Ramblings of a Data Scientist!

High impact and surprise news: 7 out of 7.

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I even threw in a few levels which is not a requirement of the news experiment
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Today's offer that can't be refused is:

LONG @ 2412 - SL 30 PIPS.

Price likely to start journey no sooner than 14:30GMT.

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South Signal is indicating open more shorts but in short trend mode so I'll pass.

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Cognitive bias I'm afraid...I find it very difficult to pull the trigger or add to positions while in trend mode. Pips are missed but hey!

Today's offer that can't be refused is: LONG @ 2412 - SL 30 PIPS.

Confirmed trend reversal. Waiting for signal.

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14:26: Only exit short signals not enter long. Thinking 2461 will resist.

Well 2461 did resist and price may reach the lucrative offer but just ike black friday, I expect demand to be high so price may not stay there for long.

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Limits loaded at 2413.

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I won't chase price. A discounted price or nothing.

And that is why I call it the offer. This trade may not play out but in the long run this setup offers fabulous risk to return if the trade is held until the session close. According to offer trades, when a trade is opened the price normally closes above a certain level. Today's level is 2461 but that is a minimum sometimes offer trades generate in excess of 200 pips hence holding until the end of the session.

Maybe it's too early for this but what the hell!

The other side of the offer is if you're stopped out, trading the downside breakout is also very profitable in the long-run. However, I do not trade that setup.

Offers being stopped out is very rare and usually confirms a change of trend direction (current uptrend). An offer holding normally signals a continuation of the trend.

Ignoring Sooth in order to allow the market to works it's magic on the offer.

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Nah! I'm being lazy! Too much pedalling.

Sooth signal has gone short. Sooth is just short of the reversal zone.



16:40:Still not in the reversal zone and holding the offer until the close but can still hedge with Sooth.

Sooth in reversal zone but no change of trend confirmation.

Early stages of long trend mode.

Still trend mode. Seems the offer may dominate but trying not to be dominated by the offer bias!

No bias...

This market is going up. BULLISH!

To where I can't say but 2510 seems like a logical place to start and 2550 is within the scope but not many instances of late stage rallies on Friday at this time.

Price is above 2460, it almost has to go to 2510.

And that is why it is called "the offer". Because if you long and short it consistently, it makes you Bill Gates rich! EVERY MARKET HAS AN OFFER!

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17:34: Anyway, I am done for the day. The account is up 60% today (it should be more) and I won't even write how much it is up for the week, because it is unbelievable.

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I'll add before I hit the wine, the "offer" held so the uptrend is intact. Buy the dips.

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17:48: warning/alert: Sooth is not perfect (attachment). However, it does concern me there is no long signal!




#Addicted to price!

I'm bullish but I did ASSUME there would be a long confirmation via the signal. The short sooth signal is pretty robust, in the reversal zone:trend mode. Something isn't as it appears.


The offer is very robust to 2461 but often give windfalls.

 

1. I think there is going to be a retrace to 2435 before continuation of the uptrend.

Addicted to price.

On the verge of a confirmed trend reversal.

Looks like price is going to try to form a right inverted shoulder.

18:11:- Wrong! The offer dominates. Trend mode persists!

Anyway, the folks who managed to buy the bargain are sitting pretty. I will open yet another trading account to trade these alternative setups because trading them in the main account increases cognitive bias...fire and forget is the thing!

I have to put Sooth signal's short bias down to it being wrong! Which is normal and acceptable, it has to be wrong sometimes as it only has a 80 to 90% hitting rate.


Sooth S&F is still in long trend mode.

That is why the five percenters call it the offer!!!!




Bragging...fkning right! Who cares as long as we can make money right...isn't that why we're here to make money. So who cares if a few brags are thrown in to keep me motivated...hmmm...the ninety five percenters! That swing is half double of someone's weekly pip target!

Bored. Market almost done: Still long trend mode.

Wow...a confirmed trend reversal! This is likely to retrace back up before going down which seems to be the norm.

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And still no long signal which is bizaare to say the least. Signal still short. But it is Friday nand market closing soon, what could possibly happen. I have no statistics for insight.

If price is going to fall materially, it needs to build more time by consolidating for a while before falling.

Done!!! I need to wean myself off this price crack!

Time to enjoy the weekend!

P.S. Price is building time.

P.P.S...BUT WE ARE NOW IN THE REVERSAL ZONE!

With a long signal!!!!

And I've opened an additional long because the long signal confirmation has been a long time coming!

I didn't take the short trade in fact I went long at the arrow.

A long story of having too many dials to turn.


NEWS experiment: Sooth forecasts an upward move.

News: 7 out of 8