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  • #18,101
  • Apr 27, 2018 1:41pm Apr 27, 2018 1:41pm
Quoting micho
enjoy the wide sideways.... lots of pips to be grabbed in both directions, just open any trade with small lots on EU short or long at this level and you will win. targets 1.2199 and 1.1921
Same goes for UJ, any direction small lots targets 111.5x and 106.7x
Same for EC 1.577x and 1.493x
Same for EG 0.886x and 0.868x
Same for GU 1.396x and 1.286x

OK enough
When life gives you lemons, make lemonade
  • #18,102
  • Apr 27, 2018 1:47pm Apr 27, 2018 1:47pm
cheers fuckers
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When life gives you lemons, make lemonade
  • #18,103
  • Edited 3:27pm Apr 28, 2018 8:24am | Edited 3:27pm
How Institutions Position Themselves In Euro/Usd This Week

Until Tuesday, institutions were seen cut their Euro bullish bet the most in 2018 , which was shown in the latest COT as of Tuesday, Apr 24, 2018.
The institutions net long Euro positions decreased last week by 20,882 contracts to 130,594 contracts.

21,885 long positions were closed, and 1,003 short positions were closed as well . Now Longs total 216,944 contracts vs shorts total 86,350 contracts .

72% long exposure vs 28% short exposure, which 1% decreased in longs and 1% increased in shorts from previous week

This week Euro started at 1.2368 on 4/18, rallied up to 1.2397 high, after 5th failed attempt to 1.25, they started to unwind their longs, which caused Euro dropped to 1.2231 at close on 4/24/2018

Euro had solid support at 1.22 for last 3 months. After Cot , on Thursday, we had big 5.6 bln option expiration struck at 1.22, Euro fell to 1.2055 after settlement
which indicated the institutions intention to lock in their profit, which they have been building their net long positions since May last year

Long Term Bullish , Short Term Likely Point To Higher To Go Test The Broken Support 1.22

Please note institutions take weeks and months to build a position in the currency market. For Euro, they have built their net long positions since 5/9/2017.
Therefore, the bullish sentiment is more for long term outlook, not intended for short term trading.
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  • #18,104
  • Apr 29, 2018 3:46am Apr 29, 2018 3:46am
Quoting micho
enjoy the wide sideways.... lots of pips to be grabbed in both directions, just open any trade with small lots on EU short or long at this level and you will win. targets 1.2199 and 1.1921
why so? if you don't mind elaborating
  • #18,105
  • Apr 29, 2018 3:48am Apr 29, 2018 3:48am
Quoting Boulder
How Institutions Position Themselves In Euro/Usd This Week Until Tuesday, institutions were seen cut their Euro bullish bet the most in 2018 , which was shown in the latest COT as of Tuesday, Apr 24, 2018. The institutions net long Euro positions decreased last week by 20,882 contracts to 130,594 contracts. 21,885 long positions were closed, and 1,003 short positions were closed as well . Now Longs total 216,944 contracts vs shorts total 86,350 contracts . 72% long exposure vs 28% short exposure, which 1% decreased in longs and 1% increased in shorts...
thanks for that my friend
  • #18,106
  • Apr 29, 2018 7:22am Apr 29, 2018 7:22am
Quoting gatorinla
the best trading movie ever. Highly recommended for mindset. No matter what you trade, you have to get on first. You have to have that mindset. Who gets on base wins. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2MBK...R1HXOgQxmbYf33
"Everyone wants to attack, quit trying to attack. Let the game come to you, man. There's no clock on this thing. This is a war of attrition."
  • #18,107
  • Apr 29, 2018 9:02am Apr 29, 2018 9:02am
How Institutions Position Themselves In Bitcoin This Week

For Bitcoins, the latest COT as of Tuesday, Apr 24, 2018, institutions stay net short bitcoins but decreased bearish bets by 54 bitcoins to net negative 1,829 bitcoins,

216 longs were closed and 270 shorts were closed as well, Now Longs total 3,193 bitcoins vs shorts total 5,022 bitcoins .

39% long exposure vs 61% short exposure , the same as the previous week

This week Bitcoin started at 7,890 on 4/18, hit low at 7,870 where institutions covered their shorts, which pushed the price to rally up to 9,737 high on 4/24,
where they closed their longs

Bearish bias remains...

Please note institutions take weeks and months to build a position. Bitcoin future exchange started a few months ago,
there were not enough data to analyze institutions long term view in crypto market.
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  • #18,108
  • Apr 29, 2018 10:47am Apr 29, 2018 10:47am
Quoting edyraper
{quote} I'm long EU Long GU Short UJ, hope it won't squeeze to 110. If so will re-short Long AU Short UCAD Long gold, it may squeeze down to 130x.xx let's see... {image}
EU, let's see little R reaction there... hopefully it will bounce higher than just that...
GU likely to bottom around here
UJ likely to pull back to 107,40. Or a squeeze to that R then drop.
AU likely to bottom around here and possibly it is this year's low.
UCAD, clearly found R... needs a push or two to drop from here.
Gold, close to support as well, longs looking better than shorts for sure.
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  • #18,109
  • Apr 29, 2018 3:51pm Apr 29, 2018 3:51pm
Quoting Boulder
How Institutions Position Themselves In Bitcoin This Week For Bitcoins, the latest COT as of Tuesday, Apr 24, 2018, institutions stay net short bitcoins but decreased bearish bets by 54 bitcoins to net negative 1,829 bitcoins, 216 longs were closed and 270 shorts were closed as well, Now Longs total 3,193 bitcoins vs shorts total 5,022 bitcoins . 39% long exposure vs 61% short exposure , the same as the previous week This week Bitcoin started at 7,890 on 4/18, hit low at 7,870 where institutions covered their shorts, which pushed the price to rally...
Gator and Okshop,

Good article on institutions futures impact on bitcoin. ( COT) .... as I mentioned early : not much impact currently...

https://www.newsbtc.com/2018/04/29/b...rising-volume/
  • #18,110
  • Apr 30, 2018 3:09am Apr 30, 2018 3:09am
eur long still in the ground.

Iron lady and geepy short added.

https://charts.mql5.com/18/165/gbpus...up-limited.png

https://charts.mql5.com/18/165/gbpjp...up-limited.png
don't predict direction, but dance with flow of water
  • #18,111
  • Edited 5:10am Apr 30, 2018 4:41am | Edited 5:10am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} Gator and Okshop, Good article on institutions futures impact on bitcoin. ( COT) .... as I mentioned early : not much impact currently... https://www.newsbtc.com/2018/04/29/b...rising-volume/
I think your right. I also think those institution managers have realized this too. 9021 was all Bitcoin needed for a minimal normal bounce. Atm 9718 is that bounce high. I am not sold that the drop is over. I was sorry not to have entered lower, I am not ready to throw in the towel.

These moves are so large % wise, it's just unreal. These % wise moves on the way up were unreal also. With 1000+ of cryptos out there. Is Bitcoins market going to shrink or continue to grow?

The newer cryptos can weed through Bitcoin's negatives, and eliminate the negatives. Creating a better mousetrap, is what inventors do. Markets follow the money. Money goes where it's treated best. The moves this last month in Bitcoin by forex standards was large. But not so much compared to cryptos. Maybe the market is saying something. I may be wrong.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #18,112
  • Apr 30, 2018 5:23am Apr 30, 2018 5:23am
Eur/Usd: Daily Market Trends Update 4/30/2018

Eur/Usd On 4/30/2018 at 8am est.. Boulder Multi Time Frame System:

1H, Downtrend, Trend stop at 1H close 1.2141, Running Period: 2x1H
4H, Downtrend, Trend stop at 4H close 1.2252, Running Period: 41 x 4H
Daily, Downtrend, Trend stop at day close 1.2403, Running Period: 17 days

( Note: Those stops will change with hour close and price action)

Trading Strategy:

Currently 1H, 4H and daily downtrend. If you trade 1H trend, preference is to short as long as downtrend stop 1.2141 held at 1H close.

Support: S1 1.2106, S2 1.2084, S3 1.2049
Resistance: R1: 1.2148, R2 1.2170 , R3 1.2205

Currently EA has 1 open positions for this cycle
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  • #18,113
  • Apr 30, 2018 8:18am Apr 30, 2018 8:18am
Quoting Boulder
Eur/Usd: Daily Market Trends Update 4/30/2018 Eur/Usd On 4/30/2018 at 8am est.. Boulder Multi Time Frame System: 1H, Downtrend, Trend stop at 1H close 1.2141, Running Period: 2x1H 4H, Downtrend, Trend stop at 4H close 1.2252, Running Period: 41 x 4H Daily, Downtrend, Trend stop at day close 1.2403, Running Period: 17 days ( Note: Those stops will change with hour close and price action) Trading Strategy: Currently 1H, 4H and daily downtrend. If you trade 1H trend, preference is to short as long as downtrend stop 1.2141 held at 1H close. Support:...
I placed a pending 1.200.5 Long.. stop 25 pips on that new account. its blind against 1.2001,, tp 1.2250 about halfway to the 1.25xx high. I am taking a day or so off. Good luck to your trades. If i get stopped see if your indis turn bullish after 1.2xx anytime now.. even below 1.2 or 1917.. W/o that day close at 2103.. it should bounce. another at 2056 is stronger. 2001 should be strong too close wise. It may get some wtf rejections on these.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #18,114
  • Apr 30, 2018 8:22am Apr 30, 2018 8:22am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} I placed a pending 1.200.5 Long.. stop 25 pips on that new account. its blind against 1.2001,, tp 1.2250 about halfway to the 1.25xx high. I am taking a day or so off. Good luck to your trades. If i get stopped see if your indis turn bullish after 1.2xx anytime now.. even below 1.2 or 1917.. W/o that day close at 2103.. it should bounce. another at 2056 is stronger. 2001 should be strong too close wise. It may get some wtf rejections on these.
Thanks Gator...Have a wonderful trip...;;.. ..
  • #18,115
  • Apr 30, 2018 8:40am Apr 30, 2018 8:40am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} Thanks Gator...Have a wonderful trip...;;.. ..
oh well change in plans.. I am leaving later.. Make the kids some cash while i am gone.. STD meanwhile.. bbl..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #18,116
  • Apr 30, 2018 10:21am Apr 30, 2018 10:21am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} oh well change in plans.. I am leaving later.. Make the kids some cash while i am gone.. STD meanwhile.. bbl..
new plan.. norm was 2001 in this micro.. the reason i consider is the week closed at 2104// now the day closed below 2104. bears are plotting. 2058 being the lowest day close of 2018, its no pushover. but the day closed lower as did the week and the month. I cant short the norm retrace at 2101 (2103 is a 3495 level). I will short against 2138, its the last high after Friday's 2058 reject. I got a pending short at 2135 with a stop above 2138... based on the after Friday's low to bounce high and the today's lower close indicating the lows will be tested.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #18,117
  • Apr 30, 2018 10:41am Apr 30, 2018 10:41am
w/o this being a reject off 2058 I would have took an earlier short 2101/05, till 2138. I am scared of the rejection power of 2058 being strong and bottoming the eu for a 200 pips bounce. at 2135 my risk in limited to 2138 breaking.

pa is showing the power of 2101 norm needed and the Resistance the week at 2104 created.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #18,118
  • Apr 30, 2018 4:09pm Apr 30, 2018 4:09pm
I got an empty bag. limiting my risk, raised my entry. So i didn't get the entry atm. Just part of trading. no loss no gain.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #18,119
  • Apr 30, 2018 4:50pm Apr 30, 2018 4:50pm
1.25 top to 1.21xx bottom 50% is 1.2355, 38.2% is 1.2307.
If bear, you may want to wait for a proper bounce.

atm 1.2083
  • #18,120
  • Apr 30, 2018 4:57pm Apr 30, 2018 4:57pm
Busy week FED, NFP etc etc

EU, would like to see a bounce or a consolidation till FED/NFP
GU, same as EU
UJ, in this type of environment it is likely to short squeeze then drop, but who knows
AU, RBA tonight, stay tune, if no action the FED/NFP would the mover
UCAD, needs a push, shorts looks like a done deal
Gold, same as UJ
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