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Bagovino Method

  • #941
  • Sep 29, 2006 11:10am Sep 29, 2006 11:10am
now, this is massive resistance, and will turn support if broken...
Attached Image
  • #942
  • Sep 29, 2006 1:39pm Sep 29, 2006 1:39pm
The following USD/JPY charts have the exact same TL's . . . Monthly, Daily, 8HR, 4HR, 1HR . . . and don't hate me RACZEKFX . . . even 30-Min. and 15-Min.

NOTE: NEVER TRADE ON ANYTHING I MAY SAY!!!!!!

. . . just placed here for discussion and observation . . .

Regards, Kev-K

http://picnac.com/images/2201USD-JPY-charts-29SEP06.jpg
  • #943
  • Sep 29, 2006 1:42pm Sep 29, 2006 1:42pm
http://picnac.com/images/8066USD-JPY-1HR-29SEP06.jpg
  • #944
  • Sep 29, 2006 1:43pm Sep 29, 2006 1:43pm
http://picnac.com/images/5528USD-JPY-30MIN-29SEP06.jpg
  • #945
  • Sep 29, 2006 1:44pm Sep 29, 2006 1:44pm
http://picnac.com/images/7117USD-JPY-15MIN-29SEP06.jpg
  • #946
  • Sep 29, 2006 1:54pm Sep 29, 2006 1:54pm
Quoting Kev-K
The following USD/JPY charts have the exact same TL's . . . Monthly, Daily, 8HR, 4HR, 1HR . . . and don't hate me RACZEKFX . . . even 30-Min. and 15-Min.

NOTE: NEVER TRADE ON ANYTHING I MAY SAY!!!!!!

. . . just placed here for discussion and observation . . .

Regards, Kev-K
Hi Kev,
Can you repost your charts in 600x600 format, so we don't have to scroll?
I'm afraid moderators will remove them before people will get a chance to look at them.

raczekfx
  • #947
  • Sep 29, 2006 3:20pm Sep 29, 2006 3:20pm
OOPS! Sorry, I will re-post 'em this weekend.

Raczekfx, the GPB/USD was tres joli! . . . muchas gracias mi amigo! (can we trade language pairs?)

Now, it's time for the weekend . . . Jazz at the Greek Theater in LA tonight! Life is good . . . and many thanks for your advice!

Respect and kind regards, -K-

Quoting raczekfx
Hi Kev,
Can you repost your charts in 600x600 format, so we don't have to scroll?
I'm afraid moderators will remove them before people will get a chance to look at them.

raczekfx
  • #948
  • Sep 29, 2006 5:49pm Sep 29, 2006 5:49pm
Friday close USD vs. JPY . . . 118.10 . . . so come on . . . what is the Long or Short of it????

:-)

Kev-K
<!-- / message -->
  • #949
  • Sep 29, 2006 9:52pm Sep 29, 2006 9:52pm
how about sell limit 118.30/20?
Quoting Kev-K
Friday close USD vs. JPY . . . 118.10 . . . so come on . . . what is the Long or Short of it????

:-)

Kev-K
<!-- / message -->
  • #950
  • Sep 30, 2006 8:27am Sep 30, 2006 8:27am
Hi all,

Please comment on my chart as you see fit.
I'm still learning and trying to spot setups on the charts, so please don't take any of this advice too seriously. Just wanted to see if the big boys agree!

This all looks good to me but my only concern is that it might be too late as most of the signals have already happened, other than 1HR Bago.
Attached Image
Enter Signature
  • #951
  • Sep 30, 2006 9:42am Sep 30, 2006 9:42am
I don't think it's to late. I'm gonna trade the daily pin myself. Once you get a bogo signal you can wait until price retraces back to the slow ma for better entry. There is bearish divergence on the 1 hour chart and a pullback to 6740/45 area seems likely. It seems the overall downtrend will continue.
Always wait for the opportune moment… just be careful not to miss it.
  • #952
  • Sep 30, 2006 9:44am Sep 30, 2006 9:44am
Quote
how about sell limit 118.30/20?

I totally agree. Excellent short spot with good reward to risk.
Always wait for the opportune moment… just be careful not to miss it.
  • #953
  • Sep 30, 2006 9:55am Sep 30, 2006 9:55am
Quoting cologg
Hi all,

Please comment on my chart as you see fit.
I'm still learning and trying to spot setups on the charts, so please don't take any of this advice too seriously. Just wanted to see if the big boys agree!

This all looks good to me but my only concern is that it might be too late as most of the signals have already happened, other than 1HR Bago.
It looks like a good setup for 50ps or so. My sell limit was never hit, but I might still trade it on pin break or when bago signals...
Attached Image
  • #954
  • Sep 30, 2006 10:44am Sep 30, 2006 10:44am
Hi all,

I offer my forecast and see if u guys agree with me.

GbpChf and GbpJpy
Attached Images
The future depends on what we do in the present.
  • #955
  • Sep 30, 2006 12:21pm Sep 30, 2006 12:21pm
Quoting compro99
Hi all,

I offer my forecast and see if u guys agree with me.

GbpChf and GbpJpy
nice ones compro. as long as pound appreciates against dollar, your crosses should go up. I was setting up for long on gbpjpy, when it was playing around 220.25, but something required my immediate attention. When I checked it again an hour later, cross was already 80ps higher. It would've been easy 100p scalp. I may play a break of consolidation around 221.25/30, but I’m still hesitant. usd/jpy might be next good play on yen crosses.
  • #956
  • Sep 30, 2006 2:44pm Sep 30, 2006 2:44pm
I've recently started using the Metatrader charting program.

Question: How can I get an audible alert to funtion for a MA crossover? Is there an Indicator written for Bago system that will give an audible alert when the 5 crosses the 12 ? I live in the EST zone and would want an audible alarm set up that would wake me during the European market hours if and when a cross occured on some chosen pairs. Having it work in conjuction with the RSI would be even better. If this AND this THEN "alert". Possible?
"Though this be madness, yet there is method in it." -Hamlet Act II
  • #957
  • Sep 30, 2006 4:39pm Sep 30, 2006 4:39pm
Been looking to incorporate the COT data into the long term charts and TL analysis . . . thought I would post this chart for information.

. . . and remember . . . RULE 1: NEVER TRADE WHAT I MAY SAY . . .OR DON'T SAY!!

And yes, I would appreciate ANY analysis or opinions regarding the future of the USD/JPY . . . Example: UP or DOWN from here? ;-)

Kind Regards, -K-
http://picnac.com/images/5330JPY-1yr-daily-withCOT.gif
  • #958
  • Sep 30, 2006 5:32pm Sep 30, 2006 5:32pm
You will note that the "COT" data APPEARS to be trending DOWN . . . The COT data tracks oposite to price (MIRRORED) to the real price (i.e. When the COT ticks DOWN the price ticks UP.)

In other words, the "Commercial" traders (Huge money! The so-called "smart money" in blue) . . . are looking for the YEN to decline (short)

The "Large-Speculators" traders (hedge funds, etc. in red) are looking for the Yen to appreciate.

And lastly, there we are . . . the "Small Speculators" . . . and we are neutral to date. However, I'll bet "WE" chase this thing when it breaks! UP or Down! :-)

Hope this helps to AVOID confusion.

Regards, K
  • #959
  • Sep 30, 2006 5:59pm Sep 30, 2006 5:59pm
Coupled with the chart below and the COT data above . . . I am satisfied that the USD/YEN pair will break lower . . . And so, not to be tooooooo aggressive, I took my FIB's back to the 05SEP06 close at 116.02.

Could be a huge short trade. Wish me luck! . . . I'm going in!!
(Note: I shorted on Friday at 118.10 ---- initial STOP at 118.35)

RULE 1: NEVER TRADE BASED ON WHAT I SAY!

Regards, -K-


http://picnac.com/images/3858usd-jpy-1hr-29sep06.gif
  • #960
  • Edited 6:31pm Sep 30, 2006 6:01pm | Edited 6:31pm
Hi Bagovino Traders. I have been reading fast these posts last two days and want to be sure I have all ok.

The indicators I have for this method are

Vegas 1 hour,
EmaCrosswithRSI3
SHI_SilverTrendSig-2
bagovino_1h_ema_on_close template

Do I get anything wrong or missing please?

Thank you.
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