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The Swamp

  • #19,341
  • Jun 4, 2018 8:03am Jun 4, 2018 8:03am
Eur/Usd: Daily Market Trends Update 6/4/2018

Eur/Usd On 6/4/2018 at 8am est.. Boulder Multi Time Frame System:

1H, Uptrend, Trend stop at 1H close 1.1645, Running Period: 5x1H
4H, Downtrend, Trend stop at 4H close 1.1723, Running Period: 84 x 4H
Daily, Downtrend, Trend stop at day close 1.1972, Running Period: 49days.
Weekly, Downtrend, Trend stop at day close 1.2535, Running Period: 3 week


( Note: Those stops will change with hour close and price action)

Trading Strategy:

Currently 1H uptrend, 4H, daily and weekly are downtrend. A mix signal, range trades.
4H downtrend stop 1723 was held again. this was 4th test for this 4H downtrend cycle and held once more. Due to its long running hours...next test, it has over 80% chance it may break above next time..
  • #19,342
  • Jun 4, 2018 8:11am Jun 4, 2018 8:11am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} now that this has happened.. it has reached a number both bulls and bears wanted.. for here its possible to turn bullish,, but why? the quarter month week have closed lower.. anway.. I still hold for 1446,, noted this is where i may be wrong.. the reason is given beforehand. next time at 1681/82 it may be good to look for a short/ {image}
Gator, when Euro reached 1616 last Friday... you had concern it may turn bullish...I wonder why?
  • #19,343
  • Jun 4, 2018 8:21am Jun 4, 2018 8:21am
I booked some loss today from my shorts...just got this quote..kind helpful...

"A lost trade is almost as good as a successful trade. A lost trade means that you can declare defeat and move on." -colibriTrader
  • #19,344
  • Jun 4, 2018 8:30am Jun 4, 2018 8:30am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} pong is exactly 1746,, possible range 1681/1746.. I like the 4h to turn north, and 1616 long atm..
4h missed north turn, pong 1746 contained.. bulls would have been safer with 1247+,, less than 46 placed -1681 in the scope, 1616 may get a visit. still s/r at 1681 ... I fell asleep.. after 1616 it may turn north,, i look for a long then..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #19,345
  • Jun 4, 2018 8:35am Jun 4, 2018 8:35am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} 4h missed north turn, pong 1746 contained.. bulls would have been safer with 1247+,, less than 46 placed -1681 in the scope, 1616 may get a visit. still s/r at 1681 ... I fell asleep.. after 1616 it may turn north,, i look for a long then..
atm pp 1681/80
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #19,346
  • Jun 4, 2018 8:40am Jun 4, 2018 8:40am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} Gator, when Euro reached 1616 last Friday... you had concern it may turn bullish...I wonder why?
because it was setting up 19xx.. it has the set-up now.. But it's going to headfake back to 1616 minimally is my take, before going to 19xx.. last chart shows this. but once below 1681.. things could change.. 1681 may be supportive some.. so 1616 may take a try or 2.. But to me atm.. bulls will allow 1616, bear will too. its the reason 1446 may have got a nut kick

https://www.forexfactory.com/showthr...9#post11130699
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #19,347
  • Jun 4, 2018 8:42am Jun 4, 2018 8:42am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} because it was setting up 19xx.. it has the set-up now.. But it's going to headfake back to 1616 minimally is my take, before going to 19xx..
ok good.. I still have some manual shorts...
  • #19,348
  • Edited 8:56am Jun 4, 2018 8:42am | Edited 8:56am
Trading Strategy: Currently 1H uptrend, 4H, daily and weekly are downtrend. A mix signal, range trades. 4H downtrend stop 1723 was held again. this was 4th test for this 4H downtrend cycle and held once more. Due to its long running hours...next test, it has over 80% chance it may break above next time..[/quote]

So if this breaks above 1.723 you're predicting a long here?
  • #19,349
  • Jun 4, 2018 8:51am Jun 4, 2018 8:51am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} ok good.. I still have some manual shorts...
mine pending at 1746 just flaps in the wind..

Inserted Video
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #19,350
  • Jun 4, 2018 8:53am Jun 4, 2018 8:53am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} mine pending at 1746 just flaps in the wind..
I was hesitate at 1744... so you didn't miss anything...lc may try again..
  • #19,351
  • Jun 4, 2018 9:29am Jun 4, 2018 9:29am
std ..bbl
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #19,352
  • Jun 4, 2018 9:39am Jun 4, 2018 9:39am
Quoting SirYodaa
Trading Strategy: Currently 1H uptrend, 4H, daily and weekly are downtrend. A mix signal, range trades. 4H downtrend stop 1723 was held again. this was 4th test for this 4H downtrend cycle and held once more. Due to its long running hours...next test, it has over 80% chance it may break above next time..
So if this breaks above 1.723 you're predicting a long here?[/quote]
if 4H can close above 1.1723 at 4H close, then 4H reverses to uptrend...plus 1H already uptrend... yes its better to be long if that happens... ..
  • #19,353
  • Edited 11:02am Jun 4, 2018 9:59am | Edited 11:02am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} pong is exactly 1746,, possible range 1681/1746.. I like the 4h to turn north, and 1616 long atm..
wait to see...it can hit 1681+ spread...
Gator , you are unreal,,,. your prediction,,,thanks...
  • #19,354
  • Edited 2:26pm Jun 4, 2018 10:46am | Edited 2:26pm
Quoting micho
{quote} hey how are you?
not too bad thanks, yourself?


Holding shorts 1.1742 x2 - no target atm.
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  • #19,355
  • Jun 4, 2018 3:11pm Jun 4, 2018 3:11pm
Ast and reliving we will be hitting the pin bar in m15 shortley
  • #19,356
  • Jun 4, 2018 3:14pm Jun 4, 2018 3:14pm
Quoting Boulder
{quote} wait to see...it can hit 1681+ spread... Gator , you are unreal,,,. your prediction,,,thanks...
the close was higher, so 1710 is probably a gimme.. usually with a higher close. the high or the resistance would be tested in the next 24 hrs after london. 1746 was not touched atm, but it was close enough. it may have some resistance as well as 1724.. it would be normal to return to 1616 again.. if the atm high isn't broken... than 1616 may be 1608.. lots of ifs and buts to develop in the meantime. some ranging between 1746 and 1681 kinda expected. your 4h may come into play.. but the draw to 1616 should develop at some point before 193x ish
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #19,357
  • Jun 4, 2018 4:38pm Jun 4, 2018 4:38pm
Quoting Don96
{quote} not too bad thanks, yourself? Holding shorts 1.1742 x2 - no target atm. {image}
i am good don, just got back from GYM feeling good
hope we get some good movements up or down this week to close some trades
When life gives you lemons, make lemonade
  • #19,358
  • Jun 4, 2018 4:45pm Jun 4, 2018 4:45pm
Quoting micho
{quote} i am good don, just got back from GYM feeling good hope we get some good movements up or down this week to close some trades
i see retail keeps selling dollar, ill stay short for now.
  • #19,359
  • Jun 4, 2018 6:08pm Jun 4, 2018 6:08pm
Eur/Usd: Key Target Levels For 6/5/2018 ,
( My EA targets are in bold)

For Shorts: L1: 1.1672 L2:1.1649 L3: 1.1610

For Longs: L1: 1.1718 L2:1.1741 L3: 1.1780

Currently @7pm est
1H uptrend stop : 1.1674;
4H downtrend stop : 1.1717
  • #19,360
  • Jun 4, 2018 6:33pm Jun 4, 2018 6:33pm
buddy thread: Gatorinla and Boulder; Don966 and Micho
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