The Swamp | Page 790 | Forex Factory

Options

Go to
Permalinks
Print Thread
Attachments: The Swamp
Exit Attachments

The Swamp

  • #15,781
  • Edited 9:06am Feb 4, 2018 8:11am | Edited 9:06am
Until Tuesday ( before Wednesday FOMC and Fri NFP), institutions show no love for the dollar., they increased net bearish bets 3 weeks in a row

For Dollar, the latest COT as of Tuesday, Jan 30, 2018 shows the institutions net long dollar positions decreased during the last week by 1,633 lots , net positions negative 5,740 lots.They continued to short the dollar.

2,236 long positions were closed and 603 short positions were closed as well, . Now Longs total 29,000 lots vs shorts total 34,740 lots .

45% long exposure vs 55% short exposure , Longs dropped 2% and shorts added 2% from the previous week

Price was consolidating between 90.11 to 89.16 area and closed at 89.19, at a weekly demand zone

Larger amount of the longs being closed , it indicates their belief the dollar price will continue to move down from this 89-90 price area.
some shorts being closed , it indicates their belief this weekly demand zone may provide some bounce.

Bearish bias remains…

Please note institutions take weeks and months to build a position in the currency market. For dollar, they have been decreasing their net long positions for over a year, therefore, the bearish sentiment is more for long term outlook, not intended for short term trading.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: dxy.png Size: 23 KB
  • #15,782
  • Feb 4, 2018 8:11am Feb 4, 2018 8:11am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} I couldn't believe you are here during the weekend....if you want to buylimit in coinbase, i think you can do through gdax....
i take my breaks.. i cant believe steemit is taking so long.. mine took 2 days. hang on to some extra bullets. i may have one to talk about
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #15,783
  • Feb 4, 2018 8:12am Feb 4, 2018 8:12am
Quoting Boulder
Until Tuesday ( before Wednesday FOMC and Fri NFP), institutions show no love for the dollar., they increased net bearish bets 3 weeks in a row For Dollar, the latest COT as of Tuesday, Jan 30, 2018 shows the institutions net long dollar positions decreased during the last week by 1,633 lots , net positions negative 5,740 lots.They continue to short the dollar. 2,236 long positions were closed and 603 short positions were closed as well, . Now Longs total 29,000 lots vs shorts total 34,740 lots . 45% long exposure vs 55% short exposure , Longs dropped...
81.x usd should come
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #15,784
  • Feb 4, 2018 8:16am Feb 4, 2018 8:16am
Quoting Boulder
Until Tuesday ( before Wednesday FOMC and Fri NFP), institutions show no love for the dollar., they increased net bearish bets 3 weeks in a row For Dollar, the latest COT as of Tuesday, Jan 30, 2018 shows the institutions net long dollar positions decreased during the last week by 1,633 lots , net positions negative 5,740 lots.They continue to short the dollar. 2,236 long positions were closed and 603 short positions were closed as well, . Now Longs total 29,000 lots vs shorts total 34,740 lots . 45% long exposure vs 55% short exposure , Longs dropped...
did you study ethereum's model?
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #15,785
  • Feb 4, 2018 8:19am Feb 4, 2018 8:19am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} i take my breaks.. i cant believe steemit is taking so long.. mine took 2 days. hang on to some extra bullets. i may have one to talk about
still no steemit today...it will be like bitstamp for me again, it took over a month instead of 2 weeks...
  • #15,786
  • Feb 4, 2018 8:21am Feb 4, 2018 8:21am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} did you study ethereum's model?
no eth but bitcoin...since we don't have its institution info.....I will put out bitcoin info in a week or two...currently institutions short bitcoin..
  • #15,787
  • Feb 4, 2018 8:29am Feb 4, 2018 8:29am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} no eth but bitcoin...since we don't have its institution info.....I will put out bitcoin info in a week or two...currently institutions short bitcoin..
i was talking about the ethereum business model.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #15,788
  • Feb 4, 2018 8:36am Feb 4, 2018 8:36am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} i was talking about the ethereum business model.
no.. I didn't .,, I only read something about energy use.. eth is much controllable and better energy use than btc...
I bought eth originally for converting to ripple.. I end up like eth PA better..... maybe i should read more about it...
  • #15,789
  • Feb 4, 2018 8:43am Feb 4, 2018 8:43am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} no.. I didn't .,, I only read something about energy use.. eth is much controllable and better energy use than btc... I bought eth originally for converting to ripple.. I end up like eth PA better..... maybe i should read more about it...
Inserted Video
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #15,790
  • Feb 4, 2018 8:50am Feb 4, 2018 8:50am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ELA91d_mx80
thanks Gator... great info...
  • #15,791
  • Feb 4, 2018 11:18am Feb 4, 2018 11:18am
Lite coin strong...near important resistance now vs BTC
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Your new TVC (18).png Size: 66 KB
Look Sharp/Trade Tight
  • #15,792
  • Feb 4, 2018 12:05pm Feb 4, 2018 12:05pm
Quoting PayTheLimit
Lite coin strong...near important resistance now vs BTC {image}
i got as not bullish.. but stronger than the other 3 i plotted. the week close above the month, but still below previous week. the day closed higher. i dont have a good year close. insta cut the feed and didnt fill it in. i am neutral on litcoin. it may be a tight stop buy near red line. but not below. red line day close below is probably a bearish b/o.
Attached Image
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #15,793
  • Feb 4, 2018 12:37pm Feb 4, 2018 12:37pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} i got as not bullish.. but stronger than the other 3 i plotted. the week close above the month, but still below previous week. the day closed higher. i dont have a good year close. insta cut the feed and didnt fill it in. i am neutral on litcoin. it may be a tight stop buy near red line. but not below. red line day close below is probably a bearish b/o. {image}

what do you make of the XXX/BTC charts, you look at them at all...I mean those crosses, in many coins are what do the volume...I'm still a little confused if I should give them any weight, or just use XXX/USD charts...
Look Sharp/Trade Tight
  • #15,794
  • Feb 4, 2018 12:38pm Feb 4, 2018 12:38pm
https://medium.com/@StevenVoros88/th...s-bcc1a90ce34c

don't know if this guy knows what he's talking about, but my coin got an honorable mention....
Look Sharp/Trade Tight
  • #15,795
  • Feb 4, 2018 12:41pm Feb 4, 2018 12:41pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} i got as not bullish.. but stronger than the other 3 i plotted. the week close above the month, but still below previous week. the day closed higher. i dont have a good year close. insta cut the feed and didnt fill it in. i am neutral on litcoin. it may be a tight stop buy near red line. but not below. red line day close below is probably a bearish b/o. {image}

agree with LTC/USD, I don't see any interesting support for a while....
Look Sharp/Trade Tight
  • #15,796
  • Feb 4, 2018 1:04pm Feb 4, 2018 1:04pm
Quoting PayTheLimit
{quote} what do you make of the XXX/BTC charts, you look at them at all...I mean those crosses, in many coins are what do the volume...I'm still a little confused if I should give them any weight, or just use XXX/USD charts...
i need a chart and some close times.. i prefer meta4 because i dont need most indies or bells or whistles. i did some basic math on e b r this weekend and it was time consuming. looks like a massacre to me. i see a likely chance last week's lows will be tested and mabey much more. . if the closes below those dotted red lines it not good for bulls..

what's bad atm is since i posted 988.. the drop is 152 lower.. its like catching a tiger by the tail to short. i am looking to long unleveraged. so i just want cheap..undervalued... the question is, do they really have value? i dont know.. i plan on waiting.. if ethereum gives up 690.. it may be a long week/month/ year. light coin started last year at 4.29.. its above 140 atm.. there is looks of room to fall on all of them..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #15,797
  • Feb 4, 2018 1:22pm Feb 4, 2018 1:22pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} i need a chart and some close times.. i prefer meta4 because i dont need most indies or bells or whistles. i did some basic math on e b r this weekend and it was time consuming. looks like a massacre to me. i see a likely chance last week's lows will be tested and mabey much more. . if the closes below those dotted red lines it not good for bulls.. what's bad atm is since i posted 988.. the drop is 152 lower.. its like catching a tiger by the tail to short. i am looking to long unleveraged. so i just want cheap..undervalued... the question...

its 1999 all over, back then none of those internet companies had any earnings, pets.com, netbank, I don't remember them all...most didn't make it, and the ones that did, saw no earnings for a decade....but you had to hand your hat somewhere....I'll try to find a chart of the S&P Internet index from back then, it fell 80%, then rallied slowly for, well for 20 years...this will be different, but the same....

Another interesting tid bit, if I'm not mistaken, is those internet companies, at their peak, had a market cap of 4 trillion....we only made it to 800 billion on this run....I will have to double check those numbers....
Look Sharp/Trade Tight
  • #15,798
  • Feb 4, 2018 1:25pm Feb 4, 2018 1:25pm
Quoting Angelina
Too much things such as coins and many others to focus and trade... I just do only EU, just want to know and learn everything about this pairs. That would be enough for me. This thread is now mixed I wish that I can be able focus on many pairs together. You guys are cool. Talk about who can do then

personally I don't think I'll be trading them, for a variety of reasons...but never say never I guess....what I want, is to lay some coin down in this space, just to have some exposure...I want to buy something, and let it ride...look for 10x my money in a few years...
Look Sharp/Trade Tight
  • #15,799
  • Feb 4, 2018 1:30pm Feb 4, 2018 1:30pm
Amazon, the early years....1.5 to 100, broke to 6, rallied to 60 in about 2 years....that's the play I'm looking for...nevermind the 1500 its at now....
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Your new TVC (20).png Size: 70 KB
Look Sharp/Trade Tight
  • #15,800
  • Feb 4, 2018 1:39pm Feb 4, 2018 1:39pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} i need a chart and some close times.. i prefer meta4 because i dont need most indies or bells or whistles. i did some basic math on e b r this weekend and it was time consuming. looks like a massacre to me. i see a likely chance last week's lows will be tested and mabey much more. . if the closes below those dotted red lines it not good for bulls.. what's bad atm is since i posted 988.. the drop is 152 lower.. its like catching a tiger by the tail to short. i am looking to long unleveraged. so i just want cheap..undervalued......
48 traders viewing now