EUR/USD statistics over 12 year of data. How to trade from it? | Forex Factory

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EUR/USD statistics over 12 year of data. How to trade from it?

  • #1
  • First Post: May 25, 2018 4:21am May 25, 2018 4:21am
Attached you will find EUR/USD stats over 12 years of data.

QUESTION:
What trading tips can we draw from these statistics? What is your opinion?

Am I correct to draw the conclusion:
- if the candle mid-week is bullish, then it's usually safe to hold a buy position (from Wednesday) until the end of the week (Friday). (argument: according to these stats, in an uptrend price closes near the high of the weekly candle) and on Wednesday it's usually safe to buy from the pivot point: S1, S2 and S3 in a bullish candle (uptrend signal). Correct? Or are there other conclusions to draw from the stats (source: see page 4, table)


EURUSD weekly range statistical analysis (1).pdf:
Attached File(s)
File Type: pdf EURUSD weekly range statistical analysis (1).pdf   402 KB | 600 downloads
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  • #2
  • May 25, 2018 1:49pm May 25, 2018 1:49pm
Quoting michaellobry
Attached you will find EUR/USD stats over 12 years of data. QUESTION: What trading tips can we draw from these statistics? What is your opinion? Am I correct to draw the conclusion: - if the candle mid-week is bullish, then it's usually safe to hold a buy position (from Wednesday) until the end of the week (Friday). (argument: according to these stats, in an uptrend price closes near the high of the weekly candle) and on Wednesday it's usually safe to buy from the pivot point: S1, S2 and S3 in a bullish candle (uptrend signal). Correct? Or are there...
Thank you very much for adding this pdf; I am going to read this file right now, surely I’ll update you when it will be done.
  • #3
  • May 25, 2018 4:42pm May 25, 2018 4:42pm
Quoting MariaEduard
{quote} Thank you very much for adding this pdf; I am going to read this file right now, surely I’ll update you when it will be done.
Thank you! I'll await your reply.
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  • #4
  • May 26, 2018 11:44am May 26, 2018 11:44am
Quoting michaellobry
Attached you will find EUR/USD stats over 12 years of data. QUESTION: What trading tips can we draw from these statistics? What is your opinion? Am I correct to draw the conclusion: - if the candle mid-week is bullish, then it's usually safe to hold a buy position (from Wednesday) until the end of the week (Friday). (argument: according to these stats, in an uptrend price closes near the high of the weekly candle) and on Wednesday it's usually safe to buy from the pivot point: S1, S2 and S3 in a bullish candle (uptrend signal). Correct? Or are there...
the two guys I would ask are Davit and Maxdoom. when it comes to pivots.
I see Max posting on the EUR/USD thread sometimes.
  • #5
  • May 26, 2018 12:13pm May 26, 2018 12:13pm
Quoting michaellobry
Attached you will find EUR/USD stats over 12 years of data. QUESTION: What trading tips can we draw from these statistics?
Absolutely zero.

You can't formulate any trading strategy based on 'stats'. The market is a living and breathing force where no tick is ever the same as the last.

Price doesn't react off pivot points. It may appear to do so based on the selected cross pair that coincidentally shows that it does.
  • #6
  • May 26, 2018 2:11pm May 26, 2018 2:11pm
Quoting michaellobry
{quote} Thank you! I'll await your reply.
You are always welcome; surely I’ll.
  • #7
  • May 31, 2018 3:49am May 31, 2018 3:49am
Quoting MariaEduard
{quote} You are always welcome; surely I’ll.
Have you read the file
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  • #8
  • May 31, 2018 3:57am May 31, 2018 3:57am
Attached are statistics for the major pairs, FOR EXAMPLE EUR/USD.

After you have finished reading the .pdf file, please take a look again at pages 10, 12, 13, 24 and 27 and 33.

What conclusions can we draw from this pdf? Thursdays we will use a trend system, Friday's reversal and on Monday's a ranged system. What did you understand from this pdf? Only 14% is trend (read page 9 for full details), so should we abandon the thought of using a trend system? What is your opinion regarding these statistics?

"The material you have read has taken you through the “habits” of the GBP/USD currency pair. Let’s put it all together and recap what we now know about this pair. To do this, we’ll take a look at a fully assembled GBP/USD cheat sheet. The numbered notes correspond to the numbers on the cheat sheet below. 1. Monday through Thursday are the optimal trading days 2. Thursday is GBP/USD’s most active day 3. The best hours to trade GBP/USD are between 1:00 AM EST and 13:00 PM EST 4. 5:00 AM EST to 9:00 AM is the most active trading time 5. 74% of trends run between 6 and 17 bars in length before a retracement 6. The median length of a GBP/USD trend is 11 bars before a retracement 7. Trends length varies with the day of the week and the hour of the day the trend begins 8. 75% of price moves are between 50 and 150 pips; 43% are between 100 and 150 pips 9. We can expect to capture between 94 and 125 of the overall pips in a trend, depending on the trading day "
Attached File(s)
File Type: pdf Forex Traders Cheat Sheet.pdf   321 KB | 379 downloads
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  • #9
  • May 31, 2018 9:30am May 31, 2018 9:30am
Quoting michaellobry
{quote} Have you read the file
I am on the way; need 1 more day to complete it! Surely, I’ll update you very soon.
  • #10
  • Jun 1, 2018 7:52am Jun 1, 2018 7:52am
It's interesting.
Thank you for sharing this for us.

If there is more like this,I'll be happy to read.
  • #11
  • Jun 1, 2018 10:57pm Jun 1, 2018 10:57pm
Quoting john0415
It's interesting. Thank you for sharing this for us. If there is more like this,I'll be happy to read.
I will . So how do we trade from the information we read in the .pdf files?
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