun 15, 2018 2:38am Jun 15, 2018 2:38am
Quoting micho
back up to 1.22
USD is falling into our pocket

Inserted Video


  • #20,017
  • Edited 3:11am Jun 15, 2018 2:58am | Edited 3:11am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} i don't want people to long.. it was a bloodbath for some today.. W/o some decent large potential reward.. that said if willing to keep a reasonable s/l .. catching a fallen knife hurts,, A small window may be in the 1547/53 area. atm low 1544.. below 1546 its out the window,, {image}
i tried to be smart and catch this one. But s/o on the window. the original 1616/15 09 norm retrace did target 19xx.. the pa on the 30 has a round bottom. Pa was below 1553 and now rejected above. things are looking better for 1696 slowly but surely.. I may get a chance to short 1696 again.. but if today closes above 1553, this could be a wtf reject for bears.. more so above 1760.. A round bottom has a better chance to climb. everything is still bearish, but bulls are not sleeping. 1553+- could be a sign, + may be a nice 1696+ rejection..
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #20,018
  • Jun 15, 2018 3:09am Jun 15, 2018 3:09am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Why not? I didn't think it would happen.. too many things are against it. The pending was "in case". I'm targeting 1446, everything said the last 2 day from central banks are bearish. I couldn't short or long the eu at 1616.. I uses decent size positions. Sitting on the side is a position.. let it get below 1553 and I will look. 1553/1509...// near 1509 it may be worth it.. and hold if 1553 cant hold it on L close. Everything looks bearish so I wouldn't count on it.. I wouldn't have a target till then.. it would likely be 1679/1701......
we got time..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #20,019
  • Jun 15, 2018 3:33am Jun 15, 2018 3:33am
Euro falls after merkel coalition partner in germany says to end alliance
  • #20,020
  • Jun 15, 2018 3:36am Jun 15, 2018 3:36am
if the atm low remains.. i wouldn't short w/o 1696. if L does not close below 1553. 1696 may be shorting too early.(i don't know) I got blind pendings there atm.. I got some longs near 1509 pending.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
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