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The Swamp

  • #15,361
  • Jan 30, 2018 7:04am Jan 30, 2018 7:04am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} it may get a little funky here.. with 2427 acting as R..possible R here at 2427 area. if it can break it this time. it may go back to 237x/80 area again..
need to raise this some.. 238x/90 likely.. 2334/90..possible long here. it has 2 bear days against this post. I would need today to close 2346+ and better 2428+ to be more positive. last week closed higher.. i need friday to close above 2428 too. w/o those closes bears will use those 2 red days and go deeper.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #15,362
  • Jan 30, 2018 7:09am Jan 30, 2018 7:09am
with the possibility of GPBJPY of going back to 155.8x, i wonder if EURUSD will extend beyond 1.2464 to find a new high above 1.25 a tad before going down
it can be possible but i am still adding another short when we reach 1.2464.
When life gives you lemons, make lemonade
  • #15,363
  • Jan 30, 2018 7:09am Jan 30, 2018 7:09am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} London and NY both closed lower. wait to see we will visit low 2337 later...
Just woke up and saw EU did visit low 2337 last night, shorts were closed to that level at 2343,
5 hours ago, I had #1 long triggered..
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  • #15,364
  • Jan 30, 2018 7:20am Jan 30, 2018 7:20am
I see H4 uptrend stop got tested last night, it held again at its stop...
now all trends are up, I wonder how far bulls will go this time...

Euro On 1/30/2018 at 8am est.. Boulder MTF system update :
H1, Uptrend, Trend stop at H1 close 2346, Running Period: 5 hours
H4, Uptrend, Trend stop at H4 close 2352, Running Period: 67 x H4
Daily, uptrend, Trend stop at day close 1868, Running Period: 47 days

( Note: Those stops will change with hour close and price action)
  • #15,365
  • Jan 30, 2018 7:25am Jan 30, 2018 7:25am
i have a small puzzle:

if EURGPB will reach 0.89
and GPBJPY will reach 155.8x
what could happen with EURUSD if it has to go to 1.2464, 1.211x and 1.19x?
When life gives you lemons, make lemonade
  • #15,366
  • Jan 30, 2018 7:26am Jan 30, 2018 7:26am
Quoting micho
i have a small puzzle: if EURGPB will reach 0.89 and GPBJPY will reach 155.8x what could happen with EURUSD if it has to go to 1.2464, 1.211x and 1.19x?
so if EURUSD top would be 1.2464 just if, then GPBUSD could top much lower, and then what could happen too USDJPY then if it has to go to 108 and 111 still? which one first
When life gives you lemons, make lemonade
  • #15,367
  • Jan 30, 2018 7:30am Jan 30, 2018 7:30am
Yesterday, it was 4th time for Dollar to test its H4 downtrend stop, it failed again,
currently trends are down in all TFs

USDX On 1/30/2018 at 8am est. Boulder MTF system update :
H1, Downtrend, Trend stop at H1 close 89.56, Running Period: 5 hours
H4, Downtrend, Trend stop at H4 close 89.53, Running Period: 78 x H4
Daily, Downtrend, Trend stop at day close 93.15, Running Period: 47 days
Weekly, Downtrend, Trend stop at week close 95.02, Running Period: 40 weeks
( Note: Those stops will change with hour close and price action)
  • #15,368
  • Jan 30, 2018 7:37am Jan 30, 2018 7:37am
21h closed above 2427.. 3h to go.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #15,369
  • Jan 30, 2018 7:46am Jan 30, 2018 7:46am
Quoting gatorinla
21h closed above 2427.. 3h to go.
today adr already 106.. i don't know how far this can go today.....may not much...I might kill my long here...
  • #15,370
  • Jan 30, 2018 7:47am Jan 30, 2018 7:47am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} need to raise this some.. 238x/90 likely.. 2334/90..possible long here. it has 2 bear days against this post. I would need today to close 2346+ and better 2428+ to be more positive. last week closed higher.. i need friday to close above 2428 too. w/o those closes bears will use those 2 red days and go deeper.
still time, 3h till close. if its above 2428.. it lessons retrace chances. with most things bullish, dip buying looks to be the better r/r. closing above 2428 is probably not bearish. St I thought is may retrace again to 2388. it didnt happen atm. it may not happen with at 2428+ close in 3h. regardless all tf a week and above are higher than the period b4. a day close above 2428 would make a higher inside day close. and higher than last weeks close. usually that is bullish, to test 2506ish
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #15,371
  • Jan 30, 2018 7:49am Jan 30, 2018 7:49am
ok..close #1 long at 2434, +30 pips
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  • #15,372
  • Jan 30, 2018 7:52am Jan 30, 2018 7:52am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} today adr already 106.. i don't know how far this can go today.....may not much...I might kill my long here...
dunno.. i thought 2388, but 2427 didnt hold it. pong 2520
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #15,373
  • Jan 30, 2018 7:55am Jan 30, 2018 7:55am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} dunno.. i thought 2388, but 2427 didnt hold it. pong 2520
I would stay longs except FOMC tomorrow.. I don't want have any open positions ....my feeling they will be hawkish this time....
plus tonight Trump speech... ...
  • #15,374
  • Jan 30, 2018 7:58am Jan 30, 2018 7:58am
Quoting Boulder
ok..close #1 long at 2434, +30 pips {image}
2427/28 atm is too close to call. the trend is bullish. its 70 pips above 2345.. i have to go with bulls.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #15,375
  • Jan 30, 2018 8:01am Jan 30, 2018 8:01am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} I would stay longs except FOMC tomorrow.. I don't want have any open positions ....my feeling they will be hawkish this time.... plus tonight Trump speech... ...
its tuesday.. that's the day they place the bets. last week was bullish cot.. seems like the trend. the one i worry about was 2451

https://www.forexfactory.com/showthr...2#post10719212
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #15,376
  • Jan 30, 2018 8:01am Jan 30, 2018 8:01am
Christ... anything to make the euro higher... dollar weak
  • #15,377
  • Edited 4:33pm Jan 30, 2018 8:02am | Edited 4:33pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} 2427/28 atm is too close to call. the trend is bullish. its 70 pips above 2345.. i have to go with bulls.
I exited too early...didn't give bulls a chance to run higher..2477 is next R.....
  • #15,378
  • Jan 30, 2018 8:03am Jan 30, 2018 8:03am
this is my hope for a perfect plan, its just a hope and usually the plan does not follow the perfect path but it can happen like this:

USDJPY to 108.3x then up to 111
EURUSD to 1.2464 then down to 1.19x
GPBJPY to 155.8x then down 149.5x
EURJPY to 135.4x

nothing is perfect though
When life gives you lemons, make lemonade
  • #15,379
  • Jan 30, 2018 8:03am Jan 30, 2018 8:03am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} I exited too early. ...
been there done that
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #15,380
  • Jan 30, 2018 8:06am Jan 30, 2018 8:06am
I have not had a chance to catch up with what's going on today....does EU jump have something to do with 10Y yield?....or premarket sell off... I see current gap down 250 points in Dow,,,
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