The Equilibrium, a key to success!

1:0 for the Equilibrium


Hello dear traders,

exactly 22 hours ago I posted the following text.

The first hurdle 1,199 is reached as expected. We are now in an area where demand dominates supply. Time for a small pullback, until 1.209 / 1.215 and then continue down the journey.



A few minutes after my mail, the course shot up and slightly above my drawn line and then down sharply. During the course of today the price has touched the 1.2090 again and is down again.
Theoretically, we might still see the 1.215 before the price goes down further.
With the help of the Equilibrium you could achieve 1 or 2 beautiful trades with 60 pip each in the last 22 hours.

You see how crucial equilibrium, supply and demand can be. Of course, you can not always predict the course of the course, but from time to time it's worth it.
Let's wait and see if the pullback will continue and make it to a maximum of 1.215. He could probably turn off earlier and continue down the course. We are in a strong demand market, a lot of energy has to be spent to get down to a strong bottom.
I will post the resistance for the next week at the weekend.

Good luck tomorrow

best regards

[quote=skipper13;11023533][


Hello Klaus,

I am very happy that you benefit from the Equilibrium, because that's why the blog was launched. If you stay tuned and analyze the Equilibrium every day, you will quickly achieve sustainable results. You can always compare your experiences with the blog to identify possible sources of error faster.

Good luck and Best regards
Micha

Resistance and support lines


Hello dear traders,

attached are the resistance and support lines for the 4H chart and 15M chart. For the 4H chart, I have once shown the main lines between 1.217 to 1,160.



Resistance and support lines 4H Chart

1.2171 / 1.2145
1.2117 / 1.2097
1.2071 / 1.2064
1.2032 / 1.2026
1.1996 / 1.1987
1.1954 / 1.1947
1.1920 / 1.1911
1.1850 / 1.1831
1.1801 / 1.1781
1.1743 / 1.1728
1.1689 / 1.1666
1.1619 / 1.1606

For the short-term range from the 6th of May I have sketched the lines in the 15 M chart. However, the price could move out of these resistance levels later in the day.



Resistance and support lines 15M Chart

1.2028 / 1.2025
1.2017 / 1.2013
1.2000 / 1.1998
1.1992 / 1.1990
1.1981 / 1.1979
1.1972 / 1.1969
1.1959 / 1.1957
1.1950 / 1.1947
1.1943 / 1.1941
1.1937 / 1.1926

Since these are resistance and support lines, you should pay attention to how the course behaves within or along those lines. This is easier to see in smaller timeframes. In addition, the currency strength of the Euro / Dollar, the respective candle strength and the Dollar Index help in the evaluation and decision-making.

I wish you much success

best regards

Good day Michael,
Thanks for the info, so I can compare with my own S / R

Hello Klaus,

At the weekend, the S / R lines are usually a little harder to draw than during the week, as we have a break on Friday evening. So there are 48 hours without trade in between. In this trade-free time, many big players pay more attention to world news. In these 48 hours accumulate a lot of messages. However, since there is no market and therefore no price position, it can not be determined how a message may affect a price. At the beginning of the week, there is often a wait and see attitude to see how the market reacts to the past weekend.

Nevertheless, one can anticipate the zones based on demand and supply. A little tip:
On Monday, I will take a closer look at the Asian market in the 5 M chart and determine the short-term price. Particularly interesting are the large price swings, it is easiest to derive the S / R zones.

I wish you a successful week
best regards

Forecast and reality


Hello dear traders,

Today I want to show you how important and crucial the equilibrium, supply and demand for a trader can be.
Between Christmas and New Year 2017, I analyzed my Equilibrium, which I posted on 01.01.2018 at FF.



My forecast for the year 2018 was:

Open: 1.19900
High: 1.39900
Low: 1,17900
Close: 1.37600

Attached Image (click to enlarge)

I once presented the daily chart of the EURUSD as I saw it on 01.01.2018. There I have drawn my prognosis.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)

Let's look at the result.If you look closely, there are a few flaws

The Open was at 1.20 and not at 1.199
The course is still a bit down on 02:01:18, until he then rose sharply.
The course ran until 1.255 and not until 1.249.
Nobody can say exactly how far down the course is going.

Nevertheless, the forecast I posted 5 months ago has worked well so far.
Since no one can look to the future and I do not count myself among the top traders in the industry, the result is still amazing.
Of course, there is always a little luck, but I still maintain that you can foretell many things based on the Equilibrium, which then actually occur.
The result has nothing to do with my abilities, I'm a normal trader like everyone here on the net. But I use the law of the market economy of supply and demand. You can discuss it as you like, it works. Not always, but in more than 50% of cases. And that's enough to realize profits in this big shark tank.
If you want to get to know this principle of supply and demand, start in this block and work your way through. When you get back to Post 546 and have questions, I'm here to help.

I've tried over 100 different systems, installed thousands of indicators, and have been acting on this system of supply and demand for over 10 years.
For that reason, I have come to the conclusion that I will continue to do so. I do not say that this system is the best in the world, but I can feed my family and that is crucial to me.

I do not sell seminars or EA's, I do not favor brokers and I do not earn any money by writing in this block. I earn my money through trading. The traders who are looking forward to this information and would like to join this block will gladly receive my support.

I am happy about suggestions for improvement, but I will not discuss supply and demand. The scientists have already done that extensively.

An individual can do little, together we are stronger.

I wish you a very successful week

Best regards

How did it go?


Hello dear traders,

On Sunday, 06.May 18 I published a forecast for the coming week at noon.
Let's take a closer look.



The prognosis was once set up in the 15 M and in the 4 H chart. I used a 1H chart for a better overview.
The purple lines were set by me for the coming week.
Three more red lines were added by me on Monday, Tuesday and Thursday.
I wrote on Sunday that creating a forecast on the weekend is very difficult and I like to wait for Monday. I want to show you why.
The top purple line was my resistance line which had strongly rejected the course on Friday for the second time. So I realized that this resistance is no longer fresh and the price is unlikely to reach this zone. On Monday, the price rose sharply for a short time and was then strongly rejected. There I drew my first red zone. (Equilibrium).

My 2nd purple line was broken down. After that, the course moved near my third purple line and from that very line it went down sharply. On Tuesday, I recorded the second red line, which resulted from the current price.

At the bottom thick purple line, I realized that there is a large demand market here. When the course reached the zone for the first time, it was turned up. Not so strong though. The course had to go down a bit further. Somewhat outside my lower line, demand was so strong that it made it to my red line on Tuesday.
He was pushed down again, had satisfied all sellers and could then continue his way up.

The course made it almost to my 2nd Purple Line (from the top) and was strongly rejected as expected. There was a strong supply market there. The was as you can see on Monday triggered. Then I drew the third red line on Thursday.

In principle, we had a big equilibrium here until the price finally came back to my red line from Tuesday. There was a big demand market there that drove the course up to my Monday line. There was again a strong supply market, which has strongly rejected the course.

You realize how important in the case was the Monday, there I have drawn the red line and could assume that there is a change of course here.
With these guides, some nice trades were possible this week. As you can see, the guidelines in the 4 H chart are only approximate.

I prefer to draw the long-term lines in the 1 H chart and then go into the 15 M chart. There I then draw in my guides. In the 15 M chart you can make more precise statements about a short-term trend change.

Another important help is the currency strength of the euro and the dollar in the 1H chart. This gives you important hints for the overall trend of a scalper at an early stage.


How important supply and demand can be is shown in the following chart.



On April 26, 2018 I drew a blue, purple and yellow line in the 4 H chart. If you follow this course, there are some interesting aspects.
Although the price on the yellow line has been heavily depreciated, I could imagine that we only have a pullback within a downtrend. Therefore, I think that it could go a little deeper again. Between 1.172 and 1.179 there is a strong demand zone, which could ensure that we could soon see the 1.28 again.
But these are pure speculations. I wanted to show you these charts to convince you how important supply, demand and equilibrium are.
Of course, I'm not always right, but the odds where I'm right is well over 50%. A good reason to take a closer look at Equilibrium.

I hope that I could help a little further and I wish you a very successful trading week

Best regards

Greetings Bionics, tq for sharing your experience. Please review chart posted and update tq

Hello okshop,

Thanks for the nice words and that positive feedback for this block.
In the daily chart, the candles are very rough for me, so it is very difficult to make concrete statements in this chart image. I will try it anyway.



I once tried to draw the most important lines. On the lower red line, one can clearly make out a strong demand market. Therefore, I believe that there will be a strong buyer market in this area. If the price goes beyond 1.208, a strong price increase would be foreseeable, as there is a strong demand market there. I believe the price could turn earlier to mobilize buyers between the lower red and blue line, which could bring the price to 1.28.
However, I do not want to lean out of the window so far. I am Scalper and think in much shorter steps.

Of course, I look at the daily chart, but I recognize the equilibrium much better on the smaller timeframes.
Therefore, this prognosis should be considered with caution. For myself create in the day some predictions that are corrected again and again in smaller time units. I have the best experience.

I hope I could help you anyway.

Greetings and good luck from Monday.

Great Bionics, super experience you are sharing. May I share H1 EU chart and the potential entry on the chart with a low risk entry? Please comment, TQ again regards

[quote=okshop;11053563]{quote} Great Bionics, super experience you are sharing.

Procedure with supply and demand

Hello okshop, hello dear traders,

that you work on the principle of supply and demand is definitely a very good approach. However, I would advise against working in a 1H chart with a 5 pip stop because the overview is too inaccurate and volatility could quickly ruin your billing.



I myself work with an overview that shows me 9 different time units. (20 sec, 1M, 5M, 15M, 30M, 1H, 4H, D and WK.
There I use two auxiliary indicators to show me the strong momentum and the trend strength.

In these time units I draw in my lines and balance these lines with the smaller time units. The matches signal me a higher hit chance. My trades are in the 5M or 15M chart. In the 5 minute chart, a small stop is easier to realize.

For entering a trade, I use a specially created dashboard next to my lines.
In Post 264 of February 11th I described this dashboard with indicators exactly.

https://www.forexfactory.com/showthr...0#post10767050

My Dashboard is regularly revised and equipped with new projects, so it differs from the post. Nevertheless, the main auxiliary indicators are available in the Post 264.



I would like to briefly describe the essential overviews

Point 1
Here the currency strength in the 1 H chart for the euro (green) and the dollar (red) is shown. This makes it easier to derive the medium-term trend. It is very clear when the strength of the dollar or the euro increases or decreases.

Point 2
The currency strength of the dollar (above) and the euro (below) individually tailored to all important currency opponents. Likewise, an early warning system when changing the trend.

Point 3
The strength of the dollar (red) and the euro (green) in the 5 minute chart. The blue line represents the sum of dollars and euros. Important to quickly identify an Equilibrium. In combination with point 1 a very reliable early warning system.

Point 4
The candle strength in the different time units, including the candle formation as you can see in the chart image.

Point 5
Dollar Index (blue) and EURUSD (pink) brought to a common denominator in the 1M chart to see differences faster.

The basic focus is on my drawn lines which I have coordinated in different time units.

If I have made a line in the 15 M chart and 1 H chart, I switch to the 5 M chart where the line is drawn automatically.
If I can assume that a trend change could take place on this line, I now look at my dashboard. However, that depends on the situation. As a rule, I usually know in advance that a change in trend is announced. Then the dashboard is less interesting for me.

Basically you can say that you can never rely on indicators, but over time you get a feeling for each situation. I draw a lot of lines into my charts during the day, but sometimes I do not enter a trade right there because the situation is not clear enough for me. As a rule, I press on BUY still in the falling market or on sell still in the rising price, if the price comes to a decisive line.

This approach has proven itself, as I am in case of success relatively quickly in profit. After that, feeling is required to stay in the trade or to quit early.
The dashboard has sometimes served me very well. But I do not rely on indicators. They are sometimes a nice confirmation, as they are unfortunately trailing.

An exact statement gives you the current price chart.

But due to the formation of candles, the price chart is often difficult to interpret.
The decisive answer to my questions as to where the trend is lies in the supply and demand of the past prices.

But this is like driving a car, as a novice driver I have to look at the speedometer to know how fast you drive. A driving professional can do that without looking at the speedometer.

So it's like everything: a question of time.

Best regards

hi bionic thank you for your hard work.i will follow your trade

Wow amazing. Congrats.

Hello palpite, dear traders

Thank you very much for the compliment. I am particularly pleased because you have been successful as a professional for many years. Trading is easy, trading successfully is very difficult, but the hardest part is explaining how to trade successfully. But I see this as a challenge.

Sometimes you sit in front of the screen and deliberately do not enter a trade that looks secure. You can not explain why and suddenly something happens in the market and you are glad that you have not entered into this trade.
But how do you explain or write that down?

But I realize that every day it will be easier for other successful traders to get closer to my system.
I am happy for the support and would like to thank all Subscribers once again for the questions and the encouragement. I will continue to provide my experience free of charge and hope to help others. I am also helped by my own contributions to explain why this system has worked for years.
If you look at my first post, which I posted earlier this year and compare it to my recent posts, you will not notice a difference.
Supply, demand and equilibrium are key to success, there are certainly many keys, but I'm happy with the key I own.

I'm happy to bring you the secret of this key and I promise to get better every day to make it easier to explain.

I wish you a successful trading week
Best regards

In the next weeks i'll test the correlation between the timeframes using moving averages, my intention is for not open trades before the time, for to protect our money.

Hello dear traders,

on May 13th, 07:00 CET I once tried to draw the next resistance lines in the daily chart. I also assumed on May 13 that the price at this time does not run until 1.213 but already turns down before



As you can see that works well in the daily chart. Point 2 could be determined very precisely with the Equilibrium.
As you can see the price went up to point 2 and was strongly rejected. Now we are at point 3. That was 60 pip up and 75 pip down.
At the moment, the dollar has become much stronger again and just a little equilibrium has formed.

Let's take a closer look at the possible pullback.

Actually, the course should fall in the medium term still something to get into zone of the strong demand market, then the course could run back towards 1.28. Nevertheless, one can identify supply and demand significantly better in the smaller time units. We may see the lowest low this year in the next 2 weeksbevor the EURUSD continues its journey upwards.

It remains exciting and we see that it is always a big challenge. Nevertheless, the Equilibrium helps to show the rough direction.

I wish you success
Best regards

Long-term outlook


Hello dear traders,

Again and again one asks oneself the question, why the course goes up or down now and when there is finally a turnaround.
The answer to this is obtained from the market. Decisive are the supply zones and demand zones. So when does supply dominate demand and when does demand dominate supply?



For a better overview, I have shown a year chart from 1971 to today.

Let's start with point 1. There is a supply market in this zone, which means that there are fewer traders ready to buy in this area. From point 2 there was a strong demand in the market. There are more buyers than sellers in the market. Similarly, you can see from point 3 how the strength of the buyer increases. This fact prevented the EURUSD from falling below 1.03 and since then has risen sharply.

Point 4 signals a strong supply market, which was intercepted again from point 5 onwards. Now let's take a closer look at point 6. The EURUSD rose sharply to 1.255 and thereafter the price was turned down. You can see very nicely the parallel to point 1. There was also a strong supply market.

At point 7 there is again a strong demand market. The still red annual candle will develop like the candle over point 3 and shoot strongly upwards. Why? Because we have a strong demand in this zone.

Of course, these are pure hypotheses, because no one can predict the market. Certainly not in the long run. But the annual candles speak a clear language of supply and demand since they are more accurate than the monthly candles.

This means we have a strong demand market between 1.163 and 1.184, so the question is: how much does the price have to go down until the strength of the demand market is such that enough buyers get into the market? I think that this point can be reached between 1.172 and 1.179.That could then be the lowest point for this year and up to 1.399 everything is open.

However, I recommend here, as always, the smaller time units to vote with the larger time units. This information is worth gold and helps to determine possible price developments.

So let's analyze the market, then we will record our lines and make a great deal of one or another trade.

I wish you much success and a great trading week.
Best regards

Turnaround or pullback?


Hello dear traders,

About 40 hours ago, when the price was at 1.193, I predicted that, due to the Equilibrium, the price would go up again between 1.179 to 1.172.



In the 1H chart, the forecast was for the white box at the top blue arrow. The range from 1.179 to 1.172 I have marked with 2 red lines.



You can see that more clearly in the 15M chart. At 1.176, the trend change came up, at least 60 pip. However, there is still no reason to breathe easy and to hope that the price are going strong up now.



Let's look at the EURO strength (green) and the Dollar strength (red). The dollar is still much stronger than the euro. The dollar has lost much of its strength in the last few hours. As it looks like the euro, it seems to be stronger in relation to the dollar. But the 60-pip increase in recent hours has not been driven by the strength of the EUR, but is due to a weakness of the dollar.

Therefore, I would be careful here already to speak of a big turnaround. As I wrote earlier, there is a large demand market within the range of 1.179 to 1.172.
The problem we currently have is that there is an even stronger demand zone in the range of 1.168 to 1.163.



The question now is whether there are enough buyers to push the price higher or buyers are still waiting. This phase is now particularly exciting and I would recommend watching this phase in smaller time units. If the dollar strength continues to fall now and the euro is stronger at the same time could call the other buyer on the market. If it goes up then, more and more will jump on the bandwagon to miss nothing. That could speed up the price. So let's see if it's a change of course or just a pullback. If the price actually falls even stronger, would be the latest in the range of 1.168 to 1.163 conclusion. There is then a strong sprint upwards.
But let's just wait and see, the chances of a sprint upwards look good, as long as the price is well above 1.172.

It is particularly exciting in all turnaround phases, because the next upward turnaround means that we reached the lowest level in 2018.
Now we hope for the strong buyers.

I wish you a good luck and keep your fingers crossed for us all. The big target of 1,399 is 2,200 pip away, so it's worth taking a closer look.

Best regards

Why nothing happens?


Hello dear traders,

even if it does not look like it at first sight, the EURUSD is currently in an equilibrium. I once plotted the range with a blue field.



This situation shows a clear uncertainty of traders. Equilibrium is always a clear statement, because if investors are uncertain, nothing happens. The challenge now is to determine the next direction, since after equilibrium often a sharp rise in price or price drop occurs. A price increases until it enters the offer zone. This means that the supply is greater than the demand. So there are no investors who are willing to buy at this price.

Depending on how strong this offer zone is, the price is strongly or weakly rejected. If the course is weakly rejected, equilibrium will be created. Under certain circumstances, the course must penetrate once again in the offer zone to then be rejected more. Then suddenly more sellers jump up and push the course down.
At some point, the course will be rejected again and there will be an Equilibrium.

The EURUSD has penetrated a demand zone, but this demand zone has not been so strong that it has been sharply turned upside. Now an equilibrium was created.
The price may need to penetrate more strongly into the demand zone to find enough buyers to push up the price. As already written yesterday, the situation before a turnaround is always a small challenge. As scalpers, these equilibriums are interesting for trading, but as day traders they are more of an ugly situation.



Whether the course turns at point 1 or point 2 is not quite clear with the Equilibrium. The stronger demand zone is at point 2, but I still believe that we have almost reached the reversal point.
The course has already run into the red zone, but demand has remained limited so far. Add to that the momentary uncertainty, but that will change quickly. Zone 1,1179, as I worked out of Equilibrium at the beginning of the year, is still interesting. If the course suddenly falls down quickly and then goes back up sharply, that could be a small hint.



The 3 help lines that I have drawn on April 26, 2018, were not quite correct, but they have helped me with some decisions.
Draw your own lines and observe how the course behaves there, which makes some decisions easier.

I keep my fingers crossed for everyone
Best regards

Hello dear traders,





attached are my most important zones for the next days or weeks

1,19692 / 1,19604

1,19116 / 1,19058

1,18548 / 1.18469

1,18176 / 1,18063

1,17916 / 1,17835

1.17704 / 1.17635

1.17367 / 1.17296

1.17193 / 1.17141

1,16749 / 1,16666

1.16402 / 1.16182

Best regards