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The Swamp

  • #18,441
  • Edited May 12, 2018 1:34am May 11, 2018 12:28pm | Edited May 12, 2018 1:34am
removed
don't predict direction, but dance with flow of water
  • #18,442
  • May 11, 2018 3:13pm May 11, 2018 3:13pm
Just got COT report as of 5/8/2018 for institutions activities . I see institutions added 5,590 lots longs and also added 5,653 lots shorts. when price moved from 1.2031 high on 5/2 to 1.1838 low on 5/8. Closed at 1.1863. So despite almost 200 pips fall, the institutions didn't change much in their net long positions. Long being added indicates we might see the temporary bottom, shorts being added indicates more for downside. We did see it went down further to 1.1822 after the report. But shorts covering will help with their longs.
  • #18,443
  • May 12, 2018 10:42am May 12, 2018 10:42am
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #18,444
  • Edited 11:56am May 12, 2018 11:38am | Edited 11:56am
How Institutions Position Themselves In Euro/Usd This Week

Until Tuesday, institutions continued to cut their Euro bullish bets to 19 weeks low, which was shown in the latest COT as of Tuesday, May 8, 2018.

The institutions net long Euro positions decreased last week by 63 contracts to 120,505 contracts.

5,590 long positions were added, and 5,653 short positions were added as well . Now Longs total 226,601 contracts vs shorts total 106,096 contracts .

68% long exposure vs 32% short exposure, which 1% decreased in longs and 1% increased in shorts from previous week

This week Euro started at 1.1991 on 5/2, continued lower to 1.1838 on 5/8, closed at 1.1863 on 5/8/2018

Longs being added indicates we might see the temporary bottom at $1.183s; Shorts being added indicates we might see more for downside

We did see it went down further to 1.1822 after the COT report, then Euro rallied last Thursday and Friday. Shorts covering might help with their longs.

Long Term Bullish With Some Concerns About Institutions Unwinding Their Longs, Short Term Likely Point To Higher

Please note institutions take weeks and months to build a position in the currency market. For Euro, they have built their net long positions since 5/9/2017.
Therefore, the bullish sentiment is more for long term outlook, not intended for short term trading.
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  • #18,445
  • May 12, 2018 12:17pm May 12, 2018 12:17pm
Quoting Boulder
{image}
dear boulder, i am now bolder than you. i shaved my hair.

the only thing that matters is the pill. the pill is what makes you function. without the pill = malfunction....
When life gives you lemons, make lemonade
  • #18,446
  • May 12, 2018 12:19pm May 12, 2018 12:19pm
Quoting micho
{quote} dear boulder, i am now bolder than you. i shaved my hair. the only thing that matters is the pill. the pill is what makes you function. without the pill = malfunction....
thank you micho.. you made me having a good laugh..... I love it... cute profile pic...
  • #18,447
  • May 12, 2018 12:24pm May 12, 2018 12:24pm
Quoting Boulder
{quote} thank you micho.. you made me having a good laugh..... I love it... cute profile pic...
there is a picture of me on this forum somewhere, maybe EURUSD thread
When life gives you lemons, make lemonade
  • #18,448
  • May 12, 2018 12:27pm May 12, 2018 12:27pm
Quoting micho
{quote} there is a picture of me on this forum somewhere, maybe EURUSD thread
i thought this is you... big smile with druggy eyes
Attached Image
  • #18,449
  • May 12, 2018 12:29pm May 12, 2018 12:29pm
Quoting micho
{quote} there is a picture of me on this forum somewhere, maybe EURUSD thread
found it boulder
https://www.forexfactory.com/showthr...78#post8965478
https://www.forexfactory.com/attachm...2&d=1225467156


check these funny ones, i posted alot of crap stuff here
https://www.forexfactory.com/showthr...02#post9952502
https://www.forexfactory.com/showthr...17#post9033617
https://www.forexfactory.com/showthr...26#post2291726
When life gives you lemons, make lemonade
  • #18,450
  • Edited 1:25pm May 12, 2018 12:50pm | Edited 1:25pm
Quoting micho
{quote} found it boulder https://www.forexfactory.com/showthr...78#post8965478 https://www.forexfactory.com/attachm...2&d=1225467156 check these funny ones, i posted alot of crap stuff here https://www.forexfactory.com/showthr...02#post9952502 https://www.forexfactory.com/showthr...17#post9033617 https://www.forexfactory.com/showthr...26#post2291726
nice pic.. micho , thanks........ the first pic , were you going for skydiving? you must be really high doing those extreme sports...lol
  • #18,451
  • May 12, 2018 1:24pm May 12, 2018 1:24pm
How Institutions Position Themselves In Bitcoin This Week

For Bitcoins, the latest COT as of Tuesday, May 8, 2018, institutions stay net short bitcoins and increased bearish bets by 38 bitcoins to net negative 1,635 bitcoins,

344 longs were added and 382 shorts were added as well, Now Longs total 3,631 bitcoins vs shorts total 5,266 bitcoins .

41% long exposure vs 59% short exposure , Longs added 1% and shorts dropped 1% from the previous week

This week Bitcoin started at 9,066 on 5/2, rallied high to 9,948 on 5/5, came down to 9,015 low on 5/8, closed at 9,167 on 5/8

Longs being added indicates institutions building long positions and expecting for price moving up. Shorts being added indicates they expect for a further drop,
when bitcoin closed to test 10 k area

Still bearish but not as much as before....

Please note institutions take weeks and months to build a position. Bitcoin future exchange started a few months ago,
there were not enough data to analyze institutions long term view in crypto market.
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  • #18,452
  • May 12, 2018 2:37pm May 12, 2018 2:37pm
Quoting Boulder
How Institutions Position Themselves In Bitcoin This Week For Bitcoins, the latest COT as of Tuesday, May 8, 2018, institutions stay net short bitcoins and increased bearish bets by 38 bitcoins to net negative 1,635 bitcoins, 344 longs were added and 382 shorts were added as well, Now Longs total 3,631 bitcoins vs shorts total 5,266 bitcoins . 41% long exposure vs 59% short exposure , Longs added 1% and shorts dropped 1% from the previous week This week Bitcoin started at 9,066 on 5/2, rallied high to 9,948 on 5/5, came down to 9,015 low on 5/8,...
Nice TQ for the report bought some NCASH 3 cent (12 hrs. ago) hoping to TP at 100% 6 cent
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Self discipline It is a practice
  • #18,453
  • May 12, 2018 2:46pm May 12, 2018 2:46pm
Quoting okshop
{quote} Nice TQ for the report bought some NCASH 3 cent (12 hrs. ago) hoping to TP at 100% 6 cent {image}
Yay, you go , okshop.. you are making bank...
  • #18,454
  • May 12, 2018 2:51pm May 12, 2018 2:51pm
Quoting Boulder
{quote} Yay, you go , okshop.. you are making bank...
Have not slept for the pass 48 hrs. (Tweaking and twisting your strategy) it’s actually a HG
Will share with you when you visit Penang Malaysia
Self discipline It is a practice
  • #18,455
  • May 12, 2018 2:55pm May 12, 2018 2:55pm
Quoting okshop
{quote} Have not slept for the pass 48 hrs. (Tweaking and twisting your strategy) it’s actually a HG Will share with you when you visit Penang Malaysia
no .. you got to take a break and rest and have a clear mind,,, there is always money to make anytime...
  • #18,456
  • May 12, 2018 2:57pm May 12, 2018 2:57pm
Quoting Boulder
{quote} no .. you got to take a break and rest and have a clear mind,,, there is always money to make anytime...
I added some secret sauce to it and it’s now supper gravy.
Self discipline It is a practice
  • #18,457
  • May 12, 2018 3:00pm May 12, 2018 3:00pm
Quoting okshop
{quote} Have not slept for the pass 48 hrs. (Tweaking and twisting your strategy) it’s actually a HG Will share with you when you visit Penang Malaysia
I will take that offer,,thanks .. so glad you make it working for you,....
  • #18,458
  • May 12, 2018 3:21pm May 12, 2018 3:21pm
Quoting Boulder
{quote} nice pic.. micho , thanks........ the first pic , were you going for skydiving? you must be really high doing those extreme sports...lol
no its the micro light plane, not so high around 2000 feet i think. i've done sky diving too from 11000 and 12000 feet
When life gives you lemons, make lemonade
  • #18,459
  • May 12, 2018 7:34pm May 12, 2018 7:34pm
Quoting Boulder
{quote} ok,,Gator,, I just got #8 long trigger at 1960 these are what I have open {image}
this place is deaf over the weekend.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #18,460
  • Edited 8:34pm May 12, 2018 8:23pm | Edited 8:34pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} this place is deaf over the weekend.
what? are you shouting for us??? lol
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