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Planetary Cycles Trading (EUR/USD)

  • #8,941
  • Feb 9, 2018 5:12pm Feb 9, 2018 5:12pm
Here is post #8,894 with price filled in....

Q Spectrum 1194 bar cycle (blue) and Neptune-Neptune 4th harmonic (green)
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  • #8,942
  • Edited Feb 10, 2018 12:32pm Feb 9, 2018 10:26pm | Edited Feb 10, 2018 12:32pm
First look at next week...

Market to rise through the NY open on Wednesday, then choppy market Wed - Thursday with the bias upward. Week to end higher than the open. The conjunct of Mercury and the Sun at the end of the week has historically resulted in an upward thrust of the pair. The slowing of the upward bias on Wednesday will resume to full speed ahead by 02:00 Thursday EST.

Red= Q Spectrum 1181.1728 bar cycle

Purple = Neptune-Newptune 4h 166% smooth orb.

Green= Uranus-Uranus 4h 166% smooth orb.

2nd Chart= same set up on last week's PA.
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  • #8,943
  • Feb 10, 2018 8:25am Feb 10, 2018 8:25am
Sat 10/2
Sun sq.Jup. and Venus enters Pisces 330*

Sunday 11/2
Venus trine Jup. HELIO

Monday 12/2
Mars 135*Ouranus

All these important events might have created this recent 1.22 06 low. and have a bullish week in front of us.

Kindly consider 17 and 18/2 [next weekend] as anothe important CIT that should attract price higher till then.
Mars sq. Neptune + Merc enters Pisces 330* +Sun conj.Merc. + Sun enters Pisces + Mars trine M.Node.
and during the weekend 5 planets are in a tight cluster of 18.7 * [Sun. Merc. Venus. Nept. Moon ]
Did not mention the P.Solar Eclipse with NMoon on the 15/2

Good luck and happy trading crew . . .

  • #8,944
  • Feb 10, 2018 10:38am Feb 10, 2018 10:38am
Here's another worthy video that discusses the importance of the number 9

Inserted Video
  • #8,945
  • Feb 10, 2018 12:15pm Feb 10, 2018 12:15pm
Ray Merriam makes available a free weekly column, sent by email to your inbox... here is this week's in which he discusses the reasons for the market chaos this past week.... You can subscribe by going to his website....
Attached File(s)
File Type: pdf RAY_S WEEKLY COLUMN 2018-02-12.pdf   303 KB | 642 downloads
  • #8,947
  • Feb 11, 2018 5:36pm Feb 11, 2018 5:36pm
Quoting jnevins
First look at next week... Market to rise through the NY open on Wednesday, then choppy market Wed - Thursday with the bias upward. Week to end higher than the open. The conjunct of Mercury and the Sun at the end of the week has historically resulted in an upward thrust of the pair. The slowing of the upward bias on Wednesday will resume to full speed ahead by 02:00 Thursday EST. Red= Q Spectrum 1181.1728 bar cycle Purple = Neptune-Newptune 4h 166% smooth orb. Green= Uranus-Uranus 4h 166% smooth orb. 2nd Chart= same set up on last week's PA. {image}...

Based on this analysis I will be looking to buy ATM ( At the Money) or OTM ( Out of the Money) Contracts at 6 PM EST on Nadex.

Sunday (2/11/18) -

Placed the following trade:

Order Web EUR/USD >1.2260 (3PM) 12-FEB-18 +7 45 Order filled: CY5T4376
Order Web EUR/USD >1.2260 (3PM) 12-FEB-18 +1 43.75 Order filled: CY5UBFEQ

Bought 8 Contracts in total at 1.2260 (which means that the price will be above 1.2260 at 3 PM EST @ average price of $44.84 For a total of $358.72

Monday- Looking to buy ATM for 3 pm EST expiry.


Tuesday - Looking to buy ATM for expiry at 7 am EST.

Wednesday: Will analyze and act according to market, numerical and astrological factors ( Action TBD - Most likely trade on intraday 1-3 hour expiry contracts as to avoid the 15th)

Thursday: February 15 ~ Solar Eclipse 27º Aquarius, Moon Wobble - I do not trade on eclipse and moon wobble days

I will be looking to sell the contracts at 75% return or better.

I will post updates with my results, hopefully on a day to day basis.


Many thanks to Jnevins for his awesome analysis and work with timing solution.
  • #8,948
  • Feb 12, 2018 10:47pm Feb 12, 2018 10:47pm
Quoting roast
{quote} Based on this analysis I will be looking to buy ATM ( At the Money) or OTM ( Out of the Money) Contracts at 6 PM EST on Nadex. Sunday (2/11/18) - Placed the following trade: Order Web EUR/USD >1.2260 (3PM) 12-FEB-18 +7 45 Order filled: CY5T4376 Order Web EUR/USD >1.2260 (3PM) 12-FEB-18 +1 43.75 Order filled: CY5UBFEQ Bought 8 Contracts in total at 1.2260 (which means that the price will be above 1.2260 at 3 PM EST @ average price of $44.84 For a total of $358.72 Monday- Looking to buy ATM for 3 pm EST expiry. Tuesday - Looking to buy ATM...

Hi Roast... I took that first trade for 8 contracts at 1.2280 3 pm and collected the payout...

Now, tonight, I knew that prices would continue to rise and I took 8 more @ 1.2300 an 11 pm close.... and was off by 15 min... It got there at 11:15 so $0 payout...

I just ran a q spectrum on 5 min data and had I done that before buying those contracts, I would have seen that price would rise to at least 11:08, thus making an 11 pm goal of 1.2300 harder to achieve...

There is a lot to learn in this new way of thinking about a trade...
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  • #8,949
  • Edited 12:32am Feb 13, 2018 12:05am | Edited 12:32am
Quoting jnevins
{quote} Hi Roast... I took that first trade for 8 contracts at 1.2280 3 pm and collected the payout... Now, tonight, I knew that prices would continue to rise and I took 8 more @ 1.2300 an 11 pm close.... and was off by 15 min... It got there at 11:15 so $0 payout... I just ran a q spectrum on 5 min data and had I done that before buying those contracts, I would have seen that price would rise to at least 11:08, thus making an 11 pm goal of 1.2300 harder to achieve... There is a lot to learn in this new way of thinking about a trade... {image}

I took profit on the Sunday trade and got out at $71.50 for a decent $200 profit, right now I have the 1.2300 for 3 PM EST, haven't taken profit yet but I'm up $116 at the moment.

02/12/18 18:01OrderWebEUR/USD >1.2300 (3PM)13-FEB-18+845.25Order filled: CY8EGKLB

I would recommend taking longer trades, I usually stick to the 3 pm EST next day expiry as it allows for alot of flexibility. Let's say you know the trade isn't going your way you can still take a smaller loss and sell your contract vs loosing the whole amount.

I got burnt by minutes on the shorter contracts many times before so I usually take the longer contracts now, also if your gnna do the short play then I would recommend in the money contracts they pay out less but your more likely to expire in your favor. Also as a side not, always stay away from the 5 minute binaries.


---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Update

its 12:26 AM CST, took an lower but decent profit, because I have the flu and want to get some rest.

02/13/18 01:24 Order Web EUR/USD >1.2300 (3PM) 13-FEB-18 -8 73 Order filled: CY87S8ZV

$218 Profit

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  • #8,950
  • Feb 13, 2018 1:11am Feb 13, 2018 1:11am
Quoting jnevins
{quote} Hi Roast... I took that first trade for 8 contracts at 1.2280 3 pm and collected the payout... Now, tonight, I knew that prices would continue to rise and I took 8 more @ 1.2300 an 11 pm close.... and was off by 15 min... It got there at 11:15 so $0 payout... I just ran a q spectrum on 5 min data and had I done that before buying those contracts, I would have seen that price would rise to at least 11:08, thus making an 11 pm goal of 1.2300 harder to achieve... There is a lot to learn in this new way of thinking about a trade... {image}
For OTM, it's better to go longer out so that time is potentially on your side. You can always close trades early. The way I trade cycles with Nadex is usually only go about 2 strikes out from a market turn area. That does depend on time of day as only certain times have enough market action to move. For the EURUSD during the Euro and first part of US session that gives better than 1.5:1 R:R and a very high probability of expiring ITM. Even when trades are ITM and there's still time left, I'll close out early anyway. Nothing worse than being up only to lose by a tic or two in the dying minutes.

ITM and ATM have a higher chance of expiring in the money, but even then I usually take profit between $75 and $85 rather than hold out to expiration.

With binaries, it's better to get a higher win rate even if it's under 1:1. But that's also the beauty. You can get consistent results without relying on big movements to collect pips. Then there are hedging and cost reduction strategies to get better than 1:1 r:r on those same trades but that can also up the possible risk if the entries are in the same direction. I'm working on examples for when I start that Nadex thread.

I'm currently short OTM 1.2300 @ 64.5 (35.5) and OTM 1.2280 @ 76.75 (23.25). 1.2280 set to close on the touch ($50) and 1.2300 set to close on $75. That's about 1:1 for each. Both are well within the average trading range even if price goes up on me a bit.

http://content.screencast.com/users/...0Feb.%2012.gif
http://content.screencast.com/users/...0Feb.%2012.gif
  • #8,951
  • Feb 13, 2018 9:20pm Feb 13, 2018 9:20pm
[/quote] I will post updates with my results, hopefully on a day to day basis. Many thanks to Jnevins for his awesome analysis and work with timing solution.[/quote]

And thank you Roast and JR for sharing your Nadex trades...

I'm getting over the flu also.. I'm in my 3rd week and still feeling a bit run down....
  • #8,952
  • Feb 14, 2018 8:51pm Feb 14, 2018 8:51pm
I will post updates with my results, hopefully on a day to day basis. Many thanks to Jnevins for his awesome analysis and work with timing solution.[/quote] And thank you Roast and JR for sharing your Nadex trades... I'm getting over the flu also.. I'm in my 3rd week and still feeling a bit run down....[/quote]

Jnevins hope you feel better soon.

Thank you, booth Jnevins and JR97 for sharing your knowledge with me.



Trade History of this week so far

I will be referencing Post 8,947 , in which I laid out my trade plan for the week based on Jnevins analysis.

Sunday (2/11/18) -

Placed the following trade:

Order Web EUR/USD >1.2260 (3PM) 12-FEB-18 +7 45 Order filled: CY5T4376
Order Web EUR/USD >1.2260 (3PM) 12-FEB-18 +1 43.75 Order filled: CY5UBFEQ

Bought 8 Contracts in total at 1.2260 (which means that the price will be above 1.2260 at 3 PM EST @ average price of $44.84 For a total of $358.72


Sold 8 Contracts at $71.50

02/12/18 12:17OrderWebEUR/USD >1.2260 (3PM) 12-FEB-18 -8 71.5 Order filled: CY7SSXBE

8 contracts @ $71.50 = $572

Cash out price $572 - Initial purchase price $358.72 - Nadex Fees $16 = Total Profit $ 197.28 54.99 % ROI return on investment


Monday (2/12/18) -

Placed the following trade:

02/12/18 18:01OrderWebEUR/USD >1.2300 (3PM) 13-FEB-18 +8 45.25 Order filled: CY8EGKLB

Bought 8 Contracts in total at 1.2300 (which means that the price will be above 1.2300 at 3 PM EST @ a price of 45.25 For a total of $362

Sold 8 Contracts at $73

02/13/18 01:24 OrderWebEUR/USD >1.2300 (3PM)13-FEB-18 -8 73 Order filled: CY87S8ZV

8 contracts @ $73 = $584

Cash out price $584 - Initial purchase price $362 - Nadex Fees $16 = Total Profit $ 206 56.90 % ROI return on investment



Tuesday (2/13/18) -

Placed the following trade:

* I placed this trade based on the 5 minute chart posted by Jnevins in Post 8,948 ; Took this trade right before 9 PM EST, as the chart indicated. The trend changed rapidly exactly as shown in the chart. The trade was closed out in just 1 hour and 19 minutes or so.

02/13/18 20:57OrderWebEUR/USD >1.2360 (7AM)14-FEB-18 +8 44.25 Order filled: CZBAXRJA

Bought 8 Contracts in total at $ 44.25 = Total price $354

Sold 8 Contracts at $73

02/13/18 22:16 OrderWebEUR/USD >1.2360 (7AM) 14-FEB-18 -8 73 Order filled: CZBFFNYU

8 contracts @ $73 = $584

Cash out price $584 - Initial purchase price $354 - Nadex Fees $16 = Total Profit $ 214 $60.45 % ROI return on investment


The 5 minute chart seems most accurate Jnevins, if you can pull up a weekly chart with the detailed times, I think there can be more opportunities for trades we can explore.


Current Trade

02/14/18 20:24 OrderWebEUR/USD >1.2480 (3PM)15-FEB-18 +9 39.5 Order filled: CZDTFU8A


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  • #8,953
  • Feb 14, 2018 9:51pm Feb 14, 2018 9:51pm
Great Roast... thanks for posting those trades... great information there...

Here is a Q Spectrum view of the next 24 hours on the 5 min chart, EST....
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  • #8,954
  • Feb 14, 2018 10:30pm Feb 14, 2018 10:30pm
Here is a Q Spectrum on the 15 min chart... that takes us out to the end of the week to the close on Friday...
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  • #8,955
  • Feb 15, 2018 12:29am Feb 15, 2018 12:29am
Quoting jnevins
Great Roast... thanks for posting those trades... great information there... Here is a Q Spectrum view of the next 24 hours on the 5 min chart, EST.... {image}
Awesome, Thanks for the charts, I'm going to trade based on the 5 minute chart and I'll update my results.
  • #8,956
  • Feb 15, 2018 2:13pm Feb 15, 2018 2:13pm
16:06 N.Moon and Solar Eclipse . . . $JY collapsing . . . Some panic is justified and expected. . .

  • #8,957
  • Feb 15, 2018 2:19pm Feb 15, 2018 2:19pm
Quoting roast
{quote} Awesome, Thanks for the charts, I'm going to trade based on the 5 minute chart and I'll update my results.

So, trying to chase the Q Spectrum on the 5 min chart, didn't turn out to be a good idea.


The current trade I had, I closed out quickly.


02/14/18 20:24 OrderWebEUR/USD >1.2480 (3PM)15-FEB-18 +9 39.5 Order filled: CZDTFU8A

Sold for $2 per a contract loss - Nadex Fees = 18 = $36 Loss

* The 13:43 EST turn didn't materialize, so total loss on the contract there.

02/15/18 13:29OrderWebEUR/USD >1.2490 (3PM) 15-FEB-18 -3 55 Order filled: CZFM4WC7

$135 Loss


Made other mistakes chasing the 5 min chart; some in hindsight should not have taken

Total Daily Loss = $ 349


The analysis in Post 8,942 still holds largely correct. Going forward the best course of action is to follow my original method, which is to trade at 6 pm EST for 3 PM EST expiry, only when the weekly chart indicates a main direction for the day.

Based on the original weekly chart, I have been taking many successful trades. While very useful in indicating intraday swings, the 5 min on the Q Spectrum does not seem to be accurate enough to place trades based on the exact times stipulated.
  • #8,958
  • Feb 15, 2018 9:43pm Feb 15, 2018 9:43pm
The latest comment(s) with regard to Time and Space from OM:

https://astrologyforganntraders.word...ime-and-space/

Sixer
  • #8,959
  • Feb 16, 2018 3:11am Feb 16, 2018 3:11am
If it can help somebody here.

a) Envelopes parameters are calculated accoording to Gann Law of Vibration : division by 8 of a Price Range (and its sub-harmonics)

b) Price Action is the result of 2 components : the Amplitude of the Envelope you are using + the Amplitude of the Underlying Trend = Sum of The Cycles whose Time Units is greater than the Tie Units used to build the Envelopes
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  • #8,960
  • Feb 16, 2018 5:23pm Feb 16, 2018 5:23pm
Quoting roast
{quote} So, trying to chase the Q Spectrum on the 5 min chart, didn't turn out to be a good idea. The current trade I had, I closed out quickly. 02/14/18 20:24 OrderWebEUR/USD >1.2480 (3PM)15-FEB-18 +9 39.5 Order filled: CZDTFU8A Sold for $2 per a contract loss - Nadex Fees = 18 = $36 Loss * The 13:43 EST turn didn't materialize, so total loss on the contract there. 02/15/18 13:29OrderWebEUR/USD >1.2490 (3PM) 15-FEB-18 -3 55 Order filled: CZFM4WC7 $135 Loss Made other mistakes chasing the 5 min chart; some in hindsight should not have taken Total...

Agreed! I ran the Q Spectrum on the 5 min data without knowing whether that was a good idea or not! So..... not... at least without much further study. I have been working hard with 30 min data for more than 2 years so I have a better sense of what is possible with that data.
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