The Swamp

Just got COT report as of 2/27/2018, I see institutions they added 9,014 lots longs and also closed 2,837 lots shorts. when price was closed at 1.2232 on 27th.. aggressive. be careful shorting Euro.. . more info coming this weekend

its late friday.. gate open to push a higher high..close was above 2324

its going to hit my target2 soon... 1.2339..

Yub, I see that too, just got out at BE
2355/240ish next

Have a good weekend!

I closed all my longs here in 2nd account 2328 +150 pips .. not worry about weekend gaps due to Italian election ...
Have a good weekend, everyone...

How Institutions Position Themselves In Euro/Usd This Week

After 4 weeks unwinding their long positions, institutions increased their long positions ,
which was shown in the latest COT as of Tuesday, Feb 27, 2018.

The institutions net long Euro positions increased last week by 9,014 contracts to 137,977 contracts.
9,014 long positions were added, and 2,837 short positions were closed as well. Now Longs total 238,287 contracts vs shorts total 100,310 contracts .

70% long exposure vs 30% short exposure, which was #3 week highest percent in long exposure

This week from 2/20, the price moved from 1.2412 high on 2/20 down to 1.2221 low on 2/27, closed at 1.2232

Longs being added and shorts being closed, it indicates institutions are in preparation for price moving up from 1.21-1.22s area,
Euro is currently testing 4H supply zone 1.2320-1.2360, once that breaks, it may challenge 1.25s once more.

Bullish bias remains…

Please note institutions take weeks and months to build a position in the currency market. For Euro, they have built their net long positions since 5/9/2017.
Therefore, the bullish sentiment is more for long term outlook, not intended for short term trading.

How Institutions Position Themselves In Dollar This Week

For Dollar, the latest COT as of Tuesday, Feb 27, 2018, institutions increased net bearish bets by 68 contracts

1,030 longs were closed and 962 shorts were closed as well, Now Longs total 22,831 contracts vs shorts total 24,837 contracts .

48% long exposure vs 52% short exposure , the same as the previous week

Dollar near term resistance at 90.50-91 and support at 88-89 area. Price has been in this range for 6 weeks

Once the daily supply zone 90.50-91 proved tough to break. Some longs being closed,
Shorts being closed at 88-89 zone , forming short term support .

Long term Bearish, Short term neutral to likely bearish

Please note institutions take weeks and months to build a position in the currency market. For dollar, they have been decreasing their net long positions for over a year
Therefore, the bearish sentiment is more for long term outlook, not intended for short term trading.

How Institutions Position Themselves In Bitcoin This Week

For Bitcoins, the latest COT as of Tuesday, Feb 27, 2018, institutions stay net short bitcoins and increased bearish bets by 225 bitcoins to net negative 1,833 bitcoins.

244 longs were closed and 16 shorts were closed as well, Now Longs total 3,389 bitcoins vs shorts total 5,222 bitcoins .

39% long exposure vs 61% short exposure , Longs dropped 2% and shorts added 2% from the previous week

Short term bearish bias remains

Please note institutions take weeks and months to build a position. Bitcoin future exchange started a couple of months ago,
there were not enough data to analyze institutions long term view in crypto market.

Intraweek; Buyer at 1.2260 and 1.2205, seller at 1.2410+, 1.2455, 1.2475, 1.25ish.
A long is running from last week from 1.2160 currently up 150+ pips. I'll book some at 1.2355ish and let the rest run.
Intraday; seller at 1.2410+, buyer 1.2260-.

Euro made lower low on Daily chart but we don’t have a lower high yet, I’m neutral
Will trade both sides. 4 hour still in down trend we have lower high and lower low
Euro took out 1-18-2018 low but Dollar Index didn’t make new high above 1/18/2018
Price of 91.00

Well, seems like EU will open higher... the week gonna start for me a bit earlier...

G20 meeting , one of the subject is cryptos....Believe they will shake a lot.even who want to buy even spec may push or allow it to go lower to buy cheaper.

Nice trade!

My pending short last week triggered at 2357, targeting around 2285, scalping this time, will long around 2235/49

I am out of town right now, do everything on my cellphone hi hi

only support I'm seeing in the vicinity...

missed getting long the break, maybe sell some at 1.2415 if we reach

can't believe it. it hit D S1 at 1.2269 to the pip and up it shooted

Target was hit at 2285, +72 pips


Cheer!

Eur/Usd: Daily Market Trends Update 3/5/2018

Eur/Usd On 3/5/2018 at 8am est.. Boulder Multi Time Frame System:

1H, Downtrend, Trend stop at 1H close 1.2341, Running Period: 6x1H
4H, Uptrend, Trend stop at 4H close 1.2152, Running Period: 3 x 4H
Daily, Downtrend, Trend stop at day close 1.245, Running Period: 4 days

( Note: Those stops will change with hour close and price action)

Trading Strategy:

Currently 1H and daily downtrend, 4H uptrend. a mix signal. If you trade 1H trend, preference is to short positions as long as downtrend stop 1.2341 held at 1H close.

short targets today: 1.2292, 1.2268 and 1.2230


Open positions:

EA had 2 shorts triggered so far for this cycle

Dollar: Daily Market Trends Update 3/5/2018

USDX On 3/5/2018 at 8am est. Boulder Multi Time Frame System:

1H, Uptrend, Trend stop at 1H close 89.88, Running Period: 6x1H hours
4H, Uptrend, Trend stop at 4H close 89.86, Running Period: 32 x 4H
Daily, Uptrend, Trend stop at day close 88.79, Running Period: 3 days
Weekly,Downtrend,Trend stop at week close 95.02, Running Period: 45 weeks

( Note: Those stops will change with hour close and price action)

Trading Strategy:

Currently 1H, 4H and daily Uptrend. If you trade dollar pairs ( ex U/J), preference is to long dollar.

Longs resistance today: 90.09, 90.21 and 90.39

I didn't know Italian election was ongoing last night, I left my ea on, it triggered 2 longs, and stop out last night while i was sleep. A terrible mistake,,,
anyway..it seems this Italian election has negative implications for the stability in Euro.. but seeing institution aggressively long euro right before this election (strange),, I am not sure Euro really can come down.. stay light if you short....