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Oil and Natural Gas

  • #3,181
  • Mar 10, 2018 12:46pm Mar 10, 2018 12:46pm
Should state that we are ready for upward movement with potential up to 12-14 bucks from current price. So don't sell.
  • #3,182
  • Mar 14, 2018 5:24am Mar 14, 2018 5:24am
natural Gas:

Watch the scuffle over the poisoning in the UK of the Russian double-agent and his daughter.
If it gets nasty Putin could meddle and the result might be stronger Gas prices.
Carbon-Dioxide: the gas of life! https://youtu.be/ttJBdr6eBuo
  • #3,183
  • Mar 14, 2018 8:59am Mar 14, 2018 8:59am
What if GB put the ban on Russian gas like embargo? How big this chance? Do they actually buy smth from Russia?
  • #3,184
  • Mar 14, 2018 9:04am Mar 14, 2018 9:04am
Quoting mihrutkanik
What if GB put the ban on Russian gas like embargo? How big this chance? Do they actually buy smth from Russia?
I think a lot of our gas comes from Russia so we would be fucked
  • #3,185
  • Mar 14, 2018 9:37am Mar 14, 2018 9:37am
Would we be looking at $60 for Brent?
  • #3,186
  • Mar 14, 2018 10:33am Mar 14, 2018 10:33am
Quoting mihrutkanik
What if GB put the ban on Russian gas like embargo? How big this chance? Do they actually buy smth from Russia?
The scenario is: Britain rattles the Russian cage; Ruskis are pissed-off and shut off the gas supply; British power companies dive into spot gas market to keep the lights on.

Quoting houtiantan
Would we be looking at $60 for Brent?
Not necessarily
Carbon-Dioxide: the gas of life! https://youtu.be/ttJBdr6eBuo
  • #3,187
  • Mar 14, 2018 10:44am Mar 14, 2018 10:44am
The Yen is strong at the moment. That it either risk-off or something that hasn't hit the news wires yet. ....or maybe just some bill-paying for machine tools or whatever.
Carbon-Dioxide: the gas of life! https://youtu.be/ttJBdr6eBuo
  • #3,188
  • Mar 14, 2018 1:07pm Mar 14, 2018 1:07pm
Quoting Exodus
{quote} The scenario is: Britain rattles the Russian cage; Ruskis are pissed-off and shut off the gas supply; British power companies dive into spot gas market to keep the lights on. {quote} Not necessarily
Exodus, look at this way: Germany today announced to limit dependence of gas supply. If Russia "shut of the gas supply" this would be final nail in a coffin for their gas to Europe. Gazprom refusing to pay $2.6Bln penalty to Ukraine shows how unreliable this company is. Whole Russia's gas industry under big scrutiny is under way, look what's going to happen in a couple years...
  • #3,189
  • Mar 14, 2018 1:22pm Mar 14, 2018 1:22pm
Quoting medvic
{quote} Exodus, look at this way: Germany today announced to limit dependence of gas supply. If Russia "shut of the gas supply" this would be final nail in a coffin for their gas to Europe. Gazprom refusing to pay $2.6Bln penalty to Ukraine shows how unreliable this company is. Whole Russia's gas industry under big scrutiny is under way, look what's going to happen in a couple years...
In a couple of years UK will be generating 75% power from wind/solar/hydro, and the rest from nuclear and locally sourced gas.

However in the past week UK industry was put under a gas consumption warning during a harsh cold weather spell, so any immediate disruption to gas supply will be a nuisance in Europe.
Carbon-Dioxide: the gas of life! https://youtu.be/ttJBdr6eBuo
  • #3,190
  • Mar 21, 2018 8:57am Mar 21, 2018 8:57am
This is what I'm thinking for CL.
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  • #3,191
  • Mar 22, 2018 5:20am Mar 22, 2018 5:20am
Quoting PhaseCapital
This is what I'm thinking for CL. {image}
CL
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  • #3,192
  • Mar 26, 2018 7:08am Mar 26, 2018 7:08am
I don't think this upmove in oil is going to last for much longer.
Cheers,
k
  • #3,193
  • Mar 26, 2018 7:19am Mar 26, 2018 7:19am
Quoting kprsa
I don't think this upmove in oil is going to last for much longer. Cheers, k
Carbon-Dioxide: the gas of life! https://youtu.be/ttJBdr6eBuo
  • #3,194
  • Mar 28, 2018 6:19am Mar 28, 2018 6:19am
Quoting kprsa
I don't think this upmove in oil is going to last for much longer. Cheers, k
It is likely the current push down proceeds imho. I have set up some traps to catch the pullback (I missed the opportunity yesterday by a few cents ).
k

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  • #3,195
  • Mar 28, 2018 6:28am Mar 28, 2018 6:28am
ok. i cant even count risk/profit ratio. personally dont like trades somewhere in the middle.
  • #3,196
  • Apr 4, 2018 8:48am Apr 4, 2018 8:48am
CL- Oil Futures take.
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  • #3,197
  • Apr 4, 2018 1:33pm Apr 4, 2018 1:33pm
i didnt expect that much....64 ok 63 alright, but than 62. today and tomorrow are key days. i believe in my strategy. still holding buy from 61. stop 61.03
  • #3,198
  • Edited 7:16am Apr 5, 2018 7:00am | Edited 7:16am
I think today is decision time.

The push down could have ended yesterday before news. If oil decides to go up today afternoon, I'll exit my sells (for now).

I however think it should go on down a bit more. Still there's some fuel in the tank imho, targets 61.15 and perhaps even 57.7 as an indication of longer term trend change. If this is to happen, it should most likely crash rather quickly in the NY session of today.

Cheers,
k
  • #3,199
  • Apr 6, 2018 4:38am Apr 6, 2018 4:38am
im closing all long positions. expecting slow downward movement.
  • #3,200
  • Apr 6, 2018 7:06am Apr 6, 2018 7:06am
I have just exited all shorts and bought a bit.
Expecting sharp growth.
Cheers,
k
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