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DAX Futures June 2018

  • #1,801
  • Apr 23, 2018 6:27am Apr 23, 2018 6:27am
Quoting Brixen
{quote} +12 pips FDXM=+2,5 pips FDAX Only 1FDXM short 582
OK, 572 closed now last FDXM short 582.

FLAT before US session-
I call upon my father's spirit , watching over me
  • #1,802
  • Apr 23, 2018 6:27am Apr 23, 2018 6:27am
Quoting Brixen
{quote} OK, 572 closed now last FDXM short 582. FLAT before US session-
+10 pips FDXM=+2 pips FDAX
I call upon my father's spirit , watching over me
  • #1,803
  • Apr 23, 2018 6:31am Apr 23, 2018 6:31am
I've done and no need to risk anything anymore for today:-7+8+35+14-2+7,5-3+2+3+5+7,5+6+2,5+2=TOTAL +80,5 pips FDAX.
I call upon my father's spirit , watching over me
  • #1,804
  • Apr 23, 2018 6:51am Apr 23, 2018 6:51am
525 right now:bought 3FDXM
I call upon my father's spirit , watching over me
  • #1,805
  • Apr 23, 2018 6:56am Apr 23, 2018 6:56am
Quoting Brixen
525 right now:bought 3FDXM
535 now:closed 2FDXM from 525 right now
I call upon my father's spirit , watching over me
  • #1,806
  • Apr 23, 2018 6:57am Apr 23, 2018 6:57am
Quoting Brixen
{quote} 535 now:closed 2FDXM from 525 right now
540 closed last FDXM long 525 in this moment
I call upon my father's spirit , watching over me
  • #1,807
  • Apr 23, 2018 6:59am Apr 23, 2018 6:59am
Quoting Brixen
{quote} 535 now:closed 2FDXM from 525 right now
+10 pips FDXM x 2=+20 pips FDXM=+4 pips FDAX
I call upon my father's spirit , watching over me
  • #1,808
  • Apr 23, 2018 6:59am Apr 23, 2018 6:59am
Quoting Brixen
{quote} 540 closed last FDXM long 525 in this moment
+15 pips FDXM=+3 pips FDAX

FLAT
I call upon my father's spirit , watching over me
  • #1,809
  • Apr 23, 2018 7:30am Apr 23, 2018 7:30am
Quoting mag00
{quote} Hey jtrade, my opinion ... ... theoretically ... the BE invalidates the backtesting of the strategy : ( in the hypothesis of a RR 2 or 3, the BE falsifies the profitability "= profit factor" of the strategy) Almost like the problem of Monty Hall ... https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Monty_Hall_problem .
.. the presenter, knowing the solution, in the interventio brings a further (probabilistic) clue to the optimal resolution of the problem for the player ... That is, the trader, knowing the backtesting, in the case brings a further...
TheMonty Hall challenge : about 30 years ago I was tasked to explain why switching was the correct choice. I thought I did a good job, but one fellow - a mathematician (!) - refused to agree. So we simulated30 example tests, with & without the switch : the test was exactly as I hoped, the switching example producing 66.66% correct, twice as many correct choices as non-switch.

When I ran mechanical systems in TradeStation, I had a strategy coded with the stop management parameters as optimisable inputs. When used correctly with a profitable system, this invariably showed that moving to b/e and using trailing stops reduced total profit, but also reduced max DD , smoothing the equity curve. I found this preferable, as a smoother equity curve is easier for me to trade. My present method is not entirely mechanical , so cannot be computer backtested (& manual backtests, useful in some ways, are dangerous to trust); I am going to start using a “halfway house “, tightening my stop, whilst still allowing a retest of the entry area. Work in progress....

Let’s see if this posts from my iPhone...
  • #1,810
  • Apr 23, 2018 7:31am Apr 23, 2018 7:31am
Quoting Brixen
I've done and no need to risk anything anymore for today:-7+8+35+14-2+7,5-3+2+3+5+7,5+6+2,5+2=TOTAL +80,5 pips FDAX.
I probably have done my daytrade:+80,5+4+3=TOTAL+87,5 pips FDAX.
I call upon my father's spirit , watching over me
  • #1,811
  • Apr 23, 2018 11:16am Apr 23, 2018 11:16am
555 current prices....tempted to buy something....
I call upon my father's spirit , watching over me
  • #1,812
  • Apr 23, 2018 11:23am Apr 23, 2018 11:23am
Retest on going for crucial levels...550 zone
FDAX M12 chart attached

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: FDAX23apr18M12.png Size: 28 KB
I call upon my father's spirit , watching over me
  • #1,813
  • Apr 23, 2018 11:25am Apr 23, 2018 11:25am
1FDAX overnight bought now 552,5
I call upon my father's spirit , watching over me
  • #1,814
  • Apr 23, 2018 11:56am Apr 23, 2018 11:56am
Quoting Brixen
1FDAX overnight bought now 552,5
3FDXM overnight just bought 543
I call upon my father's spirit , watching over me
  • #1,815
  • Apr 23, 2018 12:02pm Apr 23, 2018 12:02pm
557 in this moment closed all positions FDAX and FDXM
I call upon my father's spirit , watching over me
  • #1,816
  • Apr 23, 2018 12:04pm Apr 23, 2018 12:04pm
Quoting Brixen
557 in this moment closed all positions FDAX and FDXM
+4,5 pips FDAX and +14 pips FDXM x 3=+42 pips FDXM=+8,5 pips FDAX
I call upon my father's spirit , watching over me
  • #1,817
  • Apr 23, 2018 12:05pm Apr 23, 2018 12:05pm
Quoting Brixen
{quote} I probably have done my daytrade:+80,5+4+3=TOTAL+87,5 pips FDAX.
This one could be the right one...done my daytrade:+87,5 +4,5+8,5=TOTAL +100,5 pips FDAX.
I call upon my father's spirit , watching over me
  • #1,818
  • Apr 23, 2018 12:07pm Apr 23, 2018 12:07pm
1 x FDAX short just now from 553.5 to 544 (my target was 540.5) brought me +19 ticks to get me almost square for day (-4 ticks inc commissions); given my position when I left for the border, I'll take it.

Tomorrow, I will trade 1 x FDXM with "delayed" stop move.

Time for my bath
  • #1,819
  • Apr 23, 2018 12:15pm Apr 23, 2018 12:15pm
Quoting jtrade
1 x FDAX short just now from 553.5 to 544 (my target was 540.5) brought me +19 ticks to get me almost square for day (-4 ticks inc commissions); given my position when I left for the border, I'll take it. Tomorrow, I will trade 1 x FDXM with "delayed" stop move. Time for my bath
Tomorrow evening don't forget Liverpool vs Roma......
I call upon my father's spirit , watching over me
  • #1,820
  • Apr 23, 2018 12:45pm Apr 23, 2018 12:45pm
Quoting Brixen
{quote} Tomorrow evening don't forget Liverpool vs Roma......
Roma and Barcelona was incredible , Roma came back hard second leg. Looking forward to this game. Can Roma control the Egyption Salah, not sure.
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