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The Swamp

  • #18,401
  • May 11, 2018 5:35am May 11, 2018 5:35am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} here are my levels for tomorrow, my targets are those Rs for my longs;; Support: S1 1.1887, S2 1.1858, S3 1.1811 Resistance: R1: 1.1944, R2 1.1972 , R3 1.2019
TP1: 1944 reached
  • #18,402
  • May 11, 2018 7:06am May 11, 2018 7:06am
Eur/Usd: Daily Market Trends Update 5/11/2018

Eur/Usd On 5/11/2018 at 8am est.. Boulder Multi Time Frame System:

1H, Uptrend, Trend stop at 1H close 1.1898, Running Period: 49x1H
4H, Downtrend, Trend stop at 4H close 1.1937, Running Period: 95 x 4H
Daily, Downtrend, Trend stop at day close 1.2403, Running Period: 25 days

( Note: Those stops will change with hour close and price action)

Trading Strategy:

Currently 1H Uptrend. 4H downtrend stop was tested yesterday in NY session and early this morning. 4H stop may not be held. Daily downtrend.. If you trade 1H trend, preference is to long as long as uptrend stop 1.1898 held at 1H close.

There are a few expiring options today that may influence Euro . These include a large 2.4 bln euros struck at $1.19. and 774m at $1.1950 so Euro may be contained in this range before Noon NY time

Support: S1 1.1887, S2 1.1858, S3 1.1811
Resistance: R1: 1.1944, R2 1.1972 , R3 1.2019

Currently EA has 7 open positions for this cycle, I have closed first 4,
3 other positions remain...I may target R2 at 1.1972
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  • #18,403
  • May 11, 2018 7:06am May 11, 2018 7:06am
Quoting gatorinla
tomorrow bulls have to beat 1928 to continue. caught between 1928 and 1858, whatever side wins needs to below 1858 or above 1928 for London close. {image}
I's above 1928 now. Lets see if it holds L close. If it does close above, 1884/22 may be some good buys. More so with Boulder's 4h indicator that may turn bullish. I may not get my sprinkles, 1858 should be supportive. Still a lot of time on the clock to screw us all on either direction.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #18,404
  • May 11, 2018 7:21am May 11, 2018 7:21am
If L close is above 1928; Next hurdle for month time base closes is 1.2076. I may be bearish below it. Its best to get near it to play. Because it can go above 2076. It usually does retrace a candle body some. The year and the quarter are still bullish.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #18,405
  • May 11, 2018 7:32am May 11, 2018 7:32am
Quoting gatorinla
If L close is above 1928; Next hurdle for month time base closes is 1.2076. I may be bearish below it. Its best to get near it to play. Because it can go above 2076. It usually does retrace a candle body some. The year and the quarter are still bullish. {image}
2076 almost 100 pips away from my todays TP..... it may take a couple of tries to get there...
  • #18,406
  • May 11, 2018 7:36am May 11, 2018 7:36am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} 2076 almost 100 pips away from my todays TP..... it may take a couple of tries to get there...
1884 should allow an entry.. maybe 1859
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #18,407
  • May 11, 2018 8:01am May 11, 2018 8:01am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} 1884 should allow an entry.. maybe 1859
I forget to ask you.. the other day you mentioned ducks not line up... are we now line up in your perspective for longs? ..
  • #18,408
  • May 11, 2018 8:02am May 11, 2018 8:02am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} I forget to ask you.. the other day you mentioned ducks not line up... are we now line up in your perspective for longs? ..
on the day time frame it is.. 1928+ L close is stronger. Your 1 h is bullish.. did your 4 h just close bullish?
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #18,409
  • May 11, 2018 8:06am May 11, 2018 8:06am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} on the day time frame it is.. 1928+ L close is stronger. Your 1 h is bullish.. did your 4 h just close bullish?
yes, it just turned bullish 5 mins ago.. after 96 x 4H runs..

here is the system update at 9am est..

4H, Uptrend, Trend stop at 4H close 1.1828, Running Period: 1 x 4H
  • #18,410
  • May 11, 2018 8:10am May 11, 2018 8:10am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} yes, it just turned bullish 5 mins ago.. after 96 x 4H runs..
its all in line for me too..It should make 2070 or greater.. most often a visit to 1884 could happen before. in 2.5 hours the week will show its hand, the week would make this all stronger. Then we can talk about 2188 a little
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #18,411
  • May 11, 2018 8:18am May 11, 2018 8:18am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} its all in line for me too..It should make 2070 pr greater.. most often a visit to 1884 could happen before. in 2.5 hours the week will show its hand, the week would make this all stronger. Then we can talk about 2188 a little
we maybe stuck high here at 1950s due to option expiration before noon..
  • #18,412
  • May 11, 2018 8:22am May 11, 2018 8:22am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} we maybe stuck high here at 1950s due to option expiration before noon..
just need to see what happens for L close. All the work is already done. sit back, grab a glass of wine. Your lost in the 1950ties.


Inserted Video
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #18,413
  • May 11, 2018 8:28am May 11, 2018 8:28am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} just need to see what happens for L close. All the work is already done. sit back, grab a glass of wine. Your lost in the 1950ties. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uHD4kGY7tbs
never heard the song before... love it;;;... what movie is that?
  • #18,414
  • May 11, 2018 8:39am May 11, 2018 8:39am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} never heard the song before... love it;;;... what movie is that?
Ronnie M is Blind.. I think it's just a video, not a movie. Back in early M-TV it stood for Music Television. They actually played music, long before the crap they put on now. It made a new industry where a song was released with some sort of video. Later they became mixed with movies. To promote a movie and the movie to promote the song. Early on it was just videos of the performance. Skits were added as M-tv got popular. VH1 soon followed
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #18,415
  • May 11, 2018 8:43am May 11, 2018 8:43am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Ronnie M is Blind.. I think it's just a video, not a movie. Back in early M-TV it stood for Music Television. They actually played music, long before the crap they put on now. It made a new industry where a song was released with some sort of video. Latter they became mixed with movies. To promote a movie and the movie to promote the song. Early on it was just videos of the performance. Skits were added as M-tv got popular.
he is blind.. wow.... such a good singer.... I will add him to my Pandora,,. ..
by the way.. Euro on its way to my 1972 target...
  • #18,416
  • May 11, 2018 8:52am May 11, 2018 8:52am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} he is blind.. wow.... such a good singer.... I will add him to my Pandora,,. .. by the way.. Euro on its way to my 1972 target...
He is a country singer.. He had a few pop crossover hits..
Inserted Video
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #18,417
  • May 11, 2018 10:41am May 11, 2018 10:41am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} we maybe stuck high here at 1950s due to option expiration before noon..
another bullish bounce, positive signal.. a good time to buy those 18xx dips. it dropped before 1970... so 1859 may happen.. meanwhile 1884 and 1894 have made some merit too. 1884 is the more symmetric. Now we have your 4h and 1 hour in agreement. the day Lclose and the week Lclose.. Plus the 1970 and 2070 pattern.. the month is against a rise. The year, quarter, week and day are not.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #18,418
  • May 11, 2018 10:50am May 11, 2018 10:50am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} another bullish bounce positive signal.. a good time to buy those 18xx dips. it dropped before 1970... so 1859 may happen.. meanwhile 1884 and 1894 have made some merit too. 1884 is the more symmetric. Now we have your 4h and 1 hour in agreement. the day Lclose and the week Lclose.. Plus the 1970 and 2076 pattern..
next week,, news are light.. retail sale on Tues.. feel like we will miss...this EU bullish trend may have a little more time to run...
  • #18,419
  • May 11, 2018 10:50am May 11, 2018 10:50am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} another bullish bounce, positive signal.. a good time to buy those 18xx dips. it dropped before 1970... so 1859 may happen.. meanwhile 1884 and 1894 have made some merit too. 1884 is the more symmetric. Now we have your 4h and 1 hour in agreement. the day Lclose and the week Lclose.. Plus the 1970 and 2070 pattern.. the month is against a rise. The year, quarter, week and day are not.
Quite frankly, I'm impressed you are able to keep all of this info / disparate time frames in order. Personally would like a revisit to 1.19 at least, but seems 1.193 is being supportive at the moment
  • #18,420
  • May 11, 2018 10:54am May 11, 2018 10:54am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} another bullish bounce, positive signal.. a good time to buy those 18xx dips. it dropped before 1970... so 1859 may happen.. meanwhile 1884 and 1894 have made some merit too. 1884 is the more symmetric. Now we have your 4h and 1 hour in agreement. the day Lclose and the week Lclose.. Plus the 1970 and 2070 pattern.. the month is against a rise. The year, quarter, week and day are not.
option settlement is over.. lets see how Euro performs.. I may close out all my to today high.. instead of 1972..... I will have more opportunity to buy later...
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