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The Swamp

  • #19,561
  • Jun 6, 2018 11:07pm Jun 6, 2018 11:07pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} genetics, I'm a pip short
She will come to you;
Good night, Gator... Good luck...talk to you tomorrow...
  • #19,562
  • Jun 7, 2018 12:47am Jun 7, 2018 12:47am
Gator's 1.18 12 looks soon achievable.....
  • #19,563
  • Jun 7, 2018 1:57am Jun 7, 2018 1:57am
Shorted 1.1810, looking for a retest of the WPP
Why sell the bottoms when you can buy the tops...
  • #19,564
  • Jun 7, 2018 2:51am Jun 7, 2018 2:51am
Seems like a one way street now, not a single retrace since Frankfurt got their discounted price.
  • #19,565
  • Jun 7, 2018 2:54am Jun 7, 2018 2:54am
Even on the small time frames every single retrace stops at the previous highs and the price just keeps on going higher.
  • #19,566
  • Jun 7, 2018 4:37am Jun 7, 2018 4:37am
Why has everyone been short all week? We’ve been trending up since the start of the week.... 160 pips
  • #19,567
  • Jun 7, 2018 5:01am Jun 7, 2018 5:01am
IMHO, we should visit 1.1600 area once again to confirm Reversal to UPSIDE, also it will form double bottom if we visit 1.1600.
Short at .11822
SL: 1.1841
TP1: 1.1720
TP2: 1.1600
  • #19,568
  • Jun 7, 2018 5:15am Jun 7, 2018 5:15am
I am looking for some manual shorts at 1H supply zone 1840-1852 area..considering today Option expiration NY cut 1.1850-65 (1.1 BLN) ...
My EA is still long, 6 positions running with +400 pips so far..
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  • #19,569
  • Jun 7, 2018 5:21am Jun 7, 2018 5:21am
Quoting Boulder
I am looking for some manual shorts at 1H supply zone 1840-1852 area..considering today Option expiration NY cut 1.1850-65 (1.1 BLN) ... My EA is still long, 6 positions running with +400 pips so far.. {image}
have asked for direction on orders today
  • #19,570
  • Jun 7, 2018 5:23am Jun 7, 2018 5:23am
Quoting Don96
{quote} have asked for direction on orders today
my guess would be a sale.. what do you think?

Two notable ones are 1.1850-65 (1.1 BLN) and 1.1880-85 (1.0 BLN).
  • #19,571
  • Jun 7, 2018 5:27am Jun 7, 2018 5:27am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} my guess would be a sale.. what do you think? Two notable ones are 1.1850-65 (1.1 BLN) and 1.1880-85 (1.0 BLN).
I have no idea, I will get info at 2.30 as the sizes/direction change all day pretty much.

if sale then the difference between expiry price and value price is how much excess profit there is for bank/fund. (I believe)

Quoting Don96
{quote} I have no idea, I will get info at 2.30 as the sizes/direction change all day pretty much. if sale then the difference between expiry price and value price is how much excess profit there is for bank/fund. (I believe)
considering we are moving towards 1.185, I presume its a right to buy. anything above 1.185 and I presume the broker of the option will make profit on the excess (so they will want as high as possible) but don't forget someone has to sell...
  • #19,572
  • Jun 7, 2018 6:00am Jun 7, 2018 6:00am
Quoting Don96
{quote} I have no idea, I will get info at 2.30 as the sizes/direction change all day pretty much. if sale then the difference between expiry price and value price is how much excess profit there is for bank/fund. (I believe) {quote} considering we are moving towards 1.185, I presume its a right to buy. anything above 1.185 and I presume the broker of the option will make profit on the excess (so they will want as high as possible) but don't forget someone has to sell...
if I understand correct.. currently prices for 1850 strike price for puts 0.0038 and for calls 0.0015. so for bears to make money.. it needs to stay under 1812.. for bulls , it needs above 1865.... anywhere between , neither bears nor bulls make money.. option writers make all..
of course these prices are changing constantly with more orders coming in..
  • #19,573
  • Jun 7, 2018 6:09am Jun 7, 2018 6:09am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} if I understand correct.. currently prices for 1850 strike price for puts 0.0038 and for calls 0.0015. so for bears to make money.. it needs to stay under 1812.. for bulls , it needs above 1865.... anywhere between , neither bears nor bulls make money.. option writers make all.. of course these prices are changing constantly with more orders coming in..
yes you are probably correct, I will get info just after 2.30
  • #19,574
  • Jun 7, 2018 6:24am Jun 7, 2018 6:24am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} She will come to you; Good night, Gator... Good luck...talk to you tomorrow...
i picked a few up 1827/36
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #19,575
  • Jun 7, 2018 6:31am Jun 7, 2018 6:31am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} i picked a few up 1827/36
Good morning. Gator...I just shorted 1837.. got out early...
I am keeping scalping for 10-20 pips...till I see close to 1850s.. we might not get there though.. feel more sales than buys at 1850 strike price..
  • #19,576
  • Jun 7, 2018 6:36am Jun 7, 2018 6:36am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} Good morning. Gator...I just shorted 1837.. got out early... I am keeping scalping for 10-20 pips...till I see close to 1850s.. we might not get there though.. feel more sales than buys at 1850 strike price..
now put price 0.0045.. so 1805 breakeven for bears...if buying puts now..
  • #19,577
  • Jun 7, 2018 6:39am Jun 7, 2018 6:39am
if it stalls here at 1838.. norm at 1673/74. below 1681 is a coin flip.. bulls want to be above 1853 or this may fail. atm 1674 has more pips potential than 1853
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #19,578
  • Jun 7, 2018 6:48am Jun 7, 2018 6:48am
Eur/Usd: Daily Market Trends Update 6/7/2018

Eur/Usd On 6/7/2018 at 8am est.. Boulder Multi Time Frame System:

1H, Uptrend, Trend stop at 1H close 1.1760, Running Period: 43x1H
4H, Uptrend, Trend stop at 4H close 1.1650, Running Period: 9 x 4H
Daily, Downtrend, Trend stop at day close 1.1950, Running Period: 52days.
Weekly, Downtrend, Trend stop at day close 1.2535, Running Period: 3 week


( Note: Those stops will change with hour close and price action)

Trading Strategy:

Currently 1H and 4H uptrend, daily and weekly are downtrend. If you trade 1H trend, preference is to long as long as uptrend stop 1.1760 held at 1H close.
1H has been in a strong uptrend since open, it may top out within a couple of hours

Ea had 6 open for the cycle. see previous post #19568
  • #19,579
  • Jun 7, 2018 6:53am Jun 7, 2018 6:53am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} now put price 0.0045.. so 1805 breakeven for bears...if buying puts now..
i took 1836 off.. 2 others 1827/32 still running
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #19,580
  • Jun 7, 2018 6:58am Jun 7, 2018 6:58am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} i took 1836 off.. 2 others 1827/32 still running
good.. I am watching for more manual shorts as well...
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