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Diversified Trend Trading Approach

  • #2,901
  • Mar 1, 2018 12:35am Mar 1, 2018 12:35am
Quoting Pips_Cruiser
It's still summer in the antipodes. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eZ_hG3DMVj8 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=z7aOFru_ufI
You might even say it's friggin' hot :-)

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  • #2,902
  • Mar 2, 2018 2:55am Mar 2, 2018 2:55am
What's Cookin' Good Lookin' with EDTT

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Trade Status
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Live Trades
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Pending Orders

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Cheers

C
  • #2,903
  • Edited 9:50am Mar 2, 2018 9:25am | Edited 9:50am
Tonight is flying....thanks mostly to EURCAD :-)

Taking the unrealised trades in the portfolio from 3% to 9% in 6 hours.

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  • #2,904
  • Mar 2, 2018 9:32am Mar 2, 2018 9:32am
Quoting Copernicus
Tonight is flying....thanks mostly to EURCAD :-) Taking the portfolio from 3% to 9% in 6 hours. {image} {image} https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sCoz...KyDAzx&t=2505s
Yep, new month, and as if new markets....

EURCAD short SDC is steeper in my case:

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But Wheat and NOKSEK also helped:

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Reached 0.5 SDC already

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Cut short your losses. Let your profits run on. David Ricardo (1772-1823)
  • #2,905
  • Mar 3, 2018 4:30pm Mar 3, 2018 4:30pm
Quoting Copernicus
Tonight is flying....thanks mostly to EURCAD :-) Taking the unrealised trades in the portfolio from 3% to 9% in 6 hours. {image} {image} https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sCoz...KyDAzx&t=2505s
Hey Copernicus,

So I've tried to go through all the pages, and I can't find the EA you are using? is it an EA? if yes could you please me in the right direction! Thanks.

Regards,

A
  • #2,906
  • Mar 3, 2018 8:19pm Mar 3, 2018 8:19pm
Quoting ahsanforex
{quote} Hey Copernicus, So I've tried to go through all the pages, and I can't find the EA you are using? is it an EA? if yes could you please me in the right direction! Thanks. Regards, A
Hi A

Sorry mate but I don't have permission from the developer to release the EA....but the rules of the strategy are fully described in this thread.

Cheers

C
  • #2,907
  • Mar 4, 2018 11:03am Mar 4, 2018 11:03am
Quoting Copernicus
Tonight is flying....thanks mostly to EURCAD :-) Taking the unrealised trades in the portfolio from 3% to 9% in 6 hours. {image} {image} https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sCoz...KyDAzx&t=2505s
You are closing it down ASAP right?
"The fun is in the hunt. Not the kill."
  • #2,908
  • Mar 4, 2018 5:19pm Mar 4, 2018 5:19pm
Quoting Redeflect
{quote} You are closing it down ASAP right?
????? Is that an ominous warning from a crystal ball gazer :-)
  • #2,909
  • Mar 4, 2018 5:31pm Mar 4, 2018 5:31pm
Quoting Copernicus
{quote} ????? Is that an ominous warning from a crystal ball gazer :-)
A friendly reminder from a guy that started to ignore his crystal ball. The future seemed cloudy after he waited a few weeks. Now look where he is.

You don't need a crystal ball to see the stars aligning on a clear night.
"The fun is in the hunt. Not the kill."
  • #2,910
  • Mar 4, 2018 5:51pm Mar 4, 2018 5:51pm
Quoting Redeflect
{quote} A friendly reminder from a guy that started to ignore his crystal ball. The future seemed cloudy after he waited a few weeks. Now look where he is. You don't need a crystal ball to see the stars aligning on a clear night.
Hi R.....If I start second guessing my strategy after 18 years of testing I will come undone. Tight stops and letting profits run is the entire principle of this technique.

My worst decisions have come from when I have second guessed my testing. I will stay on alert for "I told you so you dimwit" from you later....which I will cop with grace. My total exposure (portfolio heat) is only 6.30% if every trade took a nose dive immediately to their stop and I am comfortable with that....considering the trailing technique ensures that at every 30 minute interval this heat reduces.

Cheers C

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  • #2,911
  • Edited 6:14pm Mar 4, 2018 6:00pm | Edited 6:14pm
Quoting Copernicus
{quote} Hi R.....If I start second guessing my strategy after 18 years of testing I will come undone. Tight stops and letting profits run is the entire principle of this technique. My worst decisions have come from when I have second guessed my testing. I will stay on alert for "I told you so you dimwit" from you later....which I will cop with grace. My total exposure (portfolio heat) is only 6.30% if every trade took a nose dive immediately to their stop and I am comfortable with that. Cheers C {image}
Without a doubt; I'm just saying this might be about the time you get alert to running in the opposite direction for a few months. In the meantime; smoke em if you got em. I don't really follow CAD so I'm guessing that's what you're looking at with the short rather than EUR with the long.

Shorting CAD/JPY sounds good right now even though it's a few weeks old. Still; I'd rather bet against the Euro than the Yen right now.
"The fun is in the hunt. Not the kill."
  • #2,912
  • Mar 4, 2018 6:22pm Mar 4, 2018 6:22pm
Quoting Redeflect
{quote} Without a doubt; I'm just saying this might be about the time you get alert to running in the opposite direction for a few months. In the meantime; smoke em if you got em. I don't really follow CAD so I'm guessing that's what you're looking at with the short rather than EUR with the long. Shorting CAD/JPY sounds good right now even though it's a few weeks old. Still; I'd rather bet against the Euro than the Yen right now.
Fair enough mate. I am blind to relative strength considerations and news and just play a fixed universe of 24 instruments and simply do what the market says (follow price). Anything more complex than that brings heartache to my returns. I have an average hold of about 3 days per trade as I have tightened my momentum trades so am pretty quick in dealing with market turnarounds.....if they occur.

Different horses for different courses mate. You fundies need to apply your own techniques which is a bit different to us 'trendies'. :-)
  • #2,913
  • Edited 6:45pm Mar 4, 2018 6:27pm | Edited 6:45pm
Quoting Copernicus
{quote} Fair enough mate. I am blind to relative strength considerations and news and just play a fixed universe of 24 instruments and simply do what the market says (follow price). Anything more complex than that brings heartache to my returns. I have an average hold of about 3 days per trade as I have tightened my momentum trades so am pretty quick in dealing with market turnarounds.....if they occur. Different horses for different courses mate. You fundies need to apply your own techniques which is a bit different to us 'trendies'. :-)
I'm surprised your system missed CAD/JPY. It's been rolling all month but I'm guessing it just didn't have enough momentum to get picked up by your scans. I had the same issue with GBP/ZAR a few months back but that was something I had been waiting 6+ months for fundamentally so the slow roll actually landed me on the wrong side at the wrong time.

I was looking at shorting EUR/JPY the last few weeks but grew impatient with a JPY bounce followed by the EUR bounce. I turned the boat around in the chop and got massacred last week by a double tsunami. That's what has me especially reluctant to go long EUR.
"The fun is in the hunt. Not the kill."
  • #2,914
  • Mar 4, 2018 6:33pm Mar 4, 2018 6:33pm
Quoting Redeflect
{quote} I'm surprised your system missed CAD/JPY. It's been rolling all month. I was looking at shorting EUR/JPY the last few weeks but grew impatient with a JPY bounce followed by the EUR bounce. I turned the boat around in the chop and got massacred last week.
I am in CADJPY????? I will be changing the colours of the live trades on the Dash as it is a bit hard to visually see. This is where I am at with the trade. I started things up in earnest in early Feb so was a bit late to the table as I operate off the Donchian break of 2000 bars on M30. :-)

Mate....sorry to hear about the misfortune. If it is any consolation....I have them frequently and refer to them as the "Death defying Sumo flop". You can see a Sumo on the closed trade on the screen below relating to the short term trade taken on 28 Feb. The longer term trade squeezed through the tight reversion phase and is still live :-)

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Where momentum trades fail....The Dreaded Sumo

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  • #2,915
  • Mar 4, 2018 7:17pm Mar 4, 2018 7:17pm
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  • #2,916
  • Mar 5, 2018 3:55am Mar 5, 2018 3:55am
EUR AUD?

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Cut short your losses. Let your profits run on. David Ricardo (1772-1823)
  • #2,917
  • Mar 5, 2018 4:16am Mar 5, 2018 4:16am
Orderly trend on AUD SGD

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Cut short your losses. Let your profits run on. David Ricardo (1772-1823)
  • #2,918
  • Mar 5, 2018 4:18am Mar 5, 2018 4:18am
Aussie vs Gold?

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Cut short your losses. Let your profits run on. David Ricardo (1772-1823)
  • #2,919
  • Mar 5, 2018 4:22am Mar 5, 2018 4:22am
Quoting Ramadas
EUR AUD? {image}
Nice mate

I am going for the shorter swing on EURAUD but just got nailed.

Looking for a re-entry with a 1ATR offset if it continues to move up.

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You might be better off going more longer term on this one.

Here is my status. Heat is coming off nicely and I am building a nice war chest in unrealised.

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PS I might be a bit too overleveraged at 1% trade risk and may need to dial it down a bit. Just finishing my shorter range Pepperstone test and with the slightly amended technique despite the improved result, is likely to have experienced a 30% drawdown over the last 10 years or so. If I dial down to 0.75% using this revised technique, I should have a drawdown profile I can live with. Stay tuned. Backtest almost complete. :-)


C
  • #2,920
  • Mar 5, 2018 4:47am Mar 5, 2018 4:47am
Quoting Copernicus
{quote} Nice mate I am going for the shorter swing on EURAUD but just got nailed. Looking for a re-entry with a 1ATR offset if it continues to move up. {image} You might be better off going more longer term on this one. Here is my status. Heat is coming off nicely and I am building a nice war chest in unrealised. {image} PS I might be a bit too overleveraged at 1% trade risk and may need to dial it down a bit. Just finishing my shorter range Pepperstone test and with the slightly amended technique despite the improved result, is likely to have experienced...
I have recurring idea of ATR filter where we only put entry stops when daily range is not yet overextended. Statistically when daily range is overextended then there is high probability of snap back to mean before the end of the day. Short SDC is usually dead then.

So the idea is to move buy stops for the next day when average daily range is less than half. Of course it is not 100% fireproof, but statistically significant.
Cut short your losses. Let your profits run on. David Ricardo (1772-1823)
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