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The Swamp

  • #17,681
  • Mar 31, 2018 9:31am Mar 31, 2018 9:31am
How Institutions Position Themselves In Dollar This Week


For Dollar, the latest COT as of Tuesday, Mar 27, 2018, institutions added more bearish bets by 1,696 contracts to net short 1,760

3,314 longs were added, but 5,010 shorts were added as well, Now Longs total 24,264 contracts vs shorts total 26,024 contracts .

48% long exposure vs 52% short exposure , Longs dropped 2% and shorts added 2% from the previous week

Dollar continues below near term resistance at 90.50 with support at 88-89 area. Price has been in this range for last 10 weeks

Long term Bearish, Short term price consolidated with bearish outlook

Please note institutions take weeks and months to build a position in the currency market. For dollar, they have been decreasing their net long positions for over a year
Therefore, the bearish sentiment is more for long term outlook, not intended for short term trading.
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  • #17,682
  • Apr 2, 2018 7:00am Apr 2, 2018 7:00am
Eur/Usd On 4/2/2018 at 8am est.. Boulder Multi Time Frame System:

1H, Uptrend, Trend stop at 1H close 1.2313, Running Period: 27x1H
4H, Downtrend, Trend stop at 4H close 1.2375, Running Period: 16 x 4H
Daily, Uptrend, Trend stop at day close 1.2239, Running Period: 4 days

( Note: Those stops will change with hour close and price action)

Trading Strategy:

Currently 1H and daily uptrend, 4H downtrend. A mix signal. If you trade 1H trend, preference is to long as long as Uptrend stop 1.2313 held at 1H close.


Support: S1 1.2307, S2 1.2294, S3 1.2273
Resistance: R1: 1.2333, R2 1.2346 , R3 1.2368

EA currently has 4 open longs for this cycle...
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  • #17,683
  • Apr 2, 2018 8:53am Apr 2, 2018 8:53am
Quoting F.g
{quote} One suggestion only , mate trade DEMO for few years . Don't blow your money .
I kind of did for a few years))) but not all the time. I can't seem to focus if I'm using a demo account. The real money demands attention)) it is making me better and I try harder))) I work at a bank full time, so this is just a side hobby for now with very small amounts of real money))
  • #17,684
  • Apr 2, 2018 9:06am Apr 2, 2018 9:06am
Quoting Boulder
Eur/Usd On 4/2/2018 at 8am est.. Boulder Multi Time Frame System: 1H, Uptrend, Trend stop at 1H close 1.2313, Running Period: 27x1H 4H, Downtrend, Trend stop at 4H close 1.2375, Running Period: 16 x 4H Daily, Uptrend, Trend stop at day close 1.2239, Running Period: 4 days ( Note: Those stops will change with hour close and price action) Trading Strategy: Currently 1H and daily uptrend, 4H downtrend. A mix signal. If you trade 1H trend, preference is to long as long as Uptrend stop 1.2313 held at 1H close. Support: S1 1.2307, S2 1.2294, S3 1.2273...
i closed all my eurusd long at 1.242x... dont see any long signals and we can go down far or not but not a good place to go long
When life gives you lemons, make lemonade
  • #17,685
  • Apr 2, 2018 9:19am Apr 2, 2018 9:19am
Quoting micho
{quote} i closed all my eurusd long at 1.242x... dont see any long signals and we can go down far or not but not a good place to go long
I closed some at 1.2340s.. leave some to run...I don't think time is up for bulls yet.....
  • #17,686
  • Apr 2, 2018 10:37am Apr 2, 2018 10:37am
Quoting Boulder
Eur/Usd On 4/2/2018 at 8am est.. Boulder Multi Time Frame System: 1H, Uptrend, Trend stop at 1H close 1.2313, Running Period: 27x1H 4H, Downtrend, Trend stop at 4H close 1.2375, Running Period: 16 x 4H Daily, Uptrend, Trend stop at day close 1.2239, Running Period: 4 days ( Note: Those stops will change with hour close and price action) Trading Strategy: Currently 1H and daily uptrend, 4H downtrend. A mix signal. If you trade 1H trend, preference is to long as long as Uptrend stop 1.2313 held at 1H close. Support: S1 1.2307, S2 1.2294, S3 1.2273...
1H has reversed to downtrend with 1.2337 downtrend stop ...my longs were stopped out 1.2311, ea had one short triggered at 1.2309..
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  • #17,687
  • Apr 3, 2018 6:26am Apr 3, 2018 6:26am
Eur/Usd On 4/3/2018 at 8am est.. Boulder Multi Time Frame System:

1H, Downtrend, Trend stop at 1H close 1.2322, Running Period: 20x1H
4H, Downtrend, Trend stop at 4H close 1.2339, Running Period: 22 x 4H
Daily, Uptrend, Trend stop at day close 1.2239, Running Period: 5 days

( Note: Those stops will change with hour close and price action)

Trading Strategy:

Currently 1H and 4H downtrend, daily uptrend. If you trade 1H trend, preference is to short as long as downtrend stop 1.2322 held at 1H close.


Support: S1 1.2282, S2 1.2265, S3 1.2236
Resistance: R1: 1.2317, R2 1.2335 , R3 1.2363

EA currently has 3 open shorts for the cycle...
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  • #17,688
  • Apr 3, 2018 8:13am Apr 3, 2018 8:13am
Quoting Boulder
Eur/Usd On 4/3/2018 at 8am est.. Boulder Multi Time Frame System: 1H, Downtrend, Trend stop at 1H close 1.2322, Running Period: 20x1H 4H, Downtrend, Trend stop at 4H close 1.2339, Running Period: 22 x 4H Daily, Uptrend, Trend stop at day close 1.2239, Running Period: 5 days ( Note: Those ,,,. If you trade 1H trend, preference is to short as long as downtrend stop 1.2322 held at 1H close. Support: S1 1.2282, S2 1.2265, S3 1.2236 Resistance: R1: 1.2317, R2 1.2335 , R3 1.2363 EA currently has 3 open shorts...
yes, TP1 reached 2282...more to go ..TP2...2265...
  • #17,689
  • Apr 3, 2018 8:19am Apr 3, 2018 8:19am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} yes, TP1 reached 2282...more to go ..TP2...2265...
that is fast...TP2 reached 2265.....
  • #17,690
  • Edited 8:53am Apr 3, 2018 8:36am | Edited 8:53am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} that is fast...TP2 reached 2265.....
not sure we can reach TP3 2236 today since ADR has already reached 80pips at 2256
  • #17,691
  • Apr 3, 2018 9:26am Apr 3, 2018 9:26am
Quoting micho
{quote} Some targets (striked are reached, bold are new): EU 1.191x and 1.242x UC 1.227x UJ 111.5x AN 1.100x GU 1.287x EJ 136.9x and 129.4x EC 1.492x EG 0.886x
Some targets (striked are reached, bold are new):
EU 1.191x
UC 1.227x
UJ 111.5x
AN 1.100x
GU 1.287x
EJ 136.9x
EC 1.492x
EG 0.886x

no change
When life gives you lemons, make lemonade
  • #17,692
  • Apr 3, 2018 6:13pm Apr 3, 2018 6:13pm
Howdy all?!

I have been following this thread for quite some time now. I've seen it's up and down.

I just want to thank Boulder and others who are keeping this thread afloat.

Boulder, you're posts are very informative and helpful. I hope you will stay and that gator will return. It will be a shame to let this thread die just like the other one I was following.

cheers!
  • #17,693
  • Apr 3, 2018 6:48pm Apr 3, 2018 6:48pm
Quoting micho
{quote} Some targets (striked are reached, bold are new): EU 1.191x UC 1.227x UJ 111.5x AN 1.100x GU 1.287x EJ 136.9x EC 1.492x EG 0.886x no change
Some targets (striked are reached, bold are new):
EU 1.191x
UC 1.227x
UJ 111.5x
AN 1.100x
GU 1.287x and 1.408x
EJ 136.9x
EC 1.492x
EG 0.886x
When life gives you lemons, make lemonade
  • #17,694
  • Apr 3, 2018 8:08pm Apr 3, 2018 8:08pm
Quoting micho
{quote} Some targets (striked are reached, bold are new): EU 1.191x UC 1.227x UJ 111.5x AN 1.100x GU 1.287x and 1.408x EJ 136.9x EC 1.492x EG 0.886x
Some targets (striked are reached, bold are new):
EU 1.191x
UC 1.227x
UJ 111.5x
AN 1.100x
GU 1.287x and 1.408x
EJ 136.9x
EC 1.492x
EG 0.886x
When life gives you lemons, make lemonade
  • #17,695
  • Apr 3, 2018 9:59pm Apr 3, 2018 9:59pm
Quoting Zeroth
Howdy all?! I have been following this thread for quite some time now. I've seen it's up and down. I just want to thank Boulder and others who are keeping this thread afloat. Boulder, you're posts are very informative and helpful. I hope you will stay and that gator will return. It will be a shame to let this thread die just like the other one I was following. cheers!
Thanks Zeroth, .... glad my info is helpful..... I will stay in this thread ...also by putting the info together, it helps my own trading too...
  • #17,696
  • Apr 4, 2018 1:12am Apr 4, 2018 1:12am
Quoting micho
{quote} Some targets (striked are reached, bold are new): EU 1.191x UC 1.227x UJ 111.5x AN 1.100x GU 1.287x and 1.408x EJ 136.9x EC 1.492x EG 0.886x
Some targets (striked are reached, bold are new):
EU 1.191x
UC 1.227x
UJ 111.5x
AN 1.100x
GU 1.287x and 1.409x
EJ 136.9x
EC 1.492x
EG 0.886x
When life gives you lemons, make lemonade
  • #17,697
  • Apr 4, 2018 1:39am Apr 4, 2018 1:39am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} Thanks Zeroth, .... glad my info is helpful..... I will stay in this thread ...also by putting the info together, it helps my own trading too...
Hey Boulder. Hope you're well.

Is Gator likely to return or are all his energies now with ST?

It would be a shame if he goes dark. I've been following him and a few other guys here before I had the guts to get an account and start trading live.
Focus.
  • #17,698
  • Edited 2:39am Apr 4, 2018 2:23am | Edited 2:39am
just went long 1.22570 risking 10...possible .22980 as target.
EDIT: moved target to .22950 which could be around the possible high of today and above .22768 will move stop to b.e
Nothing stands in the way of a person's will -THE MYSTICS
  • #17,699
  • Edited 3:18am Apr 4, 2018 3:06am | Edited 3:18am
Quoting Patrich
just went long 1.22570 risking 10...possible .22980 as target. EDIT: moved target to .22950 which could be around the possible high of today and above .22768 will move stop to b.e
done with the underlined target...seems there could be a new high or price might just be in a range. will keep a watch for the next move.
EDIT: the daily range still had spaces and .23338/23110 was a possible target...short sight/hindsight maybe. still 25 pips extra maybe.
Nothing stands in the way of a person's will -THE MYSTICS
  • #17,700
  • Apr 4, 2018 3:30am Apr 4, 2018 3:30am
Quoting Patrich
{quote} done with the underlined target...seems there could be a new high or price might just be in a range. will keep a watch for the next move. EDIT: the daily range still had spaces and .23338/23110 was a possible target...short sight/hindsight maybe. still 25 pips extra maybe.
possible .22849/.22754 attraction for a long.
Nothing stands in the way of a person's will -THE MYSTICS
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