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The Swamp

  • #18,081
  • Apr 27, 2018 8:19am Apr 27, 2018 8:19am
I can't wait to see COT report this afternoon after institutions had record Euro long last Tuesday, how they position themselves this Tuesday.... then come with this kind of Euro fall....
One thing I need to mention.. they also very long on U/J too for months, .so they kind not losing by dollar moving up...
  • #18,082
  • Apr 27, 2018 8:37am Apr 27, 2018 8:37am
Quoting gatorinla
everything is looking bearish to me. Today closed lower. The week looks to close lower unless it rockets to 2289 in the next 24 hours. as long as 2103 is in play, we can add 2105. 2105 being north of 2103. Bears need to close a day below 2105/03 or this thing goes north.. last week has also closed lower.. so has the month.. no matter what, the day needs that lower close to continue. If it goes below, but ends up above it with a London close above. Don't trust the short, be nimble. 2103 being a UM can reverse a move.
L close was 2104 a 1/2 a pip below 2105... but above 2103. toss your dice... Another test of 1.2056/1.2001 may be in order (just a guess).. Its cost wide stop to use 1.2 as a stop loss to long. maybe watch your indis for a signal to long a retrace. downside may already be in place, or soon. Shorting may be better 1/2 way to 1.25xx high now, supported by this 1.2xx area it is currently in. 2018 lowest day close could whiplash day closes above.. A wtf kind of rejection would not be too crazy.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #18,083
  • Apr 27, 2018 8:46am Apr 27, 2018 8:46am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} " I am a retracement whore, sometimes I don't get laid" ...you own words... I am so glad I can use your own comment to throw back at you ..lol...;;;;
no shit.. 2215 missed.. I closed the pending short now.. some R between 2289/2103... that's in the 2215 area. I will play it by ear.. Maybe 2215 then a 205x test makes a db// the pair had memory. I don't know. the 1.2xx area looks like it may support a cot long.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #18,084
  • Apr 27, 2018 9:07am Apr 27, 2018 9:07am
Quoting gatorinla
everything is looking bearish to me. Today closed lower. The week looks to close lower unless it rockets to 2289 in the next 24 hours. as long as 2103 is in play, we can add 2105. 2105 being north of 2103. Bears need to close a day below 2105/03 or this thing goes north.. last week has also closed lower.. so has the month.. no matter what, the day needs that lower close to continue. If it goes below, but ends up above it with a London close above. Don't trust the short, be nimble. 2103 being a UM can reverse...
What is UM?
  • #18,085
  • Apr 27, 2018 9:28am Apr 27, 2018 9:28am
Quoting edyraper
{quote} EU, if you bear, it is too late. If bull, r:r looks pretty good to start building longs GU, let it decide UJ in shorting zone, I prefer shorts. AU, in bid zone Ucad, in short zone Gold, let it decide {image} ..... Btw, EA, bonus {image}
I'm long EU
Long GU
Short UJ, hope it won't squeeze to 110. If so will re-short
Long AU
Short UCAD
Long gold, it may squeeze down to 130x.xx let's see...
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  • #18,086
  • Apr 27, 2018 9:31am Apr 27, 2018 9:31am
Quoting edyraper
{quote} I'm long EU Long GU Short UJ, hope it won't squeeze to 110. If so will re-short Long AU Short UCAD Long gold, it may squeeze down to 130x.xx let's see... {image}
Curious what your stops look like for your positions.
  • #18,087
  • Apr 27, 2018 9:33am Apr 27, 2018 9:33am
Quoting kasper
{quote} Curious what your stops look like for your positions.
Mine are usually -30 pips from the entry, unless it is a trade off of monthly chart.

Quoting kasper
{quote} Curious what your stops look like for your positions.
I used to post trades live as I enter, it needs immediate sharing, and follow-ups and very time-consuming. You can go back to my old posts and review some.
  • #18,088
  • Apr 27, 2018 9:56am Apr 27, 2018 9:56am
Quoting edyraper
{quote} I'm long EU Long GU Short UJ, hope it won't squeeze to 110. If so will re-short Long AU Short UCAD Long gold, it may squeeze down to 130x.xx let's see... {image}
Very nice, I got caught out trying to long gold this week a couple of times on Monday/Tuesday. Looking to re-position for long if it comes back to test 1309-1310 area. Thanks for reminding about GU, I will try an entry shortly. Here are my trades.
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  • #18,089
  • Apr 27, 2018 10:49am Apr 27, 2018 10:49am
Quoting ws121
{quote} What is UM?
upper part of 1917
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #18,090
  • Apr 27, 2018 11:42am Apr 27, 2018 11:42am
Quoting Boulder
I can't wait to see COT report this afternoon after institutions had record Euro long last Tuesday, how they position themselves this Tuesday.... then come with this kind of Euro fall.... One thing I need to mention.. they also very long on U/J too for months, .so they kind not losing by dollar moving up...
I never inhaled the Disco era. Here is a taste..
Inserted Video

"Death before disco" is my motto. so I may have delete this before people see and email it.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #18,091
  • Apr 27, 2018 11:45am Apr 27, 2018 11:45am
STD BBL;;;;;;
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #18,092
  • Apr 27, 2018 12:03pm Apr 27, 2018 12:03pm
Quoting gatorinla
STD BBL;;;;;;
1H come to test 1.2124 downtrend stop, 55 mins to go to see this stop can hold. If it closes above, we will start 1H uptrend...
  • #18,093
  • Apr 27, 2018 12:05pm Apr 27, 2018 12:05pm
Quoting edyraper
{quote} Mine are usually -30 pips from the entry, unless it is a trade off of monthly chart. {quote} I used to post trades live as I enter, it needs immediate sharing, and follow-ups and very time-consuming. You can go back to my old posts and review some.
Quite alright. Was just curious. Tried a small long at 1.21, but my stop got tripped on the run down to 1.206 before coming back. Need to work on my stops / timing and couldn't reenter bc a previous position got stopped out and I have a bad tendency to chase that I'm trying to control
  • #18,094
  • Apr 27, 2018 12:08pm Apr 27, 2018 12:08pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} I never inhaled the Disco era. Here is a taste.. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=A_sY2rjxq6M "Death before disco" is my motto. so I may have delete this before people see and email it.
love it, the disco is fun...thanks...
  • #18,095
  • Apr 27, 2018 12:11pm Apr 27, 2018 12:11pm
Quoting Angelina
Try one here 2078 again, if it does not work, next one would be 2029/32 {image}
Targeting 2154/2216/2266.
  • #18,096
  • Apr 27, 2018 12:17pm Apr 27, 2018 12:17pm
Quoting kasper
{quote} Quite alright. Was just curious. Tried a small long at 1.21, but my stop got tripped on the run down to 1.206 before coming back. Need to work on my stops / timing and couldn't reenter bc a previous position got stopped out and I have a bad tendency to chase that I'm trying to control
Limit yourself;
Being in a right direction but wrong entry is pain in the ass. However, we can not do anything about it...
Limit yourself to 3 (loss) positions (or whatever that won't blow your account) per day for example....

Quoting Angelina
{quote} Targeting 2154/2216/2266.
It could dip lower, new year lows is possible.
Quoting edyraper
Intrayear; EU buyer 1.15, seller 1.35.
1.03-1.25's 50% is 1.14479.
38.2% is 1.1709.
Not a fan of further pullback especially while positioned long but never say never.
If it jumps back to 1.23ish I could short and see what happens.

Currently daily at bottom of the range with downward momentum.
Weekly at previous R which is support with an overall up trend without an upward momentum.
Monthly, no direction, upward momentum. Bids in favor.
Yearly, 1.16ish is support, 1.36ish is R.
  • #18,097
  • Apr 27, 2018 12:39pm Apr 27, 2018 12:39pm
Quoting edyraper
Limit yourself; Being in a right direction but wrong entry is pain in the ass. However, we can not do anything about it... Limit yourself to 3 (loss) positions (or whatever that won't blow your account) per day for example....
Trying, trying. Fighting the demons and bad tendencies. Thanks for the suggestions. Being too scared to enter a position these days, trading scared is not good might have to walk away a while.
  • #18,098
  • Apr 27, 2018 12:46pm Apr 27, 2018 12:46pm
Just got COT report as of 4/24/2018 for institutions activities from 4/18-4/24, I see institutions aggressively closed 21,885 lots longs and also closed 1,003 lots shorts. when price was closed at 1.2231 on 4/24...So after last week record high longs came with failure to push to 1.25, they started to unwind their longs this week...
  • #18,099
  • Apr 27, 2018 1:03pm Apr 27, 2018 1:03pm
Quoting Boulder
{quote} 1H come to test 1.2124 downtrend stop, 55 mins to go to see this stop can hold. If it closes above, we will start 1H uptrend...
ea just triggered the first long at 2131....,currently with 1H uptrend stop at 2065
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  • #18,100
  • Apr 27, 2018 1:33pm Apr 27, 2018 1:33pm
enjoy the wide sideways.... lots of pips to be grabbed in both directions, just open any trade with small lots on EU short or long at this level and you will win.
targets 1.2199 and 1.1921
When life gives you lemons, make lemonade
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