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The Paradox System

  • #13,901
  • May 14, 2018 11:35am May 14, 2018 11:35am
Quoting TyD
{quote} Thank you for the reply and I completely understand that you're not willing to risk misinforming me and other traders. I am not sure that I understand everything you said. I think I understood that you said that the H4 ROMAR is the only resistance at that level, and due to being the only resistance at that level, the trend is stronger and has more power to break through it. Did I understand that correctly? Now, I did not fully understand what you meant with the following statement. {quote} Once again, thank you for your time and reply ...
I meant "If the market bounced from H4 ROMAR and started to go down, how many supports the market would face on every charts to go down?"
  • #13,902
  • May 14, 2018 11:44am May 14, 2018 11:44am
Quoting Ronin303
{quote} I meant "If the market bounced from H4 ROMAR and started to go down, how many supports the market would face on every charts to go down?"
Ahaa, I understand now. Thank you for the explanation and the clarification =)
  • #13,903
  • May 15, 2018 6:40am May 15, 2018 6:40am
My Trading Plan: EURJPY

Date (Local): 15/05/2018
Time: Tokyo Open

Red News:
1230 (GMT) - USD - Core Retail Sales m/m


Daily:

ROMAR: Resistance
EMA: Resistance
PSAR: Support (not fixed)

Checklist:

Last MACD 0 Cross: Up
Last EMA arrow: Up
Last DB attachment: Bottom at 129.222
Last SAR attachment: Top at 131.365
Fibo: Up/Green

Notes: Daily is in an upswing. White and Smooth crossed Purple for up. EMA is still resistance. Candle opened above EMA. MACD up arrow appeared on current candle.

H4:

ROMAR: Resistance
EMA: Support
PSAR: Support

Checklist:

Last DB attachment: Top at 131.365
Last SAR attachment: Together with DB
Fibo: Red/Down

Notes: H4 touched upper BB at fibo 0.0 with DB and SAR attachment. After connection of green divergence at upper BB market touched EMA. Candle opened above EMA and just above 23.6 fibo and ROMAR resistance. White is at Purple.


H2:

Day Open Price: 130.802
ROMAR: Support
EMA: Resistance
PSAR: Resistance

Checklist:

Last MACD 0 Cross: Down
Last EMA arrow: Down
Last DB attachment: Top at 131.365
Last SAR attachment: Bottom at 130.733
Fibo: Red/Down

Notes: H2 may be in a downswing. EMA in on Purple to cross for down. 4 horsemen are down against ROMAR support. DB is on top at upper BB with green divergence showing and SAR is on bottom below Parabolic. MACD is strongly down. Candle opened below Purple and EMA.


H1:

ROMAR: Support
EMA: Resistance
PSAR: Resistance

Checklist:

Last MACD 0 Cross: Down
Last EMA arrow: Down
Fibo: Red/Down

Notes: 4 horsemen are down along with EMA against ROMAR support but White crossed Purple for up again. Candle opened just below EMA.


Final Notes: Daily is turning for up. SAR connected on top of Daily well above Parabolic. So Daily may go for down again or may go up to connect DB on top. In H2 EMA is on Purple to cross for down and candle opened below EMA. This is a good setup to go for short but there is not enough pips up to H2 ROMAR support or H2 61.8 fibo.

Entry for Long: Will go for long from H2 ROMAR support which is also H1 ROMAR support and H4 Parabolic support and Daily EMA.

Entry for Short: ---

Adjustments: H2 didn’t go up to ROMAR and turning for up again. White and Smooth crossed Purple for up and EMA in on Purple for crossing. H4 ROMAR become support. Decided to go long on this open candle.

Final Entry: Long at 131.093 for 40/40

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Entry EJ H2 2018-05-15-1600.png Size: 72 KB


Result: SL hit (-40)

Self Evaluation: SL hit in a single H2 candle. H4 Parabolic couldn’t hold. I don’t know the actual problem of my trade. But I think I should wait for the clear cross of EMA with Purple on H2 for the long. H2 61.8 fibo is a good target for the market but I didn’t think of it without H1 turning for down.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Result EJ H2 2018-05-15-1600.png Size: 74 KB
  • #13,904
  • May 15, 2018 8:11am May 15, 2018 8:11am
Quoting Ronin303
My Trading Plan: EURJPY Date (Local): 15/05/2018 Time: Tokyo Open Red News: 1230 (GMT) - USD - Core Retail Sales m/m Daily: ROMAR: Resistance EMA: Resistance PSAR: Support (not fixed) Checklist: Last MACD 0 Cross: Up Last EMA arrow: Up Last DB attachment: Bottom at 129.222 Last SAR attachment: Top at 131.365 Fibo: Up/Green Notes: Daily is in an upswing. White and Smooth crossed Purple for up. EMA is still resistance. Candle opened above EMA. MACD up arrow appeared on current candle. H4: ROMAR: Resistance EMA: Support PSAR: Support Checklist: Last...
Could the PSAR on H2 be the reason for your SL? It did not flip today until the market turn back to downtrend?
  • #13,905
  • May 16, 2018 5:00am May 16, 2018 5:00am
Hi everyone, first i want to introduce myself.
I am a novice to the market, wanting to make money. Have some previous experience, but no actual success, so far.

This system got my interest because of the dynamic S/R levels which i have often seen acting, but never actually saw them.

I want to start with USD/JPY:

DAILY CHART – 16/05/18:
ROMAR: Support
EMA: Support
Parabolic: Support

NOTES: Candle Above 4 Horsemen, MACD turning up,

2 HOUR CHART:

Opening: 110.80
ROMAR: Support
EMA: Resistance
Parabolic: Resistance

NOTES: Purple did not cross Smooth for down, previous candle bounced of parabolic

1 HOUR CHART:

ROMAR: Support
EMA: Resistance
Parabolic: Resistance

Notes: Purple crossed Smooth for down

Conclusion: Will wait for H2 candle open below parabolic (taking care with support on daily) OR H2 open above 4 Horsemen
  • #13,906
  • Edited 4:10pm May 16, 2018 5:30am | Edited 4:10pm
My Trading Plan: EURJPY

Date (Local): 16/05/2018
Time: Tokyo Open

Red News:
1200 (GMT) - EUR - ECB President Draghi Speaks
1230 (GMT) - USD - Building Permits


Daily:

ROMAR: Resistance
EMA: Resistance
PSAR: Resistance

Checklist:

Last MACD 0 Cross: Up
Last EMA arrow: Down
Last DB attachment: Bottom at 129.222
Last SAR attachment: Top at 131.365
Fibo: Up/Green

Notes: Daily ROMAR, EMA and Parabolic are resistance but White and Smooth crossed Purple for up. DB is at bottom and SAR on top. It seems Daily was in an upswing in a downtrend. Yesterday candle opened above Parabolic but Parabolic didn’t flip. Today candle opened below EMA and Purple.


H4:

ROMAR: Resistance
EMA: Resistance
PSAR: Resistance

Checklist:

Last DB attachment: Bottom at 130.296
Last SAR attachment: With and under DB
Fibo: Red/Down

Notes: H4 ROMAR sliding over EMA. Parabolic flipped and DB attached at bottom on previous candle. H4 is now in full down.


H2:

Day Open Price: 130.604
ROMAR: Support
EMA: Resistance
PSAR: Resistance

Checklist:

Last MACD 0 Cross: Down
Last EMA arrow: Down
Last DB attachment: Bottom at 130.296
Last SAR attachment: Together with DB
Fibo: Red/Down

Notes: 4 horsemen are down along with EMA. DB and SAR connected on bottom near lower BB. ROMAR is still support but EMA is heading for ROMAR to cross.


H1:

ROMAR: Resistance
EMA: Resistance
PSAR: Resistance

Checklist:

Last MACD 0 Cross: Down
Last EMA arrow: Down
Fibo: Green/Up

Notes: ROMAR crossed EMA for down. H1 is in full down. Candle opened well below Purple.


Final Notes: Daily was in an upswing and now EMA down arrow appeared and opened below EMA and Purple. H4 ROMAR sliding over EMA and now in full down. H2 ROMAR is still support but EMA is heading for it to cross. H1 full down.

Entry for Long: ---

Entry for Short: After ROMAR become resistance in H2 will be looking for short from resistance.

Final Entry: No Entry.

Self Evaluation: I think I missed a very good opportunity to go short today. And I also think my plan was very good. After ROMAR crossed EMA for down on H2 I should have entered on the open candle. But I was expecting the market would touch H2 ROMAR which was my problem. ROMAR was only 10 pips above that open candle. The confluence was the Daily EMA resistance, H4 four horsemen and H2 ROMAR EMA crossing just 10 pips above. The distraction was H1 Parabolic flip. A very bad attitude not pulling the trigger and couldn't recognize the confluence. Will see tomorrow.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Result EJ 2018-05-16-0600.png Size: 67 KB


(THIS PHOTO OF PARTIAL CHARTS IS ONLY FOR REFERENCE TO MY SELF EVALUATION)
  • #13,907
  • May 16, 2018 7:33am May 16, 2018 7:33am
Opened trade after H2 candle open below Parabolic Support, Parabolic flipped to Resistance.
In H1 White and Purple changed to support but still Resistance Parabolic.

Attached Image
  • #13,908
  • May 16, 2018 8:34am May 16, 2018 8:34am
has anyone here soft fx simulator? Im thinknig of buying but wonder does it play nice with the paradox system to do back testing? cheers!
  • #13,909
  • May 16, 2018 10:15am May 16, 2018 10:15am
Closed with Loss: - 16 pips
Closed after candle open above Parabolic.

Self Review:

I think the plan was good, but with a too early entry.
In the future i will not make the mistake of trading during red USD news.
Attached Image
  • #13,910
  • May 16, 2018 5:21pm May 16, 2018 5:21pm
Quoting Sinai
Closed with Loss: - 16 pips Closed after candle open above Parabolic. Self Review: I think the plan was good, but with a too early entry. In the future i will not make the mistake of trading during red USD news. {image}
Firstly welcome,

Just an observation as I'm not sure how much of the thread you have read so far but you might want to go back and read some of the key rules .firstly we are now trading the EURJPY so all posted plans need to be for that pair.

Also you are supposed to close trades 5 mins before any red news releases.

Dom
  • #13,911
  • May 16, 2018 5:52pm May 16, 2018 5:52pm
Quoting Sinai
Closed with Loss: - 16 pips Closed after candle open above Parabolic. Self Review: I think the plan was good, but with a too early entry. In the future i will not make the mistake of trading during red USD news. {image}
And further more - You create a trading plan and post it BEFORE YOU EVEN THINK of posting a trade. And when you post any chart indluding a trading chart you post the WHOLE CHART. You just jump in here thinking you can get by in breaking rules. So I suggest you start from page 1 and learn.
The Dove - Forex Trainer
  • #13,912
  • Edited 7:05pm May 16, 2018 6:24pm | Edited 7:05pm
Hello Everyone,
It's Hasan coming back after a long time. I've been very busy and wasn't able to continue learning the Paradox system. Now I've come to start over and learn as much as I can.

My trading plan: EURJPY
Date: 17/5/2018
Time: Tokyo
Red News:
5:00 pm (My local time)USD- Medium impact news
8:30 pm GBP- Medium impact news

Daily:
ROMAR: Resistance
EMA: Resistance
PSAR: Resistance

Checklist:
Last MACD 0 Cross: Up
Last EMA arrow: Down
Last DB attachment: at 129.22 bottom with green box.
Last SAR attachment: at 129.52 without DB.
FIBO: Green/Up

Notes: Daily is in consolidation. White and Smooth has crossed Purple. PSAR is at EMA and only today's new candle with bullish momentum could make it flip. 23.6 support rejected the market strongly. MACD above 0 line.

4H:

ROMAR: Resistance
EMA: Resistance
PSAR: Resistance

Checklist:
Last DB attachment: 129.52 bottom.
Last SAR attachment: With and under DB.
FIBO: Green/Up

Notes: 4H chart full down. Market trading between indicators.

2H:

Opening Price: 130.24
ROMAR: Resistance
EMA: Resistance
PSAR: Resistance

Checklist:
Last MACD 0 Cross: Up
Last EMA arrow: Up
Last DB attachment: at 129.52 with both divergences attached.
Last SAR attachment: SAR attached at PSAR 130.38
FIBO: Green/Up

Notes: 2h has White/Purple crossing and Smooth at Purple for crossing, SAR attached to PSAR. EMA alert and MACD alert signaling upswing.

1H:

ROMAR: Resistance
EMA: Support
PSAR: Support

Checklist:
Last MACD 0 Cross: Up
Last EMA arrow: Up
FIBO: Green/Up

Notes: 1h 4horsemen up, ROMAR holding resistance.

Final Notes: Daily is in consolidation and we have had 23.6 support rejection, PSAR at EMA. 4h is showing a strong downtrend, but the market is trading between indicators. 2h chart has White/Purple crossing also SAR attachment at PSAR. 1H chart upswing with 4horsemen, but ROMAR resistance. All charts indicating that the major trend is down and 2h chart SAR attachment to PSAR is good entry from resistance to the trend.

Entry for Long:
Entry for Short: Next 2h candle.
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURJPYproH20.png Size: 59 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: EURJPYproH2(2).png Size: 68 KB
  • #13,913
  • May 16, 2018 11:59pm May 16, 2018 11:59pm
Quoting kop10
has anyone here soft fx simulator? Im thinknig of buying but wonder does it play nice with the paradox system to do back testing? cheers!
Hello kop10,

I use the Soft FX simulator for some time now and it works perfectly fine with this system. Learning this system by reading is great, but if you also add the simulator to it you will be able to see everything fellow students were seeing at the time they wrote their posts, which helps you understand the bigger picture. So yeah, I would definitely advise it.

Good luck~!
  • #13,914
  • May 17, 2018 3:01am May 17, 2018 3:01am
Excellent!! news to my ears. The content that Dana has produced along with the forum has been top class. Coupled with the simulator for back testing is very exciting indeed. thanks for the reply Jan!
  • #13,915
  • May 17, 2018 5:15am May 17, 2018 5:15am
My Trading Plan: EURJPY

Date (Local): 17/05/2018
Time: Tokyo Open

Red News:
No red news.


Daily:

ROMAR: Resistance
EMA: Resistance
PSAR: Support (not fixed)

Checklist:

Last MACD 0 Cross: Up
Last EMA arrow: Down
Last DB attachment: Bottom at 129.222
Last SAR attachment: Bottom at 129.520
Fibo: Up/Green

Notes: After an upswing Daily is turning for down again. Last DB is on bottom and SAR is also on bottom to a HL on yesterday candle. New candle opened below EMA, Purple and White.


H4:

ROMAR: Resistance
EMA: Resistance
PSAR: Resistance

Checklist:

Last DB attachment: Bottom at 129.520
Last SAR attachment: With and under DB
Fibo: Red/Down

Notes: H4 is in full down. Yesterday it touched lower BB and now it retraced to EMA. New candle opened on EMA.


H2:

Day Open Price: 130.249
ROMAR: Resistance
EMA: Resistance
PSAR: Resistance

Checklist:

Last MACD 0 Cross: Up
Last EMA arrow: Up
Last DB attachment: Bottom at 129.520
Last SAR attachment: Top at 130.408
Fibo: Green/Up

Notes: H2 ROMAR, EMA and Parabolic are down. It seems H2 is in an upswing. Last DB attachment was at bottom on lower BB and SAR is on top on Parabolic. White and Smooth crossed Purple for up.


H1:

ROMAR: Resistance
EMA: Support
PSAR: Support

Checklist:

Last MACD 0 Cross: Up
Last EMA arrow: Up
Fibo: Green/Up

Notes: 4 horsemen are up against ROMAR. Candle opened just below ROMAR and 61.8 fibo and above Purple.


Final Notes: Daily DB is at bottom and SAR is also at bottom to a HL. Daily opened below EMA, Purple and White. After touching lower BB H4 retraced to EMA and opened on EMA. SAR attached on top of H2 near Parabolic and just below ROMAR. H1 also opened just below ROMAR resistance.

Entry for Long: ---

Entry for Short: Will go short on this open candle.

Adjustments: No adjustments.

Final Entry: Short at 130.386 for 40/40

Rules: After touching BB, retraces are generally up to EMA. SAR attachment on top near Parabolic indicates an entry back to trend. Short trades should be from resistance.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Entry EJ H2 2018-05-17-0600.png Size: 75 KB


Result: SL hit (-40)

Self Evaluation: I am facing my problems again. I couldn’t find the confluence. Daily Smooth is holding support. SAR attachment on H2 for entry short was a bad idea. For going short I should have waited for an open candle below EMA which never happened. Because SAR attachment works best on trend but we are in consolidation. The situation was not to enter for long because of major resistances. It was better for me not to enter at all.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Result EJ H2 2018-05-17-0600.png Size: 74 KB
  • #13,916
  • May 17, 2018 10:29am May 17, 2018 10:29am
Quoting Omarhasan12
Hello Everyone, It's Hasan coming back after a long time. I've been very busy and wasn't able to continue learning the Paradox system. Now I've come to start over and learn as much as I can. My trading plan: EURJPY Date: 17/5/2018 Time: Tokyo Red News: 5:00 pm (My local time)USD- Medium impact news 8:30 pm GBP- Medium impact news Daily: ROMAR: Resistance EMA: Resistance PSAR: Resistance Checklist: Last MACD 0 Cross: Up Last EMA arrow: Down Last DB attachment: at 129.22 bottom with green box. Last SAR attachment: at 129.52 without DB. FIBO: Green/Up...
Result: SL hit.
Self Evaluation: I had stated in my trading plan that a strong bullish momentum could make daily PSAR flip and EMA/MACD alerts and White and smooth crossing purple in 2h chart were enough confluences to go long. I had the dilemma, but I chose going short.
Still I am not able to see the big picture. Lesson learned if the mistake not repeated again.
  • #13,917
  • May 17, 2018 5:08pm May 17, 2018 5:08pm
Trading plan 18/05/2018
Economic news : No red or tentative news

Daily
ROMAR - resistance
EMA - Support/resistance
Parabolic - Support

Checklist:
Last MACD 0 Crossing - up
Last EMA Alert Arrow - down
Last SAR Attachment - down at 129.529
Fibonacci- green

NOTES: Parabolic trend up but romar trend down. Ema slider above purple and next daily bar it will cross ema so ema trend will be up. Let’s check support and resistance which one is not close to market? Of course daily romar about 85 pips. Market is struggling between fibo 23.6 and 38.2.

H4:
ROMAR – resistance
EMA - support
Parabolic – support

Checklist:
Last SAR Attachment – up at 130.835
Last DB Attachment – down at 129.520
Fibonacci – green


NOTES: Market is struggling at romar and 61.8 fibo resistance. What about three major trend? Ema and parabolic up but romar trend down.

H2:
ROMAR – support
EMA - support
Parabolic – support

Checklist:
Last MACD 0 Crossing - up
Last EMA Alert Arrow - up
Last DB Attachment – top at 130.835
Fibonacci – green

NOTES: We are in full blown uptrend. When i saw that ema crossed romar first at H1 and then h2, paradox is telling market will go up and your entry should be long from supports. BB upper band and fibo 100 is my target which is 50-70 pips above market.

H1:
ROMAR - support
EMA - support
Parabolic – support

Checklist:
Last MACD 0 Crossing - up
Last EMA Alert Arrow - up
Fibonacci – red

NOTES: h1 ema crossed romar for the up. In 10-15 pips below market all supports are waiting for up. It means no doubt to go long.



Final Notes: On daily chart 2 important variables for me is; SAR attached at the bottom and parabolic flipped for uptrend. I check daily chart for just reference. Of course my trend chart is H2. I can not say that we are in uptrend at h1 h2 and d1. Why? Because of daily romar resistance we are in consolidation but even in consolidation there is a trend -romar –ema –parabolic. On h2 all trends are in uptrend. Looking for long from supports.

ENTRY
Long: i am long open candle at smooth support
Short:
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: FF için.png Size: 53 KB
  • #13,918
  • May 18, 2018 2:25am May 18, 2018 2:25am
Thank you all for your criticism, especially Dove.
My aim is to always get better.

===========================================================================================
DAILY CHART – 18/05/18:

NEWS: No Red News
ROMAR: Resistance
EMA: Support
Parabolic: Support

NOTES: Purple still did not cross EMA, space until Resistance is met, Fibo Red, SAR and DB up

2 HOUR CHART:

ROMAR: Support
EMA: Support
Parabolic: Support

NOTES: MA Fibo is green, SAR and DB up, MA5 Parabolic and Romar near the same point

1 HOUR CHART:

ROMAR: Support
EMA: Support
Parabolic: Support

Notes: Fibo is Red with Purple close to White

Conclusion: Market is in Consolidation, will wait for a retrace on the H2 to entry on long
===========================================================================================
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 18_5_18.jpg Size: 341 KB
  • #13,919
  • May 18, 2018 4:11am May 18, 2018 4:11am
My Trading Plan: EURJPY

Date (Local): 18/05/2018
Time: Tokyo Open

Red News:
No red news.


Daily:

ROMAR: Resistance
EMA: Support
PSAR: Support

Checklist:

Last MACD 0 Cross: Up
Last EMA arrow: Down
Last DB attachment: Bottom at 129.222
Last SAR attachment: Bottom at 129.520
Fibo: Up/Green

Notes: DB is on bottom. SAR in also on bottom on a HL. EMA crossed Purple for up. 4 horsemen are up. New candle opened above EMA.


H4:

ROMAR: Resistance
EMA: Support
PSAR: Support

Checklist:

Last DB attachment: Bottom at 129.520
Last SAR attachment: Top at 130.835
Fibo: Red/Down

Notes: 4 horsemen are up along with EMA against ROMAR resistance. SAR is on top far above Parabolic and Parabolic flipped.


H2:

Day Open Price: 130.652
ROMAR: Support
EMA: Support
PSAR: Support

Checklist:

Last MACD 0 Cross: Up
Last EMA arrow: Up
Last DB attachment: Top at 130.835
Last SAR attachment: With and under DB
Fibo: Green/Up

Notes: ROMAR crossed EMA for up. 4 horsemen are up but White is on Purple. Candle opened above Purple and market is above 61.8 green fibo. MACD is up.


H1:

ROMAR: Support
EMA: Support
PSAR: Support

Checklist:

Last MACD 0 Cross: Down
Last EMA arrow: Up
Fibo: Red/Down

Notes: EMA, ROMAR and Parabolic are support. Smooth, White and Purple are all together.


Final Notes: Daily 4 horsemen are up and Parabolic flipped. EMA crossed Purple for up and new candle opened just above EMA.H4 ROMAR holding resistance for long and now 4 horsemen become stronger along with EMA support. H2 in in a constricted mode but ROMAR crossed EMA for up.

Entry for Long: Will go for long on this open candle.

Entry for Short: ---

Adjustments: No adjustments.

Final Entry: Long at 130.712 for 40/40

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Entry EJ H2 2018-05-18-0600.png Size: 73 KB


Result: TP hit (+40)

Self Evaluation: I think this was a good trade in confluence with the Daily EMA Purple crossing and H2 ROMAR EMA crossing.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Result EJ H2 2018-05-18-0600.png Size: 69 KB
  • #13,920
  • May 18, 2018 4:18am May 18, 2018 4:18am
Quoting timetolearn
Trading plan 18/05/2018 Economic news : No red or tentative news Daily ROMAR - resistance EMA - Support/resistance Parabolic - Support Checklist: Last MACD 0 Crossing - up Last EMA Alert Arrow - down Last SAR Attachment - down at 129.529 Fibonacci- green NOTES: Parabolic trend up but romar trend down. Ema slider above purple and next daily bar it will cross ema so ema trend will be up. Let’s check support and resistance which one is not close to market? Of course daily romar about 85 pips. Market is struggling between fibo 23.6 and 38.2. H4: ROMAR...

Trade result: TP hit +40 pips

Evaluation: As DOVE said that every scenario is different and i think this one is Changing Trend which was ema crossing romar on H2. When sydney open, on new daily bar, parabolic flipped second time and locked uptrend, green EMA arrow appeared and purple crossed EMA for uptrend entry long was a good idea.


Have a nice weekend...

Deha
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